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Minsk vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 24 Sep 2020
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 69-59
12-15 26-21 14-13 17-10
Position#21
Record1-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game65.0
Minsk 🏆
vs
Neptunas
Position#22
Record1-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game73.0
EuropeChampions LeagueChampions League - Final
European cup2020
Meetings · Minsk v Neptunas
24 Sep 2020
MIN69
NEP59
20 Oct 2013
MIN91
NEP90
10 Feb 2013
MIN93
NEP71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minsk winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinskLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A18/01
VTB United League
Khimki M.
#1
L
80-94
80
94
-14
H26/01
VTB United League
Astana
#10
W
96-77
96
77
+19
H02/02
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#4
L
71-85
71
85
-14
A09/02
VTB United League
Saratov
#12
L
90-109
90
109
-19
A29/02
VTB United League
Zielona Gora
#7
L
73-80
73
80
-7
H07/03
VTB United League
Grodno
#3
W
100-59
100
59
+41
H04/09
Premier League
Rubon
#5
W
113-48
113
48
+65
A05/09
Premier League
Borisfen
#2
W
92-53
92
53
+39
H06/09
Premier League
Balkan
#39
W
73-65
73
65
+8
H22/09
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
21-20
10-20
22-22
16-24
15-19
26-21
23-30
21-19
20-23
25-13
30-22
15-27
17-18
20-22
19-18
24-26
22-32
21-26
23-25
17-16
12-19
17-25
27-20
28-15
25-14
20-11
27-19
27-14
27-11
39-9
20-14
18-14
19-11
31-14
24-14
17-9
13-19
23-13
20-24
160.6Avg total
85.8Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)73.065.0138.0+8.0100%
Season at home (1)73.065.0138.0+8.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.874.8160.6+11.050%
Last 5 (5)90.261.0151.2+29.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)75.585.4160.9-9.89%
vs Similar ◀ (12)84.882.2167.1+2.650%
vs Weaker (6)101.861.7163.5+40.2100%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CBet
#6
W
86-73
86
73
+13
H04/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
64-102
64
102
-38
A11/01
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
69-92
69
92
-23
A18/01
LKL
CBet
#6
W
95-85
95
85
+10
A01/02
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
115-89
115
89
+26
H08/02
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#10
W
78-73
78
73
+5
H26/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
78-84
78
84
-6
H29/02
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
90-70
90
70
+20
H08/03
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
84-81
84
81
+3
H18/09
LKL
London Lions
#36
W
77-73
77
73
+4
H22/09
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
22-16
16-19
28-18
14-30
21-22
14-32
15-18
16-21
22-27
18-30
13-14
25-18
15-26
33-20
22-21
21-23
33-20
26-30
35-16
20-15
23-15
16-21
19-22
27-22
14-18
22-21
15-23
34-15
12-15
19-24
25-16
23-17
15-20
20-20
26-24
24-21
16-17
14-16
23-19
165.8Avg total
83.6Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)77.073.0150.0+4.0100%
Season at home (1)77.073.0150.0+4.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.682.2165.8+1.470%
Last 5 (5)81.476.2157.6+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)78.388.5166.8-10.217%
vs Similar ◀ (4)76.085.2161.2-9.250%
vs Weaker (19)87.577.6165.2+9.974%
This opponent (Minsk) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +5.8+5.8Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +3.0+3.0
MinskNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinskLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A18/01
VTB United League
Khimki M.
