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UTEP vs Middle Tenn. St. Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 77-65
39-32 38-33
Position#250
Record13-17
FormLLWLL
Points / game68.3
Allowed / game68.5
UTEP 🏆
USA
vs
Position#143
Record18-12
FormLWWWL
Points / game70.6
Allowed / game67.5
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · UTEP v Middle Tenn. St.
08 Jan 2026
UTEP83
MIDD80
01 Mar 2025
UTEP75
MIDD76
18 Jan 2024
UTEP73
MIDD59
04 Mar 2023
UTEP77
MIDD65
30 Jan 2020
UTEP67
MIDD66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UTEP winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Middle Tenn. St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UTEPUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Texas
#19
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A28/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#143
L
72-84
72
84
-12
A03/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#199
L
69-74
69
74
-5
A04/02
NCAA
Charlotte
#149
L
53-62
53
62
-9
H10/02
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#331
W
77-66
77
66
+11
A11/02
NCAA
UAB
#44
L
66-79
66
79
-13
H17/02
NCAA
North Texas
#19
L
72-80 OT
72
80
-8
H19/02
NCAA
Florida International
#255
W
87-82
87
82
+5
A24/02
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#6
L
49-75
49
75
-26
A25/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#199
L
68-73
68
73
-5
H03/03
NCAA
1H
2H
19-23
23-29
31-38
41-46
37-33
32-41
30-34
23-28
36-30
41-36
34-36
32-43
29-30
34-33
40-32
47-50
21-32
28-43
27-34
41-39
138.2Avg total
65.5Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)68.368.5136.7-0.243%
Season at home (17)69.563.7133.2+5.859%
Season away (13)66.674.7141.3-8.123%
Last 10 (10)65.572.7138.2-7.220%
Last 5 (5)68.477.8146.2-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)59.668.7128.2-9.111%
vs Similar ◀ (15)69.569.7139.2-0.347%
vs Weaker (5)74.266.2140.4+8.080%
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Middle Tenn. St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida Atlantic
#6
L
67-85
67
85
-18
A27/01
NCAA
Florida International
#255
L
74-82
74
82
-8
A29/01
NCAA
UTEP
#250
W
84-72
84
72
+12
H03/02
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#331
W
84-60
84
60
+24
H04/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#199
L
89-93
89
93
-4
A10/02
NCAA
UAB
#44
L
69-92
69
92
-23
A11/02
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#6
W
74-70
74
70
+4
H17/02
NCAA
Florida International
#255
W
69-58
69
58
+11
H18/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#237
W
63-49
63
49
+14
H25/02
NCAA
North Texas
#19
L
50-64
50
64
-14
A03/03
NCAA
1H
2H
30-38
37-47
39-44
35-38
38-31
46-41
35-29
49-31
39-49
50-44
22-47
47-45
31-32
43-38
27-41
42-17
38-18
25-31
30-33
20-31
144.8Avg total
72.3Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)70.667.5138.1+3.060%
Season at home (17)71.961.0132.9+10.988%
Season away (13)68.876.1144.9-7.223%
Last 10 (10)72.372.5144.8-0.250%
Last 5 (5)65.066.6131.6-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)66.269.8136.0-3.656%
vs Similar ◀ (15)71.668.3139.9+3.360%
vs Weaker (5)75.665.4141.0+10.260%
This opponent (UTEP) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.8-1.81st half: -3.3-3.32nd half2nd half: -4.6-4.62nd half: +3.1+3.1
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.8-1.81st half: -3.3-3.32nd half2nd half: -4.6-4.62nd half: +3.1+3.1
UTEPMiddle Tenn. St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UTEPLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Texas
#19
L
19-23
19
23
-4
A28/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#143
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A03/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#199
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A04/02
NCAA
Charlotte
#149
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H10/02
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#331
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A11/02
NCAA
UAB
#44
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H17/02
NCAA
North Texas
#19
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H19/02
NCAA
Florida International
#255
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A24/02
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#6
L
21-32
21
32
-11
A25/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#199
