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Michigan State vs Wisconsin Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 57-70
23-34 34-36
Position#154
Record4-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game62.3
vs
Position#117
Record6-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game63.9
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Michigan State v Wisconsin
15 Mar 2025
MICH74
WISC77
02 Mar 2025
MICH71
WISC62
05 Dec 2023
MICH57
WISC70
08 Feb 2022
MICH62
WISC70
25 Dec 2020
MICH76
WISC85
17 Jan 2020
MICH67
WISC55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wisconsin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
USC
#73
W
72-62
72
62
+10
H17/03
NCAA
Marquette
#15
W
69-60
69
60
+9
A19/03
NCAA
Kansas State
#51
L
93-98 OT
93
98
-5
A23/03
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
76-79 OT
76
79
-3
H07/11
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#346
W
74-51
74
51
+23
H10/11
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
65-74
65
74
-9
H15/11
NCAA
Butler
#164
W
74-54
74
54
+20
H17/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#268
W
81-49
81
49
+32
H19/11
NCAA
Arizona
#31
L
68-74
68
74
-6
H23/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
W
86-55
86
55
+31
H28/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-34
38-28
33-28
36-32
38-43
44-39
33-37
35-31
37-14
37-37
20-31
45-43
37-25
37-29
44-16
37-33
30-40
38-34
38-11
48-44
141.4Avg total
75.8Scored
65.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)74.962.3137.1+12.657%
Season at home (7)74.962.3137.1+12.657%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.865.6141.4+10.260%
Last 5 (5)74.861.2136.0+13.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)65.969.0134.9-3.122%
vs Similar ◀ (15)74.269.9144.1+4.367%
vs Weaker (6)77.055.3132.3+21.7100%
This opponent (Wisconsin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WisconsinUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oregon
#5
W
61-58
61
58
+3
A22/03
NIT
North Texas
#1
L
54-56
54
56
-2
A28/03
NIT
Arkansas State
#186
W
105-76
105
76
+29
H07/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
L
70-80
70
80
-10
H11/11
NCAA
Providence
#114
L
59-72
59
72
-13
A14/11
NCAA
Robert Morris
#323
W
78-68
78
68
+10
H18/11
NCAA
Virginia
#66
W
65-41
65
41
+24
H20/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#99
W
69-61
69
61
+8
H23/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#92
W
71-49
71
49
+22
H28/11
NCAA
Marquette
#36
W
75-64
75
64
+11
H02/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
27-26
0-0
34-32
0-0
41-29
0-0
13-27
0-0
56-41
0-0
49-35
0-0
35-43
0-0
35-37
0-0
21-37
0-0
38-35
0-0
37-35
0-0
41-33
0-0
28-18
0-0
37-23
0-0
24-32
0-0
45-29
0-0
35-19
0-0
36-30
0-0
46-33
0-0
29-31
133.2Avg total
70.7Scored
62.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)74.063.9137.9+10.175%
Season at home (7)76.162.7138.9+13.486%
Season away (1)59.072.0131.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)70.762.5133.2+8.270%
Last 5 (5)71.656.6128.2+15.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)58.764.3123.0-5.620%
vs Similar ◀ (16)68.464.4132.8+4.056%
vs Weaker (3)74.768.7143.3+6.0100%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.5+6.51st half: +3.7+3.72nd half2nd half: +4.5+4.52nd half: +4.5+4.5
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.5+6.51st half: +3.7+3.72nd half2nd half: +4.5+4.52nd half: +4.5+4.5
Michigan StateWisconsin
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
USC
#73
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H17/03
NCAA
Marquette
#15
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A19/03
NCAA
Kansas State
#51
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A23/03
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H07/11
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#346
W
37-14
37
14
+23
H10/11
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
20-31
20
31
-11
H15/11
NCAA
Butler
#164
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H17/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#268
W
44-16
44
16
+28
H19/11
NCAA
Arizona
#31
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H23/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
W
38-11
38
11
+27
H28/11
NCAA
62.3Avg total
34.4Scored
27.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.828.661.4+4.263%-
Last 30 at home (19)33.326.459.7+6.968%-
Last 30 away (11)31.932.564.5-0.655%-
Last 10 (10)34.427.962.3+6.550%-
Last 5 (5)33.824.658.4+9.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)29.031.760.7-2.744%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)34.030.364.3+3.767%-
vs Weaker (6)35.520.055.5+15.583%-
This opponent (Wisconsin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WisconsinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oregon
#5
W
27-26
27
26
+1
A22/03
NIT
North Texas
#1
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A28/03
NIT
Arkansas State
#186
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H07/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H11/11
NCAA
Providence
#114
L
21-37
21
37
-16
A14/11
NCAA
Robert Morris
#323
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H18/11
NCAA
Virginia
#66
W
28-18
28
18
+10
H20/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#99
L
24-32
24
32
-8
H23/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#92
W
35-19
35
19
+16
H28/11
NCAA
Marquette
#36
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H02/12
NCAA
66.3Avg total
35.0Scored
31.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.130.861.9+0.343%-
Last 30 at home (18)31.931.463.4+0.544%-
Last 30 away (12)29.929.859.8+0.142%-
Last 10 (10)35.031.366.3+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)34.027.461.4+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)28.229.457.6-1.230%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)31.830.662.4+1.244%-
vs Weaker (3)34.335.069.3-0.767%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Michigan State wins
3
Wisconsin wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/23HGeorgia Southern86-55
23/11/23HArizona68-74
19/11/23HAlcorn State81-49
17/11/23HButler74-54
15/11/23HDuke65-74
10/11/23HSouthern Indiana74-51
07/11/23HJames Madison76-79 OT
23/03/23AKansas State93-98 OT
19/03/23AMarquette69-60
17/03/23HUSC72-62
Wisconsinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/23HMarquette75-64
28/11/23HWestern Illinois71-49
23/11/23HSMU Mustangs69-61
20/11/23HVirginia65-41
18/11/23HRobert Morris78-68
14/11/23AProvidence59-72
11/11/23HTennessee70-80
07/11/23HArkansas State105-76
28/03/23ANorth Texas54-56
22/03/23AOregon61-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW57%
HomeLWWLW57%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games77-
Win %57%57%-
Points / game74.974.9-
Allowed / game62.362.3-
Point differential+12.6+12.6-
Avg total137.1137.1-
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%57%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %14%14%-
Wisconsin
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW75%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games871
Win %75%86%0%
Points / game74.076.159.0
Allowed / game63.962.772.0
Point differential+10.1+13.4-13.0
Avg total137.9138.9131.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%71%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue98189%84.967.2+17.7
2 Illinois87188%80.162.4+17.8
3 Ohio State87188%80.565.8+14.8
4 Nebraska87188%78.965.2+13.6
5 Northwestern76186%73.766.9+6.9
6 Indiana76186%73.668.4+5.1
7 Wisconsin86275%74.063.9+10.1
8 UCLA75271%71.057.9+13.1
9 Rutgers75271%68.758.4+10.3
10 Oregon75271%82.174.7+7.4
11 Iowa85362%87.977.1+10.8
12 Minnesota85362%79.068.8+10.2
13 USC85362%78.971.2+7.6
14 Michigan State74357%74.962.3+12.6
15 Washington74357%82.474.3+8.1
16 Penn State84450%75.869.1+6.6
17 Michigan84450%82.076.4+5.6
18 Maryland84450%68.563.0+5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan State233457
Wisconsin343670
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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