Mogi vs Vila Velha Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 14 Mar 2013

Tip-off: 23:00

Final 76-85

17-23 16-18 21-17 22-27

Position#15

Record10-17

FormWLLWL

Points / game75.0

Allowed / game82.1

Mogi

Vila Velha 🏆

Position#16

Record8-18

FormLWLLL

Points / game79.6

Allowed / game84.5

NBBRound 29

Other2012-13

Meetings · Mogi v Vila Velha

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mogi winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Vila Velha winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mogi

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sorocabana

#12

74-81

-7

A31/01

NBB

Bauru

84-87

-3

A02/02

NBB

Tijuca

#17

68-83

-15

H05/02

NBB

Joinville

#14

90-85

A14/02

NBB

Limeira

#11

79-71

A16/02

NBB

Suzano

#18

86-65

+21

H21/02

NBB

Palmeiras

#13

77-86 OT

-9

A23/02

NBB

Flamengo

64-86

-22

H04/03

NBB

Paulistano

77-67

+10

A07/03

NBB

Pinheiros

82-118

118

-36

A09/03

NBB

12-16

18-25

22-23

22-17

14-33

24-11

23-31

23-12

18-12

17-21

18-34

15-16

13-17

24-10

28-23

25-35

21-14

22-14

21-14

15-29

24-18

17-13

30-12

15-22

15-17

15-19

13-20

26-13

18-23

10-11

18-32

18-20

14-16

23-22

20-8

20-21

16-28

16-25

27-39

23-26

161.0Avg total

78.1Scored

82.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	75.0	82.1	157.1	-7.1	37%
Season at home (12)	72.9	79.2	152.2	-6.3	42%
Season away (15)	76.7	84.3	161.0	-7.7	33%
Last 10 (10)	78.1	82.9	161.0	-4.8	40%
Last 5 (5)	77.2	84.4	161.6	-7.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	74.0	85.4	159.4	-11.4	38%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	75.3	78.6	153.9	-3.2	33%
vs Weaker (2)	81.5	71.5	153.0	+10.0	50%

This opponent (Vila Velha) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Vila Velha Brazil

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sorocabana

#12

76-82

-6

A26/01

NBB

Flamengo

77-96

-19

A31/01

NBB

Tijuca

#17

74-82

-8

A02/02

NBB

Limeira

#11

72-64

H05/02

NBB

Joinville

#14

67-59

H07/02

NBB

Palmeiras

#13

65-87

-22

A14/02

NBB

Suzano

#18

94-88

A16/02

NBB

Pinheiros

74-78

-4

H21/02

NBB

Paulistano

120-126 OT

120

126

-6

H23/02

NBB

Minas

#10

72-95

-23

A07/03

NBB

13-33

16-16

22-13

25-20

30-25

14-19

18-24

15-28

22-24

9-18

21-28

22-12

11-23

14-15

16-7

31-19

23-17

12-21

18-10

14-11

17-18

16-23

16-25

16-21

17-23

26-13

19-19

32-33

19-20

24-9

17-29

14-20

23-21

21-19

28-29

13-16

14-23

15-17

18-21

25-34

164.8Avg total

79.1Scored

85.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	79.6	84.5	164.1	-4.9	31%
Season at home (13)	80.4	81.1	161.5	-0.7	46%
Season away (13)	78.8	87.9	166.8	-9.1	15%
Last 10 (10)	79.1	85.7	164.8	-6.6	30%
Last 5 (5)	85.0	94.8	179.8	-9.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	80.3	86.8	167.2	-6.5	15%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	72.5	76.1	148.6	-3.6	50%
vs Weaker (2)	90.0	88.5	178.5	+1.5	50%

