Mgzavrebi Tbilisi vs Rustavi Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 19 May 2016

Tip-off: 12:00

Final 82-77

23-19 16-23 18-14 25-21

Position#5

Record16-16

FormWLLWW

Points / game74.9

Allowed / game77.8

Mgzavrebi Tbilisi 🏆

Rustavi

Position#4

Record17-15

FormWLWWW

Points / game81.0

Allowed / game76.4

Superleague

Other2015-16

Meetings · Mgzavrebi Tbilisi v Rustavi

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mgzavrebi Tbilisi winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Rustavi winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mgzavrebi Tbilisi Georgia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Batumi RSU

63-80

-17

H23/03

Superleague

Dinamo Tbilisi

82-89

-7

H02/04

Superleague

Amra

89-83

H09/04

Superleague

Rustavi

79-76

A15/04

Superleague

Sokhumi

59-72

-13

A20/04

Superleague

Arena 76

97-83

+14

A27/04

Superleague

Amra

67-82

-15

A08/05

Superleague

Rustavi

68-94

-26

A09/05

Superleague

Arena 76

97-89

A14/05

Superleague

Amra

100-74

100

+26

H17/05

Superleague

12-25

19-13

18-22

14-20

19-22

16-24

27-16

20-27

15-18

31-19

27-19

16-27

22-23

23-14

14-17

20-22

6-16

11-16

16-19

26-21

26-27

25-9

26-23

20-24

18-19

14-27

18-16

17-20

14-22

11-18

19-31

24-23

28-24

24-24

20-22

25-19

21-23

28-16

24-11

27-24

162.3Avg total

80.1Scored

82.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (32)	74.9	77.8	152.7	-2.9	50%
Season at home (15)	76.4	77.9	154.3	-1.5	53%
Season away (17)	73.5	77.8	151.3	-4.2	47%
Last 10 (10)	80.1	82.2	162.3	-2.1	50%
Last 5 (5)	85.8	84.4	170.2	+1.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	72.0	78.5	150.5	-6.5	40%
vs Similar (4)	62.5	76.8	139.2	-14.2	0%
vs Weaker (11)	83.5	77.4	160.9	+6.2	82%

This opponent (Rustavi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Rustavi

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Dinamo Tbilisi

75-74

A23/03

Superleague

Kutaisi

95-91 OT

H01/04

Superleague

Batumi RSU

68-69

-1

H09/04

Superleague

Mgzavrebi Tbilisi

76-79

-3

H15/04

Superleague

Arena 76

103-81

103

+22

A23/04

Superleague

Amra

115-86

115

+29

H26/04

Superleague

Arena 76

94-101

101

-7

A08/05

Superleague

Mgzavrebi Tbilisi

94-68

+26

H09/05

Superleague

Amra

118-69

118

+49

H13/05

Superleague

Arena 76

105-87

105

+18

H16/05

Superleague

12-28

28-18

20-16

15-12

24-16

14-22

20-25

22-17

17-10

17-28

18-21

16-10

23-22

14-23

17-14

22-20

31-16

22-23

27-17

23-25

27-15

31-25

25-33

32-13

27-28

20-31

26-24

21-18

22-14

18-11

31-19

23-24

27-16

27-21

32-18

32-14

34-16

23-23

24-22

24-26

174.8Avg total

94.3Scored

80.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (32)	81.0	76.4	157.5	+4.6	53%
Season at home (17)	83.6	74.8	158.4	+8.8	59%
Season away (15)	78.1	78.3	156.5	-0.2	47%
Last 10 (10)	94.3	80.5	174.8	+13.8	70%
Last 5 (5)	105.2	82.2	187.4	+23.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (14)	73.0	76.6	149.6	-3.6	43%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	88.9	76.8	165.7	+12.2	62%

This opponent (Mgzavrebi Tbilisi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Mgzavrebi TbilisiRustavi

