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Mexico vs Colombia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Aug 2026
Tip-off: 02:10
Final 112-86
28-25 26-17 28-23 30-21
Position#10
Record3-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game92.8
Allowed / game82.8
Mexico 🏆
vs
Position#55
Record3-3
FormWLLLW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game88.0
EuropeWorld CupRound 1
Other2027
Meetings · Mexico v Colombia
28 Aug 2026
MEXI112
COLO86
26 Aug 2022
MEXI89
COLO93
27 Aug 2017
MEXI82
COLO70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mexico winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Colombia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uruguay
#40
W
82-69
82
69
+13
A27/02
World Cup
Montenegro
#14
L
71-91
71
91
-20
H25/08
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
L
66-96
66
96
-30
A27/08
World Cup
Egypt
#27
L
72-100
72
100
-28
A29/08
World Cup
New Zealand
#11
W
108-100
108
100
+8
A31/08
World Cup
Jordan
#37
W
93-80
93
80
+13
A02/09
World Cup
Dominican Republic
#9
L
85-92
85
92
-7
H29/11
World Cup
Dominican Republic
#9
W
89-88
89
88
+1
A02/12
World Cup
Nicaragua
#88
W
99-72
99
72
+27
A27/02
World Cup
Nicaragua
#88
W
98-79
98
79
+19
H04/07
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-26
28-12
17-18
19-13
19-19
20-29
19-20
13-23
17-32
17-21
17-23
15-20
16-30
19-29
21-18
16-23
31-22
26-19
21-27
30-32
24-24
19-19
25-22
25-15
23-17
20-25
15-26
27-24
24-28
23-26
20-9
22-25
22-21
27-10
21-16
29-25
22-22
27-19
25-17
24-21
173.0Avg total
86.3Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)92.882.8175.5+10.075%
Season at home (2)91.585.5177.0+6.050%
Season away (2)94.080.0174.0+14.0100%
Last 10 (10)86.386.7173.0-0.460%
Last 5 (5)92.882.2175.0+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)75.491.7167.1-16.222%
vs Similar (14)78.975.1154.0+3.964%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)92.673.9166.4+18.786%
This opponent (Colombia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canada
#5
L
61-62
61
62
-1
H05/09
AmeriCup
Puerto Rico
#10
L
79-91
79
91
-12
A12/11
World Cup
Mexico
#26
L
54-113
54
113
-59
H24/02
World Cup
Puerto Rico
#10
L
80-87
80
87
-7
H27/02
World Cup
Venezuela
#80
W
80-78
80
78
+2
H28/11
World Cup
Chile
#66
W
86-78
86
78
+8
A27/02
World Cup
Brazil
#19
L
72-101
72
101
-29
A02/03
World Cup
Chile
#66
L
79-81
79
81
-2
H03/07
World Cup
Brazil
#19
L
80-104
80
104
-24
H07/07
World Cup
Venezuela
#80
W
102-86
102
86
+16
A09/07
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
22-9
16-12
7-20
18-19
17-20
24-19
20-33
17-26
7-31
16-31
14-25
20-25
16-16
24-19
20-27
22-27
23-21
21-17
14-13
28-12
15-26
21-16
22-24
13-23
24-32
8-21
27-25
15-19
22-18
23-21
19-23
21-33
18-35
21-15
20-21
21-25
27-24
32-20
22-17
165.4Avg total
77.3Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)83.288.0171.2-4.850%
Season at home (3)79.787.7167.3-8.033%
Season away (3)86.788.3175.0-1.767%
Last 10 (10)77.388.1165.4-10.830%
Last 5 (5)83.890.0173.8-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)71.386.1157.5-14.823%
vs Similar (8)75.573.4148.9+2.162%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mexico) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -4.3-4.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -4.3-4.3
MexicoColombia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MexicoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uruguay
#40
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A27/02
World Cup
Montenegro
#14
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H25/08
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
L
34-53
34
53
-19
A27/08
World Cup
Egypt
#27
L
35-59
35
59
-24
A29/08
World Cup
New Zealand
#11
W
57-41
57
41
+16
A31/08
World Cup
Jordan
#37
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A02/09
World Cup
Dominican Republic
#9
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H29/11
World Cup
Dominican Republic
#9
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A02/12
World Cup
Nicaragua
#88
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A27/02
World Cup
Nicaragua
#88
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H04/07
World Cup
89.2Avg total
44.2Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.239.380.5+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.838.578.4+1.354%-
Last 30 away (17)42.239.982.2+2.359%-
Last 10 (10)44.245.089.2-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)46.242.288.4+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.445.484.9-6.044%-
vs Similar (14)38.338.576.8-0.243%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)49.333.182.4+16.1100%-
This opponent (Colombia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ColombiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canada
#5
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H05/09
AmeriCup
Puerto Rico
#10
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A12/11
World Cup
Mexico
#26
L
24-57
24
57
-33
H24/02
World Cup
Puerto Rico
#10
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H27/02
World Cup
Venezuela
#80
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H28/11
World Cup
Chile
#66
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A27/02
World Cup
Brazil
#19
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A02/03
World Cup
Chile
#66
