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Montenegro vs Sweden Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 95-70
27-24 23-13 25-20 20-13
Position#19
Record0-1
FormWWLWL
Points / game61.0
Allowed / game85.0
vs
Position#26
Record1-0
FormWWLLW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game70.0
EuropeEuroBasketRound 2· Moraca Sports Center
Other2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Montenegro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sweden winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMontenegro
Date
Competition
Germany
#17
L
79-85
79
85
-6
no box
A10/09
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#60
W
65-56
65
56
+9
no box
A11/11
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
L
56-65
56
65
-9
no box
H14/11
World Cup
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#41
L
66-74
66
74
-8
no box
A23/02
World Cup
Czech Republic
#60
W
88-70
88
70
+18
no box
H26/02
World Cup
Mexico
#26
W
91-71
91
71
+20
no box
A25/08
World Cup
Egypt
#27
W
89-74
89
74
+15
no box
H27/08
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
L
71-91
71
91
-20
no box
H29/08
World Cup
Greece
#25
W
73-69
73
69
+4
no box
A03/09
World Cup
Germany
#8
L
61-85
61
85
-24
48avg 48
A22/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-19
14-29
26-19
29-18
15-15
18-9
21-14
11-18
15-19
15-18
14-12
12-16
19-18
18-16
11-20
18-20
32-14
18-11
20-21
18-24
19-19
29-20
20-19
23-13
27-17
24-20
19-19
19-18
27-26
13-22
10-18
21-25
19-14
17-16
14-12
23-27
10-28
20-19
20-11
11-27
147.9Avg total
73.9Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)61.085.0146.0-24.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)61.085.0146.0-24.00%
Last 10 (10)73.974.0147.9-0.150%
Last 5 (5)77.078.0155.0-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)71.476.5147.9-5.138%
vs Similar (8)71.276.0147.2-4.838%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)81.470.8152.1+10.686%
This opponent (Sweden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSweden
Date
Competition
Croatia
#66
L
98-105 OT
98
105
-7
no box
H28/02
World Cup
Finland
#22
L
69-85
69
85
-16
no box
A30/06
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
L
81-84
81
84
-3
no box
H03/07
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
50-67
50
67
-17
no box
H25/08
World Cup
Israel
#52
W
95-83
95
83
+12
no box
A28/08
World Cup
Estonia
#55
W
87-82
87
82
+5
no box
A11/11
World Cup
Israel
#52
W
71-68
71
68
+3
no box
H14/11
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
66-73
66
73
-7
no box
A24/02
World Cup
Estonia
#55
L
71-72
71
72
-1
no box
H27/02
World Cup
Bulgaria
#13
W
84-70
84
70
+14
77avg 77
H22/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-14
20-12
18-24
20-29
29-19
17-24
8-26
15-16
17-22
24-19
20-29
20-14
9-25
20-21
13-8
8-13
24-23
28-15
18-22
25-23
27-13
12-24
20-24
28-21
17-16
20-24
16-8
18-20
19-21
12-19
14-17
21-16
16-17
14-11
14-15
27-29
29-22
21-21
12-12
22-15
156.1Avg total
77.2Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)84.070.0154.0+14.0100%
Season at home (1)84.070.0154.0+14.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.278.9156.1-1.740%
Last 5 (5)75.873.0148.8+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)66.573.7140.2-7.220%
vs Similar (6)81.382.7164.0-1.333%
vs Weaker (14)83.073.6156.6+9.464%
This opponent (Montenegro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +0.8+0.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +0.8+0.8
MontenegroSweden
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MontenegroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Germany
#17
L
24-48
24
48
-24
A10/09
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#60
W
33-24
33
24
+9
A11/11
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H14/11
World Cup
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#41
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A23/02
World Cup
Czech Republic
#60
W
50-25
50
25
+25
H26/02
World Cup
Mexico
#26
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A25/08
World Cup
Egypt
#27
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H27/08
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H29/08
World Cup
Greece
#25
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A03/09
World Cup
Germany
#8
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A22/02
EuroBasket
74.8Avg total
37.9Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.436.374.7+2.260%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.234.974.1+4.471%-
Last 30 away (16)37.837.575.2+0.250%-
Last 10 (10)37.936.974.8+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)41.040.281.2+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)34.439.073.4-4.650%-
vs Similar (8)37.838.476.1-0.638%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)41.133.574.6+7.679%-
This opponent (Sweden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SwedenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Croatia
#66
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H28/02
World Cup
Finland
#22
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A30/06
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H03/07
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H25/08
World Cup
Israel
#52
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A28/08
World Cup
Estonia
#55
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A11/11
World Cup
Israel
#52
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H14/11
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A24/02
World Cup
Estonia
#55
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H27/02
World Cup
Bulgaria
#13
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H22/02
EuroBasket
77.8Avg total
39.6Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.938.075.8-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.936.574.3+1.453%-
Last 30 away (15)37.939.577.3-1.647%-
Last 10 (10)39.638.277.8+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)37.437.675.0-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)32.842.074.8-9.220%-
vs Similar (6)41.239.380.5+1.850%-
vs Weaker (14)40.134.574.6+5.671%-
This opponent (Montenegro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Montenegrotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Montenegro: 61.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.017.0
47.2%
50.6%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers14.05.0
35.7%
32.5%15.0
🏀 Free throws16.012.0
75.0%
71.4%12.0
They take 50.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 14.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Swedentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sweden: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.022.0
55.0%
50.6%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.08.0
28.6%
32.5%24.0
🏀 Free throws23.016.0
69.6%
71.4%16.0
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/1 games with a box score before 25 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Montenegro
LWLWWWLLWL
Sweden
WLLWWWLLLL
#19
League position
#26
-37.0
Net rating
+22.8
94.0
Offensive rating
119.9
131.0
Defensive rating
97.0
49.0%
Effective FG%
50.0%
59.5%
Opp. effective FG%
46.0%
26.1%
Turnover %
8.7%
33.3%
Off. rebound %
36.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.34
35.7%
3-point %
28.6%
22.7%
Assist %
53.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence94.0 · 119.9Defence131.0 · 97.0Shooting49.0% · 50.0%3-point %35.7% · 28.6%Ball care26.1% · 8.7%Off. rebounds33.3% · 36.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Montenegro   ■ Sweden
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Montenegro wins
0
Sweden wins
No previous meetings.
Montenegrolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/24AGermany61-85
03/09/23AGreece73-69
29/08/23HLithuania71-91
27/08/23HEgypt89-74
25/08/23AMexico91-71
26/02/23HCzech Republic88-70
23/02/23ABosnia & Herzegovina66-74
14/11/22HLithuania56-65
11/11/22ACzech Republic65-56
10/09/22AGermany79-85
Swedenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/24HBulgaria84-70
27/02/23HEstonia71-72
24/02/23AGermany66-73
14/11/22HIsrael71-68
11/11/22AEstonia87-82
28/08/22AIsrael95-83
25/08/22HGermany50-67
03/07/22HSlovenia81-84
30/06/22AFinland69-85
28/02/22HCroatia98-105 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Montenegro
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game61.0-61.0
Allowed / game85.0-85.0
Point differential-24.0--24.0
Avg total146.0-146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Sweden
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game84.084.0-
Allowed / game70.070.0-
Point differential+14.0+14.0-
Avg total154.0154.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bosnia & Herzegovina110100%99.066.0+33.0
2 Lithuania110100%83.064.0+19.0
3 Serbia110100%77.061.0+16.0
4 Italy220100%85.071.0+14.0
5 Sweden110100%84.070.0+14.0
6 France110100%73.061.0+12.0
7 Slovenia220100%87.576.0+11.5
8 Belgium220100%66.556.5+10.0
9 Greece110100%72.064.0+8.0
10 Latvia220100%71.563.5+8.0
11 Estonia110100%74.069.0+5.0
12 Great Britain110100%98.094.0+4.0
13 Croatia119282%83.467.1+16.3
14 Bulgaria129375%79.472.2+7.2
15 Portugal75271%83.470.9+12.6
16 Poland75271%79.670.7+8.9
17 North Macedonia75271%72.164.1+8.0
18 Slovakia128467%73.268.8+4.4
19 Denmark159660%76.771.1+5.7
20 Romania148657%72.072.1-0.1
21 Germany21150%73.564.0+9.5
22 Iceland21150%72.570.5+2.0
23 Turkey21150%78.081.0-3.0
24 Israel21150%75.579.0-3.5
25 Norway146843%71.176.0-4.9
26 Ireland104640%73.984.4-10.5
27 Austria1661038%75.077.2-2.2
28 Switzerland1661038%67.871.9-4.2
29 Kosovo83538%76.081.2-5.2
30 Luxembourg81712%75.685.2-9.6
31 Albania81712%73.285.8-12.5
32 Cyprus131128%63.580.0-16.5
33 Netherlands1010%94.098.0-4.0
34 Spain2020%64.068.5-4.5
35 Georgia1010%69.075.0-6.0
36 Czech Republic1010%64.072.0-8.0
37 Hungary2020%63.576.5-13.0
38 Ukraine1010%73.087.0-14.0
39 Finland1010%61.077.0-16.0
40 Montenegro1010%61.085.0-24.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 40 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Montenegro2723252095
Sweden2413201370
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