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Michigan State vs Stony Brook Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 99-55
48-12 51-43
Position#154
Record6-5
FormWLLWW
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game64.5
vs
Position#155
Record6-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game71.5
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stony Brook winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Indiana
#346
W
74-51
74
51
+23
H10/11
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
65-74
65
74
-9
H15/11
NCAA
Butler
#164
W
74-54
74
54
+20
H17/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#268
W
81-49
81
49
+32
H19/11
NCAA
Arizona
#31
L
68-74
68
74
-6
H23/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
W
86-55
86
55
+31
H28/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
57-70
57
70
-13
H06/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
L
70-77
70
77
-7
A10/12
NCAA
Baylor
#58
W
88-64
88
64
+24
H16/12
NCAA
Oakland
#76
W
79-62
79
62
+17
H19/12
NCAA
1H
2H
37-14
37-37
20-31
45-43
37-25
37-29
44-16
37-33
30-40
38-34
38-11
48-44
23-34
34-36
34-31
36-46
45-17
43-47
30-22
49-40
137.2Avg total
74.2Scored
63.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)74.464.5138.8+9.955%
Season at home (10)74.863.2138.0+11.660%
Season away (1)70.077.0147.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)74.263.0137.2+11.260%
Last 5 (5)76.065.6141.6+10.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)65.969.0134.9-3.122%
vs Similar (17)74.170.6144.7+3.459%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)80.255.5135.8+24.8100%
This opponent (Stony Brook) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stony BrookUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Joseph's (Brooklyn)
#621
W
91-50
91
50
+41
H10/11
NCAA
Duquesne
#68
L
63-85
63
85
-22
A14/11
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
L
63-84
63
84
-21
A16/11
NCAA
Rider
#237
W
55-48
55
48
+7
H20/11
NCAA
Yale
#51
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A30/11
NCAA
Wagner
#193
L
59-60
59
60
-1
H02/12
NCAA
Stonehill
#363
W
81-63
81
63
+18
H06/12
NCAA
Bryant University
#126
W
86-75
86
75
+11
H09/12
NCAA
Norfolk State
#72
W
84-78
84
78
+6
H13/12
NCAA
Army
#324
W
78-74 OT
78
74
+4
A17/12
NCAA
1H
2H
41-25
50-25
26-35
37-50
28-36
35-48
34-25
21-23
35-41
36-38
34-21
25-39
43-28
38-35
31-36
55-39
35-39
49-39
36-36
25-25
142.7Avg total
73.1Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)73.271.5144.6+1.755%
Season at home (6)76.062.3138.3+13.783%
Season away (5)69.882.4152.2-12.620%
Last 10 (10)73.169.6142.7+3.560%
Last 5 (5)77.670.0147.6+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)63.275.8139.0-12.715%
vs Similar (12)67.067.2134.2-0.250%
vs Weaker (5)74.260.8135.0+13.480%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.7+9.71st half: +2.1+2.12nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: +1.0+1.0
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.7+9.71st half: +2.1+2.12nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: +1.0+1.0
Michigan StateStony Brook
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Indiana
#346
W
37-14
37
14
+23
H10/11
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
20-31
20
31
-11
H15/11
NCAA
Butler
#164
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H17/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#268
W
44-16
44
16
+28
H19/11
NCAA
Arizona
#31
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H23/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
W
38-11
38
11
+27
H28/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
23-34
23
34
-11
H06/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A10/12
NCAA
Baylor
#58
W
45-17
45
17
+28
H16/12
NCAA
Oakland
#76
W
30-22
30
22
+8
H19/12
NCAA
57.9Avg total
33.8Scored
24.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.729.161.8+3.560%-
Last 30 at home (18)33.126.960.0+6.161%-
Last 30 away (12)32.132.464.5-0.358%-
Last 10 (10)33.824.157.9+9.770%-
