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Wisconsin vs Michigan State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 11 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 63-69
22-24 41-45
Position#38
Record24-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game66.5
Wisconsin
USA
vs
Michigan State 🏆
USA
Position#104
Record21-11
FormWLLWW
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game68.4
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Wisconsin v Michigan State
13 Feb 2026
WISC92
MICH71
26 Jan 2024
WISC81
MICH66
10 Jan 2023
WISC65
MICH69
11 Mar 2022
WISC63
MICH69
21 Jan 2022
WISC74
MICH86
01 Feb 2020
WISC64
MICH63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wisconsin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Michigan State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WisconsinUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois
#66
L
67-80
67
80
-13
A03/02
NCAA
Penn State
#234
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H05/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#104
W
70-62
70
62
+8
A09/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#157
L
65-73
65
73
-8
H12/02
NCAA
Indiana
#126
W
74-69
74
69
+5
A16/02
NCAA
Michigan
#159
W
77-63
77
63
+14
H20/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#245
W
68-67
68
67
+1
A24/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#157
W
66-61
66
61
+5
A26/02
NCAA
Purdue
#23
W
70-67
70
67
+3
H02/03
NCAA
Nebraska
#314
L
73-74
73
74
-1
H06/03
NCAA
1H
2H
38-42
29-38
18-13
33-36
29-23
41-39
35-38
30-35
32-31
42-38
31-31
46-32
38-36
30-31
33-24
33-37
33-28
37-39
36-40
37-34
134.6Avg total
68.1Scored
66.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)71.066.5137.4+4.580%
Season at home (17)72.665.8138.4+6.876%
Season away (13)68.867.3136.2+1.585%
Last 10 (10)68.166.5134.6+1.670%
Last 5 (5)70.866.4137.2+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)71.466.4137.8+5.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (16)70.669.0139.6+1.669%
vs Weaker (9)71.462.0133.4+9.489%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#38
L
62-70
62
70
-8
H09/02
NCAA
Indiana
#126
W
76-61
76
61
+15
H12/02
NCAA
Penn State
#234
L
58-62
58
62
-4
A15/02
NCAA
Illinois
#66
L
74-79
74
79
-5
H19/02
NCAA
Iowa
#48
L
60-86
60
86
-26
A23/02
NCAA
Purdue
#23
W
68-65
68
65
+3
H26/02
NCAA
Michigan
#159
L
70-87
70
87
-17
A02/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#114
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A04/03
NCAA
Maryland
#217
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H06/03
NCAA
Maryland
#217
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H10/03
NCAA
1H
2H
23-29
39-41
37-30
39-31
24-24
34-38
22-34
52-45
32-46
28-40
35-33
33-32
28-44
42-43
33-43
36-37
46-26
31-41
43-34
33-38
141.9Avg total
69.0Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)72.268.4140.7+3.866%
Season at home (20)73.866.7140.4+7.175%
Season away (12)69.871.3141.1-1.650%
Last 10 (10)69.072.9141.9-3.940%
Last 5 (5)72.074.2146.2-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)65.769.2134.8-3.567%
vs Similar ◀ (18)72.270.2142.4+2.156%
vs Weaker (6)75.763.0138.7+12.7100%
This opponent (Wisconsin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.7+1.71st half: -2.0-2.02nd half2nd half: -0.1-0.12nd half: -1.9-1.9
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.7+1.71st half: -2.0-2.02nd half2nd half: -0.1-0.12nd half: -1.9-1.9
WisconsinMichigan State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
WisconsinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois
#66
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A03/02
NCAA
Penn State
#234
W
18-13
18
13
+5
H05/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#104
W
29-23
29
23
+6
A09/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#157
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H12/02
NCAA
Indiana
#126
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A16/02
NCAA
Michigan
#159
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H20/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#245
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A24/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#157
W
33-24
33
24
+9
A26/02
NCAA
Purdue
#23
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H02/03
NCAA
