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Morehead State vs East Tennessee St Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 61-57
27-36 34-21
Position#82
Record4-5
FormLWLWL
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game69.7
vs
Position#286
Record4-5
FormLLLWL
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game67.9
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Morehead State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
East Tennessee St winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Morehead StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#4
L
67-71
67
71
-4
A06/03
NCAA
Indiana
#76
L
53-88
53
88
-35
A08/11
NCAA
Campbellsville-Harrodsburg
#593
W
99-58
99
58
+41
H10/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#240
W
62-55
62
55
+7
H13/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#157
L
57-75
57
75
-18
A16/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
L
43-76
43
76
-33
A19/11
NCAA
Kentucky State
#676
W
114-49
114
49
+65
H23/11
NCAA
Marshall
#38
L
59-83
59
83
-24
A27/11
NCAA
Kentucky Christian
#598
W
109-62
109
62
+47
H30/11
NCAA
North Alabama
#155
L
75-81
75
81
-6
H03/12
NCAA
1H
2H
34-34
33-37
29-41
24-47
52-27
47-31
28-16
34-39
28-37
29-38
13-38
30-38
49-26
65-23
31-37
28-46
58-34
51-28
41-25
34-56
143.6Avg total
73.8Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)74.669.7144.2+4.944%
Season at home (5)91.861.0152.8+30.880%
Season away (4)53.080.5133.5-27.50%
Last 10 (10)73.869.8143.6+4.040%
Last 5 (5)80.070.2150.2+9.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)61.272.0133.2-10.80%
vs Similar ◀ (7)58.770.4129.1-11.729%
vs Weaker (19)77.761.2138.9+16.589%
This opponent (East Tennessee St) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
East Tennessee StUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Citadel
#254
L
76-84 OT
76
84
-8
H04/03
NCAA
Emory & Henry
#426
W
88-66
88
66
+22
H08/11
NCAA
Elon
#349
W
77-64
77
64
+13
H12/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
77-81
77
81
-4
H13/11
NCAA
UALR
#322
W
84-76
84
76
+8
H18/11
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#218
L
62-69
62
69
-7
A20/11
NCAA
Appalachian State
#203
L
70-74
70
74
-4
H24/11
NCAA
Georgia
#214
L
47-62
47
62
-15
A27/11
NCAA
Mars Hill
#464
W
84-56
84
56
+28
H01/12
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#266
L
61-63
61
63
-2
H03/12
NCAA
1H
2H
38-46
31-23
45-31
43-35
39-31
38-33
28-42
49-39
42-35
42-41
30-33
32-36
33-32
37-42
26-30
21-32
39-28
45-28
28-31
33-32
142.1Avg total
72.6Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)72.267.9140.1+4.344%
Season at home (7)77.368.6145.9+8.757%
Season away (2)54.565.5120.0-11.00%
Last 10 (10)72.669.5142.1+3.140%
Last 5 (5)64.864.8129.6+0.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)69.176.4145.5-7.318%
vs Similar ◀ (12)69.571.7141.2-2.233%
vs Weaker (5)83.676.0159.6+7.680%
This opponent (Morehead State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.8+4.81st half: +0.9+0.92nd half2nd half: -0.8-0.82nd half: +3.0+3.0
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.8+4.81st half: +0.9+0.92nd half2nd half: -0.8-0.82nd half: +3.0+3.0
Morehead StateEast Tennessee St
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Morehead StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#4
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A06/03
NCAA
Indiana
#76
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A08/11
NCAA
Campbellsville-Harrodsburg
#593
W
52-27
52
27
+25
H10/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#240
W
28-16
28
16
+12
H13/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#157
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A16/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
L
13-38
13
38
-25
A19/11
NCAA
Kentucky State
#676
W
49-26
49
26
+23
H23/11
NCAA
Marshall
#38
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A27/11
NCAA
Kentucky Christian
#598
W
58-34
58
34
+24
H30/11
NCAA
North Alabama
#155
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H03/12
NCAA
67.8Avg total
36.3Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.929.764.5+5.263%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.227.765.9+10.587%-
Last 30 away (15)31.531.763.2-0.140%-
Last 10 (10)36.331.567.8+4.850%-
Last 5 (5)38.432.070.4+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)30.232.062.2-1.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)30.631.061.6-0.457%-
vs Weaker (19)37.428.766.1+8.774%-
This opponent (East Tennessee St) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
East Tennessee StLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Citadel
#254
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H04/03
NCAA
Emory & Henry
#426
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H08/11
NCAA
Elon
#349
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H12/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H13/11
NCAA
UALR
#322
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H18/11
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#218
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A20/11
NCAA
Appalachian State
#203
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H24/11
NCAA
Georgia
#214
L
26-30
26
30
-4
A27/11
NCAA
Mars Hill
#464
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H01/12
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#266
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H03/12
NCAA
68.7Avg total
34.8Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.834.871.6+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.833.970.8+2.959%-
Last 30 away (13)36.835.972.8+0.954%-
Last 10 (10)34.833.968.7+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)31.230.862.0+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)34.234.969.1-0.755%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)35.636.472.0-0.833%-
vs Weaker (5)43.632.876.4+10.8100%-
This opponent (Morehead State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Morehead State wins
1
East Tennessee St wins
DateGameScore
11/12/21East Tennessee St v Morehead State82-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/22HNorth Alabama75-81
30/11/22HKentucky Christian109-62
27/11/22AMarshall59-83
23/11/22HKentucky State114-49
19/11/22AVanderbilt43-76
16/11/22AWest Virginia57-75
13/11/22HBellarmine62-55
10/11/22HCampbellsville-Harrodsburg99-58
08/11/22AIndiana53-88
06/03/22AMurray State67-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/22HJacksonville State61-63
01/12/22HMars Hill84-56
27/11/22AGeorgia47-62
24/11/22HAppalachian State70-74
20/11/22ATennessee Tech62-69
18/11/22HUALR84-76
13/11/22HLouisiana Lafayette77-81
12/11/22HElon77-64
08/11/22HEmory & Henry88-66
04/03/22HCitadel76-84 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Morehead State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL44%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%80%0%
Points / game74.691.853.0
Allowed / game69.761.080.5
Point differential+4.9+30.8-27.5
Avg total144.2152.8133.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
East Tennessee St
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL44%
HomeLWLWL57%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games972
Win %44%57%0%
Points / game72.277.354.5
Allowed / game67.968.665.5
Point differential+4.3+8.7-11.0
Avg total140.1145.9120.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siu Edwardsville117464%75.568.8+6.6
2 Western Illinois106460%77.574.4+3.1
3 Tennessee State95456%74.369.4+4.9
4 Southeast Missouri State105550%72.068.4+3.6
5 UT Martin94544%81.275.8+5.4
6 Morehead State94544%74.669.7+4.9
7 Southern Indiana94544%74.670.6+4.0
8 Lindenwood104640%70.772.1-1.4
9 Tennessee Tech103730%70.974.7-3.8
10 UALR92722%72.183.9-11.8
11 Eastern Illinois112918%66.668.6-2.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chattanooga Mocs107370%82.066.5+15.5
2 Furman107370%82.370.7+11.6
3 Citadel95456%71.170.8+0.3
4 Samford116555%82.871.0+11.8
5 Wofford116555%74.667.8+6.8
6 Mercer115645%76.569.5+7.1
7 Western Carolina115645%76.171.1+5.0
8 VMI115645%78.374.6+3.6
9 East Tennessee St94544%72.267.9+4.3
10 NC Greensboro104640%65.467.2-1.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Morehead State273461
East Tennessee St362157
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