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Montana vs Portland State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 74-68
30-28 44-40
Position#186
Record15-14
FormWLLLW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game73.9
Montana 🏆
USA
vs
Portland State
USA
Position#87
Record18-9
FormWLWLL
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game70.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Montana v Portland State
02 Jan 2027
MONT v PORT
upcoming
28 Feb 2026
MONT74
PORT68
30 Jan 2025
MONT92
PORT78
11 Mar 2024
MONT87
PORT81
24 Feb 2024
MONT82
PORT73
01 Mar 2023
MONT v PORT
upcoming
12 Feb 2022
MONT85
PORT76
13 Jan 2020
MONT85
PORT70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Montana winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Portland State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MontanaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Weber State
#201
W
81-65
81
65
+16
H23/01
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
69-60
69
60
+9
H24/01
NCAA
Portland State
#87
W
64-60
64
60
+4
A30/01
NCAA
Sacramento State
#324
L
79-86
79
86
-7
A01/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
L
74-82
74
82
-8
H06/02
NCAA
Idaho
#136
W
73-68
73
68
+5
H07/02
NCAA
Montana State
#144
L
71-82
71
82
-11
H15/02
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
L
69-73
69
73
-4
A20/02
NCAA
Weber State
#201
L
72-92
72
92
-20
A22/02
NCAA
Sacramento State
#324
W
81-73
81
73
+8
H27/02
NCAA
1H
2H
36-43
45-22
35-30
34-30
33-28
31-32
32-49
47-37
36-34
38-48
19-29
54-39
37-38
34-44
37-39
32-34
32-45
40-47
42-32
39-41
147.4Avg total
73.3Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)77.973.9151.9+4.052%
Season at home (16)80.269.2149.4+11.062%
Season away (13)75.279.8154.9-4.638%
Last 10 (10)73.374.1147.4-0.850%
Last 5 (5)73.277.6150.8-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)68.286.5154.8-18.20%
vs Similar ◀ (15)75.577.7153.2-2.147%
vs Weaker (8)83.868.9152.6+14.975%
This opponent (Portland State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Portland StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho
#136
W
69-66
69
66
+3
A24/01
NCAA
Montana
#186
L
60-64
60
64
-4
H30/01
NCAA
Montana State
#144
W
63-54
63
54
+9
H31/01
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
88-65
88
65
+23
H03/02
NCAA
Sacramento State
#324
W
74-73
74
73
+1
A08/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
77-68
77
68
+9
A13/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
L
65-77
65
77
-12
A14/02
NCAA
Idaho
#136
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H20/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
L
55-67
55
67
-12
H21/02
NCAA
Montana State
#144
L
69-84
69
84
-15
A27/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-26
36-40
28-33
32-31
23-21
40-33
43-32
45-33
32-31
42-42
29-32
48-36
34-37
31-40
41-27
36-40
30-31
25-36
34-43
35-41
138.2Avg total
69.7Scored
68.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)76.670.1146.6+6.567%
Season at home (13)79.464.3143.7+15.177%
Season away (14)73.975.4149.4-1.557%
Last 10 (10)69.768.5138.2+1.260%
Last 5 (5)68.672.6141.2-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)73.274.0147.2-0.860%
vs Weaker (19)76.369.2145.4+7.168%
This opponent (Montana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -2.8-2.81st half: +1.4+1.42nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: -0.2-0.2
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -2.8-2.81st half: +1.4+1.42nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: -0.2-0.2
MontanaPortland State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MontanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Weber State
#201
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H23/01
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H24/01
NCAA
Portland State
#87
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A30/01
NCAA
Sacramento State
#324
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A01/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H06/02
NCAA
Idaho
#136
L
19-29
19
29
-10
H07/02
NCAA
Montana State
#144
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H15/02
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A20/02
NCAA
Weber State
#201
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A22/02
NCAA
Sacramento State
#324
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H27/02
NCAA
70.6Avg total
33.9Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.334.069.3+1.443%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.230.466.6+5.950%-
Last 30 away (14)34.338.172.4-3.836%-
Last 10 (10)33.936.770.6-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)33.436.670.0-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)28.540.268.8-11.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)33.634.768.3-1.140%-
vs Weaker (8)40.533.273.8+7.262%-
This opponent (Portland State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Portland StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho
#136
W
33-26
33
26
+7
A24/01
NCAA
Montana
#186
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H30/01
NCAA
Montana State
#144
W
23-21
23
21
+2
H31/01
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H03/02
NCAA
Sacramento State
#324
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A08/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A13/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A14/02
NCAA
Idaho
#136
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H20/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H21/02
NCAA
Montana State
#144
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A27/02
NCAA
64.0Avg total
32.7Scored
31.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.830.863.7+2.043%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.129.164.2+5.956%-
Last 30 away (14)30.332.863.1-2.529%-
Last 10 (10)32.731.364.0+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)33.634.067.6-0.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)30.732.162.8-1.430%-
vs Weaker (19)33.130.763.8+2.347%-
This opponent (Montana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Montana wins
3
Portland State wins
DateGameScore
30/01/26Portland State v Montana60-64
01/03/25Portland State v Montana79-76 OT
31/01/25Montana v Portland State92-78
12/03/24Montana v Portland State87-81
25/02/24Montana v Portland State82-73
26/01/24Portland State v Montana72-46
29/01/23Portland State v Montana67-73
13/02/22Montana v Portland State85-76
21/01/22Portland State v Montana64-66
06/02/21Portland State v Montana61-56
Montanalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/26HSacramento State81-73
22/02/26AWeber State72-92
20/02/26AIdaho State69-73
15/02/26HMontana State71-82
07/02/26HIdaho73-68
06/02/26HEast. Washington74-82
01/02/26ASacramento State79-86
30/01/26APortland State64-60
24/01/26HIdaho State69-60
23/01/26HWeber State81-65
Portland Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/26AMontana State69-84
21/02/26HEast. Washington55-67
20/02/26HIdaho77-67
14/02/26ANorthern Colorado65-77
13/02/26ANorthern Arizona77-68
08/02/26ASacramento State74-73
03/02/26HIdaho State88-65
31/01/26HMontana State63-54
30/01/26HMontana60-64
24/01/26AIdaho69-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Montana
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW52%
HomeWLWLW62%
AwayWWLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %52%62%38%
Points / game77.980.275.2
Allowed / game73.969.279.8
Point differential+4.0+11.0-4.6
Avg total151.9149.4154.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%31%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Portland State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL67%
HomeLWWWL77%
AwayWWWLL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %67%77%57%
Points / game76.679.473.9
Allowed / game70.164.375.4
Point differential+6.5+15.1-1.5
Avg total146.6143.7149.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%62%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)33% (3)83% (6)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Portland State2718967%76.670.1+6.5
2 Northern Colorado29181162%82.476.9+5.5
3 Montana State30171357%78.171.4+6.7
4 Idaho29161355%79.273.4+5.8
5 Weber State29151452%81.977.0+4.9
6 Montana29151452%77.973.9+4.0
7 Idaho State29121741%74.875.8-0.9
8 East. Washington29121741%77.879.4-1.7
9 Northern Arizona29101934%72.276.1-3.9
10 Sacramento State2992031%78.683.1-4.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Montana304474
Portland State284068
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