Middle Tenn. St. vs UMKC Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Nov 2023

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 63-59

28-31 35-28

Position#271

Record3-4

FormLWLLL

Points / game65.4

Allowed / game65.0

Middle Tenn. St. 🏆

UMKC

Position#200

Record2-4

FormWLLLL

Points / game73.8

Allowed / game73.7

NCAA

Other2023-24

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Middle Tenn. St. winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

UMKC winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Middle Tenn. St. USA

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

UTEP

#250

65-77

-12

A04/03

NCAA

Charlotte

#149

66-65

H10/03

NCAA

Florida Atlantic

65-68

-3

A10/03

NCAA

Northern Kentucky

#177

74-57

+17

H07/11

NCAA

Stephen F. Austin

#175

67-62 OT

H10/11

NCAA

Western Carolina

#56

64-66

-2

H14/11

NCAA

Milligan

#460

88-62

+26

H18/11

NCAA

UAB

#77

57-58

-1

H22/11

NCAA

Illinois (Chi.)

#303

40-70

-30

A24/11

NCAA

Ohio

#120

68-80

-12

A25/11

NCAA

32-39

33-38

26-28

40-37

25-37

40-31

45-21

29-36

22-31

32-23

33-37

31-29

30-25

58-37

28-29

29-29

21-34

19-36

38-40

30-40

131.9Avg total

65.4Scored

66.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	65.4	65.0	130.4	+0.4	43%
Season at home (5)	70.0	61.0	131.0	+9.0	60%
Season away (2)	54.0	75.0	129.0	-21.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	65.4	66.5	131.9	-1.1	40%
Last 5 (5)	63.4	67.2	130.6	-3.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	65.0	69.2	134.2	-4.2	33%
vs Similar (13)	68.9	68.8	137.7	+0.2	62%
vs Weaker (4)	74.8	68.8	143.5	+6.0	50%

This opponent (UMKC) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

UMKC

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

North Dakota

#276

73-81

-8

H19/02

NCAA

South Dakota St.

#154

50-73

-23

A24/02

NCAA

South Dakota Coyotes

#285

48-82

-34

A26/02

NCAA

Nebraska O.

#343

61-73

-12

H04/03

NCAA

Avila

#448

79-48

+31

H07/11

NCAA

Saint Mary

#662

95-42

+53

H12/11

NCAA

Baylor

#58

61-99

-38

A15/11

NCAA

Colorado State

#52

61-84

-23

A18/11

NCAA

NC Greensboro

#80

64-76

-12

H24/11

NCAA

Brown

#276

83-93 OT

-10

H25/11

NCAA

27-35

46-46

23-34

27-39

24-34

24-48

22-45

39-28

39-22

40-26

57-29

38-13

33-51

28-48

27-38

34-46

30-41

34-35

38-36

33-35

142.6Avg total

67.5Scored

75.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	73.8	73.7	147.5	+0.2	33%
Season at home (4)	80.2	64.8	145.0	+15.5	50%
Season away (2)	61.0	91.5	152.5	-30.5	0%
Last 10 (10)	67.5	75.1	142.6	-7.6	20%
Last 5 (5)	72.8	78.8	151.6	-6.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	61.3	72.9	134.1	-11.6	21%
vs Similar (13)	66.8	70.3	137.2	-3.5	38%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	71.5	59.0	130.5	+12.5	50%

This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

Middle Tenn. St.UMKC

Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by half · pick a half

Middle Tenn. St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

UTEP

#250

32-39

-7

A04/03

NCAA

Charlotte

#149

26-28

-2

H10/03

NCAA

Florida Atlantic

25-37

-12

A10/03

NCAA

Northern Kentucky

#177

45-21

+24

H07/11

NCAA

Stephen F. Austin

#175

22-31

-9

H10/11

NCAA

Western Carolina

#56

33-37

-4

H14/11

NCAA

Milligan

#460

30-25

H18/11

NCAA

UAB

#77

28-29

-1

H22/11

NCAA

Illinois (Chi.)

#303

21-34

-13

A24/11

NCAA

Ohio

#120

38-40

-2

A25/11

NCAA

62.1Avg total

30.0Scored

32.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	31.7	33.3	65.0	-1.6	27%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	32.4	30.1	62.4	+2.3	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	30.8	37.5	68.4	-6.7	8%	-
Last 10 (10)	30.0	32.1	62.1	-2.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.0	33.0	63.0	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	31.0	33.9	64.9	-2.9	17%	-
vs Similar (13)	32.3	32.2	64.5	+0.1	31%	-
vs Weaker (4)	32.2	37.0	69.2	-4.8	25%	-

This opponent (UMKC) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

UMKCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

North Dakota

#276

27-35

-8

H19/02

NCAA

South Dakota St.

#154

23-34

-11

A24/02

NCAA

South Dakota Coyotes

#285

24-34

-10

A26/02

NCAA

Nebraska O.

