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East Tennessee St vs Morehead State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 82-75
39-41 43-34
Position#219
Record6-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game69.2
Allowed / game66.8
vs
Position#76
Record6-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game68.0
Allowed / game63.8
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · East Tennessee St v Morehead State
29 Nov 2026
EAST v MORE
upcoming
21 Nov 2025
EAST77
MORE62
11 Dec 2021
EAST82
MORE75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

East Tennessee St winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Morehead State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

East Tennessee StUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC Greensboro
#56
L
65-77
65
77
-12
A07/03
NCAA
Appalachian State
#156
L
67-69
67
69
-2
A12/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#29
L
62-94
62
94
-32
A14/11
NCAA
USC Upstate
#226
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H19/11
NCAA
Murray State
#4
W
66-58
66
58
+8
A22/11
NCAA
Missouri State
#49
W
77-76
77
76
+1
A24/11
NCAA
Kent State
#68
W
57-51
57
51
+6
A25/11
NCAA
Lees-McRae
#405
W
92-74
92
74
+18
H27/11
NCAA
UAB
#27
L
56-70
56
70
-14
A02/12
NCAA
Lenoir-Rhyne
#431
W
90-66
90
66
+24
H05/12
NCAA
1H
2H
39-40
26-37
33-28
34-41
23-46
39-48
22-18
34-25
32-29
34-29
45-43
32-33
29-20
28-31
39-33
53-41
32-31
24-39
47-31
43-35
136.6Avg total
68.8Scored
67.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)69.266.8136.0+2.467%
Season at home (3)79.361.0140.3+18.3100%
Season away (6)64.269.7133.8-5.550%
Last 10 (10)68.867.8136.6+1.060%
Last 5 (5)74.467.4141.8+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)65.771.4137.1-5.844%
vs Similar (15)70.166.3136.4+3.953%
vs Weaker (3)80.360.0140.3+20.3100%
This opponent (Morehead State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
West Virginia
#81
L
67-84
67
84
-17
A20/03
NCAA
Auburn
#11
L
54-77
54
77
-23
A10/11
NCAA
UAB
#27
L
71-85
71
85
-14
A13/11
NCAA
Kentucky Christian
#401
W
82-57
82
57
+25
H16/11
NCAA
Transylvania
#438
W
84-59
84
59
+25
H19/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#171
L
46-66
46
66
-20
A21/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#101
W
75-51
75
51
+24
A27/11
NCAA
UMKC
#120
W
70-62
70
62
+8
H28/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#229
W
59-51
59
51
+8
H02/12
NCAA
Presbyterian
#278
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H07/12
NCAA
1H
2H
31-38
36-46
24-44
30-33
23-46
48-39
37-29
45-28
35-28
49-31
28-29
18-37
36-23
39-28
34-25
36-37
27-24
32-27
33-28
38-38
133.7Avg total
67.9Scored
65.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)68.063.8131.8+4.267%
Season at home (5)73.259.0132.2+14.2100%
Season away (4)61.569.8131.2-8.225%
Last 10 (10)67.965.8133.7+2.160%
Last 5 (5)64.259.2123.4+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)69.371.4140.7-2.157%
vs Similar (8)67.665.2132.9+2.475%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)71.157.1128.2+13.9100%
This opponent (East Tennessee St) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +2.2+2.21st half: -0.6-0.62nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: +2.7+2.7
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +2.2+2.21st half: -0.6-0.62nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: +2.7+2.7
East Tennessee StMorehead State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
East Tennessee StLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC Greensboro
#56
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A07/03
NCAA
Appalachian State
#156
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A12/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#29
L
23-46
23
46
-23
A14/11
NCAA
USC Upstate
#226
W
22-18
22
18
+4
H19/11
NCAA
Murray State
#4
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A22/11
NCAA
Missouri State
#49
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A24/11
NCAA
Kent State
#68
W
29-20
29
20
+9
A25/11
NCAA
Lees-McRae
#405
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H27/11
NCAA
UAB
#27
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A02/12
NCAA
Lenoir-Rhyne
#431
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H05/12
NCAA
66.0Avg total
34.1Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.431.865.2+1.663%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.530.264.7+4.373%-
Last 30 away (15)32.433.465.8-1.053%-
Last 10 (10)34.131.966.0+2.280%-
Last 5 (5)38.431.670.0+6.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)32.733.265.9-0.667%-
vs Similar (15)31.731.363.0+0.560%-
vs Weaker (3)38.031.369.3+6.733%-
This opponent (Morehead State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
West Virginia
#81
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A20/03
NCAA
Auburn
#11
L
24-44
24
44
-20
A10/11
NCAA
UAB
#27
L
23-46
23
46
-23
A13/11
NCAA
Kentucky Christian
#401
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H16/11
NCAA
Transylvania
#438
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H19/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#171
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A21/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#101
W
36-23
36
23
+13
A27/11
NCAA
UMKC
#120
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H28/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#229
W
27-24
27
24
+3
H02/12
NCAA
Presbyterian
#278
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H07/12
NCAA
62.2Avg total
30.8Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.530.062.5+2.470%-
Last 30 at home (15)31.327.258.5+4.180%-
Last 30 away (15)33.732.966.5+0.860%-
Last 10 (10)30.831.462.2-0.660%-
Last 5 (5)31.625.857.4+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)31.436.968.3-5.443%-
vs Similar (8)31.028.959.9+2.162%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)33.627.461.1+6.286%-
This opponent (East Tennessee St) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
East Tennessee St wins
0
Morehead State wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/21HLenoir-Rhyne90-66
02/12/21AUAB56-70
27/11/21HLees-McRae92-74
25/11/21AKent State57-51
24/11/21AMissouri State77-76
22/11/21AMurray State66-58
19/11/21HUSC Upstate56-43
14/11/21ATennessee62-94
12/11/21AAppalachian State67-69
07/03/21ANC Greensboro65-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/21HPresbyterian71-66
02/12/21HGeorgia Southern59-51
28/11/21HUMKC70-62
27/11/21AArkansas State75-51
21/11/21AMississippi St.46-66
19/11/21HTransylvania84-59
16/11/21HKentucky Christian82-57
13/11/21AUAB71-85
10/11/21AAuburn54-77
20/03/21AWest Virginia67-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

East Tennessee St
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW67%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games936
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game69.279.364.2
Allowed / game66.861.069.7
Point differential+2.4+18.3-5.5
Avg total136.0140.3133.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Morehead State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW67%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%100%25%
Points / game68.073.261.5
Allowed / game63.859.069.8
Point differential+4.2+14.2-8.2
Avg total131.8132.2131.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chattanooga Mocs98189%76.259.3+16.9
2 Samford97278%78.773.1+5.6
3 NC Greensboro97278%67.963.1+4.8
4 Wofford107370%80.266.3+13.9
5 Furman107370%83.975.9+8.0
6 East Tennessee St96367%69.266.8+2.4
7 VMI117464%80.364.6+15.6
8 Mercer117464%73.970.1+3.8
9 Citadel85362%83.571.4+12.1
10 Western Carolina116555%76.175.0+1.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Western Illinois108280%83.071.8+11.2
2 Morehead State96367%68.063.8+4.2
3 Southeast Missouri State105550%74.076.6-2.6
4 UALR115645%70.571.3-0.8
5 Siu Edwardsville104640%68.568.8-0.3
6 UT Martin93633%73.473.4+0.0
7 Tennessee State82625%72.668.9+3.8
8 Tennessee Tech102820%70.573.4-2.9
9 Eastern Illinois102820%58.170.6-12.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
East Tennessee St394382
Morehead State413475
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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