This opponent (Mogi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

MogiVila Velha

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	17.1	19.9	37.0	-2.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	17.6	18.9	36.5	-1.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.8	20.6	37.4	-3.8	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.5	19.4	35.9	-2.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	20.4	37.8	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	16.9	21.8	38.7	-4.9	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	16.8	17.1	33.9	-0.3	44%	-
vs Weaker (2)	21.0	16.5	37.5	+4.5	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	20.8	39.1	-2.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.1	19.5	37.7	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.4	22.1	40.5	-3.7	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	22.7	41.6	-3.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	21.0	39.0	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	18.4	21.2	39.6	-2.8	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	17.5	19.8	37.2	-2.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.5	21.0	40.5	-1.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	17.4	18.9	36.3	-1.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	17.0	17.7	34.7	-0.7	42%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	19.9	37.7	-2.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	17.1	35.7	+1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	18.0	34.2	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	17.3	20.1	37.4	-2.8	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	17.2	17.3	34.6	-0.1	44%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.0	16.5	35.5	+2.5	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	19.2	37.4	-1.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.3	18.5	36.8	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	19.8	37.9	-1.7	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.7	17.0	33.7	-0.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	16.2	36.6	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	18.4	19.7	38.0	-1.3	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	16.6	18.0	34.6	-1.4	38%	-
vs Weaker (2)	23.0	18.5	41.5	+4.5	50%	-

MogiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sorocabana

#12

30-41

-11

A31/01

NBB

Bauru

38-44

-6

A02/02

NBB

Tijuca

#17

35-33

H05/02

NBB

Joinville

#14

37-27

+10

A14/02

NBB

Limeira

#11

43-28

+15

A16/02

NBB

Suzano

#18

41-31

+10

H21/02

NBB

Palmeiras

#13

30-36

-6

A23/02

NBB

Flamengo

28-34

-6

H04/03

NBB

Paulistano

37-38

-1

A07/03

NBB

Pinheiros

32-53

-21

A09/03

NBB

71.6Avg total

35.1Scored

36.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	34.6	38.8	73.3	-4.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	34.6	36.6	71.2	-2.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.5	40.5	75.1	-6.0	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.1	36.5	71.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.6	38.4	72.0	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	34.2	41.9	76.1	-7.8	12%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	34.0	34.4	68.4	-0.4	56%	-
vs Weaker (2)	40.0	33.0	73.0	+7.0	100%	-

This opponent (Vila Velha) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Vila VelhaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sorocabana

#12

29-49

-20

A26/01

NBB

Flamengo

44-44

A31/01

NBB

Tijuca

#17

31-42

-11

A02/02

NBB

Limeira

#11

25-38

-13

H05/02

NBB

Joinville

#14

35-38

-3

H07/02

NBB

Palmeiras

#13

33-41

-8

A14/02

NBB

Suzano

#18

43-36

A16/02

NBB

Pinheiros

43-29

+14

H21/02

NBB

Paulistano

44-40

H23/02

NBB

Minas

#10

29-40

-11

A07/03

NBB

75.3Avg total

35.6Scored

39.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.5	40.0	76.4	-3.5	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.4	38.1	74.5	-1.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.5	41.9	78.4	-5.3	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.6	39.7	75.3	-4.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	37.2	75.6	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	36.8	40.9	77.7	-4.1	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	34.1	37.8	71.9	-3.6	38%	-
vs Weaker (2)	42.5	39.5	82.0	+3.0	50%	-

This opponent (Mogi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	20.5	21.9	42.4	-1.4	44%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	19.2	22.5	41.7	-3.3	42%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.6	21.5	43.1	+0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	23.6	45.6	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	22.2	43.8	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	20.6	22.1	42.7	-1.6	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	19.4	22.9	42.3	-3.4	33%	-
vs Weaker (2)	25.0	16.0	41.0	+9.0	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	20.5	39.7	-1.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	19.5	38.2	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	21.4	41.3	-1.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	20.5	39.8	-1.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	24.6	44.2	-5.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	20.0	21.1	41.1	-1.1	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	17.4	19.0	36.4	-1.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.5	20.0	39.5	-0.5	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	19.4	20.3	39.7	-0.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	18.7	19.1	37.8	-0.4	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.0	21.2	41.2	-1.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	21.1	41.3	-0.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	20.4	40.8	+0.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	18.9	20.5	39.4	-1.6	31%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	21.0	19.3	40.3	+1.7	56%	-
vs Weaker (2)	16.5	22.5	39.0	-6.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	22.3	44.3	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.4	20.5	41.9	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.6	24.1	46.7	-1.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	21.4	42.1	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	24.8	44.8	-4.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	21.8	22.8	44.6	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	21.0	19.4	40.4	+1.6	62%	-
vs Weaker (2)	28.0	29.0	57.0	-1.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	39.9	42.2	82.1	-2.3	44%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	37.8	41.6	79.4	-3.8	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.6	42.7	84.3	-1.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.2	44.7	86.9	-2.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	42.6	84.6	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	39.4	42.6	82.1	-3.2	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	40.4	42.2	82.7	-1.8	44%	-
vs Weaker (2)	41.5	38.5	80.0	+3.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.3	42.8	84.0	-1.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.1	40.0	80.1	+0.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.5	45.5	88.0	-3.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.0	41.9	81.9	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	49.4	89.0	-9.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	41.8	43.9	85.7	-2.1	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	38.4	38.4	76.8	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	47.5	49.0	96.5	-1.5	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Mogi wins

