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Minas vs Libertadores Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 98-78
28-13 20-21 23-17 27-27
Position#5
Record3-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game88.8
Allowed / game78.8
Minas 🏆
vs
Position#4
Record5-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game99.2
Allowed / game89.0
EuropeChampions League AmericasChampions League Americas - Quarter-finals
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Libertadores winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bigua
#11
W
90-61
90
61
+29
H18/01
Champions League Americas
Corinthians Paulista
#4
L
90-105
90
105
-15
H23/01
Super 8
Sao Jose
#10
W
96-89
96
89
+7
A30/01
NBB
Bigua
#11
W
111-73
111
73
+38
A05/02
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
L
72-83
72
83
-11
A06/02
Champions League Americas
Caxias do Sul
#11
L
63-80
63
80
-17
A10/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#13
W
82-78
82
78
+4
A12/02
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
99-70
99
70
+29
H15/02
NBB
Brasilia
#15
W
110-79
110
79
+31
H17/02
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
78-79
78
79
-1
A01/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
23-14
21-14
22-16
26-24
17-25
20-27
27-29
21-19
26-31
29-18
20-21
21-17
38-17
23-20
29-19
17-27
22-14
17-23
16-19
16-15
13-31
12-15
22-19
25-17
22-19
16-18
19-24
39-17
24-17
20-16
16-20
32-15
28-21
19-24
31-19
23-19
14-23
20-20
21-17
168.8Avg total
89.1Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)88.878.8167.7+10.050%
Season at home (3)85.780.7166.3+5.033%
Season away (3)92.077.0169.0+15.067%
Last 10 (10)89.179.7168.8+9.460%
Last 5 (5)86.477.2163.6+9.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)85.086.5171.5-1.50%
vs Similar (6)74.578.0152.5-3.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)90.576.8167.2+13.781%
This opponent (Libertadores) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LibertadoresLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Abejas
#1
L
88-97
88
97
-9
H30/09
LNBP
Abejas
#1
W
84-82
84
82
+2
H01/10
LNBP
Abejas
#1
L
79-98
79
98
-19
H02/10
LNBP
Abejas
#1
L
77-87
77
87
-10
A06/10
LNBP
Brampton Honey Badgers
#12
W
99-83
99
83
+16
H10/12
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#6
W
98-87
98
87
+11
H12/12
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#6
L
84-98
84
98
-14
A17/01
Champions League Americas
Brampton Honey Badgers
#12
W
106-90
106
90
+16
H18/01
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#6
W
101-90
101
90
+11
A09/02
Champions League Americas
Brampton Honey Badgers
#12
W
107-86
107
86
+21
A10/02
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
16-32
26-25
21-15
24-20
23-28
23-19
14-15
18-22
25-19
12-33
24-24
21-21
22-26
19-18
15-22
26-13
21-21
24-20
28-29
26-16
32-23
22-22
18-26
18-20
17-24
19-27
30-27
30-27
28-15
22-25
26-23
30-21
24-29
23-19
24-21
25-14
21-22
24-28
37-22
182.1Avg total
92.3Scored
89.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)99.289.0188.2+10.283%
Season at home (3)101.086.7187.7+14.3100%
Season away (3)97.391.3188.7+6.067%
Last 10 (10)92.389.8182.1+2.560%
Last 5 (5)99.290.2189.4+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)83.692.7176.2-9.133%
vs Similar (10)87.585.8173.3+1.760%
vs Weaker (8)102.592.1194.6+10.488%
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +1.3+1.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +1.3+1.3
MinasLibertadores
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bigua
#11
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H18/01
Champions League Americas
Corinthians Paulista
#4
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H23/01
Super 8
Sao Jose
#10
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A30/01
NBB
Bigua
#11
W
59-34
59
34
+25
A05/02
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A06/02
Champions League Americas
Caxias do Sul
#11
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A10/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#13
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A12/02
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
63-34
63
34
+29
H15/02
NBB
Brasilia
#15
W
60-36
60
36
+24
H17/02
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A01/03
NBB
87.0Avg total
47.1Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.938.382.2+5.657%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.737.681.3+6.160%-
Last 30 away (15)44.039.083.0+5.053%-
Last 10 (10)47.139.987.0+7.250%-
Last 5 (5)47.238.886.0+8.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.542.084.5+0.550%-
vs Similar (6)36.537.874.3-1.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)46.137.683.7+8.667%-
This opponent (Libertadores) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LibertadoresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Abejas
#1
L
41-57
41
57
-16
H30/09
LNBP
Abejas
#1
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H01/10
LNBP
Abejas
#1
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H02/10
LNBP
Abejas
#1
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A06/10
LNBP
Brampton Honey Badgers
#12
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H10/12
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#6
W
58-39
58
39
+19
H12/12
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#6
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A17/01
Champions League Americas
Brampton Honey Badgers
#12
W
58-42
58
42
+16
H18/01
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#6
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A09/02
Champions League Americas
Brampton Honey Badgers
#12
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A10/02
Champions League Americas
91.0Avg total
47.2Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.343.787.0-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.944.492.3+3.657%-
Last 30 away (16)39.243.282.4-4.031%-
Last 10 (10)47.243.891.0+3.460%-
Last 5 (5)50.242.292.4+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)38.446.084.4-7.617%-
vs Similar (10)42.242.184.3+0.150%-
vs Weaker (8)51.942.494.2+9.575%-
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Minas wins
0
Libertadores wins
No previous meetings.
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/23AFlamengo78-79
17/02/23HBrasilia110-79
15/02/23HCerrado99-70
12/02/23AUniao Corinthians82-78
10/02/23ACaxias do Sul63-80
06/02/23AQuimsa72-83
05/02/23ABigua111-73
30/01/23ASao Jose96-89
23/01/23HCorinthians Paulista90-105
18/01/23HBigua90-61
Libertadoreslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/23ABrampton Honey Badgers107-86
09/02/23AReal Esteli101-90
18/01/23HBrampton Honey Badgers106-90
17/01/23AReal Esteli84-98
12/12/22HReal Esteli98-87
10/12/22HBrampton Honey Badgers99-83
06/10/22AAbejas77-87
02/10/22HAbejas79-98
01/10/22HAbejas84-82
30/09/22HAbejas88-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minas
Champions League Americas 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL50%
HomeLLW33%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%33%67%
Points / game88.885.792.0
Allowed / game78.880.777.0
Point differential+10.0+5.0+15.0
Avg total167.7166.3169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%33%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Libertadores
Champions League Americas 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW83%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game99.2101.097.3
Allowed / game89.086.791.3
Point differential+10.2+14.3+6.0
Avg total188.2187.7188.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+83%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca660100%97.376.5+20.8
2 Flamengo65183%90.065.7+24.3
3 Libertadores65183%99.289.0+10.2
4 Quimsa65183%87.280.2+7.0
5 Real Esteli64267%96.291.8+4.3
6 Minas63350%88.878.8+10.0
7 U. De Concepcion62433%83.388.8-5.5
8 Instituto de Cordoba62433%70.079.2-9.2
9 Penarol62433%68.783.8-15.2
10 Obras Sanitarias61517%78.293.5-15.3
11 Bigua61517%75.292.2-17.0
12 Brampton Honey Badgers6060%87.8102.3-14.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minas2820232798
Libertadores1321172778
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