PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

CSKA Moscow vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Apr 2018
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 92-81
23-24 14-20 27-19 28-18
Position#1
Record23-6
FormWWWLW
Points / game89.4
Allowed / game79.6
CSKA Moscow 🏆
vs
Crvena zvezda
Position#14
Record11-18
FormLLLLW
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game83.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 30
European cup2017
Meetings · CSKA Moscow v Crvena zvezda
12 Sep 2024
CMO94
CZV92
15 Oct 2021
CMO78
CZV76
25 Mar 2021
CMO87
CZV72
05 Apr 2018
CMO92
CZV81
09 Feb 2017
CMO102
CZV80
14 Apr 2016
CMO77
CZV76
12 Apr 2016
CMO84
CZV74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CSKA Moscow winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CSKA MoscowLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
93-73
93
73
+20
A01/03
Euroleague
Saratov
#6
W
110-98
110
98
+12
A04/03
VTB United League
Unicaja
#9
W
101-76
101
76
+25
H09/03
Euroleague
VEF Riga
#9
W
102-83
102
83
+19
A12/03
VTB United League
Fenerbahce
#2
W
81-79
81
79
+2
A16/03
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#6
W
89-81
89
81
+8
H21/03
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#8
W
90-73
90
73
+17
A23/03
Euroleague
Enisey
#13
W
108-73
108
73
+35
H26/03
VTB United League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#4
L
73-85
73
85
-12
A30/03
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#2
W
80-63
80
63
+17
H02/04
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
30-18
15-20
26-17
27-28
26-29
30-19
27-22
30-20
27-23
22-18
22-15
24-24
22-23
30-21
26-15
25-23
19-17
10-18
27-21
23-26
21-14
25-22
20-19
29-17
24-20
15-21
22-15
29-17
19-21
27-12
33-23
18-23
24-25
18-16
13-21
23-9
22-17
23-25
12-12
171.1Avg total
92.7Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)89.479.6169.0+9.879%
Season at home (14)92.479.5171.9+12.993%
Season away (15)86.679.7166.3+6.967%
Last 10 (10)92.778.4171.1+14.390%
Last 5 (5)88.075.0163.0+13.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)87.083.0170.0+4.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)90.279.6169.8+10.679%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Igokea
#10
W
82-76
82
76
+6
A05/03
ABA League
Barcelona
#12
L
54-88
54
88
-34
A09/03
Euroleague
Cibona
#11
W
107-69
107
69
+38
H12/03
ABA League
Valencia
#11
W
106-90
106
90
+16
H15/03
Euroleague
Mornar Bar
#4
W
91-63
91
63
+28
H18/03
ABA League
Panathinaikos
#5
L
71-91
71
91
-20
A20/03
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#2
L
63-80
63
80
-17
H22/03
Euroleague
Mornar Bar
#4
L
84-88
84
88
-4
A25/03
ABA League
Real Madrid
#3
L
79-82
79
82
-3
H30/03
Euroleague
Mornar Bar
#4
W
88-69
88
69
+19
H02/04
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
20-21
18-20
22-11
12-17
12-28
25-17
5-26
24-14
24-22
34-17
25-16
23-23
27-25
29-19
27-23
22-14
19-8
23-27
27-14
15-24
23-23
18-30
15-14
17-22
14-18
10-25
22-15
21-30
24-18
19-21
20-19
20-27
19-16
18-21
22-18
26-19
26-18
16-19
20-13
162.1Avg total
82.5Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)77.783.6161.2-5.938%
Season at home (15)80.980.0160.9+0.953%
Season away (14)74.287.4161.6-13.121%
Last 10 (10)82.579.6162.1+2.950%
Last 5 (5)77.082.0159.0-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)73.683.0156.6-9.422%
vs Similar (9)88.188.4176.6-0.356%
vs Weaker (11)89.971.2161.1+18.791%
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +4.8+4.8Q4: +3.6+3.6
CSKA MoscowCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
52-36
52
36
+16
A01/03
Euroleague
Saratov
#6
L
53-57
53
57
-4
A04/03
VTB United League
Unicaja
#9
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H09/03
Euroleague
VEF Riga
#9
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A12/03
VTB United League
Fenerbahce
#2
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A16/03
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#6
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H21/03
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#8
W
53-37
53
37
+16
A23/03
Euroleague
Enisey
#13
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H26/03
VTB United League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#4
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A30/03
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#2
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H02/04
VTB United League
89.6Avg total
48.4Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.939.585.4+6.473%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.236.282.4+10.086%-
Last 30 away (16)45.642.488.0+3.262%-
Last 10 (10)48.441.289.6+7.270%-
Last 5 (5)46.437.884.2+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)49.035.584.5+13.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)45.739.885.5+5.971%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Igokea
#10
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A05/03
ABA League
Barcelona
#12
L
24-45
24
45
-21
A09/03
Euroleague
Cibona
#11
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H12/03
ABA League
Valencia
#11
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H15/03
Euroleague
Mornar Bar
#4
W
41-22
41
22
+19
H18/03
ABA League
Panathinaikos
#5
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A20/03
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#2
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H22/03
Euroleague
Mornar Bar
#4
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A25/03
ABA League
Real Madrid
#3
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H30/03
Euroleague
Mornar Bar
#4
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H02/04
ABA League
82.1Avg total
41.0Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.440.081.4+1.460%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.937.380.2+5.683%-
Last 30 away (12)39.244.083.2-4.825%-
Last 10 (10)41.041.182.1-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)41.043.084.0-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)35.141.476.6-6.333%-
vs Similar (9)43.244.988.1-1.756%-
vs Weaker (11)45.535.781.3+9.882%-
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CSKA Moscowtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Moscow: 88.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.423.8
57.5%
51.7%47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.28.8
39.6%
37.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws17.614.7
83.5%
76.3%14.7
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.020.0
52.6%
51.7%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.99.0
37.7%
37.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws20.114.7
73.1%
76.3%14.7
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Apr 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CSKA Moscow
WLWWWWWWWW
Crvena zvezda
WLLLLWWWLW
#1
League position
#14
+10.9
Net rating
+4.5
120.9
Offensive rating
112.1
110.0
Defensive rating
107.6
58.2%
Effective FG%
54.1%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
15.8%
Turnover %
16.4%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.32
39.6%
3-point %
37.7%
58.3%
Assist %
62.1%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence120.9 · 112.1Defence110.0 · 107.6Shooting58.2% · 54.1%3-point %39.6% · 37.7%Ball care15.8% · 16.4%Off. rebounds32.0% · 31.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ CSKA Moscow   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
CSKA Moscow wins
1
Crvena zvezda wins
DateGameScore
15/11/17Crvena zvezda v CSKA Moscow59-85
09/02/17CSKA Moscow v Crvena zvezda102-80
29/12/16Crvena zvezda v CSKA Moscow78-67
18/04/16Crvena zvezda v CSKA Moscow71-78
14/04/16CSKA Moscow v Crvena zvezda77-76
12/04/16CSKA Moscow v Crvena zvezda84-74
CSKA Moscowlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/18HUnics Kazan80-63
30/03/18AZalgiris Kaunas73-85
26/03/18HEnisey108-73
23/03/18AKhimki M.90-73
21/03/18HOlympiacos89-81
16/03/18AFenerbahce81-79
12/03/18AVEF Riga102-83
09/03/18HUnicaja101-76
04/03/18ASaratov110-98
01/03/18AMaccabi Tel Aviv93-73
Crvena zvezdalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/18HMornar Bar88-69
30/03/18HReal Madrid79-82
25/03/18AMornar Bar84-88
22/03/18HFenerbahce63-80
20/03/18APanathinaikos71-91
18/03/18HMornar Bar91-63
15/03/18HValencia106-90
12/03/18HCibona107-69
09/03/18ABarcelona54-88
05/03/18AIgokea82-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CSKA Moscow
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL79%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayLWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %79%93%67%
Points / game89.492.486.6
Allowed / game79.679.579.7
Point differential+9.8+12.9+6.9
Avg total169.0171.9166.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Crvena zvezda
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL38%
HomeWWWLL53%
AwayLLLLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %38%53%21%
Points / game77.780.974.2
Allowed / game83.680.087.4
Point differential-5.9+0.9-13.1
Avg total161.2160.9161.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)50% (4)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow2923679%89.479.6+9.8
2 Fenerbahce2921872%80.374.3+6.0
3 Olympiacos29191066%77.676.4+1.2
4 Real Madrid29181162%85.679.6+5.9
5 Panathinaikos29181162%78.376.9+1.4
6 Zalgiris Kaunas29171259%81.480.4+1.0
7 Baskonia29161355%83.079.0+4.0
8 Khimki M.29161355%77.878.1-0.3
9 Maccabi Tel Aviv29131645%81.284.2-3.0
10 Unicaja29121741%78.981.9-3.0
11 Valencia29111838%78.481.6-3.2
12 Bamberg29111838%76.780.7-4.0
13 Crvena zvezda29111838%77.783.6-5.9
14 Barcelona29101934%81.780.1+1.7
15 Olimpia Milano29101934%81.285.5-4.3
16 Anadolu Efes2962321%77.284.5-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CSKA Moscow2314272892
Crvena zvezda2420191881
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.