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Montana vs Sacramento State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 74-72
40-40 34-32
Position#159
Record14-13
FormWWWWL
Points / game68.6
Allowed / game67.9
Montana 🏆
USA
vs
Sacramento State
USA
Position#253
Record13-16
FormLLLWL
Points / game65.6
Allowed / game67.3
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Montana v Sacramento State
26 Feb 2026
MONT81
SACR73
01 Feb 2025
MONT87
SACR59
22 Feb 2024
MONT68
SACR61
25 Feb 2023
MONT74
SACR72
05 Mar 2022
MONT71
SACR72
30 Dec 2019
MONT52
SACR50
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Montana winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sacramento State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MontanaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho State
#299
W
84-55
84
55
+29
H15/01
NCAA
East. Washington
#63
L
57-64
57
64
-7
A17/01
NCAA
Montana State
#54
L
64-67
64
67
-3
H22/01
NCAA
Sacramento State
#253
L
48-67
48
67
-19
A27/01
NCAA
Portland State
#283
W
73-67
73
67
+6
A29/01
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#288
W
69-67
69
67
+2
H03/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#309
W
67-66
67
66
+1
H05/02
NCAA
Idaho State
#299
W
69-61
69
61
+8
A10/02
NCAA
Weber State
#165
W
74-69
74
69
+5
A12/02
NCAA
Montana State
#54
L
68-72
68
72
-4
A19/02
NCAA
1H
2H
42-28
42-27
28-27
29-37
29-35
35-32
31-35
17-32
38-27
35-40
36-33
33-34
35-33
32-33
34-34
35-27
37-31
37-38
24-32
44-40
132.8Avg total
67.3Scored
65.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)68.667.9136.4+0.752%
Season at home (12)69.562.2131.8+7.267%
Season away (15)67.872.3140.1-4.540%
Last 10 (10)67.365.5132.8+1.860%
Last 5 (5)69.467.0136.4+2.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)65.574.8140.2-9.20%
vs Similar ◀ (18)68.865.8134.6+2.961%
vs Weaker (3)73.071.0144.0+2.067%
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacramento StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Weber State
#165
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A22/01
NCAA
Montana
#159
W
67-48
67
48
+19
H27/01
NCAA
Montana State
#54
L
65-72
65
72
-7
H29/01
NCAA
East. Washington
#63
L
63-82
63
82
-19
H03/02
NCAA
Idaho
#325
L
76-82 OT
76
82
-6
H04/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#309
L
55-77
55
77
-22
A10/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#288
L
54-70
54
70
-16
A12/02
NCAA
Weber State
#165
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H17/02
NCAA
Idaho State
#299
W
70-65
70
65
+5
H19/02
NCAA
Montana State
#54
L
56-60
56
60
-4
A24/02
NCAA
1H
2H
24-21
24-29
35-31
32-17
27-37
38-35
35-34
28-48
32-29
36-39
22-43
33-34
25-35
29-35
20-26
29-26
33-34
37-31
30-35
26-25
126.1Avg total
60.3Scored
65.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)65.667.3132.9-1.745%
Season at home (14)69.666.3135.9+3.464%
Season away (15)61.868.2130.0-6.427%
Last 10 (10)60.365.8126.1-5.520%
Last 5 (5)56.864.8121.6-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)63.975.4139.3-11.50%
vs Similar ◀ (17)66.565.4131.8+1.165%
vs Weaker (2)65.047.0112.0+18.0100%
This opponent (Montana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +1.9+1.91st half: -4.2-4.22nd half2nd half: -0.1-0.12nd half: -0.7-0.7
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +1.9+1.91st half: -4.2-4.22nd half2nd half: -0.1-0.12nd half: -0.7-0.7
MontanaSacramento State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MontanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho State
#299
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H15/01
NCAA
East. Washington
#63
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A17/01
NCAA
Montana State
#54
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H22/01
NCAA
Sacramento State
#253
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A27/01
NCAA
Portland State
#283
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A29/01
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#288
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H03/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#309
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H05/02
NCAA
Idaho State
#299
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A10/02
NCAA
Weber State
#165
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A12/02
