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Monferrato vs Agrigento Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 76-74
15-16 21-25 18-18 22-15
Position#24
Record0-3
FormWWLLL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game82.7
vs
Position#19
Record1-2
FormLLLWL
Points / game70.7
Allowed / game73.7
ItalySerie A2Round 4· PalaFerraris
Other2023-24
Meetings · Monferrato v Agrigento
14 Oct 2023
MONF76
AGRI74
26 Mar 2023
MONF88
AGRI77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Monferrato winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Agrigento winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MonferratoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMonferrato
Date
Competition
Ravenna
#27
L
76-78
76
78
-2
no box
A07/05
Serie A2
San Severo
#20
W
82-78
82
78
+4
no box
H13/05
Serie A2
Chieti Basket
#26
L
77-84
77
84
-7
no box
A21/05
Serie A2
Chieti Basket
#26
W
78-72 OT
78
72
+6
no box
A28/05
Serie A2
Chieti Basket
#26
L
68-78
68
78
-10
no box
A30/05
Serie A2
Chieti Basket
#26
W
89-74
89
74
+15
no box
H03/06
Serie A2
Chieti Basket
#26
W
86-70
86
70
+16
no box
H05/06
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
L
78-79
78
79
-1
66avg 73
H01/10
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
85-91
85
91
-6
83avg 73
A07/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
77-78
77
78
-1
70avg 73
A11/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
17-17
15-24
22-17
18-20
19-13
25-18
20-27
28-23
14-15
14-20
21-26
26-19
9-10
17-16
12-19
15-12
21-17
9-26
23-23
24-18
27-21
20-12
18-23
15-9
24-13
25-21
22-27
21-23
17-19
17-17
23-20
23-32
28-16
17-21
17-22
23-22
15-20
25-22
14-14
157.8Avg total
79.6Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)80.082.7162.7-2.70%
Season at home (1)78.079.0157.0-1.00%
Season away (2)81.084.5165.5-3.50%
Last 10 (10)79.678.2157.8+1.440%
Last 5 (5)83.078.4161.4+4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)71.882.6154.4-10.820%
vs Similar ◀ (23)78.578.2156.7+0.339%
vs Weaker (2)75.582.5158.0-7.00%
This opponent (Agrigento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AgrigentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAgrigento
Date
Competition
Rimini
#13
W
79-72
79
72
+7
no box
A16/04
Serie A2
Chiusi
#23
W
90-83
90
83
+7
no box
H23/04
Serie A2
Pallacanestro Nardo
#14
L
78-107
78
107
-29
no box
A29/04
Serie A2
Rimini
#13
W
77-69
77
69
+8
no box
H07/05
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
L
67-83
67
83
-16
no box
A13/05
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
L
63-79
63
79
-16
no box
A15/05
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
L
91-97 OT
91
97
-6
no box
H19/05
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
L
67-75
67
75
-8
57avg 61
H01/10
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
75-69
75
69
+6
68avg 61
A07/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
70-77
70
77
-7
58avg 61
H11/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
18-12
15-13
29-25
24-27
23-19
24-19
19-18
20-29
19-22
23-30
16-26
17-18
23-11
20-20
17-20
14-22
21-15
7-20
25-26
25-21
13-16
14-27
11-15
23-20
15-14
21-23
25-27
7-19
15-19
27-16
18-21
21-12
22-20
17-24
15-13
17-25
25-18
11-23
17-11
156.8Avg total
75.7Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)70.773.7144.3-3.033%
Season at home (2)68.576.0144.5-7.50%
Season away (1)75.069.0144.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)75.781.1156.8-5.440%
Last 5 (5)73.279.4152.6-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)74.679.8154.4-5.220%
vs Similar ◀ (15)85.585.3170.8+0.160%
vs Weaker (5)81.669.4151.0+12.280%
This opponent (Monferrato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -1.0-1.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -1.0-1.0
MonferratoAgrigento
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MonferratoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ravenna
#27
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A07/05
Serie A2
San Severo
#20
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H13/05
Serie A2
Chieti Basket
#26
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A21/05
Serie A2
Chieti Basket
#26
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A28/05
Serie A2
Chieti Basket
#26
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A30/05
Serie A2
Chieti Basket
#26
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H03/06
Serie A2
Chieti Basket
#26
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H05/06
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H01/10
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A07/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A11/10
Serie A2
76.5Avg total
40.6Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.338.377.6+1.053%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.536.575.0+2.057%-
Last 30 away (16)39.939.979.8+0.150%-
Last 10 (10)40.635.976.5+4.780%-
Last 5 (5)43.438.682.0+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.642.483.0-1.840%-
vs Similar ◀ (23)39.337.176.4+2.261%-
vs Weaker (2)35.541.577.0-6.00%-
This opponent (Agrigento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AgrigentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rimini
#13
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A16/04
Serie A2
Chiusi
#23
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H23/04
Serie A2
Pallacanestro Nardo
#14
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A29/04
Serie A2
Rimini
#13
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H07/05
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A13/05
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A15/05
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H19/05
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
L
22-38
22
38
-16
H01/10
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A07/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H11/10
Serie A2
76.0Avg total
37.9Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.139.879.9+0.357%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.337.979.2+3.580%-
Last 30 away (15)38.941.780.7-2.833%-
Last 10 (10)37.938.176.0-0.260%-
Last 5 (5)36.636.873.4-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)35.539.775.2-4.230%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)43.341.384.7+2.067%-
vs Weaker (5)39.835.475.2+4.480%-
This opponent (Monferrato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Monferratotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monferrato: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.017.0
50.0%
50.3%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.311.0
37.5%
34.1%33.0
🏀 Free throws15.711.7
74.5%
74.2%11.7
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Agrigentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Agrigento: 70.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.3 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws6.7 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.015.7
43.5%
50.3%31.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.310.7
35.2%
34.1%32.0
🏀 Free throws12.76.7
52.6%
74.2%6.7
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/3 games with a box score before 14 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Monferrato
LLLWWLWLWL
Agrigento
LWLLLLWLWW
#24
League position
#19
-4.5
Net rating
-3.9
105.5
Offensive rating
92.1
109.9
Defensive rating
96.1
52.9%
Effective FG%
47.7%
47.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
13.9%
Turnover %
15.2%
17.6%
Off. rebound %
17.1%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.19
37.5%
3-point %
35.2%
65.5%
Assist %
69.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.5 · 92.1Defence109.9 · 96.1Shooting52.9% · 47.7%3-point %37.5% · 35.2%Ball care13.9% · 15.2%Off. rebounds17.6% · 17.1%Free throws0.25 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Monferrato   ■ Agrigento
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Monferrato wins
1
Agrigento wins
DateGameScore
26/03/23Monferrato v Agrigento88-77
18/12/22Agrigento v Monferrato88-72
Monferratolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/23AVigevano77-78
07/10/23ATrapani85-91
01/10/23HLuiss Roma78-79
05/06/23HChieti Basket86-70
03/06/23HChieti Basket89-74
30/05/23AChieti Basket68-78
28/05/23AChieti Basket78-72 OT
21/05/23AChieti Basket77-84
13/05/23HSan Severo82-78
07/05/23ARavenna76-78
Agrigentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/23HBasket Torino70-77
07/10/23AUrania Milano75-69
01/10/23HSebastiani Rieti67-75
19/05/23HCremona91-97 OT
15/05/23ACremona63-79
13/05/23ACremona67-83
07/05/23HRimini77-69
29/04/23APallacanestro Nardo78-107
23/04/23HChiusi90-83
16/04/23ARimini79-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Monferrato
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game80.078.081.0
Allowed / game82.779.084.5
Point differential-2.7-1.0-3.5
Avg total162.7157.0165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Agrigento
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeLL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%0%100%
Points / game70.768.575.0
Allowed / game73.776.069.0
Point differential-3.0-7.5+6.0
Avg total144.3144.5144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fortitudo Bologna330100%75.762.7+13.0
2 Trieste330100%84.074.0+10.0
3 Trapani330100%90.782.7+8.0
4 Forli32167%80.068.0+12.0
5 Cividale32167%73.766.0+7.7
6 JuVi Cremona32167%93.085.3+7.7
7 Basket Torino32167%82.777.3+5.3
8 Sebastiani Rieti32167%84.780.0+4.7
9 Cantu32167%86.782.3+4.3
10 Assigeco Piacenza32167%84.781.0+3.7
11 Verona32167%75.371.7+3.7
12 Udine32167%81.379.3+2.0
13 Treviglio32167%89.089.7-0.7
14 Luiss Roma32167%78.383.3-5.0
15 Orzinuovi31233%72.374.3-2.0
16 Agrigento31233%70.773.7-3.0
17 Urania Milano31233%80.784.7-4.0
18 Vigevano31233%77.082.0-5.0
19 Cento31233%71.780.3-8.7
20 Monferrato3030%80.082.7-2.7
21 Rimini3030%74.080.7-6.7
22 Latina3030%76.786.3-9.7
23 Nardo3030%77.093.0-16.0
24 Chiusi3030%58.076.7-18.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Monferrato1521182276
Agrigento1625181574
← all games of the day
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