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Mississippi St. vs Texas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 05 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 82-87 (OT)
32-37 39-34 11-16
Position#116
Record20-9
FormWWLLW
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game73.1
vs
Texas 🏆
USA
Position#168
Record16-13
FormLWLLL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game70.8
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mississippi St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Texas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mississippi St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina
#301
W
65-60 OT
65
60
+5
A25/01
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
84-88
84
88
-4
H30/01
NCAA
Missouri
#89
L
61-88
61
88
-27
H01/02
NCAA
Georgia
#120
W
76-75
76
75
+1
A08/02
NCAA
Florida
#6
L
68-81
68
81
-13
H12/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
W
81-71
81
71
+10
A15/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#70
W
70-54
70
54
+16
H19/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
L
87-93
87
93
-6
A22/02
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
73-111
73
111
-38
A26/02
NCAA
LSU
#255
W
81-69
81
69
+12
H01/03
NCAA
1H
2H
28-20
27-35
39-44
45-44
31-45
30-43
40-32
36-43
34-33
34-48
40-33
41-38
30-31
40-23
37-34
50-59
27-53
46-58
35-37
46-32
153.6Avg total
74.6Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)79.173.1152.2+6.069%
Season at home (17)82.672.0154.6+10.671%
Season away (12)74.174.7148.8-0.667%
Last 10 (10)74.679.0153.6-4.450%
Last 5 (5)78.479.6158.0-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)67.783.9151.6-16.114%
vs Similar ◀ (14)79.271.1150.3+8.179%
vs Weaker (9)84.767.4152.1+17.289%
This opponent (Texas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TexasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M
#70
W
70-69
70
69
+1
A25/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
L
69-72
69
72
-3
A30/01
NCAA
LSU
#255
W
89-58
89
58
+31
A01/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
L
70-78
70
78
-8
H06/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
L
78-86
78
86
-8
A08/02
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
80-103
80
103
-23
H12/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
W
82-78
82
78
+4
H16/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#301
L
69-84
69
84
-15
A23/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
L
81-86 OT
81
86
-5
A27/02
NCAA
Georgia
#120
L
67-83
67
83
-16
H02/03
NCAA
1H
2H
25-43
45-26
38-34
31-38
31-25
58-33
24-35
46-43
39-35
39-51
31-49
49-54
37-41
45-37
22-40
47-44
30-42
39-27
29-46
38-37
155.2Avg total
75.5Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)78.070.8148.9+7.255%
Season at home (17)82.868.5151.4+14.365%
Season away (12)71.274.1145.3-2.842%
Last 10 (10)75.579.7155.2-4.230%
Last 5 (5)75.886.8162.6-11.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)66.272.0138.2-5.820%
vs Similar ◀ (15)74.677.1151.7-2.540%
vs Weaker (10)87.159.9147.0+27.290%
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -2.1-2.11st half: -8.4-8.42nd half2nd half: -2.8-2.82nd half: +4.7+4.7
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -2.1-2.11st half: -8.4-8.42nd half2nd half: -2.8-2.82nd half: +4.7+4.7
Mississippi St.Texas
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Mississippi St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina
#301
W
28-20
28
20
+8
A25/01
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H30/01
NCAA
Missouri
#89
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H01/02
NCAA
Georgia
#120
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A08/02
NCAA
Florida
#6
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H12/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A15/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#70
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H19/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A22/02
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
27-53
27
53
-26
A26/02
NCAA
LSU
#255
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H01/03
NCAA
70.3Avg total
34.1Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.334.670.9+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.834.872.6+3.150%-
Last 30 away (12)34.134.268.3-0.258%-
Last 10 (10)34.136.270.3-2.150%-
Last 5 (5)33.837.671.4-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)29.040.669.6-11.614%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)37.133.170.1+4.064%-
vs Weaker (9)40.932.273.1+8.767%-
This opponent (Texas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TexasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M
#70
L
25-43
25
43
-18
A25/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A30/01
NCAA
LSU
#255
W
31-25
31
25
+6
A01/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
L
24-35
24
35
-11
H06/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A08/02
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
31-49
31
49
-18
H12/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H16/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#301
L
22-40
22
40
-18
A23/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A27/02
NCAA
Georgia
#120
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H02/03
NCAA
69.6Avg total
30.6Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.232.968.1+2.253%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.931.869.8+6.159%-
Last 30 away (13)31.534.465.9-2.846%-
Last 10 (10)30.639.069.6-8.430%-
Last 5 (5)29.843.673.4-13.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)27.832.460.2-4.620%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)34.236.570.7-2.340%-
vs Weaker (10)40.327.868.1+12.590%-
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mississippi St. wins
0
Texas wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25HLSU81-69
26/02/25AAlabama73-111
22/02/25AOklahoma87-93
19/02/25HTexas A&M70-54
15/02/25AOle Miss81-71
12/02/25HFlorida68-81
08/02/25AGeorgia76-75
01/02/25HMissouri61-88
30/01/25HAlabama84-88
25/01/25ASouth Carolina65-60 OT
Texaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/25HGeorgia67-83
27/02/25AArkansas81-86 OT
23/02/25ASouth Carolina69-84
16/02/25HKentucky82-78
12/02/25HAlabama80-103
08/02/25AVanderbilt78-86
06/02/25HArkansas70-78
01/02/25ALSU89-58
30/01/25AOle Miss69-72
25/01/25ATexas A&M70-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mississippi St.
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW69%
HomeLLLWW71%
AwayWWWLL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291712
Win %69%71%67%
Points / game79.182.674.1
Allowed / game73.172.074.7
Point differential+6.0+10.6-0.6
Avg total152.2154.6148.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%53%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)50% (4)100% (4)
Overtime %7%6%8%
Texas
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL55%
HomeWLLWL65%
AwayLWLLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291712
Win %55%65%42%
Points / game78.082.871.2
Allowed / game70.868.574.1
Point differential+7.2+14.3-2.8
Avg total148.9151.4145.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%47%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)50% (4)60% (5)
Overtime %3%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Auburn2927293%85.468.8+16.7
2 Florida2925486%83.867.2+16.6
3 Tennessee2924583%74.561.3+13.2
4 Alabama2923679%91.080.1+10.9
5 Missouri2921872%84.671.8+12.8
6 Ole Miss2920969%77.971.0+6.9
7 Vanderbilt2920969%80.474.0+6.4
8 Texas A&M2920969%73.867.4+6.3
9 Mississippi St.2920969%79.173.1+6.0
10 Kentucky30201067%85.676.8+8.8
11 Georgia30191163%75.569.0+6.5
12 Arkansas29171259%75.669.9+5.7
13 Oklahoma29171259%78.174.3+3.8
14 Texas29161355%78.070.8+7.2
15 LSU30141647%75.073.3+1.7
16 South Carolina30121840%70.071.3-1.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Mississippi St.32391182
Texas37341687
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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