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Mersin SK vs Karsiyaka Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 21 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 92-87
22-17 19-23 22-17 29-30
Position#13
Record2-6
FormWLLLL
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game84.6
vs
Position#15
Record1-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.6
Allowed / game90.1
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 9· Servet Tazegül Spor Salonu
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Mersin SK v Karsiyaka
21 Nov 2025
MES92
KAR87
07 Feb 2025
MES94
KAR87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mersin SK winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Karsiyaka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mersin SKTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSK
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#2
L
66-97
66
97
-31
60avg 77
A08/10
Champions League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
69-72
69
72
-3
61avg 77
A11/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Oostende
#46
W
104-86
104
86
+18
102avg 77
A15/10
Champions League
Tofas
#9
W
84-80
84
80
+4
74avg 77
H19/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
L
86-90
86
90
-4
83avg 77
A26/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
AS Karditsas
#32
W
81-73
81
73
+8
83avg 77
H29/10
Champions League
Fenerbahce
#1
L
78-87
78
87
-9
77avg 77
H02/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#7
L
79-85
79
85
-6
70avg 77
A09/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Unicaja
#2
L
77-100
77
100
-23
68avg 77
H12/11
Champions League
Turk Telekom
#5
L
82-96
82
96
-14
79avg 77
H15/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-22
20-29
16-19
19-27
20-19
16-21
11-13
22-19
30-17
19-31
24-16
31-22
20-21
22-16
19-22
23-21
23-26
18-18
22-22
23-24
20-23
17-16
27-17
17-17
22-17
20-28
15-20
21-22
13-16
20-25
18-25
28-19
22-31
19-29
15-21
21-19
22-25
14-23
26-27
20-21
167.2Avg total
80.6Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)81.484.6166.0-3.225%
Season at home (4)82.590.5173.0-8.025%
Season away (4)80.278.8159.0+1.525%
Last 10 (10)80.686.6167.2-6.030%
Last 5 (5)79.488.2167.6-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)76.489.5165.9-13.17%
vs Similar ◀ (13)88.282.3170.5+5.969%
vs Weaker (1)78.073.0151.0+5.0100%
This opponent (Karsiyaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KarsiyakaTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKarsiyaka
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
77-95
77
95
-18
68avg 73
H14/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#4
L
76-90
76
90
-14
72avg 73
A17/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
L
73-85
73
85
-12
63avg 73
A28/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#10
W
76-69
76
69
+7
74avg 73
H05/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
73-87
73
87
-14
69avg 73
A12/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
87-101
87
101
-14
81avg 73
H20/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#7
L
83-103
83
103
-20
83avg 73
A26/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#6
L
69-85
69
85
-16
55avg 73
H02/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#5
L
59-111
59
111
-52
50avg 73
A08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#11
L
69-80
69
80
-11
65avg 73
H15/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-29
16-26
25-27
20-13
23-20
22-26
11-11
20-33
15-24
16-33
16-14
26-14
24-13
16-15
18-21
18-20
15-27
23-16
12-22
23-22
34-25
16-22
15-24
22-30
21-26
22-25
17-28
23-24
18-27
23-19
11-22
17-17
16-35
22-25
12-25
9-26
20-21
16-24
14-15
19-20
164.8Avg total
74.2Scored
90.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)73.690.1163.8-16.512%
Season at home (4)75.283.8159.0-8.525%
Season away (4)72.096.5168.5-24.50%
Last 10 (10)74.290.6164.8-16.410%
Last 5 (5)73.496.0169.4-22.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)77.193.5170.6-16.50%
vs Similar ◀ (13)78.287.5165.8-9.331%
vs Weaker (3)73.381.0154.3-7.70%
This opponent (Mersin SK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -5.8-5.8Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -2.2-2.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -5.8-5.8Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -2.2-2.2
Mersin SKKarsiyaka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mersin SKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#2
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A08/10
Champions League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A11/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Oostende
#46
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A15/10
Champions League
Tofas
#9
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H19/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A26/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
AS Karditsas
#32
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H29/10
Champions League
Fenerbahce
#1
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H02/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#7
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A09/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Unicaja
#2
L
41-60
41
60
-19
H12/11
Champions League
Turk Telekom
#5
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H15/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
84.1Avg total