NCAA
Montana State
#54
L
24-32
24
32
-8
A19/02
NCAA
64.9Avg total
33.4Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.431.163.5+1.450%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.928.662.5+5.464%-
Last 30 away (16)31.133.264.4-2.138%-
Last 10 (10)33.431.564.9+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)33.232.665.8+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)30.134.264.4-4.138%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)33.230.663.8+2.750%-
vs Weaker (3)33.729.363.0+4.367%-
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacramento StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Weber State
#165
W
24-21
24
21
+3
A22/01
NCAA
Montana
#159
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H27/01
NCAA
Montana State
#54
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H29/01
NCAA
East. Washington
#63
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H03/02
NCAA
Idaho
#325
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H04/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#309
L
22-43
22
43
-21
A10/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#288
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A12/02
NCAA
Weber State
#165
L
20-26
20
26
-6
H17/02
NCAA
Idaho State
#299
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H19/02
NCAA
Montana State
#54
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A24/02
NCAA
60.8Avg total
28.3Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.032.361.3-3.343%-
Last 30 at home (14)29.929.659.6+0.350%-
Last 30 away (16)28.134.662.8-6.538%-
Last 10 (10)28.332.560.8-4.240%-
Last 5 (5)26.034.660.6-8.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)29.435.865.2-6.527%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)29.531.360.8-1.853%-
vs Weaker (2)22.521.544.0+1.050%-
This opponent (Montana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Montana wins
3
Sacramento State wins
DateGameScore
27/01/23Sacramento State v Montana67-48
06/03/22Montana v Sacramento State71-72
03/12/21Sacramento State v Montana58-65
23/01/21Sacramento State v Montana89-83 OT
22/01/21Sacramento State v Montana66-78
01/03/20Sacramento State v Montana71-79
31/12/19Montana v Sacramento State52-50
Montanalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/23AMontana State68-72
12/02/23AWeber State74-69
10/02/23AIdaho State69-61
05/02/23HNorthern Arizona67-66
03/02/23HNorthern Colorado69-67
29/01/23APortland State73-67
27/01/23ASacramento State48-67
22/01/23HMontana State64-67
17/01/23AEast. Washington57-64
15/01/23HIdaho State84-55
Sacramento Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/23AMontana State56-60
19/02/23HIdaho State70-65
17/02/23HWeber State49-52
12/02/23ANorthern Colorado54-70
10/02/23ANorthern Arizona55-77
04/02/23HIdaho76-82 OT
03/02/23HEast. Washington63-82
29/01/23HMontana State65-72
27/01/23HMontana67-48
22/01/23AWeber State48-50

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Montana
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL52%
HomeLWLWW67%
AwayLWWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271215
Win %52%67%40%
Points / game68.669.567.8
Allowed / game67.962.272.3
Point differential+0.7+7.2-4.5
Avg total136.4131.8140.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)50% (4)50% (6)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Sacramento State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL45%
HomeLLLLW64%
AwayLLLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %45%64%27%
Points / game65.669.661.8
Allowed / game67.366.368.2
Point differential-1.7+3.4-6.4
Avg total132.9135.9130.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%29%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)67% (6)33% (6)
Overtime %14%21%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 East. Washington3022873%77.170.8+6.3
2 Montana State3021970%73.866.1+7.8
3 Montana27141352%68.667.9+0.7
4 Weber State29151452%66.767.7-1.0
5 Sacramento State29131645%65.667.3-1.7
6 Portland State29121741%76.275.2+1.0
7 Idaho State30111937%68.970.1-1.2
8 Idaho29101934%74.272.8+1.5
9 Northern Colorado29101934%72.877.4-4.6
10 Northern Arizona3092130%72.173.8-1.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Montana403474
Sacramento State403272
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