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Sam Houston St. vs Middle Tenn. St. Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 19 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 78-70
44-32 34-38
Position#69
Record17-8
FormWWWLW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game74.0
Sam Houston St. 🏆
USA
vs
Middle Tenn. St.
USA
Position#179
Record12-13
FormLLLWL
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game72.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Sam Houston St. v Middle Tenn. St.
18 Feb 2026
SAM 78
MIDD70
23 Jan 2025
SAM 75
MIDD77
02 Mar 2024
SAM 81
MIDD64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sam Houston St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Middle Tenn. St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sam Houston St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liberty
#26
L
74-82
74
82
-8
H10/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
W
77-62
77
62
+15
A15/01
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
76-63
76
63
+13
A17/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
93-87
93
87
+6
H22/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
73-58
73
58
+15
H24/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
80-71
80
71
+9
A29/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
83-67
83
67
+16
H01/02
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
70-66
70
66
+4
H05/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
78-87
78
87
-9
A07/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
83-79
83
79
+4
A14/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-34
41-48
34-22
43-40
34-35
42-28
43-39
50-48
38-21
35-37
38-33
42-38
34-32
49-35
36-33
34-33
38-37
40-50
45-42
38-37
150.9Avg total
78.7Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)83.074.0156.9+9.068%
Season at home (10)86.066.0152.0+20.090%
Season away (15)80.979.3160.2+1.753%
Last 10 (10)78.772.2150.9+6.580%
Last 5 (5)78.874.0152.8+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.777.7148.3-7.033%
vs Similar (11)81.078.7159.7+2.364%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)81.274.0155.2+7.264%
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Middle Tenn. St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico State
#178
W
59-55
59
55
+4
A11/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
58-59
58
59
-1
A15/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
90-87 OT
90
87
+3
H17/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
L
58-75
58
75
-17
A24/01
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
65-81
65
81
-16
H30/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
60-65
60
65
-5
H31/01
NCAA
Florida International
#232
L
84-88 OT
84
88
-4
H05/02
NCAA
Delaware
#326
L
88-89 OT
88
89
-1
A07/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
90-87
90
87
+3
A12/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
80-82
80
82
-2
A15/02
NCAA
1H
2H
29-29
30-26
40-21
18-38
38-36
30-32
34-39
24-36
29-43
36-38
23-30
37-35
38-39
37-36
43-41
36-38
45-49
45-38
37-42
43-40
150.0Avg total
73.2Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)75.472.9148.4+2.548%
Season at home (14)79.571.0150.5+8.564%
Season away (11)70.375.4145.6-5.127%
Last 10 (10)73.276.8150.0-3.630%
Last 5 (5)80.482.2162.6-1.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)69.679.0148.6-9.430%
vs Similar (12)74.071.2145.2+2.850%
vs Weaker (6)88.767.8156.5+20.867%
This opponent (Sam Houston St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.5+4.51st half: -1.3-1.32nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: -2.1-2.1
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.5+4.51st half: -1.3-1.32nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: -2.1-2.1
Sam Houston St.Middle Tenn. St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Sam Houston St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liberty
#26
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H10/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
W
34-22
34
22
+12
A15/01
NCAA
Florida International
#232
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A17/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H22/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
38-21
38
21
+17
H24/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A29/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H01/02
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H05/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A07/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A14/02
NCAA
70.1Avg total
37.3Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.534.773.2+3.863%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.931.771.6+8.277%-
Last 30 away (17)37.437.074.4+0.453%-
Last 10 (10)37.332.870.1+4.580%-
Last 5 (5)38.235.473.6+2.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)35.337.773.0-2.333%-
vs Similar (11)37.336.874.1+0.555%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)39.433.673.0+5.971%-
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Middle Tenn. St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico State
#178
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A11/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
40-21
40
21
+19
A15/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H17/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A24/01
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H30/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
23-30
23
30
-7
H31/01
NCAA
Florida International
#232
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H05/02
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A07/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A12/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A15/02
NCAA
72.5Avg total
35.6Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.434.371.7+3.047%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.134.072.1+4.150%-
Last 30 away (12)36.234.871.1+1.442%-
Last 10 (10)35.636.972.5-1.330%-
Last 5 (5)37.240.277.4-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)34.938.072.9-3.120%-
vs Similar (12)35.733.168.8+2.642%-
vs Weaker (6)44.329.273.5+15.2100%-
This opponent (Sam Houston St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Sam Houston St. wins
3
Middle Tenn. St. wins
DateGameScore
04/01/26Middle Tenn. St. v Sam Houston St.68-67
22/02/25Middle Tenn. St. v Sam Houston St.74-70
24/01/25Sam Houston St. v Middle Tenn. St.75-77
03/03/24Sam Houston St. v Middle Tenn. St.81-64
13/01/24Middle Tenn. St. v Sam Houston St.51-60
Sam Houston St.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26AKennesaw State83-79
07/02/26ALouisiana Tech78-87
05/02/26HUTEP70-66
01/02/26HLouisiana Tech83-67
29/01/26AMissouri State80-71
24/01/26HWestern Kentucky73-58
22/01/26HKennesaw State93-87
17/01/26AFlorida International76-63
15/01/26AJacksonville State77-62
10/01/26HLiberty74-82
Middle Tenn. St.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/26AWestern Kentucky80-82
12/02/26AKennesaw State90-87
07/02/26ADelaware88-89 OT
05/02/26HFlorida International84-88 OT
31/01/26HWestern Kentucky60-65
30/01/26HLiberty65-81
24/01/26AJacksonville State58-75
17/01/26HMissouri State90-87 OT
15/01/26ALouisiana Tech58-59
11/01/26ANew Mexico State59-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sam Houston St.
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW68%
HomeLWWWW90%
AwayWWWLW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251015
Win %68%90%53%
Points / game83.086.080.9
Allowed / game74.066.079.3
Point differential+9.0+20.0+1.7
Avg total156.9152.0160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%60%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Middle Tenn. St.
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL48%
HomeWWLLL64%
AwayLLLWL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251411
Win %48%64%27%
Points / game75.479.570.3
Allowed / game72.971.075.4
Point differential+2.5+8.5-5.1
Avg total148.4150.5145.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%36%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)67% (6)43% (7)
Overtime %16%14%18%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty2522388%78.967.7+11.2
2 Sam Houston St.2517868%83.074.0+9.0
3 Western Kentucky26151158%77.975.1+2.8
4 Kennesaw State25141156%85.176.8+8.3
5 Louisiana Tech25141156%69.264.5+4.7
6 Jacksonville State25131252%72.666.9+5.8
7 New Mexico State25131252%75.971.0+4.9
8 Missouri State25131252%75.173.0+2.2
9 Florida International25121348%81.677.8+3.8
10 Middle Tenn. St.25121348%75.472.9+2.5
11 UTEP26101638%69.871.8-2.0
12 Delaware2691735%67.772.5-4.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Sam Houston St.443478
Middle Tenn. St.323870
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