Roseto vs Fortitudo Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Sep 2025

Tip-off: 17:30

Final 86-82

27-15 18-22 21-26 20-19

Position#20

Record-

FormWLWWL

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

Roseto 🏆

Fortitudo Bologna

Position#4

Record-

FormLLWWL

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

Serie A2Round 1· Palasport

Other2025-26

Meetings · Roseto v Fortitudo Bologna

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Roseto winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Fortitudo Bologna winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Roseto

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormRoseto

Date

Competition

Jesi

#16

106-93

106

+13

no box

A13/02

A2 East

Poderosa Montegranaro

73-81

-8

no box

A17/02

A2 East

Udine

83-70

+13

no box

H24/02

A2 East

Imola

#10

99-78

+21

no box

H10/03

A2 East

Ravenna

72-85

-13

no box

A16/03

A2 East

Assigeco Piacenza

#11

82-72

+10

no box

H24/03

A2 East

Treviso

61-88

-27

no box

A31/03

A2 East

Verona

106-85

106

+21

no box

H07/04

A2 East

Ferrara

#12

82-77

no box

H14/04

A2 East

Fortitudo Bologna

81-92

-11

no box

A20/04

A2 East

24-25

26-24

26-23

30-21

11-14

22-21

16-25

24-21

20-15

20-14

21-16

22-25

31-24

26-18

22-17

20-19

17-20

15-16

16-23

24-26

14-18

24-14

19-26

25-14

16-26

11-19

22-25

12-18

26-22

30-34

29-17

21-12

19-20

21-21

23-17

19-19

24-24

19-25

16-24

22-19

166.6Avg total

84.5Scored

82.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	84.5	82.1	166.6	+2.4	60%
Last 5 (5)	82.4	82.8	165.2	-0.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	72.2	85.5	157.8	-13.2	0%
vs Similar (12)	80.7	79.8	160.4	+0.9	50%
vs Weaker (14)	85.3	77.1	162.4	+8.2	64%

This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Fortitudo Bologna Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBologna

Date

Competition

Cividale

79-86

-7

75avg 71

H06/04

Serie A2

Forli

58-67

-9

47avg 71

A13/04

Serie A2

Rimini

75-84

-9

79avg 71

H23/04

Serie A2

Libertas Livorno

#17

71-66

66avg 71

A27/04

Serie A2

Pesaro

94-85

95avg 71

H06/05

Serie A2

Cantu

64-72

-8

58avg 71

A10/05

Serie A2

Cantu

67-81

-14

59avg 71

A12/05

Serie A2

Cantu

77-68

82avg 71

H15/05

Serie A2

Cantu

74-68

60avg 71

H17/05

Serie A2

Cantu

63-88

-25

54avg 71

A20/05

Serie A2

20-21

17-23

31-17

11-25

11-11

19-16

17-24

11-16

27-26

15-19

23-11

10-28

21-9

17-18

15-28

18-11

32-18

24-24

19-22

19-21

24-18

14-23

14-15

12-16

18-14

14-24

24-27

11-16

17-23

15-17

23-9

22-19

25-17

14-11

16-16

19-24

14-24

15-11

17-31

17-22

148.7Avg total

72.2Scored

76.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	72.2	76.5	148.7	-4.3	40%
Last 5 (5)	69.0	75.4	144.4	-6.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	72.2	74.5	146.8	-2.2	50%
vs Similar (17)	74.8	74.5	149.4	+0.3	53%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	78.0	71.4	149.4	+6.6	80%

