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Montana vs Portland State Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 02 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 02:00
Postponed
Position#159
Record16-13
FormWWLWW
Points / game68.7
Allowed / game67.5
vs
Position#283
Record12-18
FormWWLLL
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game75.2
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Montana v Portland State
02 Jan 2027
MONT v PORT
upcoming
28 Feb 2026
MONT74
PORT68
30 Jan 2025
MONT92
PORT78
11 Mar 2024
MONT87
PORT81
24 Feb 2024
MONT82
PORT73
01 Mar 2023
MONT v PORT
upcoming
12 Feb 2022
MONT85
PORT76
13 Jan 2020
MONT85
PORT70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Montana win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Portland State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MontanaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana State
#54
L
64-67
64
67
-3
H22/01
NCAA
Sacramento State
#253
L
48-67
48
67
-19
A27/01
NCAA
Portland State
#283
W
73-67
73
67
+6
A29/01
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#288
W
69-67
69
67
+2
H03/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#309
W
67-66
67
66
+1
H05/02
NCAA
Idaho State
#299
W
69-61
69
61
+8
A10/02
NCAA
Weber State
#165
W
74-69
74
69
+5
A12/02
NCAA
Montana State
#54
L
68-72
68
72
-4
A19/02
NCAA
Sacramento State
#253
W
74-72
74
72
+2
H26/02
NCAA
Idaho
#325
W
68-53
68
53
+15
A28/02
NCAA
1H
2H
29-35
35-32
31-35
17-32
38-27
35-40
36-33
33-34
35-33
32-33
34-34
35-27
37-31
37-38
24-32
44-40
40-40
34-32
26-23
42-30
133.5Avg total
67.4Scored
66.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)68.767.5136.2+1.255%
Season at home (13)69.863.0132.8+6.869%
Season away (16)67.871.1138.9-3.344%
Last 10 (10)67.466.1133.5+1.370%
Last 5 (5)70.665.4136.0+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)65.574.8140.2-9.20%
vs Similar ◀ (19)69.265.0134.2+4.268%
vs Weaker (2)74.070.5144.5+3.5100%
This opponent (Portland State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Portland StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana State
#54
L
66-75
66
75
-9
H27/01
NCAA
Montana
#159
L
67-73
67
73
-6
H29/01
NCAA
Idaho
#325
W
69-66
69
66
+3
H03/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#63
L
88-98
88
98
-10
H05/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#288
L
79-88
79
88
-9
A10/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#309
W
88-87
88
87
+1
A11/02
NCAA
Idaho State
#299
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H17/02
NCAA
Weber State
#165
L
57-65
57
65
-8
H19/02
NCAA
Montana State
#54
L
78-91
78
91
-13
A25/02
NCAA
Sacramento State
#253
L
74-76
74
76
-2
H28/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-36
32-39
27-38
40-35
33-35
36-31
43-47
45-51
39-42
40-46
43-39
45-48
34-36
45-34
27-27
30-38
42-43
36-48
36-38
38-38
153.4Avg total
74.5Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)76.175.2151.3+0.940%
Season at home (15)77.669.7147.3+7.947%
Season away (15)74.680.7155.3-6.133%
Last 10 (10)74.578.9153.4-4.430%
Last 5 (5)75.277.8153.0-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)76.390.3166.6-14.00%
vs Similar ◀ (16)72.874.2147.0-1.450%
vs Weaker (5)71.473.2144.6-1.840%
This opponent (Montana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: -2.3-2.32nd half2nd half: +0.6+0.62nd half: -2.1-2.1
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: -2.3-2.32nd half2nd half: +0.6+0.62nd half: -2.1-2.1
MontanaPortland State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MontanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana State
#54
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H22/01
NCAA
Sacramento State
#253
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A27/01
NCAA
Portland State
#283
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A29/01
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#288
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H03/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#309
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H05/02
NCAA
Idaho State
#299
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A10/02
NCAA
Weber State
#165
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A12/02
NCAA
Montana State
#54
L
24-32
24
32
-8
A19/02
NCAA
Sacramento State
#253
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H26/02
NCAA
Idaho
#325
W
26-23
26
23
+3
A28/02
NCAA
65.3Avg total
33.0Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.831.163.9+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.429.064.4+6.469%-
Last 30 away (17)30.832.663.5-1.841%-
Last 10 (10)33.032.365.3+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)32.232.064.2+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)30.134.264.4-4.138%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)33.530.564.0+3.153%-
vs Weaker (2)36.529.566.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Portland State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Portland StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana State
#54
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H27/01
NCAA
Montana
#159
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H29/01
NCAA
Idaho
#325
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H03/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#63
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H05/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#288
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A10/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#309
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A11/02
NCAA
Idaho State
#299
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H17/02
NCAA
Weber State
#165
D
27-27
27
27
+0
H19/02
NCAA
Montana State
#54
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A25/02
NCAA
Sacramento State
#253
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H28/02
NCAA
73.9Avg total
35.8Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.435.972.3+0.537%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.933.169.9+3.840%-
Last 30 away (15)35.938.874.7-2.933%-
Last 10 (10)35.838.173.9-2.310%-
Last 5 (5)36.436.673.0-0.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.445.181.6-8.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)33.935.068.9-1.138%-
vs Weaker (5)37.434.872.2+2.660%-
This opponent (Montana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Montana wins
2
Portland State wins
Montanalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/23AIdaho68-53
26/02/23HSacramento State74-72
19/02/23AMontana State68-72
12/02/23AWeber State74-69
10/02/23AIdaho State69-61
05/02/23HNorthern Arizona67-66
03/02/23HNorthern Colorado69-67
29/01/23APortland State73-67
27/01/23ASacramento State48-67
22/01/23HMontana State64-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/23HSacramento State74-76
25/02/23AMontana State78-91
19/02/23HWeber State57-65
17/02/23HIdaho State79-70
11/02/23ANorthern Arizona88-87
10/02/23ANorthern Colorado79-88
05/02/23HEast. Washington88-98
03/02/23HIdaho69-66
29/01/23HMontana67-73
27/01/23HMontana State66-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Montana
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW55%
HomeWLWWW69%
AwayWWWLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291316
Win %55%69%44%
Points / game68.769.867.8
Allowed / game67.563.071.1
Point differential+1.2+6.8-3.3
Avg total136.2132.8138.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%46%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)60% (5)50% (6)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Portland State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL40%
HomeWLWLL47%
AwayLWLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %40%47%33%
Points / game76.177.674.6
Allowed / game75.269.780.7
Point differential+0.9+7.9-6.1
Avg total151.3147.3155.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%20%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)60% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Montana State3122971%74.066.3+7.7
2 East. Washington3122971%77.071.1+5.9
3 Montana29161355%68.767.5+1.2
4 Weber State31171455%67.567.9-0.5
5 Sacramento State31141745%66.167.7-1.6
6 Portland State30121840%76.175.2+0.9
7 Northern Colorado30111937%73.377.2-3.9
8 Idaho State31112035%69.070.6-1.6
9 Idaho31102132%72.972.4+0.5
10 Northern Arizona3192229%72.674.3-1.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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