38.8Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.443.784.1-3.340%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.344.585.8-3.244%-
Last 30 away (14)39.342.882.1-3.536%-
Last 10 (10)38.845.384.1-6.520%-
Last 5 (5)37.846.684.4-8.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)37.246.583.7-9.313%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)43.440.784.1+2.762%-
vs Weaker (1)44.041.085.0+3.0100%-
This opponent (Karsiyaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KarsiyakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
32-55
32
55
-23
H14/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#4
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A17/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
L
31-57
31
57
-26
A28/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#10
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H05/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A12/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H20/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#7
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A26/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#6
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H02/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#5
L
38-60
38
60
-22
A08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#11
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H15/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
87.2Avg total
39.4Scored
47.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.145.785.7-5.627%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.843.384.1-2.547%-
Last 30 away (15)39.348.187.4-8.77%-
Last 10 (10)39.447.887.2-8.420%-
Last 5 (5)41.649.891.4-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)40.047.287.2-7.223%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)39.745.084.7-5.331%-
vs Weaker (3)39.042.781.7-3.70%-
This opponent (Mersin SK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mersin SKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mersin SK: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.616.9
53.5%
54.0%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.59.3
36.5%
35.6%27.9
🏀 Free throws22.717.9
78.9%
76.0%17.9
They take 57.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Karsiyakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karsiyaka: 72.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.419.7
51.3%
54.0%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.57.3
31.1%
35.6%21.9
🏀 Free throws14.911.1
74.5%
76.0%11.1
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mersin SK
LLLLWLWWLL
Karsiyaka
LLLLLLWLLL
#13
League position
#15
-8.5
Net rating
-21.0
112.4
Offensive rating
99.9
120.9
Defensive rating
120.9
54.0%
Effective FG%
49.5%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
58.7%
18.4%
Turnover %
18.3%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
26.0%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.24
36.5%
3-point %
31.1%
67.6%
Assist %
67.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence112.4 · 99.9Defence120.9 · 120.9Shooting54.0% · 49.5%3-point %36.5% · 31.1%Ball care18.4% · 18.3%Off. rebounds29.4% · 26.0%Free throws0.40 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)30% · 10%
■ Mersin SK   ■ Karsiyaka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Mersin SK wins
2
Karsiyaka wins
DateGameScore
07/02/25Mersin SK v Karsiyaka94-87 OT
20/10/24Karsiyaka v Mersin SK107-81
04/10/12Karsiyaka v Mersin SK72-63
Mersin SKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/25HTurk Telekom82-96
12/11/25HUnicaja77-100
09/11/25AGalatasaray79-85
02/11/25HFenerbahce78-87
29/10/25HAS Karditsas81-73
26/10/25APetkim Spor86-90
19/10/25HTofas84-80
15/10/25AOostende104-86
11/10/25ABahcesehir Kol.69-72
08/10/25AUnicaja66-97
Karsiyakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/25HManisa69-80
08/11/25ATurk Telekom59-111
02/11/25HTrabzonspor69-85
26/10/25AGalatasaray83-103
20/10/25HAnadolu Efes87-101
12/10/25AFenerbahce73-87
05/10/25HMerkezefendi76-69
28/09/25APetkim Spor73-85
17/05/25ATofas76-90
14/05/25HAnadolu Efes77-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mersin SK
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL25%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%25%25%
Points / game81.482.580.2
Allowed / game84.690.578.8
Point differential-3.2-8.0+1.5
Avg total166.0173.0159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Karsiyaka
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL12%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %12%25%0%
Points / game73.675.272.0
Allowed / game90.183.896.5
Point differential-16.5-8.5-24.5
Avg total163.8159.0168.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Besiktas880100%89.976.8+13.1
2 Fenerbahce87188%89.980.1+9.8
3 Bahcesehir Kol.87188%83.579.2+4.2
4 Anadolu Efes86275%87.976.2+11.6
5 Galatasaray85362%86.083.8+2.2
6 Turk Telekom84450%87.879.9+7.9
7 Esenler Erokspor84450%81.577.5+4.0
8 Tofas84450%81.679.8+1.9
9 Trabzonspor84450%82.080.2+1.8
10 Bursaspor83538%74.879.9-5.1
11 Petkim Spor83538%78.483.6-5.2
12 Merkezefendi83538%75.180.8-5.6
13 Manisa83538%77.985.0-7.1
14 Mersin SK82625%81.484.6-3.2
15 Karsiyaka81712%73.690.1-16.5
16 Buyukcekmece8080%78.191.8-13.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mersin SK2219222992
Karsiyaka1723173087
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