Last 5 (5)34.023.057.0+11.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)29.031.760.7-2.744%-
vs Similar (17)33.830.063.8+3.865%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)36.219.856.0+16.575%-
This opponent (Stony Brook) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stony BrookLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Joseph's (Brooklyn)
#621
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H10/11
NCAA
Duquesne
#68
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A14/11
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A16/11
NCAA
Rider
#237
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H20/11
NCAA
Yale
#51
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A30/11
NCAA
Wagner
#193
W
34-21
34
21
+13
H02/12
NCAA
Stonehill
#363
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H06/12
NCAA
Bryant University
#126
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H09/12
NCAA
Norfolk State
#72
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H13/12
NCAA
Army
#324
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A17/12
NCAA
66.5Avg total
34.3Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.433.163.5-2.733%-
Last 30 at home (15)30.929.260.1+1.753%-
Last 30 away (15)29.937.166.9-7.213%-
Last 10 (10)34.332.266.5+2.140%-
Last 5 (5)35.832.067.8+3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)28.235.763.8-7.58%-
vs Similar (12)30.232.362.5-2.250%-
vs Weaker (5)36.828.465.2+8.460%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Michigan State wins
0
Stony Brook wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/23HOakland79-62
16/12/23HBaylor88-64
10/12/23ANebraska70-77
06/12/23HWisconsin57-70
28/11/23HGeorgia Southern86-55
23/11/23HArizona68-74
19/11/23HAlcorn State81-49
17/11/23HButler74-54
15/11/23HDuke65-74
10/11/23HSouthern Indiana74-51
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/23AArmy78-74 OT
13/12/23HNorfolk State84-78
09/12/23HBryant University86-75
06/12/23HStonehill81-63
02/12/23HWagner59-60
30/11/23AYale71-79
20/11/23HRider55-48
16/11/23ANebraska63-84
14/11/23ADuquesne63-85
10/11/23HSt. Joseph's (Brooklyn)91-50

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW55%
HomeLWLWW60%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11101
Win %55%60%0%
Points / game74.474.870.0
Allowed / game64.563.277.0
Point differential+9.9+11.6-7.0
Avg total138.8138.0147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %9%10%0%
Stony Brook
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW55%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %55%83%20%
Points / game73.276.069.8
Allowed / game71.562.382.4
Point differential+1.7+13.7-12.6
Avg total144.6138.3152.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %9%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue1110191%86.270.5+15.7
2 Ohio State1210283%79.464.1+15.3
3 Nebraska1210283%76.565.8+10.8
4 Northwestern119282%72.863.1+9.7
5 Illinois108280%79.464.2+15.2
6 Minnesota118373%80.567.0+13.5
7 Wisconsin118373%73.666.0+7.6
8 Indiana118373%73.572.8+0.7
9 Washington107370%84.075.3+8.7
10 Rutgers107370%69.160.9+8.2
11 Oregon107370%78.571.0+7.5
12 Maryland117464%73.464.6+8.7
13 Iowa127558%86.677.7+8.9
14 Michigan State116555%74.464.5+9.9
15 USC116555%78.573.1+5.5
16 UCLA105550%68.561.3+7.2
17 Michigan126650%83.878.4+5.3
18 Penn State115645%76.872.4+4.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Coastal Athletic Association conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NC Wilmington108280%86.170.8+15.3
2 Hofstra117464%78.769.7+9.0
3 Charleston117464%76.075.3+0.7
4 Drexel127558%69.260.2+9.0
5 Elon116555%83.877.3+6.5
6 Stony Brook116555%73.271.5+1.7
7 Monmouth137654%70.575.1-4.5
8 Campbell126650%67.862.8+5.1
9 William & Mary115645%79.374.0+5.3
10 Towson115645%65.568.3-2.8
11 Northeastern125742%72.973.9-1.0
12 Hampton124833%80.475.2+5.2
13 N. Carolina A&T1221017%69.384.6-15.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan State485199
Stony Brook124355
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