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Montana State vs Portland State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 84-69
43-34 41-35
Position#144
Record15-13
FormWLWLL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game71.9
Montana State 🏆
USA
vs
Portland State
USA
Position#87
Record18-8
FormWWLWL
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game69.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Montana State v Portland State
31 Dec 2026
MONT v PORT
upcoming
26 Feb 2026
MONT84
PORT69
01 Feb 2025
MONT74
PORT73
22 Feb 2024
MONT72
PORT67
25 Feb 2023
MONT91
PORT78
10 Feb 2022
MONT77
PORT74
16 Jan 2021
MONT69
PORT64
14 Jan 2021
MONT71
PORT64
11 Jan 2020
MONT76
PORT77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Montana State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Portland State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Montana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Colorado
#97
W
73-68
73
68
+5
A20/01
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H23/01
NCAA
Weber State
#201
W
91-88
91
88
+3
H25/01
NCAA
Sacramento State
#324
L
80-83
80
83
-3
A30/01
NCAA
Portland State
#87
L
54-63
54
63
-9
A31/01
NCAA
Idaho
#136
W
73-66
73
66
+7
H06/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
L
71-72
71
72
-1
H08/02
NCAA
Montana
#186
W
82-71
82
71
+11
A15/02
NCAA
Weber State
#201
L
79-82 OT
79
82
-3
A20/02
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
L
76-91
76
91
-15
A21/02
NCAA
1H
2H
36-27
37-41
38-34
36-28
45-42
46-46
38-45
42-38
21-23
33-40
36-26
37-40
34-37
37-35
38-37
44-34
29-28
38-39
30-50
46-41
149.9Avg total
75.3Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)77.871.9149.6+5.954%
Season at home (12)83.866.7150.4+17.183%
Season away (16)73.275.8149.0-2.531%
Last 10 (10)75.374.6149.9+0.750%
Last 5 (5)76.276.4152.6-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)69.376.7146.0-7.333%
vs Similar ◀ (12)76.072.6148.6+3.458%
vs Weaker (14)77.870.6148.4+7.150%
This opponent (Portland State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Portland StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East. Washington
#261
W
65-61
65
61
+4
A23/01
NCAA
Idaho
#136
W
69-66
69
66
+3
A24/01
NCAA
Montana
#186
L
60-64
60
64
-4
H30/01
NCAA
Montana State
#144
W
63-54
63
54
+9
H31/01
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
88-65
88
65
+23
H03/02
NCAA
Sacramento State
#324
W
74-73
74
73
+1
A08/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
77-68
77
68
+9
A13/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
L
65-77
65
77
-12
A14/02
NCAA
Idaho
#136
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H20/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
L
55-67
55
67
-12
H21/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-26
32-35
33-26
36-40
28-33
32-31
23-21
40-33
43-32
45-33
32-31
42-42
29-32
48-36
34-37
31-40
41-27
36-40
30-31
25-36
135.5Avg total
69.3Scored
66.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)76.869.5146.4+7.369%
Season at home (13)79.464.3143.7+15.177%
Season away (13)74.374.8149.1-0.562%
Last 10 (10)69.366.2135.5+3.170%
Last 5 (5)69.670.4140.0-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)73.772.9146.6+0.867%
vs Weaker (20)75.968.3144.2+7.670%
This opponent (Montana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -0.4-0.41st half: +3.0+3.02nd half2nd half: +1.4+1.42nd half: +0.1+0.1
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -0.4-0.41st half: +3.0+3.02nd half2nd half: +1.4+1.42nd half: +0.1+0.1
Montana StatePortland State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Montana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Colorado
#97
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A20/01
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H23/01
NCAA
Weber State
#201
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H25/01
NCAA
Sacramento State
#324
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A30/01
NCAA
Portland State
#87
L
21-23
21
23
-2
A31/01
NCAA
Idaho
#136
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H06/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H08/02
NCAA
Montana
#186
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A15/02
NCAA
Weber State
#201
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A20/02
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
L
30-50
30
50
-20
A21/02
NCAA
69.4Avg total
34.5Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.332.368.6+4.057%-
Last 30 at home (12)41.631.773.2+9.983%-
Last 30 away (18)32.732.765.4+0.039%-
Last 10 (10)34.534.969.4-0.460%-
Last 5 (5)33.435.669.0-2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)30.334.064.3-3.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)35.531.466.9+4.175%-
vs Weaker (14)37.533.671.1+3.943%-
This opponent (Portland State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Portland StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East. Washington
#261
W
33-26
33
26
+7
A23/01
NCAA
Idaho
#136
W
33-26
33
26
+7
A24/01
NCAA
Montana
#186
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H30/01
NCAA
Montana State
#144
W
23-21
23
21
+2
H31/01
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H03/02
NCAA
Sacramento State
#324
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A08/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A13/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A14/02
NCAA
Idaho
#136
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H20/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H21/02
NCAA
62.2Avg total
32.6Scored
29.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.930.263.2+2.747%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.228.964.1+6.359%-
Last 30 away (13)30.032.062.0-2.031%-
Last 10 (10)32.629.662.2+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)33.231.664.8+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)30.330.961.2-0.633%-
vs Weaker (20)33.230.463.7+2.850%-
This opponent (Montana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Montana State wins
3
Portland State wins
DateGameScore
31/01/26Portland State v Montana State63-54
28/02/25Portland State v Montana State69-52
02/02/25Montana State v Portland State74-73
23/02/24Montana State v Portland State72-67
28/01/24Portland State v Montana State94-91
25/02/23Montana State v Portland State91-78
27/01/23Portland State v Montana State66-75
11/02/22Montana State v Portland State77-74
23/01/22Portland State v Montana State60-73
16/01/21Montana State v Portland State69-64
Montana Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26AIdaho State76-91
20/02/26AWeber State79-82 OT
15/02/26AMontana82-71
08/02/26HEast. Washington71-72
06/02/26HIdaho73-66
31/01/26APortland State54-63
30/01/26ASacramento State80-83
25/01/26HWeber State91-88
23/01/26HIdaho State74-62
20/01/26ANorthern Colorado73-68
Portland Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26HEast. Washington55-67
20/02/26HIdaho77-67
14/02/26ANorthern Colorado65-77
13/02/26ANorthern Arizona77-68
08/02/26ASacramento State74-73
03/02/26HIdaho State88-65
31/01/26HMontana State63-54
30/01/26HMontana60-64
24/01/26AIdaho69-66
23/01/26AEast. Washington65-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Montana State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL54%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayLLWLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281216
Win %54%83%31%
Points / game77.883.873.2
Allowed / game71.966.775.8
Point differential+5.9+17.1-2.5
Avg total149.6150.4149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%42%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (12)33% (3)33% (9)
Overtime %7%0%12%
Portland State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL69%
HomeLWWWL77%
AwayWWWWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %69%77%62%
Points / game76.879.474.3
Allowed / game69.564.374.8
Point differential+7.3+15.1-0.5
Avg total146.4143.7149.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%62%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)33% (3)83% (6)
Overtime %8%0%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Portland State2618869%76.869.5+7.3
2 Northern Colorado28181064%82.876.7+6.1
3 Montana State28151354%77.871.9+5.9
4 Idaho28151354%79.274.0+5.2
5 Weber State29151452%81.977.0+4.9
6 Montana28141450%77.874.0+3.9
7 Idaho State29121741%74.875.8-0.9
8 East. Washington28111739%77.679.7-2.1
9 Northern Arizona28101836%72.876.1-3.3
10 Sacramento State2791833%79.583.2-3.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Montana State434184
Portland State343569
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