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Miami (FL) vs Boston College Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 76-54
0-0 36-19 0-0 40-35
Position#38
Record22-6
FormWWWLW
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game70.6
Miami (FL) 🏆
USA
vs
Boston College
USA
Position#308
Record10-18
FormLLLLW
Points / game67.7
Allowed / game70.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Miami (FL) v Boston College
28 Feb 2026
MIAM76
BOST54
06 Mar 2024
MIAM57
BOST67
11 Jan 2023
MIAM88
BOST72
10 Mar 2022
MIAM71
BOST69
05 Mar 2021
MIAM80
BOST76
12 Feb 2020
MIAM85
BOST58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami (FL) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boston College winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami (FL)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida State
#167
L
63-65
63
65
-2
H21/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
W
85-76
85
76
+9
A24/01
NCAA
Stanford
#103
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H29/01
NCAA
California
#79
L
85-86
85
86
-1
H31/01
NCAA
Boston College
#308
W
74-68
74
68
+6
A07/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
W
75-66
75
66
+9
H11/02
NCAA
NC State
#128
W
77-76
77
76
+1
A14/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
W
67-66
67
66
+1
H18/02
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
83-86
83
86
-3
A21/02
NCAA
Florida State
#167
W
83-73
83
73
+10
A25/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
37-38
0-0
26-27
0-0
41-36
0-0
44-40
0-0
35-40
0-0
44-30
0-0
44-45
0-0
41-41
0-0
34-33
0-0
40-35
0-0
43-40
0-0
32-26
0-0
37-42
0-0
40-34
0-0
31-34
0-0
36-32
0-0
44-39
0-0
39-47
0-0
38-32
0-0
45-41
150.3Avg total
77.1Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)82.970.6153.5+12.379%
Season at home (17)86.968.8155.8+18.182%
Season away (11)76.773.4150.1+3.473%
Last 10 (10)77.173.2150.3+3.970%
Last 5 (5)77.073.4150.4+3.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)71.380.3151.7-9.033%
vs Similar (5)71.273.8145.0-2.640%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)86.369.4155.6+16.991%
This opponent (Boston College) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CollegeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pittsburgh
#282
W
65-62
65
62
+3
H22/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
L
64-68
64
68
-4
A24/01
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
66-73
66
73
-7
H31/01
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
49-67
49
67
-18
A04/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
68-74
68
74
-6
H07/02
NCAA
Stanford
#103
L
64-70
64
70
-6
H12/02
NCAA
California
#79
L
75-86
75
86
-11
H14/02
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
72-80
72
80
-8
A17/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
70-94
70
94
-24
A21/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
68-67
68
67
+1
H25/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
28-22
0-0
37-40
0-0
35-24
0-0
29-44
0-0
32-27
0-0
34-46
0-0
27-42
0-0
22-25
0-0
33-34
0-0
35-40
0-0
34-34
0-0
30-36
0-0
28-43
0-0
47-43
0-0
42-32
0-0
30-48
0-0
36-40
0-0
34-54
0-0
22-29
0-0
46-38
140.2Avg total
66.1Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)67.770.5138.2-2.836%
Season at home (19)69.668.3137.8+1.347%
Season away (9)63.875.2139.0-11.411%
Last 10 (10)66.174.1140.2-8.020%
Last 5 (5)69.879.4149.2-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)67.174.8141.9-7.619%
vs Similar (9)69.163.9133.0+5.267%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -7.0-7.0
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -7.0-7.0
Miami (FL)Boston College
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami (FL)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida State
#167
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H21/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A24/01
NCAA
Stanford
#103
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H29/01
NCAA
California
#79
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H31/01
NCAA
Boston College
#308
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A07/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H11/02
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A14/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H18/02
NCAA
Virginia
#19
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A21/02
NCAA
Florida State
#167
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A25/02
NCAA
76.3Avg total
