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Sweden vs Estonia Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 27 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 18:05
Final 71-72
16-17 14-11 14-15 27-29
Position#33
Record8-7
FormLWWWL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game76.0
vs
Estonia 🏆
Position#55
Record3-8
FormWLLLW
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game82.4
EuropeWorld CupRound 12
Other2023
Meetings · Sweden v Estonia
27 Feb 2026
SWED77
ESTO88
27 Feb 2023
SWED71
ESTO72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sweden winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Estonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slovenia
#24
L
89-94
89
94
-5
A28/11
World Cup
Croatia
#66
W
70-64
70
64
+6
A25/02
World Cup
Croatia
#66
L
98-105 OT
98
105
-7
H28/02
World Cup
Finland
#22
L
69-85
69
85
-16
A30/06
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
L
81-84
81
84
-3
H03/07
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
50-67
50
67
-17
H25/08
World Cup
Israel
#52
W
95-83
95
83
+12
A28/08
World Cup
Estonia
#55
W
87-82
87
82
+5
A11/11
World Cup
Israel
#52
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H14/11
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
66-73
66
73
-7
A24/02
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
20-25
19-25
26-27
18-15
17-20
17-10
18-19
21-14
20-12
18-24
20-29
29-19
17-24
8-26
15-16
17-22
24-19
20-29
20-14
9-25
20-21
13-8
8-13
24-23
28-15
18-22
25-23
27-13
12-24
20-24
28-21
17-16
20-24
16-8
18-20
19-21
12-19
14-17
21-16
158.1Avg total
77.6Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)81.876.0157.8+5.853%
Season at home (7)77.674.7152.3+2.943%
Season away (8)85.577.1162.6+8.462%
Last 10 (10)77.680.5158.1-2.940%
Last 5 (5)73.874.6148.4-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)64.873.4138.2-8.518%
vs Similar (6)81.382.7164.0-1.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)83.973.8157.7+10.269%
This opponent (Estonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slovenia
#24
L
83-104
83
104
-21
A25/08
World Cup
Finland
#22
L
68-76
68
76
-8
H28/08
World Cup
Italy
#11
L
62-83
62
83
-21
A02/09
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#13
L
73-74
73
74
-1
H03/09
EuroBasket
Croatia
#12
L
70-73
70
73
-3
A05/09
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#14
W
94-62
94
62
+32
H06/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#2
L
69-90
69
90
-21
H08/09
EuroBasket
Sweden
#33
L
82-87
82
87
-5
H11/11
World Cup
Finland
#22
L
71-91
71
91
-20
A14/11
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
W
79-78
79
78
+1
H24/02
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-27
15-29
25-21
20-27
21-23
15-24
18-10
14-19
18-21
15-31
19-17
10-14
21-15
14-18
26-23
12-18
16-20
13-13
19-20
22-20
24-18
25-18
29-17
16-9
21-27
15-24
13-26
20-13
13-27
24-12
24-20
21-28
16-21
25-18
15-27
15-25
24-16
13-24
18-19
24-19
156.9Avg total
75.1Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)72.582.4154.9-9.827%
Season at home (6)71.779.8151.5-8.233%
Season away (5)73.685.4159.0-11.820%
Last 10 (10)75.181.8156.9-6.720%
Last 5 (5)79.081.6160.6-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)71.581.7153.1-10.226%
vs Similar (3)74.077.0151.0-3.033%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sweden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -1.8-1.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -1.8-1.8
SwedenEstonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SwedenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slovenia
#24
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A28/11
World Cup
Croatia
#66
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A25/02
World Cup
Croatia
#66
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H28/02
World Cup
Finland
#22
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A30/06
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H03/07
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H25/08
World Cup
Israel
#52
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A28/08
World Cup
Estonia
#55
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A11/11
World Cup
Israel
#52
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H14/11
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A24/02
World Cup
78.3Avg total
39.5Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.538.075.5-0.443%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.936.173.0+0.943%-
Last 30 away (16)38.139.677.7-1.644%-
Last 10 (10)39.538.878.3+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)37.640.277.8-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)31.640.772.4-9.19%-
vs Similar (6)41.239.380.5+1.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)40.835.075.8+5.869%-
This opponent (Estonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slovenia
#24
L
38-56
38
56
-18
A25/08
World Cup
Finland
#22
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H28/08
World Cup
Italy
#11
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A02/09
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#13
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H03/09
EuroBasket
Croatia
#12
