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Mestre vs Roseto Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Sep 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 101-91
32-27 22-25 21-13 26-26
Position#15
Record0-1
FormL
Points / game61.0
Allowed / game76.0
Mestre 🏆
Italy
vs
Roseto
Italy
Position#20
Record1-0
FormLWWLW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game82.0
ItalySerie A2Round 2· Palasport Giuseppe Taliercio
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mestre winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Roseto winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MestreItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMestre
Date
Competition
Scafati
#1
L
61-76
61
76
-15
6avg 6
A21/09
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
18-11
15-13
11-26
137.0Avg total
61.0Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)61.076.0137.0-15.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)61.076.0137.0-15.00%
Last 10 (1)61.076.0137.0-15.00%
Last 5 (1)61.076.0137.0-15.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)61.076.0137.0-15.00%
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Roseto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RosetoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRoseto
Date
Competition
Poderosa Montegranaro
#3
L
73-81
73
81
-8
no box
A17/02
A2 East
Udine
#5
W
83-70
83
70
+13
no box
H24/02
A2 East
Imola
#10
W
99-78
99
78
+21
no box
H10/03
A2 East
Ravenna
#9
L
72-85
72
85
-13
no box
A16/03
A2 East
Assigeco Piacenza
#11
W
82-72
82
72
+10
no box
H24/03
A2 East
Treviso
#2
L
61-88
61
88
-27
no box
A31/03
A2 East
Verona
#4
W
106-85
106
85
+21
no box
H07/04
A2 East
Ferrara
#12
W
82-77
82
77
+5
no box
H14/04
A2 East
Fortitudo Bologna
#1
L
81-92
81
92
-11
no box
A20/04
A2 East
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
86-82
86
82
+4
85avg 85
H21/09
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-14
22-21
16-25
24-21
20-15
20-14
21-16
22-25
31-24
26-18
22-17
20-19
17-20
15-16
16-23
24-26
14-18
24-14
19-26
25-14
16-26
11-19
22-25
12-18
26-22
30-34
29-17
21-12
19-20
21-21
23-17
19-19
24-24
19-25
16-24
22-19
27-15
18-22
21-26
20-19
163.5Avg total
82.5Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)86.082.0168.0+4.0100%
Season at home (1)86.082.0168.0+4.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.581.0163.5+1.560%
Last 5 (5)83.284.8168.0-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)75.084.8159.8-9.820%
vs Similar ◀ (11)80.979.3160.2+1.655%
vs Weaker (14)85.377.1162.4+8.264%
This opponent (Mestre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-19-9+0+9+19Q1Q1: -9.0-9.0Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +7.0+7.0Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -15.0-15.0Q4: +1.7+1.7
-19-9+0+9+19Q1Q1: -9.0-9.0Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +7.0+7.0Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -15.0-15.0Q4: +1.7+1.7
MestreRoseto
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MestreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Scafati
#1
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A21/09
Serie A2
72.0Avg total
35.0Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (1)35.037.072.0-2.00%-
Last 30 at homeno games
Last 30 away (1)35.037.072.0-2.00%-
Last 10 (1)35.037.072.0-2.00%-
Last 5 (1)35.037.072.0-2.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)35.037.072.0-2.00%-
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Roseto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RosetoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poderosa Montegranaro
#3
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A17/02
A2 East
Udine
#5
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H24/02
A2 East
Imola
#10
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H10/03
A2 East
Ravenna
#9
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A16/03
A2 East
Assigeco Piacenza
#11
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H24/03
A2 East
Treviso
#2
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A31/03
A2 East
Verona
#4
D
56-56
56
56
+0
H07/04
A2 East
Ferrara
#12
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H14/04
A2 East
Fortitudo Bologna
#1
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A20/04
A2 East
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H21/09
Serie A2
81.3Avg total
41.1Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.938.379.2+2.553%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.837.480.2+5.469%-
Last 30 away (14)38.639.478.1-0.836%-
Last 10 (10)41.140.281.3+0.940%-
Last 5 (5)42.245.687.8-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.040.876.8-4.840%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)38.335.673.9+2.655%-
vs Weaker (14)44.639.684.2+5.157%-
This opponent (Mestre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mestretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mestre: 28.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀71%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers20.0 pts a game · 71% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers6.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws2.0 pts a game · 7% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers10.010.0
100.0%
50.8%20.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers2.02.0
100.0%
34.6%6.0
🏀 Free throws2.02.0
100.0%
74.4%2.0
They take 12.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 2.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 17% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rosetotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Roseto: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀35%
🏀🏀🏀52%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.015.0
51.7%
50.8%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.015.0
45.5%
34.6%45.0
🏀 Free throws15.011.0
73.3%
74.4%11.0
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/1 games with a box score before 27 Sep 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mestre
L
Roseto
WLWWLWLWWL
#15
League position
#20
+7.9
Net rating
+5.6
220.5
Offensive rating
121.1
212.6
Defensive rating
115.5
108.3%
Effective FG%
60.5%
105.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
0.0%
Turnover %
11.5%
0.17
Free-throw rate
0.24
100.0%
3-point %
45.5%
0.0%
Assist %
83.3%
1%
Form (last 1/10)
60%

Profile

Offence220.5 · 121.1Defence212.6 · 115.5Shooting108.3% · 60.5%3-point %100.0% · 45.5%Ball care0.0% · 11.5%Off. rebounds- · 20.6%Free throws0.17 · 0.24Form (last 1/10)0% · 60%
■ Mestre   ■ Roseto
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mestre wins
0
Roseto wins
No previous meetings.
Mestrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/09/25AScafati61-76
Rosetolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/09/25HFortitudo Bologna86-82
20/04/19AFortitudo Bologna81-92
14/04/19HFerrara82-77
07/04/19HVerona106-85
31/03/19ATreviso61-88
24/03/19HAssigeco Piacenza82-72
16/03/19ARavenna72-85
10/03/19HImola99-78
24/02/19HUdine83-70
17/02/19APoderosa Montegranaro73-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mestre
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 1 Losses (last 1)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game61.0-61.0
Allowed / game76.0-76.0
Point differential-15.0--15.0
Avg total137.0-137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Roseto
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game86.086.0-
Allowed / game82.082.0-
Point differential+4.0+4.0-
Avg total168.0168.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brindisi110100%94.058.0+36.0
2 Scafati110100%76.061.0+15.0
3 Avellino Basket110100%72.060.0+12.0
4 Basket Torino110100%83.074.0+9.0
5 Cento110100%77.068.0+9.0
6 Rimini110100%82.073.0+9.0
7 JuVi Cremona110100%78.070.0+8.0
8 Roseto110100%86.082.0+4.0
9 Cividale21150%74.075.0-1.0
10 Verona21150%70.571.5-1.0
11 Fortitudo Bologna1010%82.086.0-4.0
12 Pistoia1010%69.074.0-5.0
13 Forli1010%70.078.0-8.0
14 Libertas Livorno1010%68.077.0-9.0
15 Urania Milano1010%73.082.0-9.0
16 Sebastiani Rieti1010%60.072.0-12.0
17 Mestre1010%61.076.0-15.0
18 Ruvo Di Puglia1010%58.094.0-36.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mestre32222126101
Roseto2725132691
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