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Belmont vs Murray State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 07 Feb 2020
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 71-64
32-26 39-38
Position#30
Record12-7
FormWLLWW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game70.4
Belmont 🏆
USA
vs
Position#47
Record14-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game65.6
USANCAA
Other2019-20
Meetings · Belmont v Murray State
31 Jan 2026
BELM103
MURR86
02 Mar 2025
BELM70
MURR60
07 Feb 2024
BELM69
MURR64
17 Jan 2023
BELM80
MURR65
15 Jan 2022
BELM60
MURR82
30 Dec 2020
BELM68
MURR55
07 Mar 2020
BELM76
MURR75
06 Feb 2020
BELM71
MURR64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Belmont winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murray State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BelmontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siu Edwardsville
#329
L
69-79
69
79
-10
H03/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#167
W
87-55
87
55
+32
H04/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#337
W
89-64
89
64
+25
A10/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#311
W
85-78
85
78
+7
A11/01
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#224
W
87-56
87
56
+31
H17/01
NCAA
Morehead State
#291
W
77-59
77
59
+18
H18/01
NCAA
Murray State
#47
L
75-85
75
85
-10
A24/01
NCAA
Austin Peay
#60
L
78-86
78
86
-8
A25/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#301
W
92-84
92
84
+8
A31/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#242
W
78-64
78
64
+14
A01/02
NCAA
1H
2H
30-28
39-51
44-32
43-23
40-36
49-28
37-36
48-42
44-28
43-28
35-33
42-26
35-31
40-54
43-38
35-48
46-25
46-59
37-31
41-33
152.7Avg total
81.7Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)79.570.4149.8+9.163%
Season at home (7)84.060.6144.6+23.486%
Season away (12)76.876.1152.9+0.850%
Last 10 (10)81.771.0152.7+10.770%
Last 5 (5)80.075.6155.6+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)57.071.0128.0-14.00%
vs Similar ◀ (5)71.678.2149.8-6.60%
vs Weaker (15)79.868.9148.7+10.980%
This opponent (Murray State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Martin
#311
W
89-76
89
76
+13
H03/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#337
W
81-59
81
59
+22
H05/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#242
W
72-68
72
68
+4
A10/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#301
W
81-69
81
69
+12
A12/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#311
W
84-62
84
62
+22
A17/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#337
W
96-91 OT
96
91
+5
A18/01
NCAA
Belmont
#30
W
85-75
85
75
+10
H24/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#193
W
76-64
76
64
+12
H26/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#167
W
73-70
73
70
+3
H31/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#329
W
74-55
74
55
+19
H02/02
NCAA
1H
2H
48-33
41-43
42-33
39-26
35-30
37-38
36-35
45-34
43-24
41-38
41-40
37-38
31-35
54-40
32-29
44-35
32-27
41-43
35-26
39-29
150.0Avg total
81.1Scored
68.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)76.865.6142.3+11.278%
Season at home (11)75.961.2137.1+14.782%
Season away (7)78.172.4150.6+5.771%
Last 10 (10)81.168.9150.0+12.2100%
Last 5 (5)80.871.0151.8+9.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (1)85.075.0160.0+10.0100%
vs Weaker (22)77.466.4143.7+11.077%
This opponent (Belmont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +7.3+7.31st half: +6.3+6.32nd half2nd half: +3.4+3.42nd half: +5.4+5.4
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +7.3+7.31st half: +6.3+6.32nd half2nd half: +3.4+3.42nd half: +5.4+5.4
BelmontMurray State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BelmontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siu Edwardsville
#329
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H03/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#167
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H04/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#337
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A10/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#311
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A11/01
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#224
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H17/01
NCAA
Morehead State
#291
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H18/01
NCAA
Murray State
#47
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A24/01
NCAA
Austin Peay
#60
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A25/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#301
W
46-25
46
25
+21
A31/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#242
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A01/02
NCAA
70.9Avg total
39.1Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (25)37.433.070.4+4.576%-
Last 30 at home (7)38.128.766.9+9.486%-
Last 30 away (18)37.234.671.8+2.672%-
Last 10 (10)39.131.870.9+7.3100%-
Last 5 (5)39.231.670.8+7.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)26.030.056.0-4.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)35.634.470.0+1.280%-
vs Weaker (15)37.532.369.7+5.280%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Martin
#311
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H03/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#337
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H05/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#242
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A10/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#301
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A12/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#311
W
43-24
43
24
+19
A17/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#337
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A18/01
NCAA
Belmont
#30
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H24/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#193
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H26/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#167
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H31/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#329
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H02/02
NCAA
68.7Avg total
37.5Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)36.931.668.6+5.367%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.031.070.0+8.076%-
Last 30 away (10)33.432.766.1+0.750%-
Last 10 (10)37.531.268.7+6.390%-
Last 5 (5)34.231.465.6+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (1)31.035.066.0-4.00%-
vs Weaker (22)37.231.168.3+6.073%-
This opponent (Belmont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Belmont wins
1
Murray State wins
DateGameScore
24/01/20Murray State v Belmont85-75
Belmontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/20AJacksonville State78-64
31/01/20ATennessee Tech92-84
25/01/20AAustin Peay78-86
24/01/20AMurray State75-85
18/01/20HMorehead State77-59
17/01/20HEastern Kentucky87-56
11/01/20AUT Martin85-78
10/01/20ASoutheast Missouri State89-64
04/01/20HEastern Illinois87-55
03/01/20HSiu Edwardsville69-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/20HSiu Edwardsville74-55
31/01/20HEastern Illinois73-70
26/01/20HTennessee State76-64
24/01/20HBelmont85-75
18/01/20ASoutheast Missouri State96-91 OT
17/01/20AUT Martin84-62
12/01/20ATennessee Tech81-69
10/01/20AJacksonville State72-68
05/01/20HSoutheast Missouri State81-59
03/01/20HUT Martin89-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Belmont
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW63%
HomeWLWWW86%
AwayWLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19712
Win %63%86%50%
Points / game79.584.076.8
Allowed / game70.460.676.1
Point differential+9.1+23.4+0.8
Avg total149.8144.6152.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%71%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Murray State
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW78%
HomeWWWWW82%
AwayLWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18117
Win %78%82%71%
Points / game76.875.978.1
Allowed / game65.661.272.4
Point differential+11.2+14.7+5.7
Avg total142.3137.1150.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%73%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (1)60% (5)
Overtime %11%0%29%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northern Iowa1714382%77.965.8+12.1
2 Murray State1814478%76.865.6+11.2
3 Indiana State1814478%70.463.2+7.2
4 Southern Illinois1812667%63.459.9+3.4
5 Drake2013765%68.566.6+1.9
6 Belmont1912763%79.570.4+9.1
7 Bradley2012860%70.165.0+5.0
8 Illinois (Chi.)20101050%70.370.3-0.1
9 Valparaiso2091145%71.572.0-0.5
10 Evansville2061430%68.076.2-8.3
11 Illinois State2051525%65.070.7-5.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Belmont323971
Murray State263864
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