This opponent (Roseto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

RosetoFortitudo Bologna

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	19.0	40.1	+2.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.2	18.0	40.2	+4.2	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	20.1	40.0	-0.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	20.8	41.0	-0.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	22.0	41.8	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	19.0	20.5	39.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	18.2	17.9	36.2	+0.3	42%	-
vs Weaker (14)	24.1	19.6	43.6	+4.5	64%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	18.1	37.7	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.0	18.7	38.7	+1.3	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.2	17.4	36.6	+1.8	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	18.1	39.0	+2.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	19.2	38.8	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.6	19.4	38.0	-0.8	50%	-
vs Similar (17)	19.5	17.3	36.8	+2.2	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	21.8	18.8	40.6	+3.0	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	19.3	38.8	+0.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	19.4	39.9	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	19.1	37.8	-0.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	20.6	42.0	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	22.6	43.6	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	14.8	21.2	36.0	-6.5	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.0	17.8	37.8	+2.2	67%	-
vs Weaker (14)	20.6	20.0	40.6	+0.6	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	19.3	37.2	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.8	19.0	38.8	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	15.8	19.6	35.4	-3.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.4	18.6	35.0	-2.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.4	17.2	31.6	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.5	17.8	35.2	-0.2	50%	-
vs Similar (17)	18.2	20.0	38.2	-1.8	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	17.6	19.4	37.0	-1.8	60%	-

RosetoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Jesi

#16

50-49

A13/02

A2 East

Poderosa Montegranaro

33-35

-2

A17/02

A2 East

Udine

40-29

+11

H24/02

A2 East

Imola

#10

57-42

+15

H10/03

A2 East

Ravenna

32-36

-4

A16/03

A2 East

Assigeco Piacenza

#11

38-32

H24/03

A2 East

Treviso

27-45

-18

A31/03

A2 East

Verona

56-56

H07/04

A2 East

Ferrara

#12

40-41

-1

H14/04

A2 East

Fortitudo Bologna

43-49

-6

A20/04

A2 East

83.0Avg total

41.6Scored

41.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.6	38.3	78.9	+2.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.7	37.4	80.1	+5.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.6	39.2	77.8	-0.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.6	41.4	83.0	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	44.6	85.4	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	33.8	41.8	75.5	-8.0	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	38.2	35.7	73.9	+2.6	58%	-
vs Weaker (14)	44.6	39.6	84.2	+5.1	57%	-

This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Fortitudo BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cividale

37-44

-7

H06/04

Serie A2

Forli

30-27

A13/04

Serie A2

Rimini

42-45

-3

H23/04

Serie A2

Libertas Livorno

#17

38-27

+11

A27/04

Serie A2

Pesaro

56-42

+14

H06/05

Serie A2

Cantu

38-41

-3

A10/05

Serie A2

Cantu

32-38

-6

A12/05

Serie A2

Cantu

32-40

-8

H15/05

Serie A2

Cantu

39-28

+11

H17/05

Serie A2

Cantu

29-35

-6

A20/05

Serie A2

74.0Avg total

37.3Scored

36.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.6	37.4	75.0	+0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.8	37.7	77.5	+2.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.0	37.1	72.1	-2.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.3	36.7	74.0	+0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.0	36.4	70.4	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	36.1	37.1	73.2	-1.0	38%	-
vs Similar (17)	37.7	37.3	75.0	+0.4	41%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	39.4	38.2	77.6	+1.2	60%	-

This opponent (Roseto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	19.7	38.6	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.2	17.4	36.6	+1.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	22.0	40.5	-3.5	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	21.3	42.3	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	21.8	43.6	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	19.8	21.5	41.2	-1.8	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	18.1	21.4	39.5	-3.3	25%	-
vs Weaker (14)	19.3	17.7	37.0	+1.6	64%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	19.5	38.4	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.9	17.2	38.1	+3.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.6	22.1	38.7	-5.6	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	20.0	39.9	-0.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	19.6	38.4	-0.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.6	20.0	38.6	-1.4	25%	-
vs Similar (17)	18.8	19.6	38.4	-0.8	47%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	19.6	18.4	38.0	+1.2	40%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	18.4	37.5	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	17.9	37.6	+1.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.6	18.9	37.5	-0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	19.4	41.3	+2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	16.4	36.2	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	15.0	17.0	32.0	-2.0	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	18.9	18.2	37.1	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (14)	20.5	19.0	39.5	+1.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	17.0	34.9	+0.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.1	17.3	35.4	+0.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.7	16.6	34.3	+1.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.0	19.8	34.8	-4.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	19.4	35.6	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.5	17.4	34.9	+0.1	50%	-
vs Similar (17)	17.8	17.4	35.2	+0.4	65%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	19.0	14.8	33.8	+4.2	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.0	38.1	76.1	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.9	35.3	74.2	+3.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.1	40.9	78.0	-3.7	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.9	40.7	83.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	38.2	79.8	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	34.8	38.5	73.2	-3.8	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	37.0	39.6	76.6	-2.6	33%	-
vs Weaker (14)	39.8	36.7	76.5	+3.1	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.8	36.5	73.3	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.0	34.5	73.5	+4.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	34.3	38.7	73.0	-4.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.9	39.8	74.7	-4.9	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	39.0	74.0	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	36.1	37.4	73.5	-1.2	38%	-
vs Similar (17)	36.6	37.0	73.6	-0.4	47%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	38.6	33.2	71.8	+5.4	60%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Rosetotheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Fortitudo Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fortitudo Bologna: 71.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀43%