38.4Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.836.075.8+3.857%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.936.478.3+5.656%-
Last 30 away (12)36.735.472.1+1.258%-
Last 10 (10)38.437.976.3+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)38.637.476.0+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)30.042.072.0-12.00%-
vs Similar (5)36.637.073.6-0.460%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)41.935.076.9+7.064%-
This opponent (Boston College) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CollegeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pittsburgh
#282
W
28-22
28
22
+6
H22/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
35-24
35
24
+11
A24/01
NCAA
Virginia
#19
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H31/01
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A04/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H07/02
NCAA
Stanford
#103
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H12/02
NCAA
California
#79
L
28-43
28
43
-15
H14/02
NCAA
Florida State
#167
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A17/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A21/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
L
22-29
22
29
-7
H25/02
NCAA
64.4Avg total
31.7Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.333.464.7-2.140%-
Last 30 at home (20)31.432.864.2-1.440%-
Last 30 away (10)31.134.665.7-3.540%-
Last 10 (10)31.732.764.4-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)32.435.668.0-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)31.335.566.8-4.129%-
vs Similar (9)31.128.659.7+2.667%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Miami (FL) wins
5
Boston College wins
DateGameScore
07/02/26Boston College v Miami (FL)68-74
01/01/25Boston College v Miami (FL)78-68
12/03/24Boston College v Miami (FL)81-65
07/03/24Miami (FL) v Boston College57-67
17/02/24Boston College v Miami (FL)85-77
12/01/23Miami (FL) v Boston College88-72
10/03/22Miami (FL) v Boston College71-69 OT
03/03/22Boston College v Miami (FL)70-81
05/03/21Miami (FL) v Boston College80-76
13/01/21Boston College v Miami (FL)84-62
Miami (FL)last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/26AFlorida State83-73
21/02/26AVirginia83-86
18/02/26HVirginia Tech67-66
14/02/26ANC State77-76
11/02/26HNorth Carolina75-66
07/02/26ABoston College74-68
31/01/26HCalifornia85-86
29/01/26HStanford79-70
24/01/26ASyracuse85-76
21/01/26HFlorida State63-65
Boston Collegelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/26HWake Forest68-67
21/02/26ASMU Mustangs70-94
17/02/26AFlorida State72-80
14/02/26HCalifornia75-86
12/02/26HStanford64-70
07/02/26HMiami (FL)68-74
04/02/26ADuke49-67
31/01/26HVirginia66-73
24/01/26ANotre Dame64-68
22/01/26HPittsburgh65-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami (FL)
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW79%
HomeLWLWW82%
AwayWWWLW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281711
Win %79%82%73%
Points / game82.986.976.7
Allowed / game70.668.873.4
Point differential+12.3+18.1+3.4
Avg total153.5155.8150.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%59%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)33% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Boston College
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW36%
HomeLLLLW47%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games28199
Win %36%47%11%
Points / game67.769.663.8
Allowed / game70.568.375.2
Point differential-2.8+1.3-11.4
Avg total138.2137.8139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%21%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)50% (6)33% (3)
Overtime %14%16%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2927293%82.862.5+20.3
2 Virginia3025583%80.369.3+11.0
3 Miami (FL)2822679%82.970.6+12.3
4 North Carolina2822679%80.670.8+9.9
5 Louisville2820871%86.472.0+14.4
6 Clemson2820871%74.565.6+8.9
7 California2820871%78.572.6+5.9
8 SMU Mustangs2819968%86.277.4+8.8
9 NC State29191066%84.275.1+9.1
10 Virginia Tech28181064%78.874.0+4.8
11 Stanford28171161%75.172.3+2.8
12 Syracuse28151354%75.673.4+2.2
13 Florida State29151452%79.777.6+2.1
14 Wake Forest28141450%78.876.9+2.0
15 Notre Dame29131645%74.574.9-0.4
16 Georgia Tech29111838%74.077.4-3.4
17 Pittsburgh28101836%69.971.8-1.8
18 Boston College28101836%67.770.5-2.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami (FL)03604076
Boston College01903554
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