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Montreal Alliance vs Niagara River Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 73-77
19-13 15-28 16-15 23-21
Position#8
Record6-6
FormLWLLW
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game86.5
vs
Position#3
Record8-5
FormWWLLW
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game91.5
CanadaCEBL· Verdun Auditorium
Other2025
Meetings · Montreal Alliance v Niagara River
06 Jul 2025
MONT73
NIAG77
13 Jun 2024
MONT80
NIAG94
26 May 2023
MONT84
NIAG69
15 Jun 2022
MONT64
NIAG76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Montreal Alliance winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Niagara River winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Montreal AllianceCanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlliance
Date
Competition
Edmonton Stingers
#4
W
105-83
105
83
+22
112avg 78
H07/06
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#5
W
108-88
108
88
+20
95avg 78
A09/06
CEBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
L
89-92
89
92
-3
82avg 78
A12/06
CEBL
Fraser Valley Bandits
#1
L
82-91
82
91
-9
72avg 78
A15/06
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#5
L
73-101
73
101
-28
65avg 78
H18/06
CEBL
Niagara River
#3
L
82-93
82
93
-11
74avg 78
A20/06
CEBL
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#9
W
93-89
93
89
+4
91avg 78
H22/06
CEBL
Ottawa Blackjacks
#6
L
77-90
77
90
-13
71avg 78
A28/06
CEBL
Edmonton Stingers
#4
L
83-94
83
94
-11
72avg 78
A01/07
CEBL
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#9
W
82-80
82
80
+2
76avg 78
A04/07
CEBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-15
33-19
22-20
23-29
30-26
30-22
24-18
24-22
21-25
16-27
24-26
28-14
32-15
16-26
14-15
20-35
23-25
24-23
6-24
20-29
13-25
23-26
19-23
27-19
15-21
33-23
15-20
30-25
28-22
17-27
17-23
15-18
21-22
17-26
19-17
26-29
17-18
15-27
24-13
26-22
177.5Avg total
87.4Scored
90.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)87.886.5174.3+1.350%
Season at home (4)89.884.8174.5+5.075%
Season away (8)86.987.4174.2-0.538%
Last 10 (10)87.490.1177.5-2.740%
Last 5 (5)83.489.2172.6-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)81.788.0169.7-6.320%
vs Similar ◀ (13)87.987.5175.5+0.438%
vs Weaker (7)88.079.7167.7+8.371%
This opponent (Niagara River) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Niagara RiverCanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRiver
Date
Competition
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#9
W
88-86
88
86
+2
77avg 82
A25/05
CEBL
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#9
L
87-89
87
89
-2
78avg 82
H30/05
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#5
W
98-94
98
94
+4
85avg 82
H06/06
CEBL
Brampton Honey Badgers
#10
W
94-80
94
80
+14
88avg 82
H08/06
CEBL
Edmonton Stingers
#4
L
88-106
88
106
-18
73avg 82
H13/06
CEBL
Ottawa Blackjacks
#6
W
90-89
90
89
+1
79avg 82
A15/06
CEBL
Montreal Alliance
#8
W
93-82
93
82
+11
86avg 82
H20/06
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#5
L
70-102
70
102
-32
65avg 82
A22/06
CEBL
Brampton Honey Badgers
#10
L
66-91
66
91
-25
57avg 82
A29/06
CEBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
W
93-82
93
82
+11
87avg 82
H04/07
CEBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-22
18-23
16-23
27-18
29-19
16-22
18-25
24-23
26-18
29-29
16-28
27-19
31-16
22-19
20-25
21-20
24-35
20-26
28-23
16-22
30-14
21-30
13-19
26-26
25-13
26-23
23-19
19-27
11-26
25-30
16-22
18-24
16-31
19-25
16-11
15-24
28-24
23-14
22-20
20-24
176.8Avg total
86.7Scored
90.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)86.591.5177.9-5.062%
Season at home (7)93.089.6182.6+3.471%
Season away (6)78.893.7172.5-14.850%
Last 10 (10)86.790.1176.8-3.460%
Last 5 (5)82.489.2171.6-6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)86.0103.0189.0-17.033%
vs Similar ◀ (12)92.090.2182.2+1.883%
vs Weaker (15)90.788.7179.5+2.067%
This opponent (Montreal Alliance) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -1.4-1.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -1.4-1.4
Montreal AllianceNiagara River
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Montreal AllianceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Edmonton Stingers
#4
W
60-34
60
34
+26
H07/06
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#5
W
60-48
60
48
+12
A09/06
CEBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A12/06
CEBL
Fraser Valley Bandits
#1
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A15/06
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#5
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H18/06
CEBL
Niagara River
#3
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A20/06
CEBL
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#9
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H22/06
CEBL
Ottawa Blackjacks
#6
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A28/06
CEBL
Edmonton Stingers
#4
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A01/07
CEBL
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#9
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A04/07
CEBL
91.1Avg total
45.1Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.242.987.1+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (13)47.441.288.5+6.277%-
Last 30 away (17)41.844.285.9-2.429%-
