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Montana State vs Weber State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 69-66
31-37 38-29
Position#32
Record25-7
FormLWWWW
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game68.6
vs
Position#106
Record21-11
FormLLWLW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game70.3
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Montana State v Weber State
24 Jan 2026
MONT91
WEBE88
13 Feb 2025
MONT74
WEBE66
04 Mar 2024
MONT76
WEBE64
07 Mar 2023
MONT60
WEBE58
14 Jan 2023
MONT67
WEBE52
11 Mar 2022
MONT69
WEBE66
30 Dec 2021
MONT75
WEBE85
15 Feb 2020
MONT77
WEBE63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Montana State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Weber State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Montana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho State
#339
W
72-54
72
54
+18
A08/02
NCAA
Portland State
#232
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H11/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#326
W
72-70
72
70
+2
H12/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#175
L
86-88 OT
86
88
-2
A18/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#97
W
76-71
76
71
+5
A19/02
NCAA
Montana
#153
L
74-80
74
80
-6
A27/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#97
W
69-53
69
53
+16
H02/03
NCAA
Sacramento State
#274
W
75-69
75
69
+6
H04/03
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#152
W
87-85
87
85
+2
H05/03
NCAA
Sacramento State
#274
W
83-61
83
61
+22
H10/03
NCAA
1H
2H
35-23
37-31
40-33
37-41
39-33
33-37
38-41
36-33
33-32
43-39
33-44
41-36
31-20
38-33
32-38
43-31
38-39
49-46
39-28
44-33
147.6Avg total
77.1Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)76.968.6145.5+8.378%
Season at home (17)75.464.2139.6+11.194%
Season away (15)78.773.6152.3+5.160%
Last 10 (10)77.170.5147.6+6.680%
Last 5 (5)77.669.6147.2+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)74.091.0165.0-17.00%
vs Similar ◀ (7)72.364.9137.1+7.471%
vs Weaker (22)77.768.4146.1+9.386%
This opponent (Weber State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Weber StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana
#153
W
80-75
80
75
+5
H04/02
NCAA
Montana State
#32
L
57-78
57
78
-21
H06/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#175
L
67-75
67
75
-8
A11/02
NCAA
Idaho
#325
L
79-83
79
83
-4
A12/02
NCAA
Sacramento State
#274
W
65-50
65
50
+15
H18/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#152
L
79-83 OT
79
83
-4
H20/02
NCAA
Portland State
#232
L
75-81
75
81
-6
A25/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#326
W
73-49
73
49
+24
A26/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#97
L
70-80
70
80
-10
H06/03
NCAA
Montana
#153
W
68-56
68
56
+12
H10/03
NCAA
1H
2H
37-39
43-36
29-37
28-41
34-37
33-38
24-37
55-46
34-35
31-15
32-25
33-40
31-34
44-47
35-27
38-22
33-32
37-48
30-25
38-31
142.3Avg total
71.3Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)76.570.3146.8+6.266%
Season at home (18)75.968.7144.6+7.367%
Season away (14)77.172.4149.6+4.764%
Last 10 (10)71.371.0142.3+0.340%
Last 5 (5)73.069.8142.8+3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)71.979.1151.0-7.238%
vs Weaker (17)79.464.9144.2+14.582%
This opponent (Montana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +2.7+2.71st half: -0.9-0.92nd half2nd half: +4.1+4.12nd half: +1.6+1.6
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +2.7+2.71st half: -0.9-0.92nd half2nd half: +4.1+4.12nd half: +1.6+1.6
Montana StateWeber State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Montana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho State
#339
W
35-23
35
23
+12
A08/02
NCAA
Portland State
#232
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H11/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#326
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H12/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#175
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A18/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#97
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A19/02
NCAA
Montana
#153
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A27/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#97
W
31-20
31
20
+11
H02/03
NCAA
Sacramento State
#274
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H04/03
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#152
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H05/03
NCAA
Sacramento State
#274
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H10/03
NCAA
68.9Avg total
35.8Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.431.767.1+3.867%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.929.763.6+4.269%-
Last 30 away (14)37.133.971.1+3.264%-
Last 10 (10)35.833.168.9+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)34.633.868.4+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)35.052.087.0-17.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)35.132.167.3+3.071%-
vs Weaker (22)35.530.666.1+5.068%-
This opponent (Weber State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Weber StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana
#153
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H04/02
NCAA
Montana State
#32
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H06/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#175
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A11/02
NCAA
Idaho
#325
L
24-37
24
37
-13
A12/02
NCAA
Sacramento State
#274
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H18/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#152
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H20/02
NCAA
Portland State
#232
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A25/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#326
W
35-27
35
27
+8
A26/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#97
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H06/03
NCAA
Montana
#153
W
30-25
30
25
+5
H10/03
NCAA
64.7Avg total
31.9Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.033.168.1+1.860%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.432.467.8+3.065%-
Last 30 away (13)34.434.168.5+0.354%-
Last 10 (10)31.932.864.7-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)32.228.660.8+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)34.537.872.2-3.346%-
vs Weaker (17)35.429.664.9+5.871%-
This opponent (Montana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Montana State wins
3
Weber State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/22HSacramento State83-61
05/03/22HNorthern Colorado87-85
04/03/22HSacramento State75-69
02/03/22HSouthern Utah69-53
27/02/22AMontana74-80
19/02/22ASouthern Utah76-71
18/02/22AEast. Washington86-88 OT
12/02/22HNorthern Arizona72-70
11/02/22HPortland State77-74
08/02/22AIdaho State72-54
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/22HMontana68-56
06/03/22HSouthern Utah70-80
26/02/22ANorthern Arizona73-49
25/02/22APortland State75-81
20/02/22HNorthern Colorado79-83 OT
18/02/22HSacramento State65-50
12/02/22AIdaho79-83
11/02/22AEast. Washington67-75
06/02/22HMontana State57-78
04/02/22HMontana80-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Montana State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW78%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayWWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321715
Win %78%94%60%
Points / game76.975.478.7
Allowed / game68.664.273.6
Point differential+8.3+11.1+5.1
Avg total145.5139.6152.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%35%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won69% (13)100% (6)43% (7)
Overtime %9%0%20%
Weber State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW66%
HomeLWLLW67%
AwayWLLLW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321814
Win %66%67%64%
Points / game76.575.977.1
Allowed / game70.368.772.4
Point differential+6.2+7.3+4.7
Avg total146.8144.6149.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%56%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Montana State3225778%76.968.6+8.3
2 Weber State32211166%76.570.3+6.2
3 Northern Colorado33191458%78.376.5+1.9
4 Montana32181456%72.266.9+5.3
5 East. Washington33181555%76.974.3+2.6
6 Portland State30141647%73.471.7+1.7
7 Sacramento State29111838%65.470.2-4.7
8 Idaho3192229%73.079.6-6.6
9 Northern Arizona3292328%67.573.3-5.8
10 Idaho State3072323%64.471.5-7.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Montana State313869
Weber State372966
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