Vila Velha wins

Date	Game	Score
05/01/13	Vila Velha v Mogi	92-85

Mogilast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/03/13	A	Pinheiros	82-118
07/03/13	A	Paulistano	77-67
04/03/13	H	Flamengo	64-86
23/02/13	A	Palmeiras	77-86 OT
21/02/13	H	Suzano	86-65
16/02/13	A	Limeira	79-71
14/02/13	A	Joinville	90-85
05/02/13	H	Tijuca	68-83
02/02/13	A	Bauru	84-87
31/01/13	A	Sorocabana	74-81

Vila Velhalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/03/13	A	Minas	72-95
23/02/13	H	Paulistano	120-126 OT
21/02/13	H	Pinheiros	74-78
16/02/13	A	Suzano	94-88
14/02/13	A	Palmeiras	65-87
07/02/13	H	Joinville	67-59
05/02/13	H	Limeira	72-64
02/02/13	A	Tijuca	74-82
31/01/13	A	Flamengo	77-96
26/01/13	A	Sorocabana	76-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mogi

NBB 2012-13

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	37%
Home	WLLWL	42%
Away	WWLWL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	12	15
Win %	37%	42%	33%
Points / game	75.0	72.9	76.7
Allowed / game	82.1	79.2	84.3
Point differential	-7.1	-6.3	-7.7
Avg total	157.1	152.2	161.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	17%	7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (9)	75% (4)	60% (5)
Overtime %	7%	8%	7%

Vila Velha

NBB 2012-13

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	31%
Home	WWWLL	46%
Away	LLLWL	15%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	13	13
Win %	31%	46%	15%
Points / game	79.6	80.4	78.8
Allowed / game	84.5	81.1	87.9
Point differential	-4.9	-0.7	-9.1
Avg total	164.1	161.5	166.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	4%	0%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	17% (6)	25% (4)	0% (2)
Overtime %	4%	8%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Flamengo	27	24	3	89%	90.6	75.3	+15.4
2	Brasilia	26	22	4	85%	89.0	78.6	+10.5
3	Unitri Universo	27	18	9	67%	83.9	79.0	+5.0
4	Bauru	26	17	9	65%	82.8	76.7	+6.0
5	Pinheiros	26	17	9	65%	87.8	84.0	+3.8
6	Franca	27	17	10	63%	79.6	73.0	+6.6
7	Sao Jose	27	16	11	59%	79.7	77.1	+2.5
8	Paulistano	26	15	11	58%	81.8	81.4	+0.4
9	Minas	26	14	12	54%	84.1	82.2	+1.9
10	Sorocabana	26	12	14	46%	76.4	80.2	-3.8
11	Limeira	27	12	15	44%	80.6	79.0	+1.6
12	Cearense	26	11	15	42%	79.0	81.8	-2.9
13	Mogi	27	10	17	37%	75.0	82.1	-7.1
14	Joinville	27	9	18	33%	74.4	78.0	-3.6
15	Vila Velha	26	8	18	31%	79.6	84.5	-4.9
16	Palmeiras	26	8	18	31%	77.4	83.3	-6.0
17	Suzano	26	4	22	15%	74.1	90.3	-16.3
18	Tijuca	27	4	23	15%	69.1	78.6	-9.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Mogi	17	16	21	22	76
Vila Velha	23	18	17	27	85

← all games of the day

Mogi vs Vila Velha Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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