Minas vs Sorocabana Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Apr 2013

Tip-off: 23:00

Final 78-76

15-16 13-19 27-25 23-16

Position#10

Record14-16

FormWLLLL

Points / game82.3

Allowed / game81.9

Minas 🏆

Sorocabana

Position#12

Record15-17

FormWLWLL

Points / game77.6

Allowed / game80.6

NBBRound 35

Other2012-13

Meetings · Minas v Sorocabana

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minas winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Sorocabana winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minas

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Limeira

#11

81-61

+20

H07/02

NBB

Suzano

#18

97-76

+21

A14/02

NBB

Palmeiras

#13

87-96

-9

A16/02

NBB

Paulistano

109-114 OT

109

114

-5

H20/02

NBB

Pinheiros

101-75

101

+26

H23/02

NBB

Vila Velha

#16

95-72

+23

H07/03

NBB

Sao Jose

93-95 OT

-2

A14/03

NBB

Mogi

#15

66-75

-9

A16/03

NBB

Unitri Universo

67-90

-23

H21/03

NBB

Franca

58-60

-2

H23/03

NBB

20-23

16-20

22-12

23-6

20-12

19-27

26-19

32-18

18-15

22-30

21-17

26-34

24-25

17-15

19-19

15-16

27-15

28-17

17-20

29-23

23-14

17-15

21-18

34-25

23-20

12-25

27-19

20-18

12-20

15-13

23-26

16-16

23-32

13-28

17-15

14-15

20-21

11-11

16-18

11-10

166.8Avg total

85.4Scored

81.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (30)	82.3	81.9	164.2	+0.4	47%
Season at home (15)	85.9	79.9	165.7	+6.0	60%
Season away (15)	78.8	83.9	162.7	-5.1	33%
Last 10 (10)	85.4	81.4	166.8	+4.0	40%
Last 5 (5)	75.8	78.4	154.2	-2.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	75.0	86.5	161.5	-11.5	0%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	85.1	82.9	168.1	+2.2	57%
vs Weaker (8)	84.8	75.5	160.2	+9.2	75%

This opponent (Sorocabana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sorocabana Brazil

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brasilia

70-100

100

-30

H16/02

NBB

Bauru

94-85

A21/02

NBB

Flamengo

64-102

102

-38

A07/03

NBB

Tijuca

#17

89-68

+21

A09/03

NBB

Limeira

#11

81-79

H14/03

NBB

Joinville

#14

93-86

H16/03

NBB

Palmeiras

#13

77-85

-8

A21/03

NBB

Suzano

#18

90-79

+11

A23/03

NBB

Paulistano

73-78

-5

H26/03

NBB

Pinheiros

81-87

-6

H30/03

NBB

24-13

11-22

16-35

19-30

24-22

15-18

24-25

31-20

14-23

16-25

13-23

21-31

20-12

20-16

18-19

31-21

16-20

25-18

23-22

17-19

26-21

26-20

18-10

23-35

20-20

22-15

17-25

18-25

24-16

25-15

17-20

24-28

19-22

21-19

17-14

16-23

22-25

20-23

13-26

26-13

166.1Avg total

81.2Scored

84.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (32)	77.6	80.6	158.2	-3.1	47%
Season at home (17)	76.8	79.1	155.9	-2.4	53%
Season away (15)	78.5	82.3	160.8	-3.9	40%
Last 10 (10)	81.2	84.9	166.1	-3.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	82.8	83.0	165.8	-0.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	73.6	83.7	157.3	-10.1	33%
vs Similar ◀ (11)	82.5	81.2	163.7	+1.4	55%
vs Weaker (4)	84.5	71.0	155.5	+13.5	100%

