Mgzavrebi Tbilisi vs Rustavi Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 19 Dec 2016

Tip-off: 12:00

Final 73-84

15-23 20-17 21-21 17-23

Position#5

Record1-10

FormLLLLL

Points / game70.6

Allowed / game82.5

Mgzavrebi Tbilisi

Rustavi 🏆

Position#4

Record7-4

FormWWLWL

Points / game78.8

Allowed / game78.5

SuperleagueRound 12

Other2016-17

Meetings · Mgzavrebi Tbilisi v Rustavi

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mgzavrebi Tbilisi winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Rustavi winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mgzavrebi Tbilisi Georgia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Amra

49-88

-39

H29/10

Superleague

Dinamo Tbilisi

53-80

-27

H05/11

Superleague

Rustavi

76-80

-4

A11/11

Superleague

Cactus Tbilisi

82-78

A16/11

Superleague

Kutaisi

72-76

-4

H20/11

Superleague

Sokhumi

68-82

-14

H26/11

Superleague

Batumi RSU

66-81

-15

A02/12

Superleague

Cactus Tbilisi

82-87

-5

H06/12

Superleague

Amra

70-87

-17

A10/12

Superleague

Dinamo Tbilisi

68-72

-4

A17/12

Superleague

8-17

13-28

15-20

13-23

11-19

16-18

10-24

16-19

12-20

18-20

26-17

20-23

17-23

18-22

29-17

18-16

13-19

23-10

17-21

19-26

18-19

13-23

10-20

27-20

16-17

13-22

19-21

18-21

19-12

18-23

15-25

30-27

20-15

17-21

12-26

21-25

12-19

19-19

20-17

17-17

149.7Avg total

68.6Scored

81.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	70.6	82.5	153.2	-11.9	9%
Season at home (6)	69.2	85.0	154.2	-15.8	0%
Season away (5)	72.4	79.6	152.0	-7.2	20%
Last 10 (10)	68.6	81.1	149.7	-12.5	10%
Last 5 (5)	70.8	81.8	152.6	-11.0	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	68.8	77.7	146.5	-8.8	25%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	72.9	85.5	158.4	-12.6	10%
vs Weaker (8)	92.8	79.6	172.4	+13.1	88%

This opponent (Rustavi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Rustavi

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Amra

82-68

+14

H22/10

Superleague

Kutaisi

77-88

-11

H28/10

Superleague

Batumi RSU

89-76

+13

H04/11

Superleague

Mgzavrebi Tbilisi

80-76

H11/11

Superleague

Dinamo Tbilisi

63-86

-23

A20/11

Superleague

Cactus Tbilisi

103-95 OT

103

A26/11

Superleague

Amra

74-68 OT

A06/12

Superleague

Kutaisi

67-91

-24

A09/12

Superleague

Sokhumi

86-78

H13/12

Superleague

Batumi RSU

68-71

-3

A16/12

Superleague

12-20

19-16

24-14

27-18

15-23

17-26

26-25

19-14

17-14

20-19

28-27

24-16

20-12

20-18

17-26

23-20

16-17

6-27

19-21

22-21

29-29

21-25

18-15

20-19

17-15

17-14

7-18

20-14

17-28

25-17

14-18

11-28

22-23

24-23

20-18

20-14

18-16

21-13

15-28

14-14

158.6Avg total

78.9Scored

79.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	78.8	78.5	157.4	+0.3	64%
Season at home (5)	82.8	77.2	160.0	+5.6	80%
Season away (6)	75.5	79.7	155.2	-4.2	50%
Last 10 (10)	78.9	79.7	158.6	-0.8	60%
Last 5 (5)	79.6	80.6	160.2	-1.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	69.0	88.3	157.3	-19.3	0%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	79.6	74.9	154.5	+4.7	73%
vs Weaker (12)	92.5	76.3	168.8	+16.2	67%

This opponent (Mgzavrebi Tbilisi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Mgzavrebi TbilisiRustavi

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.2	19.0	36.2	-1.8	28%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.4	19.6	36.0	-3.1	14%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	18.5	36.4	-0.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.6	18.0	32.6	-3.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	16.4	33.4	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	15.2	19.2	34.4	-3.9	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	16.6	17.8	34.4	-1.2	30%	-
vs Weaker (7)	21.4	20.4	41.9	+1.0	29%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	18.5	40.1	+3.1	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.3	17.1	38.4	+4.2	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.9	19.8	41.7	+2.2	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	19.7	38.0	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	22.2	42.8	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.0	22.7	38.7	-6.7	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	19.5	18.5	37.9	+1.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (12)	25.8	17.5	43.2	+8.2	83%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.6	18.8	36.4	-1.2	31%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.6	18.6	37.3	+0.0	43%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.7	18.9	35.6	-2.3	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.8	20.6	37.4	-3.8	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	21.6	37.6	-5.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	17.0	15.8	32.8	+1.2	42%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	15.2	23.0	38.2	-7.8	0%	-
vs Weaker (7)	22.1	17.9	40.0	+4.3	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	19.8	38.8	-0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.2	20.7	39.9	-1.5	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	18.9	37.8	-0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	19.8	38.8	-0.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	18.4	40.0	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.0	23.3	39.3	-7.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	19.3	19.3	38.5	+0.0	60%	-
vs Weaker (12)	19.4	19.5	38.9	-0.1	50%	-

Mgzavrebi TbilisiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Amra

21-45

-24

H29/10

Superleague

Dinamo Tbilisi

27-37

-10

H05/11

Superleague

Rustavi

30-40

-10

A11/11

Superleague

Cactus Tbilisi

35-45

-10

A16/11

Superleague

Kutaisi

36-29

H20/11

Superleague

Sokhumi

31-42

-11

H26/11

Superleague

Batumi RSU

29-39

-10

A02/12

Superleague

Cactus Tbilisi

37-35

H06/12

Superleague

Amra

37-36

A10/12

Superleague

Dinamo Tbilisi

31-38

-7

A17/12

Superleague

70.0Avg total

31.4Scored

38.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	34.8	37.8	72.6	-3.0	41%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	35.1	38.2	73.3	-3.1	36%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.6	37.4	72.0	-2.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	31.4	38.6	70.0	-7.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.0	38.0	71.0	-5.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	32.2	35.0	67.2	-2.8	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	31.8	40.8	72.6	-9.0	20%	-
vs Weaker (7)	43.6	38.3	81.9	+5.3	86%	-

This opponent (Rustavi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

RustaviLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Amra

31-36

-5

H22/10

Superleague

Kutaisi

32-49

-17

H28/10

Superleague

Batumi RSU

37-33

H04/11

Superleague

Mgzavrebi Tbilisi

40-30

+10

H11/11

Superleague

Dinamo Tbilisi

22-44

-22

A20/11

Superleague

Cactus Tbilisi

50-54

-4

A26/11

Superleague

Amra

34-29

A06/12

Superleague

Kutaisi

42-45

-3

A09/12

Superleague

Sokhumi

46-46

H13/12

Superleague

Batumi RSU

39-29

+10

A16/12

Superleague

76.8Avg total

37.3Scored

39.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.6	38.3	78.9	+2.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.5	37.8	78.3	+2.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.8	38.7	79.4	+2.1	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.3	39.5	76.8	-2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	40.6	82.8	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	32.0	46.0	78.0	-14.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	38.7	37.7	76.5	+1.0	47%	-
vs Weaker (12)	45.2	37.0	82.2	+8.2	75%	-

This opponent (Mgzavrebi Tbilisi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.7	19.7	38.4	-1.1	41%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.4	18.9	37.3	-0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	20.5	39.4	-1.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	20.8	38.1	-3.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	21.8	37.0	-6.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	16.0	20.8	36.8	-4.8	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.4	20.2	39.6	-0.8	40%	-
vs Weaker (7)	22.1	17.3	39.4	+4.9	71%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.7	40.4	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.9	21.1	43.9	+1.8	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	18.4	37.2	+0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	21.0	39.8	-2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.8	19.4	34.2	-4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.7	21.3	41.0	-1.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	18.8	19.9	38.7	-1.1	53%	-
vs Weaker (12)	23.3	18.9	42.2	+4.4	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.6	22.2	42.8	-1.7	34%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	23.1	44.0	-2.3	36%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	21.3	41.6	-1.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	21.7	41.6	-1.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	22.0	44.6	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	19.9	20.9	40.8	-1.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.8	23.0	43.8	-2.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (7)	21.3	23.3	44.6	-2.0	29%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	18.1	39.0	+2.9	73%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.6	16.6	40.1	+7.0	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.6	19.4	38.0	-0.8	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	17.8	37.8	+2.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	17.8	34.8	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.3	21.0	38.3	-3.7	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	19.2	15.6	34.8	+3.6	87%	-
vs Weaker (12)	24.0	20.4	44.4	+3.6	58%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.2	41.9	81.1	-2.7	38%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.2	42.1	81.3	-2.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.2	41.8	81.0	-2.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.2	42.5	79.7	-5.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	43.8	81.6	-6.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	35.9	41.7	77.6	-5.8	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	40.2	43.2	83.4	-3.0	40%	-
vs Weaker (7)	43.4	40.6	84.0	+2.9	43%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.6	37.7	79.4	+3.9	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	46.4	37.6	84.1	+8.8	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.4	37.8	75.2	-0.4	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.8	38.8	77.6	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.8	37.2	69.0	-5.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	37.0	42.3	79.3	-5.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	38.0	35.5	73.5	+2.5	67%	-
vs Weaker (12)	47.3	39.3	86.7	+8.0	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Mgzavrebi Tbilisi wins