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	18.4	36.4	-0.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.5	18.7	36.2	-1.2	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.4	18.2	36.6	+0.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	21.9	40.0	-3.8	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	23.0	44.4	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	16.8	18.1	34.9	-1.3	40%	-
vs Similar (4)	14.8	16.0	30.8	-1.2	25%	-
vs Weaker (11)	20.7	19.8	40.5	+0.9	36%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	18.2	39.5	+3.1	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.0	16.3	37.3	+4.7	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.6	20.1	41.7	+1.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.4	18.1	42.5	+6.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.4	17.8	45.2	+9.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (14)	19.6	18.4	37.9	+1.2	64%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	22.8	18.1	40.9	+4.8	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	17.3	35.2	+0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.9	17.1	36.0	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.0	17.6	34.6	-0.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	18.0	38.2	+2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	18.8	39.2	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	17.1	16.3	33.4	+0.9	47%	-
vs Similar (4)	12.8	21.0	33.8	-8.2	0%	-
vs Weaker (11)	20.8	17.5	38.3	+3.4	55%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	20.7	39.0	-2.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.1	21.1	39.1	-3.0	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	20.3	38.8	-1.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	22.5	43.9	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	22.2	46.0	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (14)	16.8	20.8	37.6	-4.0	21%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	19.6	20.6	40.2	-1.1	44%	-

Mgzavrebi TbilisiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Batumi RSU

31-38

-7

H23/03

Superleague

Dinamo Tbilisi

35-46

-11

H02/04

Superleague

Amra

46-37

H09/04

Superleague

Rustavi

45-37

A15/04

Superleague

Sokhumi

17-32

-15

A20/04

Superleague

Arena 76

51-36

+15

A27/04

Superleague

Amra

32-46

-14

A08/05

Superleague

Rustavi

25-40

-15

A09/05

Superleague

Arena 76

52-48

A14/05

Superleague

Amra

49-39

+10

H17/05

Superleague

78.2Avg total

38.3Scored

39.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.9	35.8	71.6	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	36.4	35.8	72.2	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.4	35.8	71.1	-0.4	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.3	39.9	78.2	-1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	41.8	83.6	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	33.9	34.3	68.3	-0.4	53%	-
vs Similar (4)	27.5	37.0	64.5	-9.5	0%	-
vs Weaker (11)	41.5	37.3	78.8	+4.3	73%	-

This opponent (Rustavi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

RustaviLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Dinamo Tbilisi

40-46

-6

A23/03

Superleague

Kutaisi

38-38

H01/04

Superleague

Batumi RSU

34-38

-4

H09/04

Superleague

Mgzavrebi Tbilisi

37-45

-8

H15/04

Superleague

Arena 76

53-39

+14

A23/04

Superleague

Amra

58-40

+18

H26/04

Superleague

Arena 76

47-59

-12

A08/05

Superleague

Mgzavrebi Tbilisi

40-25

+15

H09/05

Superleague

Amra

54-37

+17

H13/05

Superleague

Arena 76

57-39

+18

H16/05

Superleague

86.4Avg total

45.8Scored

40.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	38.9	78.5	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.1	37.4	76.5	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.1	40.4	80.5	-0.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.8	40.6	86.4	+5.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	51.2	40.0	91.2	+11.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (14)	36.4	39.1	75.5	-2.8	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	42.4	38.7	81.1	+3.7	56%	-

This opponent (Mgzavrebi Tbilisi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	19.3	37.5	-1.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.9	18.9	37.8	-0.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.5	19.7	37.2	-2.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	19.6	40.5	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	20.6	42.0	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	16.2	21.2	37.4	-5.0	27%	-
vs Similar (4)	18.2	17.5	35.8	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (11)	20.7	17.5	38.2	+3.3	73%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	18.5	39.4	+2.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	19.9	41.3	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.4	17.1	37.5	+3.3	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.0	20.9	44.9	+3.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.6	23.2	50.8	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (14)	18.4	18.9	37.3	-0.6	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	23.2	18.1	41.2	+5.1	69%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	22.1	42.4	-1.7	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	22.7	43.1	-2.4	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.4	21.5	41.9	-1.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	22.7	43.6	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	22.0	44.6	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	20.7	21.6	42.3	-0.9	33%	-
vs Similar (4)	16.8	22.2	39.0	-5.5	0%	-
vs Weaker (11)	21.3	22.6	43.9	-1.4	36%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	19.0	39.5	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.3	17.1	40.4	+6.3	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	20.9	38.5	-3.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	17.9	40.9	+5.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.4	19.0	45.4	+7.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (14)	17.2	17.8	35.0	-0.6	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	23.4	20.0	43.4	+3.4	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.5	41.4	79.9	-2.9	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.2	41.6	80.9	-2.4	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.9	41.2	79.1	-3.3	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	42.3	84.1	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	42.6	86.6	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	36.9	42.8	79.7	-5.9	20%	-
vs Similar (4)	35.0	39.8	74.8	-4.8	25%	-
vs Weaker (11)	42.0	40.1	82.1	+1.9	45%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.4	37.4	78.9	+4.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.8	36.9	81.7	+7.9	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.1	37.9	76.0	+0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.0	38.8	85.8	+8.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	54.0	42.2	96.2	+11.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (14)	35.6	36.7	72.3	-1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	46.6	38.1	84.6	+8.5	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Mgzavrebi Tbilisi wins

