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Mersin SK vs Le Mans Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 06 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 65-92
17-15 17-24 12-29 19-24
Position#22
Record4-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game84.0
vs
Le Mans 🏆
Position#14
Record2-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game76.7
EuropeChampions LeagueChampions League - Final· Servet Tazegül Spor Salonu
European cup2025Neutral venue
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mersin SK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Le Mans winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mersin SKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSK
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#2
L
77-100
77
100
-23
68avg 78
H12/11
Champions League
Turk Telekom
#5
L
82-96
82
96
-14
79avg 78
H15/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#15
W
92-87
92
87
+5
93avg 78
H21/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#16
L
77-88
77
88
-11
65avg 78
A06/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
AS Karditsas
#32
W
80-72
80
72
+8
78avg 78
A09/12
Champions League
Esenler Erokspor
#8
L
83-88
83
88
-5
76avg 78
H14/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Oostende
#46
W
84-76
84
76
+8
84avg 78
H17/12
Champions League
Bursaspor
#12
L
88-99
88
99
-11
84avg 78
A21/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#10
W
110-92
110
92
+18
110avg 78
H27/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
80-93
80
93
-13
79avg 78
A04/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-31
19-29
15-21
21-19
22-25
14-23
26-27
20-21
22-17
19-23
22-17
29-30
22-24
19-22
19-20
17-22
26-10
20-18
17-18
17-26
21-28
24-16
18-29
20-15
18-16
26-17
23-15
17-28
22-20
23-24
20-23
23-32
33-23
33-18
18-22
26-29
16-23
27-29
24-20
13-21
174.4Avg total
85.3Scored
89.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)82.084.0166.0-2.067%
Season at home (3)80.783.0163.7-2.367%
Season away (3)83.385.0168.3-1.767%
Last 10 (10)85.389.1174.4-3.840%
Last 5 (5)89.089.6178.6-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)76.488.6165.0-12.17%
vs Similar (14)88.182.4170.5+5.671%
vs Weaker (2)77.580.5158.0-3.050%
This opponent (Le Mans) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Le MansLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMans
Date
Competition
Monaco
#1
L
84-93
84
93
-9
72avg 91
H16/11
LNB
Gran Canaria
#3
L
88-90
88
90
-2
77avg 91
H18/11
Champions League
Nancy
#10
W
78-76
78
76
+2
72avg 91
A22/11
LNB
La Rochelle
#10
W
108-101 OT
108
101
+7
100avg 91
A02/12
French Cup
Chalon/Saone
#9
L
87-93
87
93
-6
77avg 91
H06/12
LNB
Nanterre
#3
L
88-98
88
98
-10
81avg 91
A12/12
LNB
Spartak Subotica
#28
W
76-61
76
61
+15
64avg 91
H16/12
Champions League
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#15
W
87-66
87
66
+21
80avg 91
H20/12
LNB
Limoges
#13
W
110-83
110
83
+27
109avg 91
A23/12
LNB
Saint Quentin
#14
W
90-74
90
74
+16
86avg 91
H26/12
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-35
30-16
20-17
16-25
24-16
21-25
30-24
13-25
24-14
22-22
15-20
17-20
17-23
23-16
21-23
23-22
30-19
16-27
18-19
23-28
17-27
25-23
20-22
26-26
17-16
14-10
32-23
13-12
21-9
19-19
25-21
22-17
28-20
34-19
23-24
25-20
19-10
32-22
20-21
19-21
173.1Avg total
89.6Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)80.776.7157.3+4.033%
Season at home (3)84.373.3157.7+11.067%
Season away (3)77.080.0157.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)89.683.5173.1+6.160%
Last 5 (5)90.276.4166.6+13.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)87.096.5183.5-9.550%
vs Similar (15)84.987.2172.1-2.347%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)88.878.8167.5+10.077%
This opponent (Mersin SK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: -1.9-1.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: -1.9-1.9
Mersin SKLe Mans
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mersin SKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#2
L
41-60
41
60
-19
H12/11
Champions League
Turk Telekom
#5
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H15/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#15
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H21/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#16
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A06/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
AS Karditsas
#32
W
46-28
46
28
+18
A09/12
Champions League
Esenler Erokspor
#8
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H14/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Oostende
#46
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H17/12
Champions League
Bursaspor
#12
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A21/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#10
W
66-41
66
41
+25
H27/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A04/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
88.4Avg total
44.8Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.643.385.0-1.743%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.343.787.1-0.453%-
Last 30 away (15)39.942.982.9-3.033%-
Last 10 (10)44.843.688.4+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)48.642.891.4+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)37.547.284.7-9.714%-
vs Similar (14)45.639.485.1+6.271%-
vs Weaker (2)42.543.586.0-1.050%-
This opponent (Le Mans) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Le MansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monaco
#1
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H16/11
LNB
Gran Canaria
#3
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H18/11
Champions League
Nancy
#10
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A22/11
LNB
La Rochelle
#10
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A02/12
French Cup
Chalon/Saone
#9
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H06/12
LNB
Nanterre
#3
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A12/12
LNB
Spartak Subotica
#28
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H16/12
Champions League
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#15
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H20/12
LNB
Limoges
#13
W
62-39
62
39
+23
A23/12
LNB
Saint Quentin
#14
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H26/12
LNB
83.9Avg total
45.1Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.841.083.8+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.140.384.4+3.767%-
Last 30 away (15)41.541.783.2-0.140%-
Last 10 (10)45.138.883.9+6.370%-
Last 5 (5)45.235.080.2+10.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.046.085.0-7.050%-
vs Similar (15)41.343.084.3-1.740%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)45.137.983.0+7.269%-
This opponent (Mersin SK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mersin SKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mersin SK: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.318.5
55.6%
52.4%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.710.8
35.2%
33.8%32.4
🏀 Free throws21.315.1
70.9%
74.1%15.1
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Le Manstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Le Mans: 89.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.122.3
54.3%
52.4%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.310.2
38.8%
33.8%30.6
🏀 Free throws19.213.8
71.9%
74.1%13.8
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mersin SK
LWLWLWLWLL
Le Mans
WWWWLLWWLL
#22
League position
#14
-4.6
Net rating
+8.7
113.4
Offensive rating
115.4
117.9
Defensive rating
106.7
54.2%
Effective FG%
55.8%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
17.8%
Turnover %
16.9%
32.6%
Off. rebound %
33.2%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.2%
3-point %
38.8%
79.5%
Assist %
54.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence113.4 · 115.4Defence117.9 · 106.7Shooting54.2% · 55.8%3-point %35.2% · 38.8%Ball care17.8% · 16.9%Off. rebounds32.6% · 33.2%Free throws0.33 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Mersin SK   ■ Le Mans
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mersin SK wins
0
Le Mans wins
No previous meetings.