🏀🏀🏀40%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers30.4 pts a game · 43% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 40% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game

46%

35%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.7	15.2	45.1%	50.8%	30.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.1	9.6	34.2%	34.6%	28.8
🏀 Free throws	15.7	12.0	76.4%	74.4%	12.0

They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	28.4	14.5	51.1%	50.8%	29.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.4	11.0	35.0%	34.6%	33.0
🏀 Free throws	18.9	13.5	71.4%	74.4%	13.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.3	17.2	47.2%	50.8%	34.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.1	9.5	34.9%	34.6%	28.4
🏀 Free throws	14.4	11.0	76.4%	74.4%	11.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	27.6	13.2	47.9%	50.8%	26.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.1	11.1	34.6%	34.6%	33.3
🏀 Free throws	18.0	13.3	74.0%	74.4%	13.3

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Roseto wins

Fortitudo Bologna wins

Date	Game	Score
20/04/19	Fortitudo Bologna v Roseto	92-81
06/01/19	Roseto v Fortitudo Bologna	89-95 OT

Rosetolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/04/19	A	Fortitudo Bologna	81-92
14/04/19	H	Ferrara	82-77
07/04/19	H	Verona	106-85
31/03/19	A	Treviso	61-88
24/03/19	H	Assigeco Piacenza	82-72
16/03/19	A	Ravenna	72-85
10/03/19	H	Imola	99-78
24/02/19	H	Udine	83-70
17/02/19	A	Poderosa Montegranaro	73-81
13/02/19	A	Jesi	106-93

Fortitudo Bolognalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/05/25	A	Cantu	63-88
17/05/25	H	Cantu	74-68
15/05/25	H	Cantu	77-68
12/05/25	A	Cantu	67-81
10/05/25	A	Cantu	64-72
06/05/25	H	Pesaro	94-85
27/04/25	A	Libertas Livorno	71-66
23/04/25	H	Rimini	75-84
13/04/25	A	Forli	58-67
06/04/25	H	Cividale	79-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Roseto

Serie A2 2025-26

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

Fortitudo Bologna

Serie A2 2025-26

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Brindisi	1	1	0	100%	94.0	58.0	+36.0
2	Scafati	1	1	0	100%	76.0	61.0	+15.0
3	Basket Torino	1	1	0	100%	83.0	74.0	+9.0
4	Cento	1	1	0	100%	77.0	68.0	+9.0
5	Rimini	1	1	0	100%	82.0	73.0	+9.0
6	JuVi Cremona	1	1	0	100%	78.0	70.0	+8.0
7	Verona	1	1	0	100%	74.0	69.0	+5.0
8	Pistoia	1	0	1	0%	69.0	74.0	-5.0
9	Forli	1	0	1	0%	70.0	78.0	-8.0
10	Cividale	1	0	1	0%	74.0	83.0	-9.0
11	Libertas Livorno	1	0	1	0%	68.0	77.0	-9.0
12	Urania Milano	1	0	1	0%	73.0	82.0	-9.0
13	Mestre	1	0	1	0%	61.0	76.0	-15.0
14	Ruvo Di Puglia	1	0	1	0%	58.0	94.0	-36.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Roseto	27	18	21	20	86
Fortitudo Bologna	15	22	26	19	82

← all games of the day

Roseto vs Fortitudo Bologna Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature