PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Missouri State vs Florida International Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 79-71
35-30 44-41
Position#223
Record9-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game70.9
vs
Position#232
Record9-6
FormWLWWL
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game77.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Missouri State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Florida International winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LIU Sharks
#59
L
61-75
61
75
-14
H25/11
NCAA
Northeastern State
#422
W
92-71
92
71
+21
H30/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
L
74-98
74
98
-24
A06/12
NCAA
Xavier
#248
L
57-75
57
75
-18
A13/12
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
W
63-62
63
62
+1
H17/12
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
W
70-65
70
65
+5
H23/12
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
61-43
61
43
+18
A29/12
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
79-55
79
55
+24
H03/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
89-82
89
82
+7
H04/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
80-90
80
90
-10
A08/01
NCAA
1H
2H
40-35
21-40
60-33
32-38
32-48
42-50
28-31
29-44
30-24
33-38
34-22
36-43
27-17
34-26
49-23
30-32
53-41
36-41
37-42
43-48
144.2Avg total
72.6Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)75.270.9146.1+4.360%
Season at home (10)80.769.0149.7+11.780%
Season away (5)64.274.6138.8-10.420%
Last 10 (10)72.671.6144.2+1.060%
Last 5 (5)75.867.0142.8+8.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)68.174.3142.5-6.213%
vs Similar ◀ (9)64.369.9134.2-5.633%
vs Weaker (3)67.753.3121.0+14.3100%
This opponent (Florida International) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida InternationalUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska O.
#219
W
74-61
74
61
+13
H26/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
W
89-83
89
83
+6
H04/12
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#289
W
88-65
88
65
+23
H06/12
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
81-98
81
98
-17
A17/12
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
W
86-79
86
79
+7
H20/12
NCAA
Trinity Baptist
#671
W
121-70
121
70
+51
H22/12
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
94-97 OT
94
97
-3
H28/12
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
89-74
89
74
+15
H02/01
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
76-64
76
64
+12
H04/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
L
64-71
64
71
-7
A08/01
NCAA
1H
2H
38-31
36-30
44-38
45-45
41-23
47-42
43-43
38-55
44-46
42-33
68-36
53-34
33-41
49-41
44-39
45-35
29-30
47-34
25-31
39-40
162.4Avg total
86.2Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)85.777.7163.4+8.160%
Season at home (11)90.472.9163.3+17.582%
Season away (4)73.090.8163.8-17.80%
Last 10 (10)86.276.2162.4+10.070%
Last 5 (5)88.875.2164.0+13.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)66.778.6145.3-11.97%
vs Similar ◀ (11)78.175.5153.5+2.664%
vs Weaker (3)100.371.3171.7+29.0100%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +7.4+7.41st half: +5.1+5.12nd half2nd half: -6.4-6.42nd half: +5.2+5.2
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +7.4+7.41st half: +5.1+5.12nd half2nd half: -6.4-6.42nd half: +5.2+5.2
Missouri StateFlorida International
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LIU Sharks
#59
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H25/11
NCAA
Northeastern State
#422
W
60-33
60
33
+27
H30/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A06/12
NCAA
Xavier
#248
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A13/12
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
W
30-24
30
24
+6
H17/12
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
W
34-22
34
22
+12
H23/12
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
27-17
27
17
+10
A29/12
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
49-23
49
23
+26
H03/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H04/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A08/01
NCAA
70.6Avg total
39.0Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.831.866.7+3.047%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.830.868.6+7.159%-
Last 30 away (13)30.933.264.2-2.331%-
Last 10 (10)39.031.670.6+7.470%-
Last 5 (5)40.029.069.0+11.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)32.334.666.9-2.320%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)33.330.663.9+2.867%-
vs Weaker (3)35.321.356.7+14.0100%-
This opponent (Florida International) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida InternationalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska O.
#219
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H26/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H04/12
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#289
W
41-23
41
23
+18
H06/12
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A17/12
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H20/12
NCAA
Trinity Baptist
#671
W
68-36
68
36
+32
H22/12
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H28/12
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H02/01
NCAA
UTEP
#307
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H04/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
L
25-31
25
31
-6
A08/01
NCAA
76.7Avg total
40.9Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.536.672.1-1.030%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.236.576.7+3.653%-
Last 30 away (13)29.536.666.1-7.20%-
Last 10 (10)40.935.876.7+5.150%-
Last 5 (5)39.835.475.2+4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)29.938.067.9-8.17%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)37.936.174.0+1.845%-
vs Weaker (3)50.335.385.7+15.067%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Missouri State wins
0
Florida International wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/26AKennesaw State80-90
04/01/26HNew Mexico State89-82
03/01/26HUTEP79-55
29/12/25ADelaware61-43
23/12/25HLindenwood70-65
17/12/25HOral Roberts63-62
13/12/25AXavier57-75
06/12/25ATulsa74-98
30/11/25HNortheastern State92-71
25/11/25HLIU Sharks61-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/26AJacksonville State64-71
04/01/26HUTEP76-64
02/01/26HNew Mexico State89-74
28/12/25HLiberty94-97 OT
22/12/25HTrinity Baptist121-70
20/12/25HLIU Sharks86-79
17/12/25AMiami (FL)81-98
06/12/25HJacksonville Dolphins88-65
04/12/25HFlorida Gulf Coast89-83
26/11/25HNebraska O.74-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Missouri State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL60%
HomeWWWWW80%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15105
Win %60%80%20%
Points / game75.280.764.2
Allowed / game70.969.074.6
Point differential+4.3+11.7-10.4
Avg total146.1149.7138.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Florida International
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL60%
HomeWWLWW82%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15114
Win %60%82%0%
Points / game85.790.473.0
Allowed / game77.772.990.8
Point differential+8.1+17.5-17.8
Avg total163.4163.3163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%64%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %7%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty1613381%80.867.8+13.0
2 New Mexico State1410471%77.968.6+9.3
3 Western Kentucky1610662%81.075.7+5.3
4 Kennesaw State159660%89.076.1+12.9
5 Florida International159660%85.777.7+8.1
6 Middle Tenn. St.159660%76.970.3+6.6
7 Missouri State159660%75.270.9+4.3
8 Sam Houston St.169756%85.175.6+9.5
9 Louisiana Tech169756%68.760.4+8.2
10 Jacksonville State158753%73.764.6+9.1
11 UTEP1651131%69.872.6-2.8
12 Delaware1651131%65.970.8-4.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Missouri State354479
Florida International304171
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.