Rustavi wins

Date	Game	Score
11/11/16	Rustavi v Mgzavrebi Tbilisi	80-76
19/05/16	Mgzavrebi Tbilisi v Rustavi	82-77
09/05/16	Rustavi v Mgzavrebi Tbilisi	94-68
15/04/16	Rustavi v Mgzavrebi Tbilisi	76-79
27/02/16	Mgzavrebi Tbilisi v Rustavi	63-84
26/12/15	Rustavi v Mgzavrebi Tbilisi	68-75
14/11/15	Mgzavrebi Tbilisi v Rustavi	76-85
28/04/15	Mgzavrebi Tbilisi v Rustavi	84-67
27/12/14	Rustavi v Mgzavrebi Tbilisi	78-74
01/02/14	Rustavi v Mgzavrebi Tbilisi	58-68

Mgzavrebi Tbilisilast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/12/16	A	Dinamo Tbilisi	68-72
10/12/16	A	Amra	70-87
06/12/16	H	Cactus Tbilisi	82-87
02/12/16	A	Batumi RSU	66-81
26/11/16	H	Sokhumi	68-82
20/11/16	H	Kutaisi	72-76
16/11/16	A	Cactus Tbilisi	82-78
11/11/16	A	Rustavi	76-80
05/11/16	H	Dinamo Tbilisi	53-80
29/10/16	H	Amra	49-88

Rustavilast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/12/16	A	Batumi RSU	68-71
13/12/16	H	Sokhumi	86-78
09/12/16	A	Kutaisi	67-91
06/12/16	A	Amra	74-68 OT
26/11/16	A	Cactus Tbilisi	103-95 OT
20/11/16	A	Dinamo Tbilisi	63-86
11/11/16	H	Mgzavrebi Tbilisi	80-76
04/11/16	H	Batumi RSU	89-76
28/10/16	H	Kutaisi	77-88
22/10/16	H	Amra	82-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mgzavrebi Tbilisi

Superleague 2016-17

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	9%
Home	LLLLL	0%
Away	LWLLL	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	6	5
Win %	9%	0%	20%
Points / game	70.6	69.2	72.4
Allowed / game	82.5	85.0	79.6
Point differential	-11.9	-15.8	-7.2
Avg total	153.2	154.2	152.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	20% (5)	0% (2)	33% (3)
Overtime %	9%	17%	0%

Rustavi

Superleague 2016-17

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	64%
Home	WLWWW	80%
Away	LWWLL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	5	6
Win %	64%	80%	50%
Points / game	78.8	82.8	75.5
Allowed / game	78.5	77.2	79.7
Point differential	+0.3	+5.6	-4.2
Avg total	157.4	160.0	155.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	27%	40%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	100% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	18%	0%	33%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Dinamo Tbilisi	12	12	0	100%	88.4	70.7	+17.8
2	Kutaisi	10	8	2	80%	82.7	76.3	+6.4
3	Rustavi	11	7	4	64%	78.8	78.5	+0.3
4	Batumi RSU	11	6	5	55%	77.6	74.5	+3.2
5	Cactus Tbilisi	12	5	7	42%	80.6	88.2	-7.6
6	Sokhumi	11	3	8	27%	83.4	89.9	-6.5
7	Amra	10	2	8	20%	67.6	69.7	-2.1
8	Mgzavrebi Tbilisi	11	1	10	9%	70.6	82.5	-11.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Mgzavrebi Tbilisi	15	20	21	17	73
Rustavi	23	17	21	23	84

← all games of the day

Mgzavrebi Tbilisi vs Rustavi Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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