Neptunas vs CBet Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Jan 2020

Tip-off: 15:00

Final 86-73

20-20 22-16 16-19 28-18

Position#4

Record9-7

FormLWLWL

Points / game83.4

Allowed / game79.1

Neptunas 🏆

CBet

Position#6

Record7-9

FormLWLLW

Points / game72.1

Allowed / game80.3

LKL

Domestic2019-20

Meetings · Neptunas v CBet

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

CBet winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Neptunas

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pieno Zvaigzdes

86-77

A26/10

LKL

CBet

101-59

101

+42

A02/11

LKL

Lietkabelis

78-74

H09/11

LKL

Siauliai

102-95

102

A17/11

LKL

Rytas

91-84

H24/11

LKL

Zalgiris Kaunas

82-100

100

-18

A01/12

LKL

Nevezis

88-78

+10

H07/12

LKL

Juventus

76-80

-4

A14/12

LKL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

93-70

+23

H23/12

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

#10

77-80

-3

A28/12

LKL

23-24

19-12

23-14

21-27

23-18

28-22

25-5

25-14

24-12

16-26

22-16

16-20

26-20

25-21

23-27

28-27

16-25

27-20

18-20

30-19

17-23

23-19

18-24

24-34

24-20

28-24

21-20

15-14

18-23

28-20

18-14

12-23

25-16

29-18

21-23

18-13

22-22

12-15

19-24

24-19

167.1Avg total

87.4Scored

79.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	83.4	79.1	162.4	+4.3	56%
Season at home (8)	83.4	76.8	160.1	+6.6	75%
Season away (8)	83.4	81.4	164.8	+2.0	38%
Last 10 (10)	87.4	79.7	167.1	+7.7	70%
Last 5 (5)	83.2	81.6	164.8	+1.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	80.2	87.8	168.0	-7.6	20%
vs Similar (4)	73.0	71.8	144.8	+1.2	75%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	85.2	76.4	161.6	+8.9	76%

This opponent (CBet) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CBet

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Zalgiris Kaunas

55-87

-32

A27/10

LKL

Neptunas

59-101

101

-42

H02/11

LKL

Siauliai

69-84

-15

A10/11

LKL

Rytas

64-88

-24

A16/11

LKL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

81-79

H23/11

LKL

Juventus

74-80

-6

H01/12

LKL

Lietkabelis

80-74

H07/12

LKL

Nevezis

70-73

-3

A16/12

LKL

Zalgiris Kaunas

64-105

105

-41

H22/12

LKL

Siauliai

85-76

H29/12

LKL

11-17

16-34

18-21

10-15

18-23

22-28

5-25

14-25

14-20

18-23

22-24

15-17

15-26

16-14

15-26

18-22

16-19

23-26

19-20

23-14

20-14

17-33

18-14

19-19

13-14

20-19

20-11

27-30

19-18

8-19

17-20

26-16

12-29

16-22

21-24

15-30

30-19

20-14

15-20

20-23

154.8Avg total

70.1Scored

84.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	72.1	80.3	152.4	-8.2	44%
Season at home (9)	76.4	83.4	159.9	-7.0	56%
Season away (7)	66.6	76.3	142.9	-9.7	29%
Last 10 (10)	70.1	84.7	154.8	-14.6	30%
Last 5 (5)	74.6	81.6	156.2	-7.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	67.9	84.6	152.4	-16.7	22%
vs Similar (7)	77.6	74.9	152.4	+2.7	71%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