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H03/07
World Cup
Brazil
#19
L
39-68
39
68
-29
H07/07
World Cup
Venezuela
#80
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A09/07
World Cup
84.4Avg total
38.2Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.941.175.9-6.220%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.940.474.2-6.519%-
Last 30 away (14)36.041.977.9-5.921%-
Last 10 (10)38.246.284.4-8.020%-
Last 5 (5)40.849.490.2-8.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)35.242.777.9-7.518%-
vs Similar (8)33.936.670.5-2.825%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mexico) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Mexico wins
1
Colombia wins
DateGameScore
24/02/23Colombia v Mexico54-113
26/08/22Mexico v Colombia89-93 OT
27/08/17Mexico v Colombia82-70
Mexicolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/07/26HNicaragua98-79
27/02/26ANicaragua99-72
02/12/25ADominican Republic89-88
29/11/25HDominican Republic85-92
02/09/23AJordan93-80
31/08/23ANew Zealand108-100
29/08/23AEgypt72-100
27/08/23ALithuania66-96
25/08/23HMontenegro71-91
27/02/23AUruguay82-69
Colombialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/07/26AVenezuela102-86
07/07/26HBrazil80-104
03/07/26HChile79-81
02/03/26ABrazil72-101
27/02/26AChile86-78
28/11/25HVenezuela80-78
27/02/23HPuerto Rico80-87
24/02/23HMexico54-113
12/11/22APuerto Rico79-91
05/09/22HCanada61-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mexico
World Cup 2027
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeLW50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game92.891.594.0
Allowed / game82.885.580.0
Point differential+10.0+6.0+14.0
Avg total175.5177.0174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Colombia
World Cup 2027
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW50%
HomeWLL33%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%33%67%
Points / game83.279.786.7
Allowed / game88.087.788.3
Point differential-4.8-8.0-1.7
Avg total171.2167.3175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia660100%94.267.2+27.0
2 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
3 Canada770100%101.479.6+21.9
4 Poland770100%96.080.3+15.7
5 Turkey660100%88.573.7+14.8
6 Croatia1110191%99.171.2+27.9
7 Argentina76186%86.667.9+18.7
8 Ivory Coast76186%93.175.4+17.7
9 Lebanon76186%90.072.6+17.4
10 Brazil76186%93.178.0+15.1
11 France76186%85.372.0+13.3
12 Germany76186%93.380.4+12.9
13 Cameroon76186%76.970.4+6.4
14 Jordan65183%85.060.0+25.0
15 Spain65183%87.771.2+16.5
16 Iran65183%75.363.5+11.8
17 Italy65183%87.376.8+10.5
18 Dominican Republic54180%91.880.2+11.6
19 Mexico43175%92.882.8+10.0
20 Senegal75271%85.168.9+16.3
21 South Sudan75271%82.466.1+16.3
22 Angola75271%86.971.9+15.0
23 Uruguay75271%85.073.1+11.9
24 Japan75271%86.475.4+11.0
25 Tunisia75271%72.766.7+6.0
26 Mali75271%80.175.6+4.6
27 Ukraine107370%81.974.6+7.3
28 New Zealand64267%93.278.8+14.3
29 Serbia64267%86.581.3+5.2
30 Montenegro64267%68.572.3-3.8
31 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
32 Guinea74357%72.366.7+5.6
33 Egypt74357%77.472.7+4.7
34 China74357%83.980.9+3.0
35 Nigeria74357%77.175.1+2.0
36 Qatar74357%76.775.6+1.1
37 Romania148657%76.976.6+0.3
38 Sweden74357%82.983.4-0.6
39 Finland74357%78.481.0-2.6
40 Hungary116555%81.376.6+4.6
41 Portugal63350%80.874.8+6.0
42 Lithuania63350%90.585.0+5.5
43 Greece63350%72.268.0+4.2
44 Switzerland168850%73.172.8+0.3
45 Georgia63350%80.882.8-2.0
46 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
47 Colombia63350%83.288.0-4.8
48 Czech Republic63350%81.386.2-4.8
49 Iceland63350%84.089.7-5.7
50 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
51 Netherlands115645%80.579.3+1.3
52 Estonia73443%82.381.1+1.1
53 Latvia73443%83.182.9+0.3
54 Bahamas73443%92.393.6-1.3
55 Saudi Arabia73443%77.078.9-1.9
56 Slovenia73443%82.984.7-1.9
57 Austria146843%83.084.9-1.9
58 Cape Verde73443%76.478.7-2.3
59 South Korea73443%77.480.1-2.7
60 Bosnia & Herzegovina62433%79.077.2+1.8
61 Philippines62433%77.579.5-2.0
62 Chile62433%72.277.2-5.0
63 Chinese Taipei62433%77.284.5-7.3
64 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
65 Syria62433%66.078.3-12.3
66 Jamaica62433%86.3102.8-16.5
67 Israel72529%80.683.3-2.7
68 Puerto Rico72529%87.491.7-4.3
69 Panama72529%74.487.3-12.9
70 D.R. Congo72529%66.685.0-18.4
71 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
72 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
73 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
74 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
75 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
76 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
77 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
78 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
79 Denmark102820%73.186.8-13.7
80 Venezuela61517%79.087.5-8.5
81 Great Britain61517%80.290.5-10.3
82 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
83 Belgium6060%71.880.0-8.2
84 Rwanda6060%66.285.7-19.5
85 Libya6060%66.586.7-20.2
86 Uganda6060%64.086.5-22.5
87 Cuba6060%66.789.8-23.2
88 Nicaragua4040%72.095.5-23.5
89 Madagascar6060%73.797.7-24.0
90 Iraq6060%69.393.8-24.5
91 India6060%60.886.2-25.3
92 Cyprus6060%60.299.0-38.8
93 Guam6060%65.2104.5-39.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mexico28262830112
Colombia2517232186
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