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Tofas vs Karsiyaka Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 May 2025
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 90-76
20-23 26-22 11-11 33-20
Position#4
Record18-11
FormLLWLW
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game86.2
Tofas 🏆
Turkey
vs
Position#13
Record11-18
FormWLLWL
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game87.2
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 30· Tofas Spor Salonu
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Tofas v Karsiyaka
23 Apr 2027
TOF v KAR
upcoming
03 May 2026
TOF87
KAR78
17 May 2025
TOF90
KAR76
21 Apr 2024
TOF111
KAR91
05 Mar 2023
TOF81
KAR86
12 Dec 2021
TOF69
KAR71
30 Mar 2021
TOF90
KAR79
17 Oct 2020
TOF78
KAR88
07 Dec 2019
TOF94
KAR88
26 Jan 2019
TOF93
KAR91
15 Apr 2018
TOF94
KAR75
21 Jan 2017
TOF80
KAR86
06 Nov 2012
TOF63
KAR64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tofas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Karsiyaka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TofasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#2
W
102-93
102
93
+9
105avg 86
H12/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Darussafaka
#15
W
111-93
111
93
+18
117avg 86
H16/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#11
W
95-88
95
88
+7
94avg 86
A22/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#12
L
98-106
98
106
-8
94avg 86
H29/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
72-97
72
97
-25
67avg 86
A07/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
88-89
88
89
-1
84avg 86
H13/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#7
L
72-86
72
86
-14
58avg 86
A21/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Mersin SK
#6
W
87-65
87
65
+22
71avg 86
H27/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#5
L
75-86
75
86
-11
69avg 86
H03/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#14
W
94-92
94
92
+2
96avg 86
A11/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-25
23-21
27-20
22-27
23-22
29-26
31-26
28-19
25-24
27-20
23-21
20-23
26-28
31-27
24-21
17-30
14-28
22-20
17-33
19-16
29-23
24-15
16-19
19-32
17-8
13-28
16-30
26-20
28-9
16-21
19-14
24-21
16-24
23-20
24-18
12-24
29-21
27-22
20-28
18-21
178.9Avg total
89.4Scored
89.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)88.186.2174.3+1.962%
Season at home (14)93.385.4178.6+7.979%
Season away (15)83.386.9170.2-3.747%
Last 10 (10)89.489.5178.9-0.150%
Last 5 (5)83.283.6166.8-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)81.388.3169.6-7.029%
vs Similar (14)85.486.7172.1-1.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)91.584.8176.2+6.875%
This opponent (Karsiyaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KarsiyakaTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKarsiyaka
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#8
L
80-101
80
101
-21
77avg 77
A08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
83-94
83
94
-11
74avg 77
H15/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Yalovaspor
#16
L
75-78
75
78
-3
66avg 77
A23/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#9
W
82-78
82
78
+4
69avg 77
H29/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#15
L
75-84
75
84
-9
73avg 77
A04/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#11
W
93-90 OT
93
90
+3
83avg 77
H13/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#12
L
79-100
79
100
-21
73avg 77
A19/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
67-78
67
78
-11
56avg 77
A06/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#7
W
76-73
76
73
+3
69avg 77
H11/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
77-95
77
95
-18
68avg 77
H14/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
26-29
17-21
22-31
17-39
28-18
22-14
16-23
16-24
21-14
21-19
17-21
26-19
10-18
23-17
23-24
22-20
22-26
16-21
15-17
21-22
24-19
17-24
19-16
18-35
15-26
14-16
32-23
13-27
20-19
20-16
14-16
19-13
24-22
13-16
20-22
16-29
16-26
25-27
20-13
165.8Avg total
78.7Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)83.987.2171.1-3.338%
Season at home (15)89.387.0176.3+2.360%
Season away (14)78.187.4165.4-9.314%
Last 10 (10)78.787.1165.8-8.430%
Last 5 (5)78.487.2165.6-8.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)79.690.5170.1-10.90%
vs Similar (15)82.987.3170.1-4.447%
vs Weaker (6)85.378.3163.7+7.050%
This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -6.5-6.5Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -0.8-0.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -6.5-6.5Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -0.8-0.8
TofasKarsiyaka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#2
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H12/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Darussafaka
#15
W
52-48
52
48
+4
H16/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#11
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A22/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#12
W
57-55
57
55
+2
H29/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A07/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H13/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#7
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A21/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Mersin SK
#6
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H27/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#5
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H03/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#14
W
56-43
56
43
+13
A11/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
90.4Avg total
47.2Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.843.288.0+1.650%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.141.989.9+6.279%-
Last 30 away (16)41.944.486.2-2.525%-
Last 10 (10)47.243.290.4+4.070%-
Last 5 (5)44.438.282.6+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.345.486.7-4.129%-
vs Similar (14)46.043.089.0+3.057%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)45.941.487.2+4.562%-
This opponent (Karsiyaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KarsiyakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#8
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
45-57
45
57
-12
H15/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Yalovaspor
#16
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A23/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#9
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H29/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#15
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A04/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#11
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H13/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#12
L
33-61
33
61
-28
A19/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A06/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#7
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H11/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
32-55
32
55
-23
H14/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
85.4Avg total
38.9Scored
46.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.743.585.2-1.840%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.743.287.9+1.560%-
Last 30 away (15)38.743.982.5-5.220%-
Last 10 (10)38.946.585.4-7.620%-
Last 5 (5)37.247.684.8-10.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)38.145.883.9-7.625%-
vs Similar (15)41.443.284.6-1.847%-
vs Weaker (6)46.041.387.3+4.733%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.8 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.325.4
61.5%
54.1%50.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.86.2
31.3%
35.8%18.6
🏀 Free throws22.917.3
75.5%
76.0%17.3
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Karsiyakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karsiyaka: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.821.0
57.1%
54.1%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.3
33.1%
35.8%24.9
🏀 Free throws17.312.7
73.4%
76.0%12.7
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tofas
WLWLLLLWWW
Karsiyaka
LWLLWLWLLL
#4
League position
#13
+4.9
Net rating
+1.5
114.3
Offensive rating
110.7
109.4
Defensive rating
109.1
56.8%
Effective FG%
54.0%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
18.4%
Turnover %
16.8%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.28
31.3%
3-point %
33.1%
67.4%
Assist %
52.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence114.3 · 110.7Defence109.4 · 109.1Shooting56.8% · 54.0%3-point %31.3% · 33.1%Ball care18.4% · 16.8%Off. rebounds31.2% · 29.0%Free throws0.37 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Tofas   ■ Karsiyaka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Tofas wins
6
Karsiyaka wins
DateGameScore
19/01/25Karsiyaka v Tofas81-93
21/04/24Tofas v Karsiyaka111-91
24/12/23Karsiyaka v Tofas98-71
05/03/23Tofas v Karsiyaka81-86
21/10/22Karsiyaka v Tofas72-83
09/04/22Karsiyaka v Tofas79-78
12/12/21Tofas v Karsiyaka69-71
30/03/21Tofas v Karsiyaka90-79
03/03/21Karsiyaka v Tofas78-70
31/01/21Karsiyaka v Tofas90-71
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/05/25AMerkezefendi94-92
03/05/25HBahcesehir Kol.75-86
27/04/25HMersin SK87-65
21/04/25ATurk Telekom72-86
13/04/25HFenerbahce88-89
07/04/25AAnadolu Efes72-97
29/03/25HManisa98-106
22/03/25APetkim Spor95-88
16/03/25HDarussafaka111-93
12/03/25HBilbao102-93
Karsiyakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/05/25HAnadolu Efes77-95
11/05/25HTurk Telekom76-73
06/05/25AFenerbahce67-78
19/04/25AManisa79-100
13/04/25HPetkim Spor93-90 OT
04/04/25ADarussafaka75-84
29/03/25HBursaspor82-78
23/03/25AYalovaspor75-78
15/03/25HBuyukcekmece83-94
08/03/25AGalatasaray80-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tofas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW62%
HomeWLLWL79%
AwayLWLLW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %62%79%47%
Points / game88.193.383.3
Allowed / game86.285.486.9
Point differential+1.9+7.9-3.7
Avg total174.3178.6170.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%43%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)67% (3)50% (6)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Karsiyaka
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL38%
HomeLWWWL60%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %38%60%14%
Points / game83.989.378.1
Allowed / game87.287.087.4
Point differential-3.3+2.3-9.3
Avg total171.1176.3165.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %7%7%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce2926390%88.180.1+8.0
2 Besiktas2923679%90.081.5+8.5
3 Anadolu Efes2720774%90.780.1+10.6
4 Tofas29181162%88.186.2+1.9
5 Bahcesehir Kol.29171259%82.479.6+2.8
6 Mersin SK29151452%82.084.9-2.9
7 Galatasaray28141450%87.686.2+1.4
8 Buyukcekmece29131645%85.885.9-0.1
9 Turk Telekom30131743%82.883.3-0.5
10 Petkim Spor29121741%82.383.8-1.5
11 Bursaspor29121741%85.389.8-4.5
12 Karsiyaka29111838%83.987.2-3.3
13 Merkezefendi29111838%82.586.6-4.0
14 Manisa29101934%87.188.9-1.8
15 Darussafaka2992031%82.287.7-5.5
16 Yalovaspor2972224%80.188.5-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tofas2026113390
Karsiyaka2322112076
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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