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Morehead State vs Belmont Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 21 Feb 2020
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 67-80
25-34 42-46
Position#291
Record8-14
FormWWLLL
Points / game67.6
Allowed / game71.3
Morehead State
USA
vs
Belmont 🏆
USA
Position#30
Record16-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game69.5
USANCAA
Other2019-20
Meetings · Morehead State v Belmont
20 Jan 2022
MORE83
BELM74
27 Feb 2021
MORE89
BELM82
20 Feb 2020
MORE67
BELM80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Morehead State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Belmont winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Morehead StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee State
#193
L
48-64
48
64
-16
A17/01
NCAA
Belmont
#30
L
59-77
59
77
-18
A18/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#301
L
59-71
59
71
-12
A24/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#242
L
51-72
51
72
-21
A25/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#337
W
90-74
90
74
+16
H31/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#311
W
85-77
85
77
+8
H01/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#329
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A07/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#167
L
65-71
65
71
-6
A08/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#224
L
71-78
71
78
-7
H14/02
NCAA
Murray State
#47
L
57-85
57
85
-28
A15/02
NCAA
1H
2H
20-33
28-31
33-35
26-42
29-38
30-33
22-43
29-29
48-36
42-38
33-31
52-46
16-15
42-34
30-40
35-31
37-42
34-36
32-45
25-40
136.1Avg total
64.3Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)67.671.3138.9-3.736%
Season at home (10)77.370.6147.9+6.770%
Season away (12)59.571.8131.3-12.38%
Last 10 (10)64.371.8136.1-7.530%
Last 5 (5)67.272.0139.2-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)67.878.9146.7-11.215%
vs Similar (11)68.569.1137.5-0.655%
vs Weaker (2)73.062.5135.5+10.5100%
This opponent (Belmont) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BelmontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Kentucky
#224
W
87-56
87
56
+31
H17/01
NCAA
Morehead State
#291
W
77-59
77
59
+18
H18/01
NCAA
Murray State
#47
L
75-85
75
85
-10
A24/01
NCAA
Austin Peay
#60
L
78-86
78
86
-8
A25/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#301
W
92-84
92
84
+8
A31/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#242
W
78-64
78
64
+14
A01/02
NCAA
Murray State
#47
W
71-64
71
64
+7
H07/02
NCAA
Austin Peay
#60
W
71-63
71
63
+8
H08/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#193
W
74-51
74
51
+23
H14/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#242
W
101-84
101
84
+17
H15/02
NCAA
1H
2H
44-28
43-28
35-33
42-26
35-31
40-54
43-38
35-48
46-25
46-59
37-31
41-33
32-26
39-38
32-30
39-33
34-28
40-23
48-38
53-46
150.0Avg total
80.4Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)79.469.5149.0+9.970%
Season at home (11)82.362.4144.6+19.991%
Season away (12)76.876.1152.9+0.850%
Last 10 (10)80.469.6150.0+10.880%
Last 5 (5)79.065.2144.2+13.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)57.071.0128.0-14.00%
vs Similar (7)71.474.0145.4-2.629%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)80.768.8149.5+11.982%
This opponent (Morehead State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -5.8-5.81st half: +7.8+7.82nd half2nd half: -1.7-1.72nd half: +3.0+3.0
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -5.8-5.81st half: +7.8+7.82nd half2nd half: -1.7-1.72nd half: +3.0+3.0
Morehead StateBelmont
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Morehead StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee State
#193
L
20-33
20
33
-13
A17/01
NCAA
Belmont
#30
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A18/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#301
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A24/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#242
L
22-43
22
43
-21
A25/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#337
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H31/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#311
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H01/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#329
W
16-15
16
15
+1
A07/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#167
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A08/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#224
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H14/02
NCAA
Murray State
#47
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A15/02
NCAA
65.8Avg total
30.0Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)32.834.367.1-1.541%-
Last 30 at home (12)38.233.371.6+4.967%-
Last 30 away (17)28.934.963.9-6.024%-
Last 10 (10)30.035.865.8-5.830%-
Last 5 (5)29.634.664.2-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)31.839.070.8-7.215%-
vs Similar (11)31.630.361.9+1.455%-
vs Weaker (2)36.024.060.0+12.0100%-
This opponent (Belmont) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BelmontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Kentucky
#224
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H17/01
NCAA
Morehead State
#291
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H18/01
NCAA
Murray State
#47
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A24/01
NCAA
Austin Peay
#60
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A25/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#301
W
46-25
46
25
+21
A31/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#242
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A01/02
NCAA
Murray State
#47
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H07/02
NCAA
Austin Peay
#60
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H08/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#193
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H14/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#242
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H15/02
NCAA
69.4Avg total
38.6Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.332.669.9+4.779%-
Last 30 at home (11)37.529.466.9+8.291%-
Last 30 away (18)37.234.671.8+2.672%-
Last 10 (10)38.630.869.4+7.8100%-
Last 5 (5)36.630.667.2+6.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)26.030.056.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (7)34.632.667.1+2.086%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)37.932.470.2+5.582%-
This opponent (Morehead State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Morehead State wins
1
Belmont wins
DateGameScore
18/01/20Belmont v Morehead State77-59
Morehead Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/20AMurray State57-85
14/02/20HEastern Kentucky71-78
08/02/20AEastern Illinois65-71
07/02/20ASiu Edwardsville58-49
01/02/20HUT Martin85-77
31/01/20HSoutheast Missouri State90-74
25/01/20AJacksonville State51-72
24/01/20ATennessee Tech59-71
18/01/20ABelmont59-77
17/01/20ATennessee State48-64
Belmontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/20HJacksonville State101-84
14/02/20HTennessee State74-51
08/02/20HAustin Peay71-63
07/02/20HMurray State71-64
01/02/20AJacksonville State78-64
31/01/20ATennessee Tech92-84
25/01/20AAustin Peay78-86
24/01/20AMurray State75-85
18/01/20HMorehead State77-59
17/01/20HEastern Kentucky87-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Morehead State
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL36%
HomeWWWWL70%
AwayLLWLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %36%70%8%
Points / game67.677.359.5
Allowed / game71.370.671.8
Point differential-3.7+6.7-12.3
Avg total138.9147.9131.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%30%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Belmont
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW70%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayWLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %70%91%50%
Points / game79.482.376.8
Allowed / game69.562.476.1
Point differential+9.9+19.9+0.8
Avg total149.0144.6152.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%64%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UALR2215768%72.869.5+3.3
2 Tennessee State23131057%71.272.9-1.7
3 Eastern Illinois22101245%74.271.4+2.9
4 Morehead State2281436%67.671.3-3.7
5 UT Martin2061430%75.082.2-7.1
6 Tennessee Tech2161529%67.074.2-7.1
7 Western Illinois1951426%73.878.5-4.7
8 Southeast Missouri State2461825%65.574.0-8.5
9 Siu Edwardsville2251723%68.373.9-5.5
10 Lindenwood2020%56.5106.5-50.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northern Iowa2016480%77.566.8+10.8
2 Murray State2216673%76.065.6+10.4
3 Belmont2316770%79.469.5+9.9
4 Bradley2416867%70.665.2+5.4
5 Indiana State2114767%69.264.5+4.7
6 Drake2415962%69.469.5-0.0
7 Southern Illinois2113862%62.660.4+2.1
8 Illinois (Chi.)24121250%69.469.0+0.3
9 Valparaiso24111346%70.670.3+0.3
10 Evansville2361726%68.076.2-8.2
11 Illinois State2461825%65.370.8-5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Morehead State254267
Belmont344680
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