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Minnesota vs Michigan State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 72-90
30-42 42-48
Position#226
Record6-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game64.4
Allowed / game58.9
vs
Position#17
Record6-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game69.9
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Minnesota v Michigan State
04 Feb 2026
MINN76
MICH73
04 Dec 2024
MINN72
MICH90
06 Feb 2024
MINN59
MICH56
08 Dec 2021
MINN67
MICH75
28 Dec 2020
MINN81
MICH56
26 Jan 2020
MINN52
MICH70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Michigan State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinnesotaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#2
L
64-76
64
76
-12
A24/03
NIT
Oral Roberts
#343
W
80-57
80
57
+23
H07/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#101
W
68-64
68
64
+4
H09/11
NCAA
North Texas
#36
L
51-54
51
54
-3
H14/11
NCAA
Yale
#42
W
59-56
59
56
+3
H16/11
NCAA
Cleveland State
#95
W
58-47
58
47
+11
H20/11
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
W
68-65
68
65
+3
H26/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#147
L
66-68 OT
66
68
-2
H28/11
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A29/11
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#202
W
79-62
79
62
+17
H01/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
28-38
0-0
36-38
0-0
38-24
0-0
42-33
0-0
30-33
0-0
38-31
0-0
14-23
0-0
37-31
0-0
19-29
0-0
40-27
0-0
31-29
0-0
27-18
0-0
34-34
0-0
34-31
0-0
24-25
0-0
33-32
0-0
29-27
0-0
22-30
0-0
38-26
0-0
41-36
125.0Avg total
64.4Scored
60.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)64.458.9123.3+5.667%
Season at home (8)66.159.1125.2+7.075%
Season away (1)51.057.0108.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)64.460.6125.0+3.860%
Last 5 (5)64.459.8124.2+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)67.669.6137.1-2.043%
vs Similar (18)70.270.4140.7-0.250%
vs Weaker (4)68.571.2139.8-2.850%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mississippi St.
#130
W
69-51
69
51
+18
A21/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
69-85
69
85
-16
A23/03
NCAA
Monmouth
#299
W
81-57
81
57
+24
H05/11
NCAA
Niagara
#315
W
96-60
96
60
+36
H08/11
NCAA
Kansas
#114
L
69-77
69
77
-8
H12/11
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
W
86-72
86
72
+14
H16/11
NCAA
Samford
#61
W
83-75
83
75
+8
H20/11
NCAA
Colorado
#278
W
72-56
72
56
+16
H25/11
NCAA
Memphis
#15
L
63-71
63
71
-8
H26/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
W
94-91 OT
94
91
+3
A28/11
NCAA
1H
2H
31-24
38-27
31-40
38-45
38-27
43-30
46-39
50-21
24-30
45-47
43-43
43-29
38-28
45-47
38-25
34-31
31-34
32-37
43-34
39-48
147.7Avg total
78.2Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)80.569.9150.4+10.675%
Season at home (7)78.666.9145.4+11.771%
Season away (1)94.091.0185.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.269.5147.7+8.770%
Last 5 (5)79.673.0152.6+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)68.377.3145.7-9.00%
vs Similar (14)68.767.0135.7+1.757%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)78.866.3145.1+12.577%
This opponent (Minnesota) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -0.3-0.31st half: +3.9+3.92nd half2nd half: +4.3+4.32nd half: +4.5+4.5
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -0.3-0.31st half: +3.9+3.92nd half2nd half: +4.3+4.32nd half: +4.5+4.5
MinnesotaMichigan State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MinnesotaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#2
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A24/03
NIT
Oral Roberts
#343
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H07/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#101
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H09/11
NCAA
North Texas
#36
L
14-23
14
23
-9
H14/11
NCAA
Yale
#42
L
19-29
19
29
-10
H16/11
NCAA
Cleveland State
#95
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H20/11
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H26/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#147
L
24-25
24
25
-1
H28/11
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A29/11
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#202
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H01/12
NCAA
57.3Avg total
28.5Scored
28.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.634.165.7-2.527%-
Last 30 at home (17)29.131.060.1-1.924%-
Last 30 away (13)34.938.273.2-3.331%-
Last 10 (10)28.528.857.3-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)31.228.259.4+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)30.633.764.3-3.129%-
vs Similar (18)31.833.665.4-1.833%-
vs Weaker (4)31.536.267.8-4.80%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mississippi St.
#130
W
31-24
31
24
+7
A21/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A23/03
NCAA
Monmouth
#299
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H05/11
NCAA
Niagara
#315
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H08/11
NCAA
Kansas
#114
L
24-30
24
30
-6
H12/11
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H16/11
NCAA
Samford
#61
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H20/11
NCAA
Colorado
#278
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H25/11
NCAA
Memphis
#15
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H26/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A28/11
NCAA
68.7Avg total
36.3Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.133.168.2+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.231.566.7+3.859%-
Last 30 away (13)35.035.270.2-0.246%-
Last 10 (10)36.332.468.7+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)38.632.871.4+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.037.368.3-6.30%-
vs Similar (14)33.833.166.9+0.757%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)37.532.169.6+5.562%-
This opponent (Minnesota) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Minnesota wins
6
Michigan State wins
Minnesotalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/24HBethune-Cookman79-62
29/11/24AWake Forest51-57
28/11/24HWichita State66-68 OT
26/11/24HCentral Michigan68-65
20/11/24HCleveland State58-47
16/11/24HYale59-56
14/11/24HNorth Texas51-54
09/11/24HNebraska O.68-64
07/11/24HOral Roberts80-57
24/03/24AIndiana State64-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/24ANorth Carolina94-91 OT
26/11/24HMemphis63-71
25/11/24HColorado72-56
20/11/24HSamford83-75
16/11/24HBowling Green86-72
12/11/24HKansas69-77
08/11/24HNiagara96-60
05/11/24HMonmouth81-57
23/03/24ANorth Carolina69-85
21/03/24AMississippi St.69-51

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeWWWLW75%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games981
Win %67%75%0%
Points / game64.466.151.0
Allowed / game58.959.157.0
Point differential+5.6+7.0-6.0
Avg total123.3125.2108.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)60% (5)-
Overtime %11%12%0%
Michigan State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW75%
HomeLWWWL71%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games871
Win %75%71%100%
Points / game80.578.694.0
Allowed / game69.966.991.0
Point differential+10.6+11.7+3.0
Avg total150.4145.4185.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%57%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %12%0%100%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oregon880100%81.468.6+12.8
2 Maryland98189%86.358.7+27.7
3 Wisconsin98189%82.969.0+13.9
4 UCLA87188%78.253.1+25.1
5 Penn State87188%91.267.5+23.8
6 Michigan87188%79.160.6+18.5
7 Iowa87188%86.571.9+14.6
8 Purdue87188%78.868.1+10.6
9 Illinois76186%89.161.4+27.7
10 Nebraska76186%83.368.0+15.3
11 Michigan State86275%80.569.9+10.6
12 Indiana86275%80.870.9+9.9
13 Washington75271%70.067.1+2.9
14 Northwestern96367%73.364.4+8.9
15 Minnesota96367%64.458.9+5.6
16 Ohio State85362%82.566.2+16.2
17 Rutgers85362%81.475.0+6.4
18 USC85362%73.472.1+1.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Minnesota304272
Michigan State424890
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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