Mladost Admiral vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 03 May 2018

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 75-104

14-25 25-32 19-19 17-28

Position#12

Record1-4

FormLLWLL

Points / game74.8

Allowed / game93.4

Mladost Admiral

Crvena zvezda 🏆

Position#1

Record4-1

FormWWLWW

Points / game91.6

Allowed / game69.6

Super LeagueRound 6

Other2018

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mladost Admiral winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Crvena zvezda winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mladost Admiral Serbia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Borac Mozzart

65-77

-12

H24/03

First League

KK Metalac

#10

78-73

A29/03

First League

Spartak Subotica

96-99 OT

-3

H03/04

First League

Vrsac

65-72

-7

A08/04

First League

OKK Beograd

#11

78-83

-5

H10/04

First League

Crvena zvezda

64-115

115

-51

A18/04

Super League

Zlatibor Cajetina

76-82

-6

H21/04

Super League

Mega Bemax

92-90

A24/04

Super League

Tamis Petrohemija

79-84

-5

H27/04

Super League

Borac Mozzart

63-96

-33

A30/04

Super League

15-15

14-22

15-18

21-22

21-21

24-16

18-18

15-18

21-23

23-24

17-11

20-24

13-20

15-16

17-12

15-15

27-18

12-27

24-23

15-26

21-27

16-29

12-33

22-22

19-21

20-20

15-19

21-22

20-23

23-24

28-21

17-19

17-24

20-19

25-22

18-31

21-16

14-25

10-24

162.7Avg total

75.6Scored

87.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	74.8	93.4	168.2	-18.6	20%
Season at home (2)	77.5	83.0	160.5	-5.5	0%
Season away (3)	73.0	100.3	173.3	-27.3	33%
Last 10 (10)	75.6	87.1	162.7	-11.5	20%
Last 5 (5)	74.8	93.4	168.2	-18.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	71.2	84.1	155.3	-12.9	9%
vs Similar (11)	79.4	79.0	158.4	+0.4	64%
vs Weaker (8)	83.1	71.5	154.6	+11.6	75%

This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Crvena zvezda Serbia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

CSKA Moscow

81-92

-11

A05/04

Euroleague

Buducnost

76-80

-4

H09/04

ABA League

Buducnost

69-59

+10

H10/04

ABA League

Buducnost

77-78

-1

A13/04

ABA League

Buducnost

73-77

-4

A14/04

ABA League

Mladost Admiral

#12

115-64

115

+51

H18/04

Super League

Mega Bemax

91-64

+27

H21/04

Super League

Borac Mozzart

63-70

-7

A24/04

Super League

Zlatibor Cajetina

102-64

102

+38

H27/04

Super League

Tamis Petrohemija

87-86

A30/04

Super League

24-23

20-14

19-27

18-28

22-25

16-12

19-26

19-17

17-13

14-18

16-17

22-11

23-24

24-18

17-26

13-10

15-22

23-14

19-24

16-17

26-15

27-21

29-16

33-12

27-10

19-19

22-13

23-22

17-23

9-14

15-18

22-15

30-19

18-12

29-22

25-11

25-20

22-21

24-19

16-26

156.8Avg total

83.4Scored

73.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	91.6	69.6	161.2	+22.0	80%
Season at home (3)	102.7	64.0	166.7	+38.7	100%
Season away (2)	75.0	78.0	153.0	-3.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	83.4	73.4	156.8	+10.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	91.6	69.6	161.2	+22.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	72.4	88.1	160.6	-15.7	0%
vs Similar (9)	82.3	79.7	162.0	+2.7	56%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	91.8	71.6	163.4	+20.2	85%

This opponent (Mladost Admiral) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Mladost AdmiralCrvena zvezda

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	18.1	37.4	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.6	18.3	37.9	+1.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.0	17.9	36.9	+1.1	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	21.3	39.2	-3.4	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	24.0	42.6	-5.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	18.3	20.6	38.9	-2.4	18%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.2	16.9	37.1	+3.3	73%	-
vs Weaker (8)	19.5	16.4	35.9	+3.1	75%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	20.8	42.0	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	22.0	19.7	41.7	+2.3	56%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.9	22.4	42.3	-2.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	19.4	42.0	+3.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	17.4	42.4	+7.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	16.3	23.6	39.9	-7.3	14%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.9	22.2	44.1	-0.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	23.8	18.8	42.6	+4.9	69%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	19.5	39.1	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.2	20.5	40.7	-0.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	18.5	37.5	+0.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	21.0	40.7	-1.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	22.2	41.8	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	18.0	21.1	39.1	-3.1	27%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.3	19.9	39.2	-0.6	45%	-
vs Weaker (8)	22.1	16.9	39.0	+5.2	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	18.7	39.3	+1.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	21.4	17.7	39.1	+3.7	78%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.2	20.2	39.5	-1.0	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	16.3	35.5	+2.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	17.4	36.4	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.0	21.3	40.3	-2.3	29%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.4	18.4	38.9	+2.0	78%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	21.4	17.8	39.2	+3.6	69%	-

Mladost AdmiralLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Borac Mozzart

29-37

-8

H24/03

First League

KK Metalac

#10

45-37

A29/03

First League

Spartak Subotica

36-41

-5

H03/04

First League

Vrsac

33-44

-11

A08/04

First League

OKK Beograd

#11

42-33

H10/04

First League

Crvena zvezda

36-53

-17

A18/04

Super League

Zlatibor Cajetina

41-43

-2

H21/04

Super League

Mega Bemax

41-45

-4

A24/04

Super League

Tamis Petrohemija

34-43

-9

H27/04

Super League

Borac Mozzart

39-47

-8

A30/04

Super League

79.9Avg total

37.6Scored

42.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.9	37.7	76.5	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.8	38.9	78.7	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.9	36.5	74.4	+1.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.6	42.3	79.9	-4.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	46.2	84.4	-8.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	36.3	41.7	78.0	-5.5	18%	-
vs Similar (11)	39.5	36.8	76.3	+2.6	64%	-
vs Weaker (8)	41.6	33.2	74.9	+8.4	75%	-

This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

CSKA Moscow

44-37

A05/04

Euroleague

Buducnost

38-37

H09/04

ABA League

Buducnost

31-31

H10/04

ABA League

Buducnost

47-42

A13/04

ABA League

Buducnost

38-36

A14/04

ABA League

Mladost Admiral

#12

53-36

+17

H18/04

Super League

Mega Bemax

46-29

+17

H21/04

Super League

Borac Mozzart

26-37

-11

A24/04

Super League

Zlatibor Cajetina

48-31

+17

H27/04

Super League

Tamis Petrohemija

47-41

A30/04

Super League

77.5Avg total

41.8Scored

35.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.7	39.5	81.2	+2.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	43.4	37.4	80.8	+5.9	78%	-
Last 30 away (12)	39.2	42.7	81.8	-3.5	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	35.7	77.5	+6.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	34.8	78.8	+9.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	35.3	44.9	80.1	-9.6	14%	-
vs Similar (9)	42.3	40.7	83.0	+1.7	78%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	45.2	36.6	81.8	+8.5	77%	-

This opponent (Mladost Admiral) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	20.4	39.1	-1.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.6	20.1	39.7	-0.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.8	20.7	38.5	-2.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	22.0	39.6	-4.4	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	23.4	42.0	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	16.8	21.1	37.9	-4.3	27%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.2	20.9	41.1	-0.7	36%	-
vs Weaker (8)	19.2	18.8	38.0	+0.5	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	20.0	40.8	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	22.0	18.6	40.6	+3.4	61%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.0	22.1	41.1	-3.1	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	20.8	41.7	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	17.6	41.4	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.0	22.6	41.6	-3.6	29%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.3	20.8	40.1	-1.4	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	23.5	18.3	41.8	+5.2	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	20.0	39.2	-0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.6	19.3	40.9	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.7	20.8	37.5	-4.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	20.5	38.9	-2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	23.8	41.8	-5.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	18.1	21.3	39.4	-3.2	36%	-
vs Similar (11)	17.9	19.2	37.1	-1.3	36%	-
vs Weaker (8)	22.2	19.5	41.8	+2.8	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	18.4	39.6	+2.9	70%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	23.2	17.6	40.7	+5.6	83%	-
Last 30 away (12)	18.3	19.6	37.9	-1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	16.9	37.6	+3.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	17.2	41.0	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.1	20.7	38.9	-2.6	57%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.7	18.2	38.9	+2.4	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	23.2	16.7	39.8	+6.5	85%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.8	40.4	78.3	-2.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.2	39.3	80.5	+1.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.5	41.5	76.0	-7.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.0	42.5	78.5	-6.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	47.2	83.8	-10.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	34.9	42.4	77.3	-7.5	45%	-
vs Similar (11)	38.1	40.1	78.2	-2.0	55%	-
vs Weaker (8)	41.5	38.2	79.8	+3.2	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.0	38.3	80.4	+3.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	45.2	36.1	81.3	+9.1	83%	-
Last 30 away (12)	37.3	41.7	79.0	-4.3	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.6	37.7	79.3	+3.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.6	34.8	82.4	+12.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	37.1	43.3	80.4	-6.1	29%	-
vs Similar (9)	40.0	39.0	79.0	+1.0	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	46.6	35.0	81.6	+11.6	85%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Mladost Admiraltheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 75.1 points a game scored

