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Murray State vs Morehead State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 71-67
34-34 37-33
Position#4
Record29-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game62.1
Murray State 🏆
USA
vs
Morehead State
USA
Position#76
Record23-10
FormLWLWW
Points / game70.1
Allowed / game63.2
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Murray State v Morehead State
02 Dec 2025
MURR84
MORE52
05 Mar 2022
MURR71
MORE67
29 Jan 2022
MURR77
MORE66
02 Jan 2021
MURR56
MORE61
15 Feb 2020
MURR85
MORE57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murray State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Morehead State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Morehead State
#76
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H29/01
NCAA
Austin Peay
#262
W
65-53
65
53
+12
A03/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#296
W
79-59
79
59
+20
H06/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#241
W
73-62
73
62
+11
A11/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#76
W
57-53
57
53
+4
A12/02
NCAA
Austin Peay
#262
W
91-56
91
56
+35
H18/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#329
W
62-60
62
60
+2
A19/02
NCAA
Belmont
#24
W
76-43
76
43
+33
H25/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
W
70-68
70
68
+2
A26/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
W
88-74
88
74
+14
H05/03
NCAA
1H
2H
33-28
44-38
35-31
30-22
44-24
35-35
29-36
44-26
24-28
33-25
49-23
42-33
27-33
35-27
35-17
41-26
32-37
38-31
51-31
37-43
133.2Avg total
73.8Scored
59.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)79.662.1141.7+17.594%
Season at home (18)85.762.7148.4+23.094%
Season away (13)71.161.3132.4+9.892%
Last 10 (10)73.859.4133.2+14.4100%
Last 5 (5)77.460.2137.6+17.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)77.961.7139.6+16.393%
This opponent (Morehead State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee Tech
#295
W
75-68
75
68
+7
H03/02
NCAA
Austin Peay
#262
W
77-52
77
52
+25
H05/02
NCAA
Belmont
#24
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A11/02
NCAA
Murray State
#4
L
53-57
53
57
-4
H12/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#329
W
68-60
68
60
+8
A17/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
L
84-92
84
92
-8
H19/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#356
W
82-46
82
46
+36
A25/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#296
L
70-77
70
77
-7
A26/02
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#295
W
73-56
73
56
+17
H04/03
NCAA
Belmont
#24
W
53-51
53
51
+2
A05/03
NCAA
1H
2H
31-25
44-43
43-20
34-32
29-22
18-26
28-24
25-33
30-34
38-26
39-41
45-51
33-22
49-24
38-39
32-38
32-26
41-30
30-21
23-30
128.9Avg total
68.2Scored
60.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)70.163.2133.3+6.870%
Season at home (16)73.861.3135.1+12.588%
Season away (17)66.565.1131.6+1.553%
Last 10 (10)68.260.7128.9+7.560%
Last 5 (5)72.464.4136.8+8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)59.567.0126.5-7.50%
vs Similar (7)62.462.6125.0-0.157%
vs Weaker (20)73.261.9135.1+11.485%
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +7.1+7.11st half: +5.9+5.92nd half2nd half: +7.3+7.32nd half: +1.6+1.6
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +7.1+7.11st half: +5.9+5.92nd half2nd half: +7.3+7.32nd half: +1.6+1.6
Murray StateMorehead State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Morehead State
#76
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H29/01
NCAA
Austin Peay
#262
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A03/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#296
W
44-24
44
24
+20
H06/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#241
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A11/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#76
L
24-28
24
28
-4
A12/02
NCAA
Austin Peay
#262
W
49-23
49
23
+26
H18/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#329
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A19/02
NCAA
Belmont
#24
W
35-17
35
17
+18
H25/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A26/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H05/03
NCAA
64.7Avg total
35.9Scored
28.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.629.366.9+8.467%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.527.868.3+12.682%-
Last 30 away (13)33.931.265.1+2.846%-
Last 10 (10)35.928.864.7+7.160%-
Last 5 (5)38.828.267.0+10.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)37.229.366.5+8.066%-
This opponent (Morehead State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee Tech
#295
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H03/02
NCAA
Austin Peay
#262
W
43-20
43
20
+23
H05/02
NCAA
Belmont
#24
W
29-22
29
22
+7
A11/02
NCAA
Murray State
#4
W
28-24
28
24
+4
H12/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#329
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A17/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H19/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#356
W
33-22
33
22
+11
A25/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#296
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A26/02
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#295
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H04/03
NCAA
Belmont
#24
W
30-21
30
21
+9
A05/03
NCAA
60.7Avg total
33.3Scored
27.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.728.862.5+5.073%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.927.661.5+6.387%-
Last 30 away (15)33.629.963.5+3.760%-
Last 10 (10)33.327.460.7+5.970%-
Last 5 (5)34.429.864.2+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)28.028.556.5-0.550%-
vs Similar (7)31.428.660.0+2.971%-
vs Weaker (20)35.028.963.9+6.175%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Murray State wins
2
Morehead State wins
DateGameScore
12/02/22Morehead State v Murray State53-57
29/01/22Murray State v Morehead State77-66
05/02/21Morehead State v Murray State66-56
02/01/21Murray State v Morehead State56-61
15/02/20Murray State v Morehead State85-57
Murray Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/22HSoutheast Missouri State88-74
26/02/22ASoutheast Missouri State70-68
25/02/22HBelmont76-43
19/02/22AUT Martin62-60
18/02/22HAustin Peay91-56
12/02/22AMorehead State57-53
11/02/22ATennessee State73-62
06/02/22HSiu Edwardsville79-59
03/02/22AAustin Peay65-53
29/01/22HMorehead State77-66
Morehead Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/22ABelmont53-51
04/03/22HTennessee Tech73-56
26/02/22ASiu Edwardsville70-77
25/02/22AEastern Illinois82-46
19/02/22HSoutheast Missouri State84-92
17/02/22AUT Martin68-60
12/02/22HMurray State53-57
11/02/22ABelmont47-48
05/02/22HAustin Peay77-52
03/02/22HTennessee Tech75-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murray State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW94%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayWWWWW92%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311813
Win %94%94%92%
Points / game79.685.771.1
Allowed / game62.162.761.3
Point differential+17.5+23.0+9.8
Avg total141.7148.4132.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+68%83%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (6)-100% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Morehead State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW70%
HomeWWLLW88%
AwayLWWLW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %70%88%53%
Points / game70.173.866.5
Allowed / game63.261.365.1
Point differential+6.8+12.5+1.5
Avg total133.3135.1131.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%50%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murray State3129294%79.662.1+17.5
2 Belmont3225778%78.568.2+10.3
3 Drake3223972%73.865.9+7.9
4 Northern Iowa30191163%74.470.5+3.9
5 Bradley31171455%70.565.2+5.3
6 Southern Illinois31161552%64.061.4+2.7
7 Illinois (Chi.)30141647%72.072.9-1.0
8 Valparaiso32141844%70.870.5+0.2
9 Illinois State33132039%74.274.7-0.6
10 Indiana State31112035%70.571.9-1.5
11 Evansville3062420%59.270.7-11.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Morehead State33231070%70.163.2+6.8
2 Western Illinois30161453%79.077.0+2.0
3 Tennessee State32141844%71.370.2+1.1
4 Southeast Missouri State32141844%75.677.3-1.7
5 Tennessee Tech32112134%72.873.7-0.9
6 Siu Edwardsville32112134%67.569.9-2.4
7 UALR2891932%66.773.1-6.4
8 UT Martin3082227%68.973.5-4.6
9 Eastern Illinois3152616%56.371.1-14.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Murray State343771
Morehead State343367
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