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Middle Tenn. St. vs Montana State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 72-71
33-32 39-39
Position#143
Record4-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game69.7
Allowed / game61.0
vs
Position#54
Record3-4
FormLWWLL
Points / game68.7
Allowed / game68.6
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Middle Tenn. St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Montana State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Middle Tenn. St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California Baptist
#12
W
64-58
64
58
+6
A19/03
CBI
Boston University
#8
W
76-46
76
46
+30
A21/03
CBI
Abilene Christian
#3
W
85-69
85
69
+16
H23/03
CBI
NC Wilmington
#1
L
90-96 OT
90
96
-6
A23/03
CBI
Brescia
#536
W
79-52
79
52
+27
H07/11
NCAA
Winthrop
#232
L
68-76
68
76
-8
A12/11
NCAA
Rice
#164
W
81-46
81
46
+35
H16/11
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
L
51-75
51
75
-24
A19/11
NCAA
Hofstra
#48
W
64-54
64
54
+10
H26/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#102
W
75-63
75
63
+12
H26/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
30-31
0-0
34-27
0-0
38-24
0-0
38-22
0-0
39-46
0-0
46-23
0-0
34-30
0-0
36-40
0-0
36-19
0-0
43-33
0-0
28-41
0-0
40-35
0-0
44-18
0-0
37-28
0-0
22-41
0-0
29-34
0-0
40-26
0-0
24-28
0-0
33-26
0-0
42-37
136.8Avg total
73.3Scored
63.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)69.761.0130.7+8.767%
Season at home (4)74.853.8128.5+21.0100%
Season away (2)59.575.5135.0-16.00%
Last 10 (10)73.363.5136.8+9.870%
Last 5 (5)67.862.8130.6+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)78.079.0157.0-1.050%
vs Similar (9)74.770.7145.3+4.056%
vs Weaker (16)71.260.8131.9+10.481%
This opponent (Montana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Montana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Weber State
#106
W
69-66
69
66
+3
H12/03
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#152
W
87-66
87
66
+21
H13/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#46
L
62-97
62
97
-35
A18/03
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#77
L
54-60
54
60
-6
A08/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#197
W
70-57
70
57
+13
A14/11
NCAA
Oregon
#140
L
51-81
51
81
-30
A16/11
NCAA
Warner Pacific
#577
W
106-64
106
64
+42
H19/11
NCAA
North Dakota
#276
W
81-71
81
71
+10
A20/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
L
66-77
66
77
-11
H25/11
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#124
L
53-70
53
70
-17
A27/11
NCAA
1H
2H
31-37
38-29
40-28
47-38
25-52
37-45
36-19
18-41
32-24
38-33
22-34
29-47
46-34
60-30
37-27
44-44
38-39
28-38
24-26
29-44
140.8Avg total
69.9Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)68.768.6137.3+0.143%
Season at home (2)86.070.5156.5+15.550%
Season away (5)61.867.8129.6-6.040%
Last 10 (10)69.970.9140.8-1.050%
Last 5 (5)71.472.6144.0-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)62.097.0159.0-35.00%
vs Similar (10)67.868.9136.7-1.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)78.967.9146.8+10.989%
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +4.2+4.21st half: +1.1+1.12nd half2nd half: +6.2+6.22nd half: -2.1-2.1
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +4.2+4.21st half: +1.1+1.12nd half2nd half: +6.2+6.22nd half: -2.1-2.1
Middle Tenn. St.Montana State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Middle Tenn. St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California Baptist
#12
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A19/03
CBI
Boston University
#8
W
38-24
38
24
+14
A21/03
CBI
Abilene Christian
#3
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H23/03
CBI
NC Wilmington
#1
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A23/03
CBI
Brescia
#536
W
36-19
36
19
+17
H07/11
NCAA
Winthrop
#232
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A12/11
NCAA
Rice
#164
W
44-18
44
18
+26
H16/11
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
L
22-41
22
41
-19
A19/11
NCAA
Hofstra
#48
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H26/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#102
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H26/11
NCAA
64.6Avg total
34.4Scored
30.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.031.265.2+2.753%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.928.263.1+6.769%-
Last 30 away (14)32.934.767.6-1.836%-
Last 10 (10)34.430.264.6+4.260%-
Last 5 (5)33.430.463.8+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)35.833.869.5+2.050%-
vs Similar (9)35.832.668.3+3.267%-
vs Weaker (16)32.829.962.6+2.950%-
This opponent (Montana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Montana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Weber State
#106
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H12/03
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#152
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H13/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#46
L
25-52
25
52
-27
A18/03
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#77
W
36-19
36
19
+17
A08/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#197
W
32-24
32
24
+8
A14/11
NCAA
Oregon
#140
L
22-34
22
34
-12
A16/11
NCAA
Warner Pacific
#577
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H19/11
NCAA
North Dakota
#276
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A20/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H25/11
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#124
L
24-26
24
26
-2
A27/11
NCAA
65.1Avg total
33.1Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.631.867.3+3.867%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.631.267.8+5.469%-
Last 30 away (14)34.432.466.9+2.064%-
Last 10 (10)33.132.065.1+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)33.432.065.4+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)25.052.077.0-27.00%-
vs Similar (10)33.733.066.7+0.750%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)36.629.866.4+6.878%-
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Middle Tenn. St. wins
0
Montana State wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/22HStephen F. Austin75-63
26/11/22HHofstra64-54
19/11/22AMissouri State51-75
16/11/22HRice81-46
12/11/22AWinthrop68-76
07/11/22HBrescia79-52
23/03/22ANC Wilmington90-96 OT
23/03/22HAbilene Christian85-69
21/03/22ABoston University76-46
19/03/22ACalifornia Baptist64-58
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/22AQuinnipiac53-70
25/11/22HNC Greensboro66-77
20/11/22ANorth Dakota81-71
19/11/22HWarner Pacific106-64
16/11/22AOregon51-81
14/11/22ALong Beach State70-57
08/11/22AGrand Canyon54-60
18/03/22ATexas Tech62-97
13/03/22HNorthern Colorado87-66
12/03/22HWeber State69-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Middle Tenn. St.
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW67%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game69.774.859.5
Allowed / game61.053.875.5
Point differential+8.7+21.0-16.0
Avg total130.7128.5135.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Montana State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL43%
HomeWL50%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %43%50%40%
Points / game68.786.061.8
Allowed / game68.670.567.8
Point differential+0.1+15.5-6.0
Avg total137.3156.5129.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sam Houston St.660100%81.548.3+33.2
2 Western Kentucky76186%79.062.6+16.4
3 UTEP65183%72.765.0+7.7
4 Louisiana Tech75271%78.667.9+10.7
5 Middle Tenn. St.64267%69.761.0+8.7
6 Florida International53260%82.877.6+5.2
7 Delaware53260%71.467.8+3.6
8 Kennesaw State74357%76.766.3+10.4
9 Liberty74357%71.662.1+9.4
10 New Mexico State42250%80.870.2+10.5
11 Missouri State63350%69.260.5+8.7
12 Jacksonville State62433%75.772.8+2.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Montana63350%65.368.5-3.2
2 Montana State73443%68.768.6+0.1
3 Sacramento State73443%66.470.0-3.6
4 Northern Colorado73443%68.979.6-10.7
5 Portland State62433%83.879.7+4.2
6 East. Washington62433%63.369.2-5.8
7 Weber State62433%65.773.2-7.5
8 Idaho72529%75.170.1+5.0
9 Northern Arizona72529%69.671.0-1.4
10 Idaho State61517%70.366.8+3.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Middle Tenn. St.333972
Montana State323971
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