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Mississippi St. vs Murray State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 14 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 85-81
53-41 32-40
Position#130
Record7-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game62.0
vs
Position#296
Record3-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game70.9
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mississippi St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murray State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mississippi St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pittsburgh
#72
L
59-60
59
60
-1
H15/03
NCAA
Arizona State
#267
W
71-56
71
56
+15
H09/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#82
W
87-63
87
63
+24
H11/11
NCAA
North Alabama
#236
W
81-54
81
54
+27
H15/11
NCAA
Washington State
#45
W
76-64
76
64
+12
A18/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
W
66-57
66
57
+9
H19/11
NCAA
Nicholls State
#138
W
74-61
74
61
+13
H24/11
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
L
59-67
59
67
-8
A29/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#166
L
59-60
59
60
-1
H03/12
NCAA
Tulane
#251
W
106-76
106
76
+30
H09/12
NCAA
1H
2H
34-35
25-25
39-18
32-38
41-27
46-36
36-28
45-26
36-30
40-34
27-29
39-28
36-24
38-37
26-39
33-28
31-28
28-32
–
–
135.6Avg total
73.8Scored
61.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)75.462.0137.4+13.478%
Season at home (7)77.761.0138.7+16.786%
Season away (2)67.565.5133.0+2.050%
Last 10 (10)73.861.8135.6+12.070%
Last 5 (5)72.864.2137.0+8.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)56.073.8129.8-17.80%
vs Similar (16)70.765.2135.9+5.456%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)67.258.3125.5+8.980%
This opponent (Murray State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valparaiso
#306
W
78-50
78
50
+28
H03/03
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
62-74
62
74
-12
A04/03
NCAA
Midway
#486
W
91-58
91
58
+33
H07/11
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#322
W
78-72
78
72
+6
H11/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
L
81-86
81
86
-5
H15/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#60
L
81-83 OT
81
83
-2
A20/11
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
L
57-67
57
67
-10
H22/11
NCAA
Bradley
#71
W
79-72
79
72
+7
H30/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A03/12
NCAA
Austin Peay
#171
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A10/12
NCAA
1H
2H
38-25
40-25
31-33
31-41
54-33
37-25
36-26
42-46
34-43
47-43
37-35
35-37
28-33
29-34
42-32
37-40
33-35
39-41
26-28
23-25
141.9Avg total
72.8Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)73.570.9144.4+2.638%
Season at home (5)77.271.0148.2+6.260%
Season away (3)67.370.7138.0-3.30%
Last 10 (10)72.869.1141.9+3.740%
Last 5 (5)67.670.2137.8-2.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)67.677.5145.1-9.927%
vs Similar (10)71.070.7141.7+0.350%
vs Weaker (5)77.861.8139.6+16.0100%
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +5.3+5.31st half: +3.6+3.62nd half2nd half: +4.7+4.72nd half: +0.3+0.3
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +5.3+5.31st half: +3.6+3.62nd half2nd half: +4.7+4.72nd half: +0.3+0.3
Mississippi St.Murray State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Mississippi St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pittsburgh
#72
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H15/03
NCAA
Arizona State
#267
W
39-18
39
18
+21
H09/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#82
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H11/11
NCAA
North Alabama
#236
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H15/11
NCAA
Washington State
#45
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A18/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
27-29
27
29
-2
H19/11
NCAA
Nicholls State
#138
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H24/11
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A29/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#166
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H03/12
NCAA
62.7Avg total
34.0Scored
28.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)30.729.460.1+1.359%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.127.559.6+4.669%-
Last 30 away (13)29.031.860.8-2.846%-
Last 10 (9)34.028.762.7+5.367%-
Last 5 (5)31.230.061.2+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)25.534.860.2-9.225%-
vs Similar (15)31.729.861.5+1.960%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)31.326.758.0+4.670%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valparaiso
#306
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H03/03
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A04/03
NCAA
Midway
#486
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H07/11
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#322
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H11/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H15/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#60
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A20/11
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H22/11
NCAA
Bradley
#71
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H30/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A03/12
NCAA
Austin Peay
#171
L
26-28
26
28
-2
A10/12
NCAA
68.2Avg total
35.9Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.633.867.4-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.032.968.9+3.162%-
Last 30 away (14)30.934.865.7-3.921%-
Last 10 (10)35.932.368.2+3.650%-
Last 5 (5)33.232.665.8+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)32.736.369.1-3.627%-
vs Similar (10)33.333.666.9-0.350%-
vs Weaker (5)37.026.663.6+10.480%-
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mississippi St. wins
0
Murray State wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/23HTulane106-76
03/12/23HSouthern Univ.59-60
29/11/23AGeorgia Tech59-67
24/11/23HNicholls State74-61
19/11/23HNorthwestern66-57
18/11/23AWashington State76-64
15/11/23HNorth Alabama81-54
11/11/23HUT Martin87-63
09/11/23HArizona State71-56
15/03/23HPittsburgh59-60
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/23AAustin Peay49-53
03/12/23AIllinois State72-76
30/11/23HBradley79-72
22/11/23HAppalachian State57-67
20/11/23ANC Wilmington81-83 OT
15/11/23HWestern Kentucky81-86
11/11/23HTennessee Tech78-72
07/11/23HMidway91-58
04/03/23ADrake62-74
03/03/23HValparaiso78-50

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mississippi St.
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW78%
HomeWWWLW86%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games972
Win %78%86%50%
Points / game75.477.767.5
Allowed / game62.061.065.5
Point differential+13.4+16.7+2.0
Avg total137.4138.7133.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%71%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Murray State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL38%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %38%60%0%
Points / game73.577.267.3
Allowed / game70.971.070.7
Point differential+2.6+6.2-3.3
Avg total144.4148.2138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %12%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma990100%84.862.9+21.9
2 Ole Miss990100%73.366.7+6.7
3 South Carolina98189%74.764.9+9.8
4 Kentucky97278%90.672.4+18.1
5 Mississippi St.97278%75.462.0+13.4
6 Texas97278%79.066.3+12.7
7 Auburn86275%81.866.8+15.0
8 Tennessee107370%78.167.0+11.1
9 Texas A&M107370%76.669.0+7.6
10 Missouri107370%74.367.8+6.5
11 Alabama96367%93.276.8+16.4
12 Florida96367%83.773.7+10.0
13 Georgia96367%72.169.9+2.2
14 Arkansas106460%81.276.4+4.8
15 LSU95456%72.969.3+3.6
16 Vanderbilt94544%70.072.7-2.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State109190%88.570.9+17.6
2 Drake109190%78.568.0+10.5
3 Evansville97278%82.271.4+10.8
4 Belmont118373%80.678.2+2.5
5 Southern Illinois96367%77.165.9+11.2
6 Bradley96367%72.770.8+1.9
7 Illinois (Chi.)106460%71.862.0+9.8
8 Illinois State106460%66.265.6+0.6
9 Valparaiso104640%67.870.0-2.2
10 Murray State83538%73.570.9+2.6
11 Northern Iowa114736%75.974.0+1.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Mississippi St.533285
Murray State414081
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