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Mindoro Tamaraws vs Cebu Classic Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 06 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 92-89
28-20 13-19 21-23 30-27
Position#16
Record15-15
FormLWLLL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game79.5
vs
Position#20
Record12-18
FormLLLWW
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game79.2
PhilippinesMPBLMPBL - Final
Other2025
Meetings · Mindoro Tamaraws v Cebu Classic
06 Oct 2025
MIND92
CEBU89
16 May 2025
MIND73
CEBU85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mindoro Tamaraws winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cebu Classic winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mindoro TamarawsPhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bataan Risers
#17
W
86-84
86
84
+2
A14/07
MPBL
Pasay Voyagers
#6
L
75-108
75
108
-33
A31/07
MPBL
GenSan Warriors
#13
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H11/08
MPBL
Quezon Huskers
#4
L
72-88
72
88
-16
A01/09
MPBL
Valenzuela City Darkhorse
#25
W
100-74
100
74
+26
H10/09
MPBL
Pasig City
#18
L
78-81
78
81
-3
A13/09
MPBL
Pangasinan Heatwaves
#9
W
89-79
89
79
+10
H16/09
MPBL
Batangas City
#8
L
66-73
66
73
-7
A25/09
MPBL
Abra Weavers
#1
L
82-104
82
104
-22
H30/09
MPBL
Zamboanga Sikat
#14
L
62-68
62
68
-6
H04/10
MPBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
19-18
21-27
25-20
11-26
21-24
24-31
19-27
17-19
17-17
23-15
19-21
17-18
18-32
12-22
25-16
15-10
26-13
32-19
27-32
24-27
18-17
16-16
20-21
26-12
19-22
21-27
23-18
14-15
15-22
17-14
20-22
23-29
21-18
21-34
17-23
14-13
17-19
14-19
17-17
161.7Avg total
78.6Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)80.579.5160.0+1.050%
Season at home (12)81.976.2158.1+5.858%
Season away (18)79.681.7161.3-2.244%
Last 10 (10)78.683.1161.7-4.540%
Last 5 (5)75.481.0156.4-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)75.184.8159.9-9.729%
vs Similar (3)78.776.7155.3+2.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)86.874.5161.2+12.369%
This opponent (Cebu Classic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cebu ClassicPhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
GenSan Warriors
#13
W
100-94
100
94
+6
A02/08
MPBL
Marikina Verdiamonds
#27
W
104-86
104
86
+18
H07/08
MPBL
Pasig City
#18
W
76-70
76
70
+6
A12/08
MPBL
Bulacan Kuyas
#29
W
87-71
87
71
+16
H16/08
MPBL
Valenzuela City Darkhorse
#25
W
97-93
97
93
+4
A23/08
MPBL
Zamboanga Sikat
#14
L
70-74
70
74
-4
H28/08
MPBL
Pangasinan Heatwaves
#9
L
77-83
77
83
-6
A08/09
MPBL
Davao Tigers
#19
L
59-64
59
64
-5
A15/09
MPBL
Bacolod Masskara
#26
W
80-71
80
71
+9
A22/09
MPBL
Davao Tigers
#19
W
65-57
65
57
+8
H04/10
MPBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
23-23
27-23
27-25
33-22
15-16
27-26
29-22
14-16
11-20
28-17
23-17
19-23
23-15
24-13
21-20
28-21
20-21
13-23
36-28
18-10
15-23
15-18
22-23
13-18
18-17
24-18
22-30
14-22
15-12
18-8
12-22
17-12
25-27
22-17
16-15
15-12
13-15
15-12
22-18
157.8Avg total
81.5Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)74.579.2153.7-4.740%
Season at home (11)74.082.3156.3-8.336%
Season away (19)74.877.4152.2-2.642%
Last 10 (10)81.576.3157.8+5.270%
Last 5 (5)70.269.8140.0+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)72.084.1156.1-12.118%
vs Similar (6)72.373.5145.8-1.250%
vs Weaker (7)82.472.0154.4+10.486%
This opponent (Mindoro Tamaraws) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +1.0+1.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +1.0+1.0
Mindoro TamarawsCebu Classic
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mindoro TamarawsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bataan Risers
#17
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A14/07
MPBL
Pasay Voyagers
#6
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A31/07
MPBL
GenSan Warriors
#13
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H11/08
MPBL
Quezon Huskers
#4
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A01/09
MPBL
Valenzuela City Darkhorse
#25
W
41-23
41
23
+18
H10/09
MPBL
Pasig City
#18
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A13/09
MPBL
Pangasinan Heatwaves
#9
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H16/09
MPBL
Batangas City
#8
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A25/09
MPBL
Abra Weavers
#1
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H30/09
MPBL
Zamboanga Sikat
#14
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H04/10
MPBL
76.3Avg total
37.3Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.537.777.2+1.850%-
Last 30 at home (12)38.833.672.3+5.258%-
Last 30 away (18)39.940.480.4-0.544%-
Last 10 (10)37.339.076.3-1.730%-
