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Arkansas vs Texas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 27 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 86-81 (OT)
42-30 27-39 17-12
Position#118
Record16-11
FormLWLLW
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game69.4
vs
Position#168
Record16-11
FormLLLWL
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game69.8
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Arkansas v Texas
04 Mar 2026
ARKA105
TEXA85
26 Feb 2025
ARKA86
TEXA81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arkansas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Texas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArkansasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri
#89
L
65-83
65
83
-18
A18/01
NCAA
Georgia
#120
W
68-65
68
65
+3
H23/01
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
L
62-65
62
65
-3
H26/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
W
89-79
89
79
+10
A02/02
NCAA
Texas
#168
W
78-70
78
70
+8
A06/02
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
81-85
81
85
-4
H09/02
NCAA
LSU
#255
W
70-58
70
58
+12
H13/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#70
L
61-69
61
69
-8
A15/02
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
60-67
60
67
-7
A20/02
NCAA
Missouri
#89
W
92-85
92
85
+7
H23/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-52
30-31
26-38
42-27
31-35
31-30
46-45
43-34
35-24
43-46
34-40
47-45
34-35
36-23
28-33
33-36
27-33
33-34
41-48
51-37
145.2Avg total
72.6Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)76.169.4145.5+6.659%
Season at home (15)78.964.9143.9+14.073%
Season away (12)72.575.1147.6-2.642%
Last 10 (10)72.672.6145.2+0.050%
Last 5 (5)72.872.8145.6+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)71.477.7149.1-6.222%
vs Similar ◀ (11)72.871.5144.3+1.455%
vs Weaker (10)85.464.7150.1+20.790%
This opponent (Texas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TexasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida
#6
L
60-84
60
84
-24
A18/01
NCAA
Missouri
#89
W
61-53
61
53
+8
H22/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#70
W
70-69
70
69
+1
A25/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
L
69-72
69
72
-3
A30/01
NCAA
LSU
#255
W
89-58
89
58
+31
A01/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
L
70-78
70
78
-8
H06/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
L
78-86
78
86
-8
A08/02
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
80-103
80
103
-23
H12/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
W
82-78
82
78
+4
H16/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#301
L
69-84
69
84
-15
A23/02
NCAA
1H
2H
30-37
30-47
32-25
29-28
25-43
45-26
38-34
31-38
31-25
58-33
24-35
46-43
39-35
39-51
31-49
49-54
37-41
45-37
22-40
47-44
149.3Avg total
72.8Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)78.369.8148.1+8.559%
Season at home (16)83.867.6151.4+16.269%
Season away (11)70.473.0143.4-2.645%
Last 10 (10)72.876.5149.3-3.740%
Last 5 (5)75.885.8161.6-10.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)66.272.0138.2-5.820%
vs Similar ◀ (14)73.473.7147.1-0.450%
vs Weaker (11)85.961.5147.5+24.482%
This opponent (Arkansas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -4.6-4.61st half: -5.5-5.52nd half2nd half: +4.6+4.62nd half: +1.8+1.8
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -4.6-4.61st half: -5.5-5.52nd half2nd half: +4.6+4.62nd half: +1.8+1.8
ArkansasTexas
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ArkansasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri
#89
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A18/01
NCAA
Georgia
#120
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H23/01
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H26/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A02/02
NCAA
Texas
#168
W
35-24
35
24
+11
A06/02
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H09/02
NCAA
LSU
#255
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H13/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#70
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A15/02
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A20/02
NCAA
Missouri
#89
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H23/02
NCAA
72.0Avg total
33.7Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.235.972.1+0.337%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.633.269.8+3.438%-
Last 30 away (14)35.838.974.7-3.136%-
Last 10 (10)33.738.372.0-4.620%-
Last 5 (5)32.837.870.6-5.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)33.938.372.2-4.422%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)34.536.370.7-1.827%-
vs Weaker (10)40.233.273.4+7.060%-
This opponent (Texas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TexasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida
#6
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A18/01
NCAA
Missouri
#89
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H22/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#70
L
25-43
25
43
-18
A25/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A30/01
NCAA
LSU
#255
W
31-25
31
25
+6
A01/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
L
24-35
24
35
-11
H06/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A08/02
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
31-49
31
49
-18
H12/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H16/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#301
L
22-40
22
40
-18
A23/02
NCAA
67.3Avg total
30.9Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.431.366.7+4.160%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.929.767.6+8.267%-
Last 30 away (12)31.733.865.4-2.150%-
Last 10 (10)30.936.467.3-5.540%-
Last 5 (5)30.640.070.6-9.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)27.832.460.2-4.620%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)34.433.668.0+0.750%-
vs Weaker (11)40.227.968.1+12.391%-
This opponent (Arkansas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Arkansas wins
0
Texas wins
DateGameScore
06/02/25Texas v Arkansas70-78
Arkansaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/25HMissouri92-85
20/02/25AAuburn60-67
15/02/25ATexas A&M61-69
13/02/25HLSU70-58
09/02/25HAlabama81-85
06/02/25ATexas78-70
02/02/25AKentucky89-79
26/01/25HOklahoma62-65
23/01/25HGeorgia68-65
18/01/25AMissouri65-83
Texaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/25ASouth Carolina69-84
16/02/25HKentucky82-78
12/02/25HAlabama80-103
08/02/25AVanderbilt78-86
06/02/25HArkansas70-78
01/02/25ALSU89-58
30/01/25AOle Miss69-72
25/01/25ATexas A&M70-69
22/01/25HMissouri61-53
18/01/25AFlorida60-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arkansas
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW59%
HomeWLLWW73%
AwayLWWLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271512
Win %59%73%42%
Points / game76.178.972.5
Allowed / game69.464.975.1
Point differential+6.6+14.0-2.6
Avg total145.5143.9147.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%60%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)33% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Texas
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL59%
HomeLWLLW69%
AwayWLWLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271611
Win %59%69%45%
Points / game78.383.870.4
Allowed / game69.867.673.0
Point differential+8.5+16.2-2.6
Avg total148.1151.4143.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)50% (4)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Auburn2826293%85.168.4+16.7
2 Florida2824486%83.667.1+16.5
3 Tennessee2823582%74.360.8+13.6
4 Alabama2823582%91.580.1+11.4
5 Missouri2821775%84.370.9+13.4
6 Texas A&M2820871%73.966.7+7.2
7 Ole Miss2819968%77.570.5+7.0
8 Vanderbilt2819968%79.873.3+6.5
9 Mississippi St.2819968%79.073.2+5.8
10 Kentucky2718967%85.776.4+9.2
11 Oklahoma27171063%77.773.5+4.3
12 Georgia28171161%75.369.2+6.1
13 Texas27161159%78.369.8+8.5
14 Arkansas27161159%76.169.4+6.6
15 LSU28141450%75.672.2+3.4
16 South Carolina28111739%70.171.9-1.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Arkansas42271786
Texas30391281
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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