#343

22-45

-23

H04/03

NCAA

Avila

#448

39-22

+17

H07/11

NCAA

Saint Mary

#662

57-29

+28

H12/11

NCAA

Baylor

#58

33-51

-18

A15/11

NCAA

Colorado State

#52

27-38

-11

A18/11

NCAA

NC Greensboro

#80

30-41

-11

H24/11

NCAA

Brown

#276

38-36

H25/11

NCAA

68.5Avg total

32.0Scored

36.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	29.3	31.8	61.2	-2.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	29.6	30.8	60.4	-1.1	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	28.9	33.2	62.2	-4.3	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	32.0	36.5	68.5	-4.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	39.0	76.0	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	28.7	33.6	62.4	-4.9	21%	-
vs Similar (13)	27.1	31.2	58.3	-4.2	31%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	34.5	24.5	59.0	+10.0	100%	-

This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.4	34.9	71.3	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	36.9	32.3	69.2	+4.6	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	35.7	38.4	74.1	-2.7	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.1	33.6	67.7	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.4	34.2	67.6	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	32.2	34.1	66.3	-1.8	42%	-
vs Similar (13)	36.6	36.5	73.2	+0.1	46%	-
vs Weaker (4)	42.5	31.8	74.2	+10.8	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	34.8	36.7	71.5	-1.9	38%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	37.0	33.0	70.0	+4.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (12)	31.7	41.9	73.6	-10.2	17%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.3	36.4	70.7	-2.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.4	35.4	68.8	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	31.5	39.6	71.1	-8.2	15%	-
vs Similar (13)	37.5	35.9	73.5	+1.6	54%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	37.0	34.5	71.5	+2.5	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Middle Tenn. St. wins

UMKC wins

No previous meetings.

Middle Tenn. St.last 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/11/23	A	Ohio	68-80
24/11/23	A	Illinois (Chi.)	40-70
22/11/23	H	UAB	57-58
18/11/23	H	Milligan	88-62
14/11/23	H	Western Carolina	64-66
10/11/23	H	Stephen F. Austin	67-62 OT
07/11/23	H	Northern Kentucky	74-57
10/03/23	A	Florida Atlantic	65-68
10/03/23	H	Charlotte	66-65
04/03/23	A	UTEP	65-77

UMKClast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/11/23	H	Brown	83-93 OT
24/11/23	H	NC Greensboro	64-76
18/11/23	A	Colorado State	61-84
15/11/23	A	Baylor	61-99
12/11/23	H	Saint Mary	95-42
07/11/23	H	Avila	79-48
04/03/23	H	Nebraska O.	61-73
26/02/23	A	South Dakota Coyotes	48-82
24/02/23	A	South Dakota St.	50-73
19/02/23	H	North Dakota	73-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Middle Tenn. St.

NCAA 2023-24

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	43%
Home	WWLWL	60%
Away	LL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	5	2
Win %	43%	60%	0%
Points / game	65.4	70.0	54.0
Allowed / game	65.0	61.0	75.0
Point differential	+0.4	+9.0	-21.0
Avg total	130.4	131.0	129.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	40%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	33% (3)	-
Overtime %	14%	20%	0%

UMKC

NCAA 2023-24

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	33%
Home	WWLL	50%
Away	LL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	4	2
Win %	33%	50%	0%
Points / game	73.8	80.2	61.0
Allowed / game	73.7	64.8	91.5
Point differential	+0.2	+15.5	-30.5
Avg total	147.5	145.0	152.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	17%	25%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Liberty	6	6	0	100%	85.8	60.8	+25.0
2	Louisiana Tech	6	5	1	83%	81.5	61.2	+20.3
3	Delaware	6	5	1	83%	77.7	66.0	+11.7
4	Missouri State	6	5	1	83%	74.7	65.3	+9.3
5	UTEP	7	5	2	71%	83.4	69.1	+14.3
6	Kennesaw State	6	4	2	67%	86.7	74.8	+11.8
7	Western Kentucky	6	4	2	67%	80.2	73.5	+6.7
8	Sam Houston St.	7	4	3	57%	75.1	72.3	+2.9
9	Middle Tenn. St.	7	3	4	43%	65.4	65.0	+0.4
10	New Mexico State	7	3	4	43%	69.7	71.7	-2.0
11	Jacksonville State	6	2	4	33%	71.5	63.7	+7.8
12	Florida International	7	1	6	14%	70.0	77.9	-7.9

Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

Summit League conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	North Dakota	5	4	1	80%	78.0	76.2	+1.8
2	South Dakota Coyotes	6	4	2	67%	85.2	71.0	+14.2
3	North Dakota St	7	4	3	57%	76.6	75.1	+1.4
4	Denver	6	3	3	50%	87.3	80.5	+6.8
5	St. Thomas (Minn.)	7	3	4	43%	67.0	62.7	+4.3
6	Nebraska O.	7	3	4	43%	71.4	68.9	+2.6
7	Oral Roberts	5	2	3	40%	69.0	73.0	-4.0
8	South Dakota St.	6	2	4	33%	73.7	72.8	+0.8
9	UMKC	6	2	4	33%	73.8	73.7	+0.2