#1
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H26/01
VTB United League
Astana
#10
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H02/02
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#4
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A09/02
VTB United League
Saratov
#12
L
46-58
46
58
-12
A29/02
VTB United League
Zielona Gora
#7
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H07/03
VTB United League
Grodno
#3
W
53-29
53
29
+24
H04/09
Premier League
Rubon
#5
W
54-25
54
25
+29
A05/09
Premier League
Borisfen
#2
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H06/09
Premier League
Balkan
#39
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H22/09
Champions League
75.7Avg total
39.1Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.438.580.0+2.960%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.635.675.2+3.957%-
Last 30 away (16)43.141.184.1+2.062%-
Last 10 (10)39.136.675.7+2.550%-
Last 5 (5)40.628.469.0+12.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)38.541.980.5-3.436%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)41.140.081.1+1.158%-
vs Weaker (6)49.331.280.5+18.2100%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CBet
#6
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H04/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A11/01
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A18/01
LKL
CBet
#6
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A01/02
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H08/02
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#10
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H26/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H29/02
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H08/03
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H18/09
LKL
London Lions
#36
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H22/09
Champions League
81.5Avg total
41.7Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.240.283.4+3.067%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.137.581.5+6.688%-
Last 30 away (13)42.143.885.9-1.838%-
Last 10 (10)41.739.881.5+1.970%-
Last 5 (5)41.635.076.6+6.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.244.082.2-5.817%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)38.541.880.2-3.275%-
vs Weaker (19)45.938.884.8+7.179%-
This opponent (Minsk) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minsktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minsk: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.022.0
40.7%
52.7%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.06.0
35.3%
35.4%18.0
🏀 Free throws12.011.0
91.7%
73.2%11.0
They take 71.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 24% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.016.0
45.7%
52.7%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.0
32.7%
35.4%27.0
🏀 Free throws20.516.0
78.0%
73.2%16.0
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/2 games with a box score before 24 Sep 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minsk
WWWWLLLWLL
Neptunas
WWWLWWWLLW
#21
League position
#22
+14.5
Net rating
+8.2
105.7
Offensive rating
94.3
91.2
Defensive rating
86.2
43.7%
Effective FG%
47.2%
43.8%
Opp. effective FG%
46.8%
16.1%
Turnover %
21.5%
43.2%
Off. rebound %
24.4%
0.17
Free-throw rate
0.33
35.3%
3-point %
32.7%
57.1%
Assist %
62.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence105.7 · 94.3Defence91.2 · 86.2Shooting43.7% · 47.2%3-point %35.3% · 32.7%Ball care16.1% · 21.5%Off. rebounds43.2% · 24.4%Free throws0.17 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Minsk   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Minsk wins
2
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
12/01/14Neptunas v Minsk75-72
20/10/13Minsk v Neptunas91-90
10/02/13Minsk v Neptunas93-71
31/10/12Neptunas v Minsk110-106 OT
Minsklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/09/20HBalkan73-65
06/09/20HBorisfen92-53
05/09/20ARubon113-48
04/09/20HGrodno100-59
07/03/20HZielona Gora73-80
29/02/20ASaratov90-109
09/02/20AUnics Kazan71-85
02/02/20HAstana96-77
26/01/20HKhimki M.80-94
18/01/20ALokomotiv Kuban70-78
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/09/20HLondon Lions77-73
18/09/20HAlytaus Dzukija84-81
08/03/20HSiauliai90-70
29/02/20HLietkabelis78-84
26/02/20HAlytaus Dzukija78-73
08/02/20HJuventus115-89
01/02/20ACBet95-85
18/01/20ARytas69-92
11/01/20ALietkabelis64-102
04/01/20HCBet86-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minsk
Champions League 2020
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game73.073.0-
Allowed / game65.065.0-
Point differential+8.0+8.0-
Avg total138.0138.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Neptunas
Champions League 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game77.077.0-
Allowed / game73.073.0-
Point differential+4.0+4.0-
Avg total150.0150.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Donar Groningen110100%88.053.0+35.0
2 Bakken Bears110100%91.071.0+20.0
3 Belfius Mons110100%81.069.0+12.0
4 Minsk110100%73.065.0+8.0
5 Igokea110100%82.075.0+7.0
6 Sporting CP110100%84.078.0+6.0
7 Neptunas110100%77.073.0+4.0
8 Keravnos110100%96.094.0+2.0
9 Iraklis1010%94.096.0-2.0
10 London Lions1010%73.077.0-4.0
11 Fribourg Olympic1010%78.084.0-6.0
12 Cluj Napoca1010%75.082.0-7.0
13 Balkan1010%65.073.0-8.0
14 Anwil Wloclawek1010%69.081.0-12.0
15 Hapoel Tel-Aviv1010%71.091.0-20.0
16 BC Dnipro1010%53.088.0-35.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minsk1226141769
Neptunas1521131059
← all games of the day
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