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Monaco vs Lietkabelis Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 17 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position-
Record-
FormLWLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#13
Record3-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game78.6
EuropeEurocupRound 8· Salle Gaston Medecin
European cup2026
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Monaco win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Lietkabelis win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MonacoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
JL Bourg
#7
W
114-103
114
103
+11
A27/05
LNB
Nanterre
#3
W
103-88
103
88
+15
H01/06
LNB
Nanterre
#3
L
89-98
89
98
-9
H03/06
LNB
Nanterre
#3
W
83-61
83
61
+22
A06/06
LNB
Nanterre
#3
W
89-78
89
78
+11
A08/06
LNB
Paris
#2
L
91-95
91
95
-4
A14/06
LNB
Paris
#2
W
102-90
102
90
+12
A17/06
LNB
Paris
#2
L
77-88
77
88
-11
H19/06
LNB
Paris
#2
W
96-84
96
84
+12
H21/06
LNB
Paris
#2
W
101-92
101
92
+9
A23/06
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-22
33-27
21-27
28-27
24-27
25-23
26-21
28-17
23-19
30-22
18-21
18-36
20-20
23-8
21-18
19-15
17-24
32-13
18-19
22-22
28-22
24-29
24-16
15-28
28-15
25-26
24-25
25-24
26-17
18-23
17-18
16-30
27-16
27-17
29-22
13-29
27-24
28-28
18-29
28-11
182.2Avg total
94.5Scored
87.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)94.587.7182.2+6.870%
Last 5 (5)93.489.8183.2+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)72.096.7168.7-24.70%
vs Similar (23)91.589.3180.9+2.261%
vs Weaker (4)95.294.2189.5+1.075%
LietkabelisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Taurage
#9
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H26/09
LKL
KK Bosna
#21
W
75-72
75
72
+3
H30/09
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
68-97
68
97
-29
A04/10
LKL
BC Roma
#23
L
87-92
87
92
-5
A07/10
Eurocup
Jonava
#8
L
65-71
65
71
-6
H10/10
LKL
PAOK
#11
W
95-86
95
86
+9
H13/10
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
W
73-72
73
72
+1
A17/10
LKL
Balkan
#32
W
64-57
64
57
+7
A20/10
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#3
L
80-83
80
83
-3
A24/10
LKL
Ulm
#9
L
68-86
68
86
-18
H27/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
14-16
32-28
15-17
12-20
25-18
25-15
13-19
21-20
19-29
12-23
16-25
11-22
27-21
25-27
24-22
13-20
15-13
15-14
22-24
23-22
27-18
24-24
21-22
20-19
22-9
20-21
11-23
13-10
20-15
16-20
15-12
14-27
23-12
22-16
21-28
25-22
17-28
9-17
17-19
155.5Avg total
76.0Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.878.6156.4-0.860%
Season at home (3)79.381.3160.7-2.067%
Season away (2)75.574.5150.0+1.050%
Last 10 (10)76.079.5155.5-3.550%
Last 5 (5)76.076.8152.8-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)78.887.7166.4-8.922%
vs Similar (13)78.577.9156.4+0.554%
vs Weaker (8)80.671.6152.2+9.062%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -3.6-3.6
MonacoLietkabelis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MonacoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
JL Bourg
#7
W
65-49
65
49
+16
A27/05
LNB
Nanterre
#3
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H01/06
LNB
Nanterre
#3
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H03/06
LNB
Nanterre
#3
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A06/06
LNB
Nanterre
#3
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A08/06
LNB
Paris
#2
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A14/06
LNB
Paris
#2
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A17/06
LNB
Paris
#2
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H19/06
LNB
Paris
#2
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H21/06
LNB
Paris
#2
W
55-52
55
52
+3
A23/06
LNB
93.9Avg total
51.7Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.044.291.1+2.863%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.142.290.3+5.973%-
Last 30 away (15)45.846.191.9-0.353%-
Last 10 (10)51.742.293.9+9.590%-
Last 5 (5)51.643.495.0+8.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)35.755.090.7-19.30%-
vs Similar (23)48.343.191.4+5.170%-
vs Weaker (4)48.042.090.0+6.075%-
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Taurage
#9
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H26/09
LKL
KK Bosna
#21
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H30/09
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A04/10
LKL
BC Roma
#23
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A07/10
Eurocup
Jonava
#8
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H10/10
LKL
PAOK
#11
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H13/10
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A17/10
LKL
Balkan
#32
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A20/10
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#3
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A24/10
LKL
Ulm
#9
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H27/10
Eurocup
76.4Avg total
38.5Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.440.278.7-1.837%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.239.879.0-0.640%-
Last 30 away (15)37.740.778.3-3.033%-
Last 10 (10)38.537.976.4+0.640%-
Last 5 (5)40.836.477.2+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.044.483.4-5.411%-
vs Similar (13)38.240.778.8-2.538%-
vs Weaker (8)38.234.873.0+3.562%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Monacotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monaco: 92.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.921.8
59.1%
54.0%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.19.9
39.4%
34.0%29.7
🏀 Free throws26.618.8
70.7%
75.6%18.8
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.018.5
50.0%
54.0%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.5
33.0%
34.0%22.5
🏀 Free throws19.615.4
78.6%
75.6%15.4
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Monaco
WWLWLWWLWW
Lietkabelis
LLWWWLLLWW
+4.9
Net rating
-4.8
103.2
Offensive rating
92.4
98.3
Defensive rating
97.3
59.1%
Effective FG%
49.8%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
56.2%
14.6%
Turnover %
15.5%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.33
39.4%
3-point %
33.0%
68.5%
Assist %
56.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.2 · 92.4Defence98.3 · 97.3Shooting59.1% · 49.8%3-point %39.4% · 33.0%Ball care14.6% · 15.5%Free throws0.43 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Monaco   ■ Lietkabelis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Monaco wins
0
Lietkabelis wins
DateGameScore
18/12/20Lietkabelis v Monaco64-88
07/10/20Monaco v Lietkabelis82-57
Monacolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/06/26AParis101-92
21/06/26HParis96-84
19/06/26HParis77-88
17/06/26AParis102-90
14/06/26AParis91-95
08/06/26ANanterre89-78
06/06/26ANanterre83-61
03/06/26HNanterre89-98
01/06/26HNanterre103-88
27/05/26AJL Bourg114-103
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/26HUlm68-86
24/10/26AGargzdai80-83
20/10/26ABalkan64-57
17/10/26ANevezis73-72
13/10/26HPAOK95-86
10/10/26HJonava65-71
07/10/26ABC Roma87-92
04/10/26AZalgiris Kaunas68-97
30/09/26HKK Bosna75-72
26/09/26HTaurage85-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Monaco
Eurocup 2026
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Lietkabelis
Eurocup 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL60%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game77.879.375.5
Allowed / game78.681.374.5
Point differential-0.8-2.0+1.0
Avg total156.4160.7150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Aris550100%91.274.8+16.4
2 Hapoel Jerusalem550100%88.873.6+15.2
3 Basket Napoli550100%92.483.8+8.6
4 Bahcesehir Kol.54180%90.678.6+12.0
5 Chemnitz54180%88.278.0+10.2
6 Tofas54180%90.483.0+7.4
7 Tenerife54180%88.281.8+6.4
8 London Lions53260%80.873.0+7.8
9 Ulm53260%90.686.6+4.0
10 Manresa53260%90.287.0+3.2
11 PAOK53260%84.481.4+3.0
12 Tortona53260%83.283.8-0.6
13 Lietkabelis53260%77.878.6-0.8
14 Siauliai53260%82.484.0-1.6
15 Frankfurt53260%87.890.4-2.6
16 Rigas Zelli53260%80.884.2-3.4
17 Venezia52340%86.081.4+4.6
18 Buducnost52340%91.088.2+2.8
19 Le Mans52340%81.280.4+0.8
20 Maxima Roma52340%84.084.0+0.0
21 KK Bosna52340%81.681.8-0.2
22 Trento52340%82.087.4-5.4
23 BC Roma52340%83.088.6-5.6
24 Cluj-Napoca52340%83.091.6-8.6
25 JL Bourg51420%82.888.2-5.4
26 San Pablo Burgos51420%79.885.4-5.6
27 Turk Telekom51420%75.481.4-6.0
28 Neptunas51420%84.891.2-6.4
29 Slask Wroclaw51420%78.490.2-11.8
30 Rostock51420%78.491.6-13.2
31 Cedevita Olimpija5050%72.682.2-9.6
32 Balkan5050%67.683.2-15.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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