This opponent (Minas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

MinasSorocabana

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	19.9	41.3	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.9	21.6	45.5	+2.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.8	18.3	37.1	+0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	19.7	40.7	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	21.4	41.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	21.4	23.1	44.5	-1.8	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	21.2	18.0	39.2	+3.2	57%	-
vs Weaker (8)	21.5	20.1	41.6	+1.4	62%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	19.4	38.1	-0.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.8	19.1	37.8	-0.3	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.7	19.8	38.5	-1.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	19.4	40.3	+1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	20.8	43.0	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	17.1	20.7	37.9	-3.6	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	19.8	19.5	39.4	+0.3	36%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.8	13.8	35.5	+8.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	17.9	35.8	-0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	17.0	36.1	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.7	18.8	35.5	-2.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	20.1	37.1	-3.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.6	18.4	32.0	-4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	15.8	19.6	35.4	-3.9	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	17.2	18.1	35.4	-0.9	43%	-
vs Weaker (8)	21.1	15.8	36.9	+5.4	88%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.4	40.1	+1.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.0	18.7	38.7	+1.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.5	20.3	41.8	+1.2	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	19.1	39.2	+1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	18.4	41.2	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	19.9	20.9	40.8	-0.9	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	22.1	19.2	41.3	+2.9	55%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.5	14.5	34.0	+5.0	75%	-

MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Limeira

#11

36-43

-7

H07/02

NBB

Suzano

#18

39-39

A14/02

NBB

Palmeiras

#13

40-45

-5

A16/02

NBB

Paulistano

41-40

H20/02

NBB

Pinheiros

55-32

+23

H23/02

NBB

Vila Velha

#16

40-29

+11

H07/03

NBB

Sao Jose

35-45

-10

A14/03

NBB

Mogi

#15

27-33

-6

A16/03

NBB

Unitri Universo

36-60

-24

H21/03

NBB

Franca

31-32

-1

H23/03

NBB

77.8Avg total

38.0Scored

39.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	37.8	77.0	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.9	38.6	81.5	+4.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.5	37.1	72.5	-1.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.0	39.8	77.8	-1.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.8	39.8	73.6	-6.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	37.1	42.8	79.9	-5.6	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	38.4	36.1	74.6	+2.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	42.6	35.9	78.5	+6.8	75%	-

This opponent (Sorocabana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

SorocabanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brasilia

35-35

H16/02

NBB

Bauru

39-40

-1

A21/02

NBB

Flamengo

30-48

-18

A07/03

NBB

Tijuca

#17

40-28

+12

A09/03

NBB

Limeira

#11

41-38

H14/03

NBB

Joinville

#14

52-41

+11

H16/03

NBB

Palmeiras

#13

42-35

A21/03

NBB

Suzano

#18

49-31

+18

A23/03

NBB

Paulistano

40-41

-1

H26/03

NBB

Pinheiros

42-48

-6

H30/03

NBB

79.5Avg total

41.0Scored

38.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	38.8	78.2	+0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	38.8	37.8	76.5	+1.0	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	40.2	40.1	80.3	+0.2	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.0	38.5	79.5	+2.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.0	39.2	84.2	+5.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	37.1	41.6	78.7	-4.5	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	41.9	38.7	80.6	+3.2	55%	-
vs Weaker (4)	41.2	28.2	69.5	+13.0	100%	-

This opponent (Minas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	20.5	40.2	-0.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	19.3	39.3	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.4	21.7	41.1	-2.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	18.3	39.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	19.2	40.0	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.4	22.6	42.0	-3.2	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	19.9	20.2	40.1	-0.4	36%	-
vs Weaker (8)	19.6	19.0	38.6	+0.6	38%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	21.0	39.4	-2.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.9	20.9	39.8	-2.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.7	21.2	38.9	-3.5	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	21.9	39.5	-4.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	19.0	35.4	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	16.9	21.9	38.9	-5.0	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	19.7	19.5	39.3	+0.2	64%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.0	21.8	41.8	-1.8	25%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	21.3	42.7	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	19.3	40.1	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.1	23.3	45.3	-1.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	18.1	40.1	+3.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	16.8	35.8	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.5	21.1	39.6	-2.6	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	22.4	21.8	44.2	+0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	22.5	20.6	43.1	+1.9	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	20.9	41.0	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.1	20.5	39.6	-1.4	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.5	21.5	42.9	+0.0	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	24.5	47.1	-1.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	24.8	46.2	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	19.6	20.1	39.7	-0.5	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	19.7	21.9	41.6	-2.2	36%	-
vs Weaker (4)	23.2	21.0	44.2	+2.2	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.1	41.8	82.9	-0.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.7	38.7	79.3	+2.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.5	45.0	86.5	-3.5	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.9	36.4	79.3	+6.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	36.0	75.8	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	37.9	43.8	81.6	-5.9	12%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	42.3	42.0	84.3	+0.3	36%	-
vs Weaker (8)	42.1	39.6	81.8	+2.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.5	41.9	80.4	-3.4	27%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	38.0	41.4	79.4	-3.4	24%	-
Last 30 away (13)	39.2	42.7	81.8	-3.5	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.2	46.4	86.6	-6.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	43.8	81.6	-6.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	36.5	42.1	78.6	-5.5	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	39.5	41.5	80.9	-2.0	27%	-
vs Weaker (4)	43.2	42.8	86.0	+0.5	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Minas wins

