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Michigan State vs Maryland Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 21:30
Final 77-67
46-26 31-41
Position#104
Record19-11
FormLLWLL
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game68.3
vs
Position#217
Record15-15
FormWWLWW
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game70.3
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Michigan State v Maryland
24 Jan 2026
MICH91
MARY48
03 Feb 2024
MICH63
MARY54
07 Feb 2023
MICH63
MARY58
10 Mar 2022
MICH76
MARY72
06 Mar 2022
MICH77
MARY67
15 Feb 2020
MICH60
MARY67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Maryland winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maryland
#217
W
65-63
65
63
+2
A02/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#157
L
63-84
63
84
-21
A05/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#38
L
62-70
62
70
-8
H09/02
NCAA
Indiana
#126
W
76-61
76
61
+15
H12/02
NCAA
Penn State
#234
L
58-62
58
62
-4
A15/02
NCAA
Illinois
#66
L
74-79
74
79
-5
H19/02
NCAA
Iowa
#48
L
60-86
60
86
-26
A23/02
NCAA
Purdue
#23
W
68-65
68
65
+3
H26/02
NCAA
Michigan
#159
L
70-87
70
87
-17
A02/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#114
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A04/03
NCAA
1H
2H
35-25
30-38
38-40
25-44
23-29
39-41
37-30
39-31
24-24
34-38
22-34
52-45
32-46
28-40
35-33
33-32
28-44
42-43
33-43
36-37
140.2Avg total
66.5Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)72.068.3140.3+3.663%
Season at home (18)73.466.3139.8+7.172%
Season away (12)69.871.3141.1-1.650%
Last 10 (10)66.573.7140.2-7.230%
Last 5 (5)68.279.4147.6-11.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)66.971.7138.6-4.957%
vs Similar ◀ (16)71.770.2141.9+1.450%
vs Weaker (7)77.760.6138.3+17.1100%
This opponent (Maryland) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MarylandUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana
#126
L
55-68
55
68
-13
H29/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#104
L
63-65
63
65
-2
H02/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#114
L
67-82
67
82
-15
A06/02
NCAA
Iowa
#48
L
87-110
87
110
-23
H11/02
NCAA
Purdue
#23
L
61-62
61
62
-1
A13/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#314
W
90-74
90
74
+16
A19/02
NCAA
Penn State
#234
W
67-61
67
61
+6
H22/02
NCAA
Indiana
#126
L
64-74
64
74
-10
A25/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#114
W
75-60
75
60
+15
H27/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#245
W
84-73
84
73
+11
H03/03
NCAA
1H
2H
26-33
29-35
25-35
38-30
29-42
38-40
41-57
46-53
23-26
38-36
42-40
48-34
28-28
39-33
27-30
37-44
32-28
43-32
41-37
43-36
144.2Avg total
71.3Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)71.070.3141.4+0.750%
Season at home (20)69.967.6137.5+2.355%
Season away (10)73.375.8149.1-2.540%
Last 10 (10)71.372.9144.2-1.640%
Last 5 (5)76.068.4144.4+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)68.871.6140.4-2.838%
vs Similar ◀ (15)71.769.4141.1+2.353%
vs Weaker (2)80.569.0149.5+11.5100%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -4.1-4.11st half: -4.2-4.22nd half2nd half: -3.1-3.12nd half: +2.6+2.6
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -4.1-4.11st half: -4.2-4.22nd half2nd half: -3.1-3.12nd half: +2.6+2.6
Michigan StateMaryland
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maryland
#217
W
35-25
35
25
+10
A02/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#157
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A05/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#38
L
23-29
23
29
-6
H09/02
NCAA
Indiana
#126
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H12/02
NCAA
Penn State
#234
D
24-24
24
24
+0
A15/02
NCAA
Illinois
#66
L
22-34
22
34
-12
H19/02
NCAA
Iowa
#48
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A23/02
NCAA
Purdue
#23
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H26/02
NCAA
Michigan
#159
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A02/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#114
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A04/03
NCAA
65.5Avg total
30.7Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.132.066.2+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.231.366.6+3.961%-
Last 30 away (12)32.533.165.6-0.642%-
Last 10 (10)30.734.865.5-4.130%-
Last 5 (5)30.040.070.0-10.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)33.333.066.3+0.343%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)32.533.465.9-0.938%-
vs Weaker (7)38.728.066.7+10.7100%-
This opponent (Maryland) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MarylandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana
#126
L
26-33
26
33
-7
H29/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#104
L
25-35
25
35
-10
H02/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#114
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A06/02
NCAA
Iowa
#48
L
41-57
41
57
-16
H11/02
NCAA
Purdue
#23
L
23-26
23
26
-3
A13/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#314
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A19/02
NCAA
Penn State
#234
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H22/02
NCAA
Indiana
#126
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A25/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#114
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H27/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#245
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H03/03
NCAA
67.0Avg total
31.4Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.133.565.6-1.437%-
Last 30 at home (20)32.533.365.8-0.835%-
Last 30 away (10)31.434.065.4-2.640%-
Last 10 (10)31.435.667.0-4.230%-
Last 5 (5)34.032.666.6+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)32.134.566.5-2.438%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)31.732.564.2-0.933%-
vs Weaker (2)35.535.070.5+0.550%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Michigan State wins
3
Maryland wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/22AOhio State69-80
02/03/22AMichigan70-87
26/02/22HPurdue68-65
23/02/22AIowa60-86
19/02/22HIllinois74-79
15/02/22APenn State58-62
12/02/22HIndiana76-61
09/02/22HWisconsin62-70
05/02/22ARutgers63-84
02/02/22AMaryland65-63
Marylandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/22HMinnesota84-73
27/02/22HOhio State75-60
25/02/22AIndiana64-74
22/02/22HPenn State67-61
19/02/22ANebraska90-74
13/02/22APurdue61-62
11/02/22HIowa87-110
06/02/22AOhio State67-82
02/02/22HMichigan State63-65
29/01/22HIndiana55-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL63%
HomeWLWLW72%
AwayLLLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301812
Win %63%72%50%
Points / game72.073.469.8
Allowed / game68.366.371.3
Point differential+3.6+7.1-1.6
Avg total140.3139.8141.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%44%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)67% (6)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Maryland
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW50%
HomeLLWWW55%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games302010
Win %50%55%40%
Points / game71.069.973.3
Allowed / game70.367.675.8
Point differential+0.7+2.3-2.5
Avg total141.4137.5149.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%35%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)33% (6)0% (2)
Overtime %3%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue3125681%80.768.8+12.0
2 USC3125681%73.366.0+7.3
3 Wisconsin3024680%71.066.5+4.5
4 UCLA2923679%76.764.3+12.3
5 Iowa3022873%83.670.9+12.7
6 Illinois2921872%76.367.6+8.7
7 Ohio State29191066%74.068.4+5.6
8 Michigan State30191163%72.068.3+3.6
9 Indiana30181260%71.465.5+6.0
10 Rutgers30181260%67.765.2+2.5
11 Oregon31181358%72.169.1+3.0
12 Michigan30171357%73.269.7+3.4
13 Washington30161453%70.672.6-2.0
14 Maryland30151550%71.070.3+0.7
15 Northwestern28131546%72.968.8+4.1
16 Minnesota28131546%67.869.3-1.6
17 Penn State28121643%64.765.2-0.6
18 Nebraska31102132%73.478.8-5.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan State463177
Maryland264167
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