Nebraska
#314
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H06/03
NCAA
62.9Avg total
32.3Scored
30.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.530.564.0+3.167%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.430.964.4+2.559%-
Last 30 away (13)33.729.863.5+3.877%-
Last 10 (10)32.330.662.9+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)34.231.866.0+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.427.061.4+7.480%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)32.033.265.2-1.250%-
vs Weaker (9)35.827.663.3+8.289%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#38
L
23-29
23
29
-6
H09/02
NCAA
Indiana
#126
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H12/02
NCAA
Penn State
#234
D
24-24
24
24
+0
A15/02
NCAA
Illinois
#66
L
22-34
22
34
-12
H19/02
NCAA
Iowa
#48
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A23/02
NCAA
Purdue
#23
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H26/02
NCAA
Michigan
#159
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A02/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#114
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A04/03
NCAA
Maryland
#217
W
46-26
46
26
+20
H06/03
NCAA
Maryland
#217
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H10/03
NCAA
66.6Avg total
32.3Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.531.966.4+2.657%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.831.166.9+4.767%-
Last 30 away (12)32.533.165.6-0.642%-
Last 10 (10)32.334.366.6-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)37.036.073.0+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)33.532.065.5+1.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)33.833.066.8+0.844%-
vs Weaker (6)37.528.566.0+9.0100%-
This opponent (Wisconsin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Wisconsin wins
2
Michigan State wins
DateGameScore
09/02/22Michigan State v Wisconsin62-70
22/01/22Wisconsin v Michigan State74-86
25/12/20Michigan State v Wisconsin76-85
01/02/20Wisconsin v Michigan State64-63
18/01/20Michigan State v Wisconsin67-55
Wisconsinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/22HNebraska73-74
02/03/22HPurdue70-67
26/02/22ARutgers66-61
24/02/22AMinnesota68-67
20/02/22HMichigan77-63
16/02/22AIndiana74-69
12/02/22HRutgers65-73
09/02/22AMichigan State70-62
05/02/22HPenn State51-49
03/02/22AIllinois67-80
Michigan Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/22HMaryland76-72
06/03/22HMaryland77-67
04/03/22AOhio State69-80
02/03/22AMichigan70-87
26/02/22HPurdue68-65
23/02/22AIowa60-86
19/02/22HIllinois74-79
15/02/22APenn State58-62
12/02/22HIndiana76-61
09/02/22HWisconsin62-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wisconsin
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL80%
HomeWLWWL76%
AwayLWWWW85%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301713
Win %80%76%85%
Points / game71.072.668.8
Allowed / game66.565.867.3
Point differential+4.5+6.8+1.5
Avg total137.4138.4136.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%35%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (14)71% (7)100% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Michigan State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW66%
HomeWLWWW75%
AwayLLLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games322012
Win %66%75%50%
Points / game72.273.869.8
Allowed / game68.466.771.3
Point differential+3.8+7.1-1.6
Avg total140.7140.4141.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%45%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)71% (7)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 USC3226681%73.065.8+7.2
2 Purdue3125681%80.768.8+12.0
3 UCLA3024680%76.664.4+12.3
4 Wisconsin3024680%71.066.5+4.5
5 Iowa3324973%84.271.3+12.9
6 Illinois3122971%75.867.6+8.1
7 Michigan State32211166%72.268.4+3.8
8 Ohio State30191163%73.868.5+5.3
9 Indiana32201262%71.365.5+5.8
10 Rutgers31181358%67.965.8+2.1
11 Oregon33191458%72.469.5+2.9
12 Michigan31171455%73.069.9+3.2
13 Washington32171553%70.672.2-1.6
14 Northwestern31151648%73.069.9+3.0
15 Maryland32151747%70.970.7+0.2
16 Penn State30141647%64.764.9-0.1
17 Minnesota30131743%67.069.2-2.2
18 Nebraska32102231%73.378.5-5.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Wisconsin224163
Michigan State244569
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