Last 10 (10)45.146.091.1-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)39.847.487.2-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)41.143.084.1-1.940%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)46.144.090.1+2.146%-
vs Weaker (7)45.140.685.7+4.671%-
This opponent (Niagara River) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Niagara RiverLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#9
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A25/05
CEBL
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#9
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H30/05
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#5
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H06/06
CEBL
Brampton Honey Badgers
#10
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H08/06
CEBL
Edmonton Stingers
#4
L
44-61
44
61
-17
H13/06
CEBL
Ottawa Blackjacks
#6
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A15/06
CEBL
Montreal Alliance
#8
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H20/06
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#5
L
36-56
36
56
-20
A22/06
CEBL
Brampton Honey Badgers
#10
L
35-56
35
56
-21
A29/06
CEBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H04/07
CEBL
92.5Avg total
46.6Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.445.793.0+1.760%-
Last 30 at home (17)49.943.092.9+6.988%-
Last 30 away (13)44.149.293.2-5.123%-
Last 10 (10)46.645.992.5+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)44.846.090.8-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)46.052.798.7-6.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)48.144.292.3+3.867%-
vs Weaker (15)47.145.492.5+1.760%-
This opponent (Montreal Alliance) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Montreal Alliancetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Montreal Alliance: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.320.5
47.3%
50.7%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.410.4
35.4%
34.3%31.2
🏀 Free throws20.514.2
69.3%
72.4%14.2
They take 72.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Niagara Rivertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Niagara River: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.320.8
47.0%
50.7%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.68.7
29.4%
34.3%26.1
🏀 Free throws22.918.9
82.5%
72.4%18.9
They take 73.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Jul 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Montreal Alliance
WLLWLLLLWW
Niagara River
WLLWWLWWLW
#8
League position
#3
-4.7
Net rating
-5.3
107.0
Offensive rating
102.8
111.7
Defensive rating
108.2
49.7%
Effective FG%
45.8%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
16.8%
Turnover %
16.0%
34.2%
Off. rebound %
29.8%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.4%
3-point %
29.4%
69.9%
Assist %
60.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.0 · 102.8Defence111.7 · 108.2Shooting49.7% · 45.8%3-point %35.4% · 29.4%Ball care16.8% · 16.0%Off. rebounds34.2% · 29.8%Free throws0.28 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Montreal Alliance   ■ Niagara River
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
04/07/25ASaskatchewan Rattlers82-80
01/07/25AEdmonton Stingers83-94
28/06/25AOttawa Blackjacks77-90
22/06/25HSaskatchewan Rattlers93-89
20/06/25ANiagara River82-93
18/06/25HScarborough Shooting Stars73-101
15/06/25AFraser Valley Bandits82-91
12/06/25AWinnipeg Sea Bears89-92
09/06/25AScarborough Shooting Stars108-88
07/06/25HEdmonton Stingers105-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/07/25HWinnipeg Sea Bears93-82
29/06/25ABrampton Honey Badgers66-91
22/06/25AScarborough Shooting Stars70-102
20/06/25HMontreal Alliance93-82
15/06/25AOttawa Blackjacks90-89
13/06/25HEdmonton Stingers88-106
08/06/25HBrampton Honey Badgers94-80
06/06/25HScarborough Shooting Stars98-94
30/05/25HSaskatchewan Rattlers87-89
25/05/25ASaskatchewan Rattlers88-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Montreal Alliance
CEBL 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW50%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLLLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1248
Win %50%75%38%
Points / game87.889.886.9
Allowed / game86.584.887.4
Point differential+1.3+5.0-0.5
Avg total174.3174.5174.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Niagara River
CEBL 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW62%
HomeWWLWW71%
AwayLWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %62%71%50%
Points / game86.593.078.8
Allowed / game91.589.693.7
Point differential-5.0+3.4-14.8
Avg total177.9182.6172.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)67% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fraser Valley Bandits1310377%96.885.2+11.6
2 Guelph Nighthawks139469%93.885.8+7.9
3 Niagara River138562%86.591.5-5.0
4 Edmonton Stingers148657%92.890.5+2.3
5 Scarborough Shooting Stars147750%91.489.8+1.6
6 Montreal Alliance126650%87.886.5+1.3
7 Ottawa Blackjacks136746%90.186.1+4.0
8 Winnipeg Sea Bears145936%84.192.2-8.1
9 Brampton Honey Badgers134931%81.489.1-7.7
10 Saskatchewan Rattlers1541127%85.591.9-6.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Montreal Alliance1915162373
Niagara River1328152177
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