NeptunasCBet

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	19.7	41.0	+1.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	18.3	40.7	+4.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.0	21.2	41.2	-1.2	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	20.3	42.1	+1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	20.8	42.0	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	16.2	21.4	37.6	-5.2	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.0	15.2	35.2	+4.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	22.7	20.2	42.9	+2.5	57%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (16)	16.9	19.8	36.6	-2.9	31%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	18.2	20.0	38.2	-1.8	33%	-
Last 30 away (7)	15.1	19.4	34.6	-4.3	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.8	19.9	36.7	-3.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	18.8	37.6	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	15.1	19.7	34.8	-4.6	22%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.1	19.9	39.0	-0.7	43%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	19.3	41.3	+2.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.8	20.3	42.1	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.1	18.3	40.4	+3.7	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	19.7	43.2	+3.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	19.2	43.2	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	22.0	21.8	43.8	+0.2	60%	-
vs Similar (4)	18.5	17.8	36.2	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	22.6	19.0	41.6	+3.5	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (16)	17.6	22.6	40.2	-4.9	25%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	19.7	24.6	44.2	-4.9	22%	-
Last 30 away (7)	15.0	20.0	35.0	-5.0	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	23.2	40.8	-5.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	21.4	37.6	-5.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	17.9	23.8	41.7	-5.9	33%	-
vs Similar (7)	17.3	21.0	38.3	-3.7	14%	-
vs Weaker	no games

NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pieno Zvaigzdes

42-36

A26/10

LKL

CBet

51-40

+11

A02/11

LKL

Lietkabelis

40-38

H09/11

LKL

Siauliai

51-41

+10

A17/11

LKL

Rytas

43-45

-2

H24/11

LKL

Zalgiris Kaunas

40-42

-2

A01/12

LKL

Nevezis

52-44

H07/12

LKL

Juventus

46-43

A14/12

LKL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

54-34

+20

H23/12

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

#10

34-37

-3

A28/12

LKL

85.3Avg total

45.3Scored

40.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.2	39.1	82.2	+4.1	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.3	38.6	82.9	+5.7	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.1	39.5	81.6	+2.5	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.3	40.0	85.3	+5.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.2	40.0	85.2	+5.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	38.2	43.2	81.4	-5.0	20%	-
vs Similar (4)	38.5	33.0	71.5	+5.5	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	45.2	39.2	84.5	+6.0	81%	-

This opponent (CBet) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CBetLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Zalgiris Kaunas

27-51

-24

A27/10

LKL

Neptunas

40-51

-11

H02/11

LKL

Siauliai

32-43

-11

A10/11

LKL

Rytas

31-40

-9

A16/11

LKL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

39-45

-6

H23/11

LKL

Juventus

37-47

-10

H01/12

LKL

Lietkabelis

33-33

H07/12

LKL

Nevezis

27-37

-10

A16/12

LKL

Zalgiris Kaunas

28-51

-23

H22/12

LKL

Siauliai

50-33

+17

H29/12

LKL

77.5Avg total

34.4Scored

43.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (16)	34.5	42.3	76.8	-7.8	19%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	37.9	44.6	82.4	-6.7	22%	-
Last 30 away (7)	30.1	39.4	69.6	-9.3	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.4	43.1	77.5	-8.7	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	40.2	75.2	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	33.0	43.4	76.4	-10.4	11%	-
vs Similar (7)	36.4	40.9	77.3	-4.4	29%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	19.0	38.4	+0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	20.2	40.5	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	17.8	36.3	+0.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	18.7	39.5	+2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	21.0	40.4	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.6	24.2	41.8	-6.6	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	17.5	14.5	32.0	+3.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	20.1	18.6	38.8	+1.5	52%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (16)	18.6	19.0	37.6	-0.4	44%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	17.9	18.2	36.1	-0.3	56%	-
Last 30 away (7)	19.4	20.0	39.4	-0.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	20.5	37.5	-3.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	17.8	36.0	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	17.2	19.0	36.2	-1.8	44%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.3	19.0	39.3	+1.3	43%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	19.6	39.8	+0.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	17.4	38.7	+3.9	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	21.8	40.9	-2.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	21.0	42.3	+0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	20.6	39.2	-2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	24.4	20.4	44.8	+4.0	80%	-
vs Similar (4)	17.0	24.2	41.2	-7.2	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	19.9	18.5	38.4	+1.3	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (16)	19.1	19.0	38.1	+0.1	38%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	20.7	20.7	41.3	+0.0	33%	-
Last 30 away (7)	17.0	16.9	33.9	+0.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	21.1	39.8	-2.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	23.6	45.0	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	17.7	22.1	39.8	-4.4	11%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.9	15.0	35.9	+5.9	71%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	38.6	78.2	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.6	37.6	79.2	+4.0	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.6	39.6	77.2	-2.0	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.1	39.7	81.8	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	41.6	79.6	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	42.0	44.6	86.6	-2.6	40%	-
vs Similar (4)	34.5	38.8	73.2	-4.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	40.0	37.1	77.1	+2.9	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (16)	37.6	38.0	75.6	-0.4	56%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	38.6	38.9	77.4	-0.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (7)	36.4	36.9	73.3	-0.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.7	41.6	77.3	-5.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	41.4	81.0	-1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	34.9	41.1	76.0	-6.2	44%	-
vs Similar (7)	41.1	34.0	75.1	+7.1	71%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 73.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀41%