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A05/09
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#14
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H06/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#2
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H08/09
EuroBasket
Sweden
#33
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H11/11
World Cup
Finland
#22
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A14/11
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H24/02
World Cup
79.7Avg total
37.1Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.639.876.4-3.237%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.839.475.2-3.731%-
Last 30 away (14)37.640.177.7-2.643%-
Last 10 (10)37.142.679.7-5.530%-
Last 5 (5)40.041.081.0-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)36.339.976.1-3.633%-
vs Similar (3)39.739.078.7+0.767%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sweden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Sweden wins
0
Estonia wins
DateGameScore
11/11/22Estonia v Sweden82-87
Swedenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/23AGermany66-73
14/11/22HIsrael71-68
11/11/22AEstonia87-82
28/08/22AIsrael95-83
25/08/22HGermany50-67
03/07/22HSlovenia81-84
30/06/22AFinland69-85
28/02/22HCroatia98-105 OT
25/02/22ACroatia70-64
28/11/21ASlovenia89-94
Estonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/23HSlovenia79-78
14/11/22AFinland71-91
11/11/22HSweden82-87
08/09/22HGreece69-90
06/09/22HGreat Britain94-62
05/09/22ACroatia70-73
03/09/22HUkraine73-74
02/09/22AItaly62-83
28/08/22HFinland68-76
25/08/22ASlovenia83-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sweden
World Cup 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL53%
HomeWLLLW43%
AwayWLWWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %53%43%62%
Points / game81.877.685.5
Allowed / game76.074.777.1
Point differential+5.8+2.9+8.4
Avg total157.8152.3162.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%29%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Estonia
World Cup 2023
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW27%
HomeWLLLW33%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %27%33%20%
Points / game72.571.773.6
Allowed / game82.479.885.4
Point differential-9.8-8.2-11.8
Avg total154.9151.5159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Russia330100%87.070.7+16.3
2 Latvia1615194%84.070.3+13.7
3 Canada1211192%97.768.4+29.2
4 Australia1211192%82.854.8+28.0
5 South Sudan1211192%78.664.4+14.2
6 France1210283%81.161.8+19.2
7 Spain1210283%83.167.7+15.4
8 China1210283%79.966.0+13.9
9 Angola1210283%74.160.5+13.6
10 Ivory Coast1210283%75.365.9+9.4
11 Germany1210283%80.071.2+8.8
12 New Zealand108280%92.668.9+23.7
13 Puerto Rico108280%80.876.6+4.2
14 Lebanon129375%89.772.5+17.2
15 Dominican Republic129375%82.171.8+10.2
16 Lithuania129375%76.871.0+5.8
17 Finland129375%81.577.8+3.7
18 Italy118373%87.284.4+2.8
19 Mexico107370%83.677.1+6.5
20 Montenegro1611569%76.471.0+5.4
21 Belarus128467%80.267.2+13.0
22 Venezuela128467%77.267.2+10.1
23 Egypt128467%73.463.8+9.6
24 Argentina128467%78.772.1+6.6
25 Jordan128467%78.872.2+6.6
26 Serbia117464%79.176.9+2.2
27 Greece117464%77.575.5+1.9
28 Brazil106460%86.971.6+15.3
29 Philippines106460%80.276.8+3.4
30 Senegal127558%72.566.0+6.5
31 Nigeria127558%69.564.5+5.0
32 Japan127558%76.473.2+3.2
33 Slovenia127558%82.879.8+3.0
34 Georgia127558%80.479.1+1.3
35 Iceland2112957%80.880.7+0.1
36 Belgium116555%73.668.3+5.4
37 Cape Verde116555%72.169.5+2.6
38 Sweden158753%81.876.0+5.8
39 Ukraine126650%80.277.2+3.0
40 Iran126650%71.368.7+2.7
41 Tunisia126650%64.362.5+1.8
42 Portugal168850%70.971.6-0.7
43 Switzerland42250%62.263.2-1.0
44 Uruguay105550%71.974.2-2.3
45 Bosnia & Herzegovina126650%77.282.2-5.0
46 Hungary126650%72.679.5-6.9
47 Saudi Arabia125742%68.275.0-6.8
48 Kazakhstan125742%64.972.7-7.8
49 D.R. Congo125742%57.064.9-7.9
50 Mali52340%42.047.2-5.2
51 Israel124833%78.779.0-0.3
52 Poland62433%74.077.0-3.0
53 Cameroon124833%64.468.2-3.8
54 Kosovo62433%75.885.2-9.3
55 Slovakia1651131%68.976.7-7.8
56 Turkey103730%77.077.2-0.2
57 Colombia103730%77.091.8-14.8
58 Estonia113827%72.582.4-9.8
59 Guinea123925%66.070.6-4.6
60 Czech Republic123925%73.280.7-7.5
61 Panama123925%68.578.7-10.2
62 Bahamas123925%77.691.9-14.3
63 North Macedonia102820%64.375.8-11.5
64 Luxembourg102820%76.388.1-11.8
65 Bulgaria61517%74.379.2-4.8
66 Croatia61517%77.083.2-6.2
67 Rwanda61517%56.765.2-8.5
68 Chile61517%66.075.7-9.7
69 Syria61517%69.379.3-10.0
70 Central African Republic61517%61.275.2-14.0
71 Uganda1221017%61.177.8-16.7
72 Albania61517%65.282.2-17.0
73 Bahrain1221017%63.483.7-20.2
74 Cyprus61517%59.080.2-21.2
75 Great Britain91811%68.281.2-13.0
76 Cuba4040%65.072.8-7.8
77 Netherlands110110%71.081.5-10.5
78 Denmark4040%69.584.5-15.0
79 Romania4040%69.889.5-19.8
80 India100100%61.189.5-28.4
81 Chinese Taipei6060%61.090.7-29.7
82 United States Virgin Islands6060%64.796.2-31.5
83 Indonesia6060%58.590.2-31.7
84 Paraguay6060%55.086.8-31.8
85 Kenya6060%42.574.8-32.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 85 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sweden1614142771
Estonia1711152972
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