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Montana State vs Portland State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 19:05
Final 69-64
31-37 38-27
Position#138
Record6-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game71.3
vs
Position#242
Record2-6
FormLWLLL
Points / game69.9
Allowed / game72.8
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Montana State v Portland State
31 Dec 2026
MONT v PORT
upcoming
26 Feb 2026
MONT84
PORT69
01 Feb 2025
MONT74
PORT73
22 Feb 2024
MONT72
PORT67
25 Feb 2023
MONT91
PORT78
10 Feb 2022
MONT77
PORT74
16 Jan 2021
MONT69
PORT64
14 Jan 2021
MONT71
PORT64
11 Jan 2020
MONT76
PORT77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Montana State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Portland State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Montana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Colorado
#27
L
61-75
61
75
-14
H07/03
NCAA
UNLV
#219
W
91-78
91
78
+13
A26/11
NCAA
Pacific
#188
L
70-74 OT
70
74
-4
A02/12
NCAA
Yellowstone
#480
W
114-74
114
74
+40
H13/12
NCAA
Washington State
#177
L
54-82
54
82
-28
A19/12
NCAA
Portland
#310
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A22/12
NCAA
Montana Western
#418
W
96-67
96
67
+29
H01/01
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#165
W
79-67
79
67
+12
A08/01
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#165
W
76-74 OT
76
74
+2
A09/01
NCAA
Portland State
#242
W
71-64
71
64
+7
H15/01
NCAA
1H
2H
35-38
26-37
49-31
42-47
29-30
35-34
55-40
59-34
21-46
33-36
32-22
27-40
46-34
50-33
44-37
35-30
29-40
39-28
37-29
34-35
148.8Avg total
77.1Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)78.971.3150.2+7.667%
Season at home (3)93.768.3162.0+25.3100%
Season away (6)71.572.8144.3-1.350%
Last 10 (10)77.171.7148.8+5.460%
Last 5 (5)76.266.8143.0+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)62.471.3133.7-8.910%
vs Similar ◀ (15)69.668.0137.6+1.673%
vs Weaker (4)79.063.5142.5+15.575%
This opponent (Portland State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Portland StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Arizona
#188
W
80-66
80
66
+14
H06/03
NCAA
Sacramento State
#210
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H08/03
NCAA
Portland
#310
L
73-86
73
86
-13
A06/12
NCAA
Northwest
#448
W
88-48
88
48
+40
H09/12
NCAA
Washington State
#177
L
60-69
60
69
-9
A13/12
NCAA
Weber State
#36
L
66-94
66
94
-28
H19/12
NCAA
Weber State
#36
W
74-72
74
72
+2
H20/12
NCAA
Oregon State
#116
L
62-67
62
67
-5
A23/12
NCAA
Northwest Nazarene
#3
L
72-75
72
75
-3
H09/01
NCAA
Montana State
#138
L
64-71
64
71
-7
A15/01
NCAA
1H
2H
30-28
50-38
39-35
37-37
33-35
40-51
36-24
52-24
22-30
38-39
31-48
35-46
42-30
32-42
17-32
45-35
34-34
38-41
29-37
35-34
143.5Avg total
71.5Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)69.972.8142.6-2.925%
Season at home (4)75.072.2147.2+2.850%
Season away (4)64.873.2138.0-8.50%
Last 10 (10)71.572.0143.5-0.540%
Last 5 (5)67.675.8143.4-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.075.5148.5-2.575%
vs Similar ◀ (11)69.476.3145.6-6.918%
vs Weaker (14)81.273.7154.9+7.571%
This opponent (Montana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.0+3.01st half: -2.0-2.02nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: +1.5+1.5
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.0+3.01st half: -2.0-2.02nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: +1.5+1.5
Montana StatePortland State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Montana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Colorado
#27
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H07/03
NCAA
UNLV
#219
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A26/11
NCAA
Pacific
#188
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A02/12
NCAA
Yellowstone
#480
W
55-40
55
40
+15
H13/12
NCAA
Washington State
#177
L
21-46
21
46
-25
A19/12
NCAA
Portland
#310
W
32-22
32
22
+10
A22/12
NCAA
Montana Western
#418
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H01/01
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#165
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A08/01
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#165
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A09/01
NCAA
Portland State
#242
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H15/01
NCAA
72.4Avg total
37.7Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.133.566.6-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.532.568.0+3.154%-
Last 30 away (17)31.234.465.5-3.241%-
Last 10 (10)37.734.772.4+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)37.632.470.0+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)29.134.063.1-4.930%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)33.433.466.8+0.053%-
vs Weaker (4)38.532.871.2+5.850%-
This opponent (Portland State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Portland StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Arizona
#188
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H06/03
NCAA
Sacramento State
#210
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H08/03
NCAA
Portland
#310
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A06/12
NCAA
Northwest
#448
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H09/12
NCAA
Washington State
#177
L
22-30
22
30
-8
A13/12
NCAA
Weber State
#36
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H19/12
NCAA
Weber State
#36
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H20/12
NCAA
Oregon State
#116
L
17-32
17
32
-15
A23/12
NCAA
Northwest Nazarene
#3
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H09/01
NCAA
Montana State
#138
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A15/01
NCAA
64.6Avg total
31.3Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.834.371.1+2.560%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.434.473.7+5.071%-
Last 30 away (16)34.634.268.8+0.450%-
Last 10 (10)31.333.364.6-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)30.636.266.8-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.034.571.5+2.575%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)32.634.567.1-1.836%-
vs Weaker (14)40.234.174.3+6.179%-
This opponent (Montana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Montana State wins
2
Portland State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/21HPortland State71-64
09/01/21ANorthern Colorado76-74 OT
08/01/21ANorthern Colorado79-67
01/01/21HMontana Western96-67
22/12/20APortland59-62
19/12/20AWashington State54-82
13/12/20HYellowstone114-74
02/12/20APacific70-74 OT
26/11/20AUNLV91-78
07/03/20HNorthern Colorado61-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/21AMontana State64-71
09/01/21HNorthwest Nazarene72-75
23/12/20AOregon State62-67
20/12/20HWeber State74-72
19/12/20HWeber State66-94
13/12/20AWashington State60-69
09/12/20HNorthwest88-48
06/12/20APortland73-86
08/03/20HSacramento State76-72
06/03/20HNorthern Arizona80-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Montana State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW67%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games936
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game78.993.771.5
Allowed / game71.368.372.8
Point differential+7.6+25.3-1.3
Avg total150.2162.0144.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %22%0%33%
Portland State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL25%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game69.975.064.8
Allowed / game72.872.273.2
Point differential-2.9+2.8-8.5
Avg total142.6147.2138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sacramento State54180%76.257.2+19.0
2 Montana State96367%78.971.3+7.6
3 Weber State74357%78.170.3+7.9
4 Northern Colorado116555%69.468.0+1.4
5 Idaho State105550%68.064.3+3.7
6 Montana136746%68.261.7+6.5
7 East. Washington73443%71.067.6+3.4
8 Northern Arizona134931%63.775.5-11.8
9 Portland State82625%69.972.8-2.9
10 Idaho100100%62.176.9-14.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Montana State313869
Portland State372764
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