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Portland State vs Montana State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 63-54
23-21 40-33
Position#87
Record13-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game70.4
vs
Position#144
Record13-9
FormWWWWL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game71.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Portland State v Montana State
31 Jan 2026
PORT63
MONT54
27 Feb 2025
PORT69
MONT52
27 Jan 2024
PORT94
MONT91
26 Jan 2023
PORT66
MONT75
22 Jan 2022
PORT60
MONT73
12 Mar 2020
PORT v MONT
upcoming
20 Feb 2020
PORT87
MONT77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Portland State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Montana State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Portland StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado
#183
L
73-84
73
84
-11
A18/12
NCAA
Tulane
#173
L
61-63
61
63
-2
A21/12
NCAA
Weber State
#201
W
95-90 OT
95
90
+5
A01/01
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
93-87 OT
93
87
+6
A03/01
NCAA
Sacramento State
#324
W
96-69
96
69
+27
H10/01
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
W
76-73
76
73
+3
H16/01
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
63-52
63
52
+11
H17/01
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
W
65-61
65
61
+4
A23/01
NCAA
Idaho
#136
W
69-66
69
66
+3
A24/01
NCAA
Montana
#186
L
60-64
60
64
-4
H30/01
NCAA
1H
2H
35-37
38-47
23-24
38-39
30-37
46-39
29-36
49-42
46-32
50-37
28-33
48-40
28-21
35-31
33-26
32-35
33-26
36-40
28-33
32-31
146.0Avg total
75.1Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)78.970.4149.3+8.568%
Season at home (9)83.264.8148.0+18.478%
Season away (10)75.075.4150.4-0.460%
Last 10 (10)75.170.9146.0+4.270%
Last 5 (5)66.663.2129.8+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)74.773.0147.7+1.767%
vs Weaker (20)74.968.4143.3+6.560%
This opponent (Montana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Montana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwest
#541
W
93-54
93
54
+39
H22/12
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
W
89-75
89
75
+14
H02/01
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H04/01
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
W
68-64
68
64
+4
A09/01
NCAA
Idaho
#136
L
89-92
89
92
-3
A10/01
NCAA
Montana
#186
W
76-67
76
67
+9
H18/01
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
W
73-68
73
68
+5
A20/01
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H23/01
NCAA
Weber State
#201
W
91-88
91
88
+3
H25/01
NCAA
Sacramento State
#324
L
80-83
80
83
-3
A30/01
NCAA
1H
2H
46-20
47-34
39-33
50-42
43-35
34-33
19-23
49-41
48-30
41-62
32-31
44-36
36-27
37-41
38-34
36-28
45-42
46-46
38-45
42-38
153.1Avg total
81.0Scored
72.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)79.271.2150.4+8.059%
Season at home (10)86.166.2152.3+19.990%
Season away (12)73.475.4148.8-2.033%
Last 10 (10)81.072.1153.1+8.980%
Last 5 (5)78.873.6152.4+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)65.074.8139.8-9.825%
vs Similar ◀ (12)77.772.8150.4+4.967%
vs Weaker (13)79.268.2147.3+11.062%
This opponent (Portland State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +0.8+0.81st half: +6.4+6.42nd half2nd half: +2.3+2.32nd half: +2.5+2.5
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +0.8+0.81st half: +6.4+6.42nd half2nd half: +2.3+2.32nd half: +2.5+2.5
Portland StateMontana State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Portland StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado
#183
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A18/12
NCAA
Tulane
#173
L
23-24
23
24
-1
A21/12
NCAA
Weber State
#201
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A01/01
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A03/01
NCAA
Sacramento State
#324
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H10/01
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H16/01
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
28-21
28
21
+7
H17/01
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
W
33-26
33
26
+7
A23/01
NCAA
Idaho
#136
W
33-26
33
26
+7
A24/01
NCAA
Montana
#186
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H30/01
NCAA
61.8Avg total
31.3Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.030.363.3+2.747%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.228.563.7+6.760%-
Last 30 away (15)30.732.162.8-1.333%-
Last 10 (10)31.330.561.8+0.840%-
Last 5 (5)30.027.857.8+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)30.331.762.0-1.333%-
vs Weaker (20)33.330.263.5+3.150%-
This opponent (Montana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Montana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwest
#541
W
46-20
46
20
+26
H22/12
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H02/01
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H04/01
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
L
19-23
19
23
-4
A09/01
NCAA
Idaho
#136
W
48-30
48
30
+18
A10/01
NCAA
Montana
#186
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H18/01
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A20/01
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H23/01
NCAA
Weber State
#201
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H25/01
NCAA
Sacramento State
#324
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A30/01
NCAA
70.4Avg total
38.4Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.532.570.0+5.060%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.732.374.0+9.486%-
Last 30 away (16)33.832.666.4+1.238%-
Last 10 (10)38.432.070.4+6.480%-
Last 5 (5)37.835.873.6+2.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)29.034.863.8-5.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.133.271.2+4.975%-
vs Weaker (13)38.932.171.0+6.854%-
This opponent (Portland State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Portland State wins
8
Montana State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/26HMontana60-64
24/01/26AIdaho69-66
23/01/26AEast. Washington65-61
17/01/26HNorthern Arizona63-52
16/01/26HNorthern Colorado76-73
10/01/26HSacramento State96-69
03/01/26AIdaho State93-87 OT
01/01/26AWeber State95-90 OT
21/12/25ATulane61-63
18/12/25AColorado73-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/26ASacramento State80-83
25/01/26HWeber State91-88
23/01/26HIdaho State74-62
20/01/26ANorthern Colorado73-68
18/01/26HMontana76-67
10/01/26AIdaho89-92
09/01/26AEast. Washington68-64
04/01/26HNorthern Arizona77-68
02/01/26HNorthern Colorado89-75
22/12/25HNorthwest93-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Portland State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL68%
HomeWWWWL78%
AwayLWWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %68%78%60%
Points / game78.983.275.0
Allowed / game70.464.875.4
Point differential+8.5+18.4-0.4
Avg total149.3148.0150.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)33% (3)80% (5)
Overtime %11%0%20%
Montana State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL59%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayWWLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %59%90%33%
Points / game79.286.173.4
Allowed / game71.266.275.4
Point differential+8.0+19.9-2.0
Avg total150.4152.3148.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)50% (2)38% (8)
Overtime %5%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Portland State1913668%78.970.4+8.5
2 Montana State2213959%79.271.2+8.0
3 Montana2213959%79.172.2+7.0
4 Idaho2112957%80.174.0+6.0
5 Northern Colorado23131057%83.177.9+5.2
6 Weber State22111150%82.676.4+6.2
7 Idaho State22101245%75.674.0+1.5
8 Northern Arizona2281436%73.676.2-2.6
9 Sacramento State2071335%77.882.0-4.2
10 East. Washington2251723%76.381.7-5.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Portland State234063
Montana State213354
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