Last 5 (5)38.238.877.0-0.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)36.941.178.0-4.129%-
vs Similar (3)40.039.779.7+0.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)42.133.675.7+8.577%-
This opponent (Cebu Classic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cebu ClassicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
GenSan Warriors
#13
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A02/08
MPBL
Marikina Verdiamonds
#27
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H07/08
MPBL
Pasig City
#18
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A12/08
MPBL
Bulacan Kuyas
#29
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H16/08
MPBL
Valenzuela City Darkhorse
#25
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A23/08
MPBL
Zamboanga Sikat
#14
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H28/08
MPBL
Pangasinan Heatwaves
#9
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A08/09
MPBL
Davao Tigers
#19
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A15/09
MPBL
Bacolod Masskara
#26
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A22/09
MPBL
Davao Tigers
#19
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H04/10
MPBL
74.0Avg total
37.2Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.038.973.9-3.930%-
Last 30 at home (11)34.639.774.4-5.136%-
Last 30 away (19)35.238.573.7-3.326%-
Last 10 (10)37.236.874.0+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)32.633.666.2-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)33.840.774.5-6.912%-
vs Similar (6)31.338.269.5-6.817%-
vs Weaker (7)41.135.376.4+5.986%-
This opponent (Mindoro Tamaraws) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mindoro Tamaraws wins
1
Cebu Classic wins
DateGameScore
16/05/25Mindoro Tamaraws v Cebu Classic73-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/25HZamboanga Sikat62-68
30/09/25HAbra Weavers82-104
25/09/25ABatangas City66-73
16/09/25HPangasinan Heatwaves89-79
13/09/25APasig City78-81
10/09/25HValenzuela City Darkhorse100-74
01/09/25AQuezon Huskers72-88
11/08/25HGenSan Warriors76-72
31/07/25APasay Voyagers75-108
14/07/25ABataan Risers86-84
Cebu Classiclast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/25HDavao Tigers65-57
22/09/25ABacolod Masskara80-71
15/09/25ADavao Tigers59-64
08/09/25APangasinan Heatwaves77-83
28/08/25HZamboanga Sikat70-74
23/08/25AValenzuela City Darkhorse97-93
16/08/25HBulacan Kuyas87-71
12/08/25APasig City76-70
07/08/25HMarikina Verdiamonds104-86
02/08/25AGenSan Warriors100-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mindoro Tamaraws
MPBL 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL50%
HomeWWWLL58%
AwayWLLLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301218
Win %50%58%44%
Points / game80.581.979.6
Allowed / game79.576.281.7
Point differential+1.0+5.8-2.2
Avg total160.0158.1161.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cebu Classic
MPBL 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW40%
HomeLWWLW36%
AwayWWLLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301119
Win %40%36%42%
Points / game74.574.074.8
Allowed / game79.282.377.4
Point differential-4.7-8.3-2.6
Avg total153.7156.3152.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%18%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)33% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Abra Weavers2928197%90.869.4+21.4
2 Nueva Ecija Vanguards2927293%91.070.3+20.7
3 San Juan Knights2926390%82.769.9+12.8
4 Quezon Huskers2824486%83.067.5+15.5
5 Pasay Voyagers2921872%82.774.2+8.5
6 Batang Kankaloo2921872%78.571.7+6.8
7 Pampanga Giant Lanterns2820871%85.276.8+8.4
8 Pangasinan Heatwaves3021970%86.676.4+10.2
9 Batangas City2920969%78.269.9+8.2
10 Rizal Golden Coolers29191066%84.975.9+9.0
11 Basilan Viva Portmasters29181162%79.574.4+5.1
12 GenSan Warriors28171161%83.073.8+9.2
13 Zamboanga Sikat30181260%78.472.6+5.8
14 Binan Tatak Gel29171259%76.570.8+5.7
15 Ilagan Isabela Cowboys30151550%79.875.3+4.5
16 Mindoro Tamaraws30151550%80.579.5+1.0
17 Bataan Risers30141647%84.078.7+5.3
18 Pasig City29121741%77.782.0-4.3
19 Cebu Classic30121840%74.579.2-4.7
20 Davao Tigers30121840%75.981.5-5.7
21 Muntinlupa Cagers27101737%73.878.2-4.4
22 Sarangani Marlins29101934%80.788.5-7.9
23 Imus Braderhood2992031%75.785.2-9.6
24 Quezon City2972224%74.882.6-7.8
25 Valenzuela City Darkhorse2972224%75.687.2-11.6
26 Bacolod Masskara2942514%72.582.4-9.9
27 Marikina Verdiamonds2942514%74.087.8-13.8
28 Manila Batang Quiapo2832511%79.6108.3-28.7
29 Bulacan Kuyas2932610%71.796.3-24.6
30 Paranaque Patriots281274%70.997.8-26.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mindoro Tamaraws2813213092
Cebu Classic2019232789
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