🏀🏀53%

🏀🏀🏀30%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 53% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 30% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.3	19.9	52.0%	-	39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.8	7.4	33.9%	-	22.2
🏀 Free throws	20.4	13.1	64.2%	-	13.1

They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.3	19.6	51.2%	-	39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	20.7	7.1	34.3%	-	21.3
🏀 Free throws	24.6	18.3	74.4%	-	18.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.2	19.7	51.7%	-	39.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.9	9.4	39.2%	-	28.1
🏀 Free throws	19.6	14.2	72.2%	-	14.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.2	18.7	50.4%	-	37.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	20.4	7.7	37.8%	-	23.1
🏀 Free throws	23.1	18.1	78.3%	-	18.1

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Mladost Admiral wins

Crvena zvezda wins

Date	Game	Score
18/04/18	Crvena zvezda v Mladost Admiral	115-64

Mladost Admirallast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/04/18	A	Borac Mozzart	63-96
27/04/18	H	Tamis Petrohemija	79-84
24/04/18	A	Mega Bemax	92-90
21/04/18	H	Zlatibor Cajetina	76-82
18/04/18	A	Crvena zvezda	64-115
10/04/17	H	OKK Beograd	78-83
08/04/17	A	Vrsac	65-72
03/04/17	H	Spartak Subotica	96-99 OT
29/03/17	A	KK Metalac	78-73
24/03/17	H	Borac Mozzart	65-77

Crvena zvezdalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/04/18	A	Tamis Petrohemija	87-86
27/04/18	H	Zlatibor Cajetina	102-64
24/04/18	A	Borac Mozzart	63-70
21/04/18	H	Mega Bemax	91-64
18/04/18	H	Mladost Admiral	115-64
14/04/18	A	Buducnost	73-77
13/04/18	A	Buducnost	77-78
10/04/18	H	Buducnost	69-59
09/04/18	H	Buducnost	76-80
05/04/18	A	CSKA Moscow	81-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mladost Admiral

Super League 2018

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	20%
Home	LL	0%
Away	LWL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	2	3
Win %	20%	0%	33%
Points / game	74.8	77.5	73.0
Allowed / game	93.4	83.0	100.3
Point differential	-18.6	-5.5	-27.3
Avg total	168.2	160.5	173.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	0% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Crvena zvezda

Super League 2018

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	80%
Home	WWW	100%
Away	LW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	3	2
Win %	80%	100%	50%
Points / game	91.6	102.7	75.0
Allowed / game	69.6	64.0	78.0
Point differential	+22.0	+38.7	-3.0
Avg total	161.2	166.7	153.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	60%	100%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Borac Mozzart	5	5	0	100%	89.8	71.2	+18.6
2	Partizan	5	5	0	100%	95.2	76.8	+18.4
3	Crvena zvezda	5	4	1	80%	91.6	69.6	+22.0
4	FMP Beograd	5	4	1	80%	94.2	79.8	+14.4
5	KK Dynamic	5	3	2	60%	86.8	81.6	+5.2
6	Tamis Petrohemija	5	2	3	40%	82.8	84.2	-1.4
7	Mega Bemax	5	2	3	40%	80.6	85.4	-4.8
8	Vrsac	5	2	3	40%	84.4	92.4	-8.0
9	Vojvodina Novi Sad	5	1	4	20%	76.2	87.6	-11.4
10	Zlatibor Cajetina	5	1	4	20%	77.6	93.4	-15.8
11	Mladost Admiral	5	1	4	20%	74.8	93.4	-18.6
12	KK Metalac	5	0	5	0%	76.4	95.0	-18.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Mladost Admiral	14	25	19	17	75
Crvena zvezda	25	32	19	28	104

← all games of the day

Mladost Admiral vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature