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Monferrato vs Urania Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 97-83
21-12 22-25 25-25 29-21
Position#24
Record2-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game86.4
vs
Position#14
Record6-4
FormLWLWW
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game84.1
ItalySerie A2Round 11· PalaFerraris
Other2023-24
Meetings · Monferrato v Urania Milano
25 Nov 2023
MONF97
URAN83
11 Dec 2022
MONF84
URAN67
20 Mar 2022
MONF70
URAN61
23 Dec 2020
MONF68
URAN79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Monferrato winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Urania Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MonferratoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMonferrato
Date
Competition
Luiss Roma
#22
L
78-79
78
79
-1
66avg 69
H01/10
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
85-91
85
91
-6
83avg 69
A07/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
77-78
77
78
-1
70avg 69
A11/10
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
76-74
76
74
+2
64avg 69
H14/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
W
97-92
97
92
+5
88avg 69
H21/10
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
L
79-88
79
88
-9
64avg 69
A29/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
L
66-74
66
74
-8
50avg 69
H01/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
98-112
98
112
-14
81avg 69
A05/11
Serie A2
Latina
#23
L
71-86
71
86
-15
63avg 69
H12/11
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
74-90
74
90
-16
64avg 69
A19/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
17-19
17-17
23-20
23-32
28-16
17-21
17-22
23-22
15-20
25-22
14-14
15-16
21-25
18-18
22-15
22-17
19-26
23-19
33-30
15-16
22-24
20-17
22-31
17-16
15-20
14-9
20-29
25-32
19-28
27-19
27-33
17-28
10-21
28-16
16-21
19-26
12-23
16-14
27-27
166.5Avg total
80.1Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)80.186.4166.5-6.320%
Season at home (5)77.681.0158.6-3.440%
Season away (5)82.691.8174.4-9.20%
Last 10 (10)80.186.4166.5-6.320%
Last 5 (5)77.690.0167.6-12.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)80.087.1167.1-7.129%
vs Similar ◀ (22)78.177.9156.0+0.241%
vs Weaker (1)78.088.0166.0-10.00%
This opponent (Urania Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Urania MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Treviglio
#16
W
92-88 OT
92
88
+4
no box
A01/10
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
L
69-75
69
75
-6
60avg 79
H07/10
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
81-91
81
91
-10
77avg 79
H11/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
100-81
100
81
+19
91avg 79
A15/10
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
96-82
96
82
+14
97avg 79
H21/10
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
84-97
84
97
-13
79avg 79
H28/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
W
82-78
82
78
+4
71avg 79
A01/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
L
82-95
82
95
-13
70avg 79
A06/11
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
W
102-89
102
89
+13
102avg 79
H11/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
W
70-65
70
65
+5
62avg 79
H17/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-20
25-23
16-19
14-22
12-21
20-22
24-17
13-15
26-28
21-23
20-21
14-19
24-15
26-19
23-27
27-20
29-22
20-15
20-20
27-25
29-19
22-32
15-29
18-17
20-21
19-23
10-19
33-15
27-20
18-25
21-18
16-32
20-27
24-27
25-17
33-18
12-11
16-12
22-19
20-23
169.9Avg total
85.8Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)85.884.1169.9+1.760%
Season at home (6)83.783.2166.8+0.550%
Season away (4)89.085.5174.5+3.575%
Last 10 (10)85.884.1169.9+1.760%
Last 5 (5)84.084.8168.8-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)80.486.4166.8-6.030%
vs Similar ◀ (16)84.384.2168.6+0.162%
vs Weaker (4)87.076.2163.2+10.8100%
This opponent (Monferrato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +0.9+0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +0.9+0.9
MonferratoUrania Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MonferratoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Luiss Roma
#22
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H01/10
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A07/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A11/10
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H14/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H21/10
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A29/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H01/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
44-60
44
60
-16
A05/11
Serie A2
Latina
#23
L
27-49
27
49
-22
H12/11
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A19/11
Serie A2
82.5Avg total
37.5Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.638.677.2+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.537.074.5+0.547%-
Last 30 away (15)39.740.179.9-0.453%-
Last 10 (10)37.545.082.5-7.510%-
Last 5 (5)34.246.881.0-12.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.744.684.3-4.929%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)38.336.574.7+1.859%-
vs Weaker (1)39.043.082.0-4.00%-
This opponent (Urania Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Urania MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviglio
#16
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A01/10
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H07/10
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H11/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A15/10
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H21/10
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
D
51-51
51
51
+0
H28/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A01/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A06/11
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
L
44-54
44
54
-10
H11/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
W
28-23
28
23
+5
H17/11
Serie A2
86.4Avg total
43.9Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.841.683.4+0.240%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.641.683.2+0.044%-
Last 30 away (14)42.041.683.6+0.436%-
Last 10 (10)43.942.586.4+1.440%-
Last 5 (5)41.443.484.8-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)41.044.585.5-3.510%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)42.140.482.5+1.850%-
vs Weaker (4)42.539.582.0+3.075%-
This opponent (Monferrato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Monferratotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monferrato: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.416.3
48.8%
50.3%32.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.610.8
34.2%
34.1%32.4
🏀 Free throws20.414.5
71.1%
74.2%14.5
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Urania Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Urania Milano: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.016.2
50.7%
50.3%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.312.0
37.1%
34.1%36.0
🏀 Free throws18.316.0
87.3%
74.2%16.0
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/9 games with a box score before 25 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Monferrato
LLLLLWWLLL
Urania Milano
WWLWLWWLLW
#24
League position
#14
-7.9
Net rating
+2.5
102.3
Offensive rating
110.9
110.2
Defensive rating
108.4
50.0%
Effective FG%
53.2%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
14.6%
Turnover %
15.5%
20.4%
Off. rebound %
23.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.2%
3-point %
37.1%
56.1%
Assist %
66.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence102.3 · 110.9Defence110.2 · 108.4Shooting50.0% · 53.2%3-point %34.2% · 37.1%Ball care14.6% · 15.5%Off. rebounds20.4% · 23.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Monferrato   ■ Urania Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Monferrato wins
3
Urania Milano wins
Monferratolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/23ACantu74-90
12/11/23HLatina71-86
05/11/23ABasket Torino98-112
01/11/23HJuVi Cremona66-74
29/10/23ATreviglio79-88
21/10/23HSebastiani Rieti97-92
14/10/23HAgrigento76-74
11/10/23AVigevano77-78
07/10/23ATrapani85-91
01/10/23HLuiss Roma78-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/23HBasket Torino70-65
11/11/23HLuiss Roma102-89
06/11/23AJuVi Cremona82-95
01/11/23ASebastiani Rieti82-78
28/10/23HCantu84-97
21/10/23HLatina96-82
15/10/23AVigevano100-81
11/10/23HTrapani81-91
07/10/23HAgrigento69-75
01/10/23ATreviglio92-88 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Monferrato
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL20%
HomeLWWLL40%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %20%40%0%
Points / game80.177.682.6
Allowed / game86.481.091.8
Point differential-6.3-3.4-9.2
Avg total166.5158.6174.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Urania Milano
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW60%
HomeLWLWW50%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %60%50%75%
Points / game85.883.789.0
Allowed / game84.183.285.5
Point differential+1.7+0.5+3.5
Avg total169.9166.8174.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %10%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani109190%93.381.2+12.1
2 Fortitudo Bologna109190%80.072.5+7.5
3 Cantu108280%90.580.5+10.0
4 Forli108280%80.673.8+6.8
5 Udine107370%81.271.9+9.3
6 Trieste107370%78.676.0+2.6
7 Treviglio107370%85.985.2+0.7
8 JuVi Cremona106460%89.582.9+6.6
9 Sebastiani Rieti106460%83.578.2+5.3
10 Verona106460%76.272.5+3.7
11 Basket Torino106460%84.180.8+3.3
12 Urania Milano106460%85.884.1+1.7
13 Nardo106460%80.384.9-4.6
14 Assigeco Piacenza104640%83.182.3+0.8
15 Cento104640%75.679.1-3.5
16 Cividale103730%75.277.0-1.8
17 Vigevano103730%79.284.8-5.6
18 Agrigento103730%74.680.4-5.8
19 Rimini102820%72.577.0-4.5
20 Monferrato102820%80.186.4-6.3
21 Orzinuovi102820%71.678.1-6.5
22 Latina102820%79.187.9-8.8
23 Chiusi102820%64.474.2-9.8
24 Luiss Roma102820%75.989.1-13.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Monferrato2122252997
Urania Milano1225252183
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