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Michigan State vs Florida Atlantic Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 86-69
42-29 44-40
Position#17
Record9-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game67.4
vs
Position#162
Record7-5
FormLLWWW
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game76.8
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Florida Atlantic winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Niagara
#315
W
96-60
96
60
+36
H08/11
NCAA
Kansas
#114
L
69-77
69
77
-8
H12/11
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
W
86-72
86
72
+14
H16/11
NCAA
Samford
#61
W
83-75
83
75
+8
H20/11
NCAA
Colorado
#278
W
72-56
72
56
+16
H25/11
NCAA
Memphis
#15
L
63-71
63
71
-8
H26/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
W
94-91 OT
94
91
+3
A28/11
NCAA
Minnesota
#226
W
90-72
90
72
+18
A05/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#158
W
89-52
89
52
+37
H07/12
NCAA
Oakland
#220
W
77-58
77
58
+19
H18/12
NCAA
1H
2H
46-39
50-21
24-30
45-47
43-43
43-29
38-28
45-47
38-25
34-31
31-34
32-37
43-34
39-48
42-30
48-42
41-31
48-21
31-30
46-28
150.3Avg total
81.9Scored
68.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)81.867.4149.2+14.582%
Season at home (9)79.664.2143.8+15.378%
Season away (2)92.081.5173.5+10.5100%
Last 10 (10)81.968.4150.3+13.580%
Last 5 (5)82.668.8151.4+13.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)68.377.3145.7-9.00%
vs Similar (12)68.364.9133.2+3.467%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)79.265.5144.7+13.780%
This opponent (Florida Atlantic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida AtlanticUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCF Knights
#200
L
94-100
94
100
-6
A13/11
NCAA
Charleston
#47
L
116-119 OT
116
119
-3
A16/11
NCAA
Liberty
#19
W
77-74 OT
77
74
+3
A16/11
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#233
W
86-78
86
78
+8
H21/11
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
63-75
63
75
-12
H22/11
NCAA
Seton Hall
#349
L
61-63
61
63
-2
A24/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#153
L
78-80
78
80
-2
H30/11
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
88-77
88
77
+11
A04/12
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#133
W
85-63
85
63
+22
H11/12
NCAA
Texas State
#207
W
89-80
89
80
+9
H14/12
NCAA
1H
2H
36-46
58-54
47-49
50-48
39-42
28-25
34-39
52-39
28-32
35-43
22-34
39-29
52-40
26-40
40-39
48-38
37-31
48-32
43-40
46-40
164.6Avg total
83.7Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)86.176.8162.9+9.258%
Season at home (7)85.369.9155.1+15.471%
Season away (5)87.286.6173.8+0.640%
Last 10 (10)83.780.9164.6+2.850%
Last 5 (5)80.272.6152.8+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)70.074.5144.5-4.550%
vs Similar (12)85.078.2163.2+6.867%
vs Weaker (15)83.376.5159.7+6.867%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +5.3+5.31st half: -1.4-1.42nd half2nd half: +7.9+7.92nd half: +4.2+4.2
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +5.3+5.31st half: -1.4-1.42nd half2nd half: +7.9+7.92nd half: +4.2+4.2
Michigan StateFlorida Atlantic
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Niagara
#315
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H08/11
NCAA
Kansas
#114
L
24-30
24
30
-6
H12/11
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H16/11
NCAA
Samford
#61
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H20/11
NCAA
Colorado
#278
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H25/11
NCAA
Memphis
#15
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H26/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A28/11
NCAA
Minnesota
#226
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A05/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#158
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H07/12
NCAA
Oakland
#220
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H18/12
NCAA
70.1Avg total
37.7Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.132.567.5+2.660%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.431.766.1+2.861%-
Last 30 away (12)36.033.769.7+2.358%-
Last 10 (10)37.732.470.1+5.370%-
Last 5 (5)37.631.869.4+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.037.368.3-6.30%-
vs Similar (12)34.031.765.7+2.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)36.732.168.9+4.667%-
This opponent (Florida Atlantic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida AtlanticLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCF Knights
#200
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A13/11
NCAA
Charleston
#47
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A16/11
NCAA
Liberty
#19
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A16/11
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#233
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H21/11
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H22/11
NCAA
Seton Hall
#349
L
22-34
22
34
-12
A24/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#153
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H30/11
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A04/12
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#133
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H11/12
NCAA
Texas State
#207
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H14/12
NCAA
77.0Avg total
37.8Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.834.572.3+3.363%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.331.169.4+7.278%-
Last 30 away (12)37.139.676.7-2.542%-
Last 10 (10)37.839.277.0-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)38.836.875.6+2.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)33.537.070.5-3.50%-
vs Similar (12)39.836.376.1+3.467%-
vs Weaker (15)35.933.769.6+2.367%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Michigan State wins
0
Florida Atlantic wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/24HOakland77-58
07/12/24HNebraska89-52
05/12/24AMinnesota90-72
28/11/24ANorth Carolina94-91 OT
26/11/24HMemphis63-71
25/11/24HColorado72-56
20/11/24HSamford83-75
16/11/24HBowling Green86-72
12/11/24HKansas69-77
08/11/24HNiagara96-60
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/24HTexas State89-80
11/12/24HJacksonville Dolphins85-63
04/12/24AFlorida International88-77
30/11/24HFlorida Gulf Coast78-80
24/11/24ASeton Hall61-63
22/11/24HDrake63-75
21/11/24HOklahoma State86-78
16/11/24ALiberty77-74 OT
16/11/24ACharleston116-119 OT
13/11/24AUCF Knights94-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW82%
HomeWWLWW78%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1192
Win %82%78%100%
Points / game81.879.692.0
Allowed / game67.464.281.5
Point differential+14.5+15.3+10.5
Avg total149.2143.8173.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %9%0%50%
Florida Atlantic
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW58%
HomeWLLWW71%
AwayLLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %58%71%40%
Points / game86.185.387.2
Allowed / game76.869.986.6
Point differential+9.2+15.4+0.6
Avg total162.9155.1173.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%43%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %17%0%40%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UCLA1110191%78.856.8+22.0
2 Oregon1110191%79.067.5+11.5
3 Maryland1210283%87.860.7+27.1
4 Penn State1210283%88.467.1+21.3
5 Michigan State119282%81.867.4+14.5
6 Nebraska97278%80.070.3+9.7
7 Wisconsin129375%81.972.4+9.5
8 Indiana129375%78.870.1+8.8
9 Iowa118373%87.273.3+13.9
10 Michigan118373%81.067.6+13.4
11 Northwestern118373%72.864.2+8.6
12 Purdue118373%77.270.4+6.8
13 Illinois107370%84.064.6+19.4
14 Washington107370%72.769.7+3.0
15 USC128467%75.969.8+6.1
16 Ohio State117464%80.769.1+11.6
17 Rutgers127558%78.875.2+3.6
18 Minnesota116555%65.463.8+1.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Memphis129375%78.476.0+2.4
2 North Texas118373%68.557.5+11.0
3 Wichita State118373%76.974.1+2.8
4 East Carolina128467%77.169.4+7.7
5 Rice128467%70.767.2+3.4
6 Temple117464%77.372.4+4.9
7 Charlotte106460%72.470.7+1.7
8 Florida Atlantic127558%86.176.8+9.2
9 UTSA Roadrunners116555%81.077.3+3.7
10 UAB126650%85.676.8+8.8
11 Tulane136746%75.067.2+7.8
12 South Florida115645%75.577.6-2.2
13 Tulsa114736%74.277.0-2.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan State424486
Florida Atlantic294069
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