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H03/03
NCAA
62.6Avg total
30.4Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.830.662.4+1.253%-
Last 30 at home (17)32.428.460.8+4.159%-
Last 30 away (13)31.033.564.5-2.546%-
Last 10 (10)30.432.262.6-1.830%-
Last 5 (5)30.232.863.0-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)26.730.256.9-3.622%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)32.532.064.5+0.560%-
vs Weaker (5)35.827.263.0+8.680%-
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Middle Tenn. St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida Atlantic
#6
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A27/01
NCAA
Florida International
#255
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A29/01
NCAA
UTEP
#250
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H03/02
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#331
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H04/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#199
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A10/02
NCAA
UAB
#44
L
22-47
22
47
-25
A11/02
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#6
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H17/02
NCAA
Florida International
#255
L
27-41
27
41
-14
H18/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#237
W
38-18
38
18
+20
H25/02
NCAA
North Texas
#19
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A03/03
NCAA
69.1Avg total
32.9Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.132.265.3+0.943%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.928.663.5+6.365%-
Last 30 away (13)30.836.867.6-6.115%-
Last 10 (10)32.936.269.1-3.330%-
Last 5 (5)29.634.263.8-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)31.932.964.8-1.044%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)33.331.865.1+1.540%-
vs Weaker (5)33.033.466.4-0.440%-
This opponent (UTEP) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
UTEP wins
3
Middle Tenn. St. wins
DateGameScore
03/02/23Middle Tenn. St. v UTEP84-72
11/03/22Middle Tenn. St. v UTEP66-59 OT
22/02/22Middle Tenn. St. v UTEP77-59
05/03/20Middle Tenn. St. v UTEP56-60
31/01/20UTEP v Middle Tenn. St.67-66
UTEPlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/23HWestern Kentucky68-73
25/02/23AFlorida Atlantic49-75
24/02/23AFlorida International87-82
19/02/23HNorth Texas72-80 OT
17/02/23HUAB66-79
11/02/23AUTSA Roadrunners77-66
10/02/23HCharlotte53-62
04/02/23AWestern Kentucky69-74
03/02/23AMiddle Tenn. St.72-84
28/01/23ANorth Texas42-52
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/23ANorth Texas50-64
25/02/23HLouisiana Tech63-49
18/02/23HFlorida International69-58
17/02/23HFlorida Atlantic74-70
11/02/23AUAB69-92
10/02/23AWestern Kentucky89-93
04/02/23HUTSA Roadrunners84-60
03/02/23HUTEP84-72
29/01/23AFlorida International74-82
27/01/23AFlorida Atlantic67-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UTEP
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL43%
HomeLLLLL59%
AwayLLWWL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301713
Win %43%59%23%
Points / game68.369.566.6
Allowed / game68.563.774.7
Point differential-0.2+5.8-8.1
Avg total136.7133.2141.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%35%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)57% (7)40% (5)
Overtime %17%24%8%
Middle Tenn. St.
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL60%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayLLLLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301713
Win %60%88%23%
Points / game70.671.968.8
Allowed / game67.561.076.1
Point differential+3.0+10.9-7.2
Avg total138.1132.9144.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%59%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)83% (6)33% (3)
Overtime %7%6%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sam Houston St.3024680%73.458.5+14.9
2 Liberty3326779%75.560.5+15.0
3 Kennesaw State3325876%75.569.0+6.5
4 Middle Tenn. St.30181260%70.667.5+3.0
5 Western Kentucky30161453%73.370.7+2.6
6 Missouri State32171553%65.663.2+2.4
7 Delaware31161552%69.770.1-0.4
8 Louisiana Tech30141647%72.869.8+3.0
9 UTEP30131743%68.368.5-0.2
10 Florida International30131743%72.474.7-2.2
11 Jacksonville State31131842%69.970.3-0.4
12 New Mexico State3092130%59.061.3-2.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UTEP393877
Middle Tenn. St.323365
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