Sorocabana wins

Date	Game	Score
24/01/13	Sorocabana v Minas	82-84
31/03/12	Sorocabana v Minas	91-79
14/01/12	Minas v Sorocabana	84-75

Minaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/03/13	H	Franca	58-60
21/03/13	H	Unitri Universo	67-90
16/03/13	A	Mogi	66-75
14/03/13	A	Sao Jose	93-95 OT
07/03/13	H	Vila Velha	95-72
23/02/13	H	Pinheiros	101-75
20/02/13	H	Paulistano	109-114 OT
16/02/13	A	Palmeiras	87-96
14/02/13	A	Suzano	97-76
07/02/13	H	Limeira	81-61

Sorocabanalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/03/13	H	Pinheiros	81-87
26/03/13	H	Paulistano	73-78
23/03/13	A	Suzano	90-79
21/03/13	A	Palmeiras	77-85
16/03/13	H	Joinville	93-86
14/03/13	H	Limeira	81-79
09/03/13	A	Tijuca	89-68
07/03/13	A	Flamengo	64-102
21/02/13	A	Bauru	94-85
16/02/13	H	Brasilia	70-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minas

NBB 2012-13

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	47%
Home	LWWLL	60%
Away	LWLLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	30	15	15
Win %	47%	60%	33%
Points / game	82.3	85.9	78.8
Allowed / game	81.9	79.9	83.9
Point differential	+0.4	+6.0	-5.1
Avg total	164.2	165.7	162.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	27%	40%	13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	36% (11)	20% (5)	50% (6)
Overtime %	10%	7%	13%

Sorocabana

NBB 2012-13

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	47%
Home	LWWLL	53%
Away	WLWLW	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	32	17	15
Win %	47%	53%	40%
Points / game	77.6	76.8	78.5
Allowed / game	80.6	79.1	82.3
Point differential	-3.1	-2.4	-3.9
Avg total	158.2	155.9	160.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	19%	18%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (8)	60% (5)	33% (3)
Overtime %	3%	0%	7%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Flamengo	31	27	4	87%	90.3	75.3	+15.0
2	Brasilia	31	25	6	81%	89.0	79.3	+9.6
3	Unitri Universo	31	22	9	71%	83.9	77.7	+6.2
4	Bauru	32	22	10	69%	82.9	77.0	+5.8
5	Pinheiros	32	22	10	69%	87.1	83.2	+3.9
6	Franca	31	21	10	68%	79.1	71.8	+7.3
7	Sao Jose	31	20	11	65%	81.6	77.5	+4.1
8	Paulistano	32	16	16	50%	80.1	80.8	-0.7
9	Sorocabana	32	15	17	47%	77.6	80.6	-3.1
10	Minas	30	14	16	47%	82.3	81.9	+0.4
11	Cearense	30	14	16	47%	79.6	81.3	-1.6
12	Limeira	31	13	18	42%	80.4	79.3	+1.1
13	Mogi	32	11	21	34%	74.2	81.7	-7.5
14	Joinville	31	10	21	32%	75.2	80.2	-5.0
15	Palmeiras	32	10	22	31%	77.8	83.6	-5.8
16	Vila Velha	30	9	21	30%	79.1	85.0	-5.9
17	Tijuca	30	5	25	17%	70.0	78.6	-8.6
18	Suzano	31	4	27	13%	74.5	90.2	-15.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Minas	15	13	27	23	78
Sorocabana	16	19	25	16	76

← all games of the day

Minas vs Sorocabana Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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