🏀🏀🏀41%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 86.1 points a game

50%

30%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	30.0	15.0	50.0%	55.4%	30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.0	10.0	37.0%	35.5%	30.0
🏀 Free throws	16.0	13.0	81.2%	73.8%	13.0

They take 57.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

CBettheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.0	17.0	45.9%	55.4%	34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	20.0	8.0	40.0%	35.5%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	15.0	8.0	53.3%	73.8%	8.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.0	17.0	45.9%	55.4%	34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	20.0	8.0	40.0%	35.5%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	15.0	8.0	53.3%	73.8%	8.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Neptunas wins

CBet wins

Date	Game	Score
02/11/19	CBet v Neptunas	59-101

Neptunaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/12/19	A	Alytaus Dzukija	77-80
23/12/19	H	Pieno Zvaigzdes	93-70
14/12/19	A	Juventus	76-80
07/12/19	H	Nevezis	88-78
01/12/19	A	Zalgiris Kaunas	82-100
24/11/19	H	Rytas	91-84
17/11/19	A	Siauliai	102-95
09/11/19	H	Lietkabelis	78-74
02/11/19	A	CBet	101-59
26/10/19	A	Pieno Zvaigzdes	86-77

CBetlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/12/19	H	Siauliai	85-76
22/12/19	H	Zalgiris Kaunas	64-105
16/12/19	A	Nevezis	70-73
07/12/19	H	Lietkabelis	80-74
01/12/19	H	Juventus	74-80
23/11/19	H	Pieno Zvaigzdes	81-79
16/11/19	A	Rytas	64-88
10/11/19	A	Siauliai	69-84
02/11/19	H	Neptunas	59-101
27/10/19	A	Zalgiris Kaunas	55-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas

LKL 2019-20

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	56%
Home	LWWWW	75%
Away	WWLLL	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	8	8
Win %	56%	75%	38%
Points / game	83.4	83.4	83.4
Allowed / game	79.1	76.8	81.4
Point differential	+4.3	+6.6	+2.0
Avg total	162.4	160.1	164.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	38%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	50% (2)	0% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

CBet

LKL 2019-20

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	44%
Home	WLWLW	56%
Away	WLLLL	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	9	7
Win %	44%	56%	29%
Points / game	72.1	76.4	66.6
Allowed / game	80.3	83.4	76.3
Point differential	-8.2	-7.0	-9.7
Avg total	152.4	159.9	142.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	11%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Zalgiris Kaunas	16	16	0	100%	91.6	66.8	+24.9
2	Rytas	16	11	5	69%	84.4	75.8	+8.6
3	Lietkabelis	16	10	6	62%	77.1	72.5	+4.6
4	Neptunas	16	9	7	56%	83.4	79.1	+4.3
5	Juventus	16	8	8	50%	79.1	81.7	-2.6
6	CBet	16	7	9	44%	72.1	80.3	-8.2
7	Nevezis	16	5	11	31%	74.0	79.9	-5.9
8	Pieno Zvaigzdes	16	5	11	31%	76.2	84.8	-8.6
9	Alytaus Dzukija	16	5	11	31%	71.1	80.5	-9.4
10	Siauliai	16	4	12	25%	78.4	86.1	-7.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Neptunas	20	22	16	28	86
CBet	20	16	19	18	73

← all games of the day

Neptunas vs CBet Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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