Rustavi wins

Date	Game	Score
09/05/16	Rustavi v Mgzavrebi Tbilisi	94-68
15/04/16	Rustavi v Mgzavrebi Tbilisi	76-79
27/02/16	Mgzavrebi Tbilisi v Rustavi	63-84
26/12/15	Rustavi v Mgzavrebi Tbilisi	68-75
14/11/15	Mgzavrebi Tbilisi v Rustavi	76-85
28/04/15	Mgzavrebi Tbilisi v Rustavi	84-67
27/12/14	Rustavi v Mgzavrebi Tbilisi	78-74
01/02/14	Rustavi v Mgzavrebi Tbilisi	58-68
19/10/13	Mgzavrebi Tbilisi v Rustavi	76-50

Mgzavrebi Tbilisilast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/05/16	H	Amra	100-74
14/05/16	A	Arena 76	97-89
09/05/16	A	Rustavi	68-94
08/05/16	A	Amra	67-82
27/04/16	A	Arena 76	97-83
20/04/16	A	Sokhumi	59-72
15/04/16	A	Rustavi	79-76
09/04/16	H	Amra	89-83
02/04/16	H	Dinamo Tbilisi	82-89
23/03/16	H	Batumi RSU	63-80

Rustavilast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/05/16	H	Arena 76	105-87
13/05/16	H	Amra	118-69
09/05/16	H	Mgzavrebi Tbilisi	94-68
08/05/16	A	Arena 76	94-101
26/04/16	H	Amra	115-86
23/04/16	A	Arena 76	103-81
15/04/16	H	Mgzavrebi Tbilisi	76-79
09/04/16	H	Batumi RSU	68-69
01/04/16	H	Kutaisi	95-91 OT
23/03/16	A	Dinamo Tbilisi	75-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mgzavrebi Tbilisi

Superleague 2015-16

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWW	50%
Home	WLLWW	53%
Away	LWLLW	47%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	32	15	17
Win %	50%	53%	47%
Points / game	74.9	76.4	73.5
Allowed / game	77.8	77.9	77.8
Point differential	-2.9	-1.5	-4.2
Avg total	152.7	154.3	151.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	9%	13%	6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	82% (11)	80% (5)	83% (6)
Overtime %	6%	7%	6%

Rustavi

Superleague 2015-16

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	53%
Home	LWWWW	59%
Away	LWWWL	47%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	32	17	15
Win %	53%	59%	47%
Points / game	81.0	83.6	78.1
Allowed / game	76.4	74.8	78.3
Point differential	+4.6	+8.8	-0.2
Avg total	157.5	158.4	156.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	34%	41%	27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (6)	33% (3)	33% (3)
Overtime %	3%	6%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Kutaisi	35	23	12	66%	78.2	74.2	+4.0
2	Batumi RSU	33	21	12	64%	80.1	75.1	+4.9
3	Dinamo Tbilisi	34	21	13	62%	74.5	71.2	+3.3
4	Rustavi	32	17	15	53%	81.0	76.4	+4.6
5	Sokhumi	34	17	17	50%	76.6	73.6	+3.0
6	Mgzavrebi Tbilisi	32	16	16	50%	74.9	77.8	-2.9
7	Amra	32	11	21	34%	74.6	81.2	-6.5
8	Arena 76	32	6	26	19%	75.7	86.9	-11.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Mgzavrebi Tbilisi	23	16	18	25	82
Rustavi	19	23	14	21	77

← all games of the day

Mgzavrebi Tbilisi vs Rustavi Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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