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Mississippi St. vs North Texas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 72-54
36-32 36-22
Position#130
Record8-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game63.9
vs
Position#159
Record5-4
FormWWWLL
Points / game68.7
Allowed / game58.4
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Mississippi St. v North Texas
17 Dec 2023
MISS72
NORT54
04 Dec 2020
MISS69
NORT63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mississippi St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
North Texas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mississippi St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona State
#267
W
71-56
71
56
+15
H09/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#82
W
87-63
87
63
+24
H11/11
NCAA
North Alabama
#236
W
81-54
81
54
+27
H15/11
NCAA
Washington State
#45
W
76-64
76
64
+12
A18/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
W
66-57
66
57
+9
H19/11
NCAA
Nicholls State
#138
W
74-61
74
61
+13
H24/11
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
L
59-67
59
67
-8
A29/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#166
L
59-60
59
60
-1
H03/12
NCAA
Tulane
#251
W
106-76
106
76
+30
H09/12
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
85-81
85
81
+4
H14/12
NCAA
1H
2H
39-18
32-38
41-27
46-36
36-28
45-26
36-30
40-34
27-29
39-28
36-24
38-37
26-39
33-28
31-28
28-32
–
–
53-41
32-40
140.3Avg total
76.4Scored
63.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)76.463.9140.3+12.580%
Season at home (8)78.663.5142.1+15.188%
Season away (2)67.565.5133.0+2.050%
Last 10 (10)76.463.9140.3+12.580%
Last 5 (5)76.669.0145.6+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)57.069.3126.3-12.30%
vs Similar ◀ (16)70.765.2135.9+5.456%
vs Weaker (11)68.860.4129.2+8.582%
This opponent (North Texas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North TexasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UAB
#2
W
68-61
68
61
+7
H31/03
NIT
Northern Iowa
#150
W
83-77 OT
83
77
+6
H08/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#247
W
75-64
75
64
+11
H12/11
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#121
L
52-53
52
53
-1
H16/11
NCAA
LSU
#182
L
62-66
62
66
-4
A17/11
NCAA
Towson
#135
W
65-39
65
39
+26
A19/11
NCAA
Angelo State
#477
W
79-50
79
50
+29
H26/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#369
W
79-48
79
48
+31
H02/12
NCAA
Boise State
#70
L
64-69
64
69
-5
A06/12
NCAA
Fordham
#288
L
59-60
59
60
-1
H10/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
37-27
0-0
31-34
0-0
38-36
0-0
30-32
0-0
42-26
0-0
33-38
0-0
20-30
0-0
32-23
0-0
34-35
0-0
28-31
0-0
40-18
0-0
25-21
0-0
40-17
0-0
39-33
0-0
41-28
0-0
38-20
0-0
29-30
0-0
35-39
0-0
35-23
0-0
24-37
127.3Avg total
68.6Scored
58.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)68.758.4127.1+10.256%
Season at home (6)71.258.7129.8+12.567%
Season away (3)63.758.0121.7+5.733%
Last 10 (10)68.658.7127.3+9.960%
Last 5 (5)69.253.2122.4+16.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)62.066.0128.0-4.00%
vs Similar ◀ (8)68.263.2131.5+5.062%
vs Weaker (19)66.255.8122.0+10.379%
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +6.8+6.81st half: +8.6+8.62nd half2nd half: +3.8+3.82nd half: +0.7+0.7
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +6.8+6.81st half: +8.6+8.62nd half2nd half: +3.8+3.82nd half: +0.7+0.7
Mississippi St.North Texas
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Mississippi St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona State
#267
W
39-18
39
18
+21
H09/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#82
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H11/11
NCAA
North Alabama
#236
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H15/11
NCAA
Washington State
#45
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A18/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
27-29
27
29
-2
H19/11
NCAA
Nicholls State
#138
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H24/11
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A29/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#166
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H03/12
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H14/12
NCAA
65.4Avg total
36.1Scored
29.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)31.829.261.0+2.562%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.328.361.6+5.071%-
Last 30 away (12)29.630.660.2-1.050%-
Last 10 (9)36.129.365.4+6.878%-
Last 5 (5)34.632.266.8+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)26.731.057.7-4.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)31.729.861.5+1.960%-
vs Weaker (11)33.328.061.3+5.373%-
This opponent (North Texas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North TexasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UAB
#2
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H31/03
NIT
Northern Iowa
#150
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H08/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#247
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H12/11
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#121
L
20-30
20
30
-10
H16/11
NCAA
LSU
#182
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A17/11
NCAA
Towson
#135
W
40-18
40
18
+22
A19/11
NCAA
Angelo State
#477
W
40-17
40
17
+23
H26/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#369
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H02/12
NCAA
Boise State
#70
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A06/12
NCAA
Fordham
#288
W
35-23
35
23
+12
H10/12
NCAA
62.6Avg total
35.6Scored
27.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.126.359.4+6.880%-
Last 30 at home (19)33.826.360.1+7.584%-
Last 30 away (11)31.926.558.4+5.573%-
Last 10 (10)35.627.062.6+8.670%-
Last 5 (5)37.023.260.2+13.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)32.027.059.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)32.828.861.5+4.062%-
vs Weaker (19)33.125.858.9+7.384%-
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Mississippi St. wins
0
North Texas wins
DateGameScore
05/12/20Mississippi St. v North Texas69-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/23HMurray State85-81
09/12/23HTulane106-76
03/12/23HSouthern Univ.59-60
29/11/23AGeorgia Tech59-67
24/11/23HNicholls State74-61
19/11/23HNorthwestern66-57
18/11/23AWashington State76-64
15/11/23HNorth Alabama81-54
11/11/23HUT Martin87-63
09/11/23HArizona State71-56
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/23HFordham59-60
06/12/23ABoise State64-69
02/12/23HMiss. Valley St.79-48
26/11/23HAngelo State79-50
19/11/23ATowson65-39
17/11/23ALSU62-66
16/11/23HSt. John's (N.Y.)52-53
12/11/23HNebraska O.75-64
08/11/23HNorthern Iowa83-77 OT
31/03/23HUAB68-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mississippi St.
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW80%
HomeWWLWW88%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1082
Win %80%88%50%
Points / game76.478.667.5
Allowed / game63.963.565.5
Point differential+12.5+15.1+2.0
Avg total140.3142.1133.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%62%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
North Texas
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL56%
HomeWLWWL67%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %56%67%33%
Points / game68.771.263.7
Allowed / game58.458.758.0
Point differential+10.2+12.5+5.7
Avg total127.1129.8121.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %11%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma10100100%84.461.3+23.1
2 Ole Miss10100100%74.867.8+7.0
3 South Carolina109190%74.565.3+9.2
4 Kentucky108280%90.273.5+16.7
5 Auburn108280%83.267.1+16.1
6 Mississippi St.108280%76.463.9+12.5
7 Texas108280%80.768.2+12.5
8 Tennessee118373%78.267.3+10.9
9 Florida107370%82.372.8+9.5
10 Missouri107370%74.367.8+6.5
11 Georgia107370%71.568.7+2.8
12 Texas A&M117464%75.669.1+6.5
13 Arkansas117464%80.175.5+4.6
14 Alabama106460%92.177.6+14.5
15 LSU116555%74.170.5+3.5
16 Vanderbilt104640%68.473.0-4.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida Atlantic119282%83.568.1+15.4
2 Tulane108280%91.782.5+9.2
3 Memphis108280%79.674.4+5.2
4 Wichita State118373%77.570.7+6.7
5 Tulsa96367%76.370.0+6.3
6 Temple106460%78.774.0+4.7
7 North Texas95456%68.758.4+10.2
8 South Florida95456%75.669.4+6.1
9 East Carolina116555%74.170.4+3.7
10 UAB116555%76.274.9+1.3
11 Charlotte105550%65.863.9+1.9
12 Rice115645%73.774.5-0.7
13 UTSA Roadrunners115645%78.879.8-1.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Mississippi St.363672
North Texas322254
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