Mersin SKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/26AAnadolu Efes80-93
27/12/25HMerkezefendi110-92
21/12/25ABursaspor88-99
17/12/25HOostende84-76
14/12/25HEsenler Erokspor83-88
09/12/25AAS Karditsas80-72
06/12/25ABuyukcekmece77-88
21/11/25HKarsiyaka92-87
15/11/25HTurk Telekom82-96
12/11/25HUnicaja77-100
Le Manslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/25HSaint Quentin90-74
23/12/25ALimoges110-83
20/12/25HGravelines-Dunkerque87-66
16/12/25HSpartak Subotica76-61
12/12/25ANanterre88-98
06/12/25HChalon/Saone87-93
02/12/25ALa Rochelle108-101 OT
22/11/25ANancy78-76
18/11/25HGran Canaria88-90
16/11/25HMonaco84-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mersin SK
Champions League 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW67%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game82.080.783.3
Allowed / game84.083.085.0
Point differential-2.0-2.3-1.7
Avg total166.0163.7168.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Le Mans
Champions League 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW33%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%67%0%
Points / game80.784.377.0
Allowed / game76.773.380.0
Point differential+4.0+11.0-3.0
Avg total157.3157.7157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja660100%95.872.5+23.3
2 Gran Canaria660100%86.370.8+15.5
3 Joventut Badalona660100%88.575.8+12.7
4 Chalon/Saone98189%93.684.4+9.1
5 Alba Berlin65183%91.580.5+11.0
6 AEK Athens65183%82.371.8+10.5
7 Galatasaray65183%89.079.0+10.0
8 Levice107370%82.479.2+3.2
9 Tenerife64267%86.579.0+7.5
10 Murcia32167%89.783.7+6.0
11 Rytas64267%94.089.0+5.0
12 Bakken Bears32167%88.086.0+2.0
13 Mersin SK64267%82.084.0-2.0
14 Antwerp Giants32167%72.775.3-2.7
15 Hapoel Holon74357%81.375.1+6.1
16 Wurzburg74357%81.377.7+3.6
17 Reggiana21150%88.584.0+4.5
18 Den Bosch21150%78.575.0+3.5
19 Cholet63350%89.887.3+2.5
20 Juventus21150%87.085.0+2.0
21 Szolnoki Olaj63350%75.273.2+2.0
22 Spartak Subotica63350%78.277.0+1.2
23 Heidelberg63350%83.784.5-0.8
24 BC Kalev/Cramo21150%81.082.5-1.5
25 Tofas63350%82.585.2-2.7
26 PAOK21150%76.079.5-3.5
27 Promitheas63350%80.284.5-4.3
28 FC Porto21150%81.089.5-8.5
29 Trapani73443%75.179.1-4.0
30 Le Mans62433%80.776.7+4.0
31 Legia62433%78.077.8+0.2
32 Trieste62433%83.586.5-3.0
33 Bnei Herzliya62433%84.890.5-5.7
34 Bursaspor93633%76.883.0-6.2
35 AS Karditsas62433%76.886.5-9.7
36 Nymburk61517%85.391.0-5.7
37 Sabah Baku61517%81.090.7-9.7
38 VEF Riga61517%68.580.0-11.5
39 Igokea61517%75.387.0-11.7
40 Benfica61517%71.592.2-20.7
41 Kutaisi1010%81.084.0-3.0
42 Szombathely1010%79.083.0-4.0
43 Basketball Braunschweig1010%74.081.0-7.0
44 CSM Oradea1010%71.079.0-8.0
45 Rilski Sportist1010%84.093.0-9.0
46 Oostende6060%81.092.7-11.7
47 Pelister1010%87.099.0-12.0
48 Studentski Centar1010%67.079.0-12.0
49 Trepca1010%68.080.0-12.0
50 Karhu Basket1010%89.0103.0-14.0
51 Lublin1010%84.0100.0-16.0
52 AEK Larnaca1010%69.090.0-21.0
53 Fribourg Olympic1010%80.0107.0-27.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 53 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mersin SK1717